Core Insights - Alibaba's cross-border e-commerce platform AliExpress has launched a "one-hour delivery" service in the UK starting this month [1] Group 1 - The new delivery service aims to enhance customer experience and competitiveness in the UK market [1]

7月5日，阿里、美团两大平台分别放出了大量且大额的外卖红包券，新一轮"外卖大战"上演，也被网友称为"薅羊毛日"。 有的用户表示收到了"满25减21""满16减16"等多张优惠券。这些优惠券使得部分饮品和食品的外卖价格接近"0元购"。随着优惠券的持续发放，不断有消费 者涌入美团和淘宝闪购下单，导致美团一度出现宕机，甚至冲上微博热搜榜。 对此，美团外卖官方表示，7月5日下午6点前后，因用户下单量突破历史峰值，触发了服务器限流保护，美团App小范围地区用户出现了短时服务异常，现 已全面恢复，大家可以正常下单。期间部分受影响用户的优惠券，可延续至次日继续使用。 此外，针对部分受系统影响短暂出现接单异常的商家，美团将进行回溯，确保商家评分及后续排名等不受影响。 美团内网公布的信息显示，当晚20时45分，美团即时零售日订单突破1亿单，截至22时54分，美团即时零售当日订单破1.2亿单。 据报道，美团此次大规模补贴或源于阿里的补贴计划。7月2日，淘宝闪购宣布启动规模500亿元的补贴计划，补贴方式涉及红包雨、免单卡、商品直降等， 为期12个月。 有消息透露，7月5日是淘宝闪购的"冲单日"，其目标是峰值订单超过美团，预计达到9 ...

电商平台年中激战正酣，巨额补贴持续刺激消费。 最新公布的数据显示：截至7月8日，京东外卖近200个餐饮品牌在京东外卖销量破百万；淘宝 闪购截至7月7日的日订单量突8000万单；美团称截至7月5日23时，其即时零售业务单日订单 量已超1.2亿单。 在平台真金白银的补贴攻势下，不少消费者成功"薅到羊毛"。"2元一杯瑞幸"、"0元奶茶"等 晒单在社交平台刷屏。 图片由AI生成 然而，当消费者畅享低价福利时，一个核心问题随之浮现： 这杯看似免费的"0元奶茶"，最终 究竟由谁来"买单"？ 《科创板日报》记者通过电话采访与实地走访，了解到外卖平台上的满减活动，对消费者是看 得见的优惠，对商家则是一本复杂的"生意经"。 参与商家：让利换流量，销量与利润的博弈 《科创板日报》记者采访发现，不少参与平台活动的商家将此视为"以利换量"的策略。一位淘 宝闪购平台外卖商家表示， "尽管用户享受'0元购'，但平台会给予每单4到5元补贴，虽然单 笔利润微薄，却能显著提升复购率，整体来说，此次活动有一定的加成作用"。 另一位店主则直言，"销量增长明显，平台补贴力度大，即便消费者花得更少，每单反而比之 前多赚1到2元。" 不过，更多商家的参 ...

JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...

摩根士丹利和汇丰为什么都把阿里目标价下调至150美元 此外，阿里云业务仍具备巨大的发展潜力，未来有望为集团提供稳定的业绩支撑。同时，人工智能技术 在云计算和电商业务中的深度融合，将成为阿里巴巴构建长期竞争优势的重要驱动力，助力公司在未来 的市场竞争中持续保持领先地位。 与此同时，京东也宣布启动"双百计划"，计划投入超过百亿元资金，扶持更多品类的标杆品牌实现销量 突破百万，强势进军外卖市场。 除了大摩，汇丰也将阿里巴巴的目标价进行了下调。据华尔街见闻，维持阿里巴巴买入评级，但将目标 价从176美元下调至150美元。 在这场激烈的补贴大战中，阿里巴巴为巩固市场地位，不得不持续投入大量资金，短期内盈利压力进一 步加剧。 分析师Gary Yu等人在报告中表示，预计阿里巴巴第二财季外卖和闪购投入或翻倍至200亿元，这一大幅 增长的投资预计将拖累淘天与本地生活EBITA（息税摊销前利润）同比下跌超过40%。不过，摩根士丹 利强调，这或将成为投入高峰，因公司已宣布500亿元补贴计划，同时京东动能也开始放缓。 在阿里巴巴的业务版图中，阿里云业务一直是重要的增长引擎。对于财年一季度，摩根士丹利给出了相 对乐观的展望。其预计阿里 ...

前段时间，高盛隔空给外卖大战算了一笔账： 预计未来一年里，阿里外卖、京东将分别亏损410亿与260 亿人民币，美团EBIT（息税前利润）减少250亿。 近千亿钞票撒进焚化炉，只为让全国人民多喝两杯奶茶。 连月的混战在上个周末再迎高峰，"满18减18"、"一天三顿不超过10块钱"的夸张补贴，与外卖平台不断 刷新的大字报两相呼应，勾勒出外卖市场的烈火烹油。 不过铁打的美团，流水的对手，曾经凶悍的京东休养生息，阿里接棒发起冲锋，豪掷五百亿补贴宣言， 逼得美团紧急上强度。截至周一，阿里淘宝闪购与美团即时零售的日订单分别突破8000万单与1.2亿单。 外卖的双寡头格局由来已久，京东高调进场以前，美团和饿了么合计占据超过九成市场份额，纵有抖音 强攻本地生活、小红书试水到店酒旅，外卖都是各大平台默契绕行的无人区。 久攻本地生活不下的阿里也曾选择躺平，新零售业务出清，饿了么埋头减亏。但人到中年最怕被卷，过 去三个月，阿里本地生活阵容巨变，新近整合的淘宝闪购走到台前，已成活化石的饿了么退居幕后，连 同飞猪一起被打包送往隔壁电商事业群。 吴泳铭的内部信如此概括这一系列变化： "集中目标，统一作战。" 轻描淡写的八个字背后，是一场 ...

市场的复苏从来不是线性上升的过程，但产业LP的重新进场，进一步带动市场信心的回 归。 近两年，曾经叱咤风云的互联网巨头们，在LP版图上几近隐退。 而就在近期，战局突变：腾讯重金押注"并购女王"刘晓丹的晨壹基金，阿里悄然落子清华系早期阵地， 京东以5亿元重仓GP…… 悄然间，互联网三巨头正集体回归LP战场。 三巨头齐回归 过去两年，曾活跃于LP领域的互联网巨头们纷纷离场，GP背后鲜少出现互联网巨头的身影，而就在这 几天，久违的一幕重现了。 起因是7月3日的一则工商变更信息，将腾讯再度拉回到创投行业的视野中。 据企查查APP显示：7月3日，上海晨峦企业管理合伙企业（有限合伙）发生工商变更，新增合伙人名单 中赫然出现了广西腾讯创业投资有限公司的身影。一同进入的还有深圳舟益管理咨询合伙企业——同为 腾讯系子公司。 腾讯此次对晨壹基金的出资总额超过2亿元。 由"并购女王"刘晓丹执掌的基金，去年刚迎来阿里系悍将张勇、胡晓加盟，如今腾讯入场，被视为是其 对当下最火热的并购赛道的战略卡位。 据FOFWEEKLY观察，这已是腾讯2025年内第三次以LP身份出手了： 今年2月份，深圳市腾讯产业投资基金有限公司出资1亿，参投苏州杏 ...

Core Viewpoint - The return of major internet giants as Limited Partners (LPs) signals a resurgence of market confidence and a potential turning point for the venture capital industry in 2025 [2][3][21]. Group 1: Return of Internet Giants - After a two-year hiatus, Tencent, Alibaba, and JD.com are re-entering the LP landscape, indicating a shift in market dynamics [3][12]. - Tencent has made significant investments, including over 200 million yuan in the Morning One Fund, led by renowned investor Liu Xiaodan [8][9]. - JD.com has also made a notable return, investing 500 million yuan in a new fund, further emphasizing the trend of major players re-engaging in the market [11]. Group 2: Market Recovery Indicators - The venture capital market has faced challenges, but signs of recovery are emerging, with increased investor activity and shorter decision-making cycles [15][17]. - The recent establishment of new funds, such as the 700 million yuan fund by Chaoxi Capital, shows a growing interest from industry LPs, with 60% of contributions coming from them [16]. - The combination of policy easing and technological breakthroughs is reshaping the value logic of the venture capital market, leading to renewed confidence among investors [17][18]. Group 3: Strategic Focus of LPs - Industry LPs are increasingly focusing on "industry synergy and ecological control," with a preference for GPs that demonstrate high-quality investment projects [18]. - Recent investments from various LPs, including Ningde Times and Kanglong Chemical, are concentrated in future industries like robotics and AI, reflecting a strategic shift in investment focus [18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a new starting point for the venture capital industry, with a positive outlook on the development of future industries [19][21]. - The collective return of major LPs and the increased activity of state-owned LPs are clear indicators of a warming market, despite ongoing challenges [21].

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba is expected to increase investments in instant retail and food delivery services in the coming quarters, which will significantly impact short-term profitability, but these factors are already reflected in the stock price. The strong growth momentum in cloud computing and leading position in AI provide long-term value support [1][7]. Group 1: Investment Strategy and Market Position - HSBC maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba but lowers the target price from $176 to $150, indicating a potential upside of 38.9% from the current stock price of $107.99 [1]. - Since April 2024, competition in food delivery and instant retail has intensified, with Meituan launching a three-year support plan worth 100 billion RMB and JD.com initiating a one-year subsidy project worth 10 billion RMB [1][2]. - Alibaba's food delivery strategy was launched later, with a one-year subsidy plan worth 500 billion RMB starting on July 2 [2]. Group 2: Market Share and Growth - Alibaba's market share in food delivery and instant retail has rapidly increased from over 20% in 2024 to 36% by July 5, 2025, while Meituan holds 55% and JD.com 9% [2]. - This growth is attributed to the integration of Ele.me and Fliggy into Taobao and Tmall, leadership consolidation, aggressive subsidy strategies, and traffic support [2]. Group 3: Financial Projections - HSBC has raised revenue forecasts for Alibaba for FY26-28 by 3-8%, reflecting accelerated growth in instant retail and food delivery orders, but has lowered profit expectations by 7-22% [9]. - For FY26, Alibaba is expected to incur losses of 2.7 RMB per order in food delivery and 3.7 RMB per order in instant shopping, with an overall loss of 55 billion RMB in local life services [9][10]. - The peak of investment is anticipated in the September quarter, with normalization expected in the second half of FY26 [9]. Group 4: Cloud Computing and AI Outlook - HSBC remains optimistic about Alibaba's cloud computing prospects, forecasting over 20% year-on-year growth in cloud revenue for FY26, driven by strong AI demand [10][16]. - Although there may be quarterly fluctuations in cloud business gross margins, they are expected to maintain a high single-digit level [10]. - In the generative AI infrastructure as a service (GenAI IaaS) market, Alibaba ranks first with a market share of 23.5% in the second half of 2024, benefiting from its leading scale, strong product capabilities, and large enterprise customer base [16].

阿里巴巴集团旗下高德地图正式上线多语言地图，在原有的中、英文基础上，新增多达14种语言，包括 西班牙语、葡萄牙语、法语、德语、泰语、日语、韩语、土耳其语、意大利语、俄语、阿拉伯语、马来 语、印尼语、越南语。海外用户可通过App Store和Google Play直接下载高德地图多语言版。(界面) ...