Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Xicet Testing (301306) has provided insights into its revenue and business segments through responses to investor inquiries on its interactive platform [1] Group 2 - The company's revenue and business composition is segmented into environmental and reliability testing, electronic component testing and selection, electromagnetic compatibility testing, and electronic assembly services [1] - Investors are encouraged to continuously monitor the company's disclosed periodic reports for more detailed information [1]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Insights - The report concludes that 2026 will mark a turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry, with a shift from state-driven missions to market-driven profitability, driven by the deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations and advancements in reusable rocket technology [1][6] - The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 35.8% [1][12] - The report emphasizes that the core components of rocket launch services are engines (54%) and structural components (24%), which together account for 78% of the value in the launch service segment [1][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace industry is defined as activities that provide aerospace products and services through social capital investment under national policy guidance, including the R&D, manufacturing, launch, and operation of spacecraft and rockets [6][7] - The global aerospace economy is expected to reach $612 billion by 2024, with commercial aerospace revenues accounting for approximately $480 billion, representing about 78% of the total [6][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge as China enters a concentrated deployment phase for low-orbit satellite constellations, with over 200,000 satellites planned for deployment [18][19] - The report highlights that the competition for low-orbit frequency resources is intensifying, necessitating faster deployment of satellite constellations [19][21] Cost Structure and Efficiency - The report breaks down the cost structure of rockets, indicating that engines and structural components dominate the value chain [1][12] - It outlines a pathway for reducing launch costs, projecting that the unit cost of launching payloads could decrease significantly as technology advances [1][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in key segments such as propulsion systems, satellite communication systems, materials and structural components, and testing and validation services [2][4] - Specific companies to watch include 应流股份 (603308), 斯瑞新材 (688102), and 上海瀚讯 (300762), among others [2][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's commercial space industry is experiencing rapid development, with projections for 2025 indicating 50 launches, accounting for 54% of the total national space launches [1] - In 2025, commercial rockets are expected to complete 25 launches, and the Hainan commercial space launch site will have conducted 9 launches, totaling 10 since its establishment [1] - A total of 311 commercial satellites are projected to be placed into orbit, representing 84% of the total satellites launched in China [1] Group 2 - The commercial space industry is entering a golden era driven by both demand and supply, with recommendations to focus on structural component suppliers such as Aerospace Power, Srey New Materials, and others [1] - In satellite manufacturing, the focus is on low Earth orbit satellites and related infrastructure, with suggested companies including China Satellite and Aerospace Electronics [1] - The upstream and midstream sectors, particularly subsystems and materials supporting satellite mass production, are expected to benefit first, with companies like Zhenlei Technology and Guangwei Composites highlighted [1] Group 3 - In 2026, the domestic commercial space sector is anticipated to experience a "triple resonance" of policy, technology, and capital, making it highly promising [2] - Beneficiary companies in the rocket industry chain include Aerospace Power, Western Materials, and others [2] - In the satellite industry and space computing, recommended companies include Zhongke Xingtou, Aerospace Hongtu, and several others [2]

格隆汇1月21日丨西测测试(301306.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，卫星的检测费用并非固定单价，其价值 量主要取决于检测项目的范围、技术复杂度、周期要求以及卫星本身的技术新颖性与可靠性指标。因 此，不同型号、不同批次的卫星，其检测方案和价值量均存在差异。公司作为独立的第三方检验检测服 务机构，主要为客户提供覆盖卫星产品全生命周期的可靠性验证服务。在"检测+制造"双轮驱动的战略 下，公司将依托已经构建的一站式服务能力和硬核资质，持续聚焦航空航天"低成本、高可靠、快迭 代"的发展趋势，加大资源投入，致力于成为该产业链中高可靠性制造与验证服务供应商。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]

Market Overview - The military electronics sector experienced a decline of 3.67% on January 20, with Xicet Testing leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the military electronics sector included: - *ST Dali (002214): Closed at 20.28, up 1.25% with a trading volume of 51,000 shares and a turnover of 103 million yuan - Xicet Testing (301306): Closed at 116.45, down 12.11% with a trading volume of 118,600 shares and a turnover of 1.463 billion yuan - Shenglu Communication (002446): Closed at 10.82, down 8.92% with a trading volume of 1.8396 million shares and a turnover of 2.039 billion yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The military electronics sector saw a net outflow of 5.905 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 5.209 billion yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks included: - Aerospace South Lake (688552): Net inflow of 32.9088 million yuan from institutional investors - Xicet Testing (301306): Net outflow of 463.963 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a significant downturn on January 20, with many stocks hitting their daily limit down, marking the end of a month-long rally. The sector's volatility is attributed to a combination of policy changes, clarifications of business relevance, and recent launch failures [1][2][3]. Market Performance - As of January 20, the commercial aerospace sector index (BK0963) fell over 3.2%, with individual stocks like Xice Testing (301306.SZ) and Aerospace Hongtu (688066.SH) dropping more than 11%. A total of 11 stocks hit their daily limit down, while others like Aerospace Huanyu (688523.SH) and Shenglu Communication (002446.SZ) saw declines exceeding 8% [2][3]. - The index has decreased from above 3100 points on January 12 to around 2790 points, ending a rapid rise that began in late November 2025, during which at least 10 stocks doubled in price [2][3]. Factors Influencing Market Changes - The recent market cooling is attributed to multiple factors, including over 20 companies issuing risk warnings or clarifications about their lack of substantial involvement in commercial aerospace. For instance, Aerospace Hongtu stated that its strategic cooperation with a space technology company has not led to any significant business collaboration [3][6]. - The sector faced setbacks with launch failures, including the Long March 3B rocket and the private commercial rocket from Star River Power, which both experienced mission failures [3][4]. Policy and Industry Developments - The previous surge in the sector was driven by favorable policies, such as China's application for 203,000 new satellites, the largest in recent years, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange's announcement allowing commercial rocket companies to apply for IPOs under specific standards [4][5]. - Recent developments indicate that several companies with core technology capabilities are in the IPO preparation stage, although many have not yet gone public [6][7]. Financial Challenges - Financial data reveals significant challenges for companies in the sector. For example, Blue Arrow Aerospace reported net losses of 8.21 billion yuan in 2022, 12.16 billion yuan in 2023, and 9.16 billion yuan in 2024, with a total loss exceeding 35 billion yuan over three and a half years [7][8]. - The commercial viability of these companies is hindered by their early-stage development and the high costs associated with rocket technology, which still lag behind international competitors [8]. Future Outlook - Despite the recent downturn, long-term prospects for the commercial aerospace sector remain positive, with industry experts suggesting that the current market correction may help identify companies with genuine technological capabilities and commercial potential [9]. - Analysts believe that the sector may experience a recovery similar to the renewable energy market, driven by ongoing policy support and potential improvements in profitability [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company is recognized as one of the leading third-party testing institutions in China, providing comprehensive testing services primarily focused on environmental reliability, electromagnetic compatibility, component testing, and electrical assembly services [1] Group 1 - The company offers specialized technical services for clients in the aerospace and aviation sectors [1] - Current testing services are mainly concentrated in environmental reliability testing, electromagnetic compatibility testing, component testing, and electrical assembly [1] - The share of testing services related to low-altitude economy, such as drones, is currently very small [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xicetest (301306.SZ), is recognized as one of the leading third-party testing institutions in China, providing comprehensive testing services primarily in the aerospace and aviation sectors [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company specializes in environmental reliability testing, electromagnetic compatibility testing, component testing, and electrical assembly services [1] - The current focus remains on traditional testing services, with a minimal share of business related to low-altitude economy sectors such as drone testing [1]

Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with an annual increase of over 20%, projected to reach between 7 trillion to 10 trillion yuan by 2030. The formal inclusion of commercial aerospace in the national space development plan by the end of 2025 highlights its strategic importance and potential [1]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Events - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen are hosting commercial aerospace exhibitions, which serve as indicators of industry development and resource aggregation [1][2]. - The third Beijing Commercial Aerospace Industry High-Quality Development Conference and the 2026 Beijing International Commercial Aerospace Exhibition will take place from January 23 to 25, featuring over 300 global companies, including major domestic players [1][2]. Group 2: Regional Development and Policies - Beijing's Yizhuang area is a key hub for the commercial aerospace industry, housing over 180 companies, with a significant concentration of commercial rocket enterprises [2]. - Recent policies in Beijing and Shanghai aim to accelerate the development of the commercial aerospace sector, including action plans for innovation and advanced manufacturing clusters [3]. Group 3: Regional Strategies and Goals - Shaanxi and Sichuan provinces are leveraging their unique resources to develop differentiated paths in the commercial aerospace sector, with Shaanxi aiming to establish a 100 billion yuan industry by 2030 [4]. - Shaanxi's action plan includes the establishment of over 200 enterprises in the commercial aerospace sector by 2030, supported by a robust industrial ecosystem [4][5]. - Chengdu is also actively developing its commercial aerospace capabilities, with plans to reach a scale of 50 billion yuan by 2027, focusing on satellite applications and core electronic components [5][6].