Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BOSS Zhipin [9] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 1.824 billion yuan in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, exceeding the upper limit of the previous guidance [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit reached 659 million yuan, up 26.8%, while Non-GAAP net profit was 722 million yuan, an increase of 14.9% [1] - The company expects Q1 2025 revenue to be between 1.90 billion and 1.92 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 11.5% to 12.7% [1] - The spring recruitment data shows a positive improvement trend, with the number of active job postings and new job postings reaching historical highs [3] - The company continues to invest in AI technology, which is expected to drive cost reduction and new product revenue [3] Financial Summary - In Q4 2024, B-end revenue was 1.804 billion yuan, up 15.2%, with a total of 6.1 million enterprise paying customers, a 17.3% increase [2] - The average monthly active users (MAU) reached 52.7 million, a 27.9% increase year-on-year [2] - The company's gross margin for Q4 2024 was 82.8%, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 36.1% [2] - The financial forecast for 2025-2027 estimates Non-GAAP operating profits of 3.044 billion, 3.530 billion, and 3.953 billion yuan, respectively [3] - Non-GAAP net profits are projected to be 3.247 billion, 3.630 billion, and 3.990 billion yuan for the same period [3] Market Position - The company has established a competitive advantage in the online recruitment sector through its "mobile + intelligent matching + direct chat" business model [3] - The contribution of key accounts (KA) to B-end revenue increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year, with KA customers generating 1.772 billion yuan in revenue, a 40% increase [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][15][16] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 73.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.6%, with a net profit of 27.3 billion yuan, up 26.5% [1][6] - In Q4 2024, the revenue was 18.2 billion yuan, a 15.4% increase, slightly exceeding management's guidance [1][6] - The company is focusing on AI development, with AI-related job postings increasing by 64% year-on-year, contributing to a positive hiring environment [1][3][14] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 73.56 billion yuan, with an adjusted net profit of 27.28 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.5% [6][7] - The Q4 2024 revenue was 18.2 billion yuan, slightly above the management's guidance of 13.6%-14.6% [1][6] - The adjusted net profit for Q4 2024 was 7.3 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 7.0 billion yuan [1][6] User Growth and Engagement - The number of paid enterprise users reached a record high of 610,000 in 2024, a 17% year-on-year increase [2][8] - Daily active users (DAU) on the job seeker side increased by 28% year-on-year, reaching 52.7 million in Q4 2024 [2][8] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 82.8%, with an operating profit margin of 20.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8 percentage points [10][12] - The adjusted net profit margin for Q4 2024 was 39.9%, slightly up by 0.1 percentage points [12] Future Outlook - For Q1 2025, the company expects revenue growth of 11.5%-12.7%, driven by a positive hiring environment post-Spring Festival [3][14] - The company plans to continue investing in AI, with expected improvements in recruitment efficiency and user experience [3][14][15] - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 is set at 33.5 billion yuan, with further projections for 2026 and 2027 at 43.1 billion yuan and 52.7 billion yuan, respectively [15][17]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's performance in Q4 2024 slightly exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 18.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%. Adjusted net profit was 7.2 billion yuan, also up 15% year-on-year [4][9] - The demand for recruitment is expected to recover in 2025, driven by the growth in blue-collar jobs and AI-related positions, with a significant increase in job postings related to AI [3][4] - The company anticipates adjusted operating profit to reach 3 billion yuan in 2025, supported by improved customer acquisition efficiency and cost reductions through AI [4] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 5,952 million yuan - 2024: 7,356 million yuan (24% YoY growth) - 2025: 8,397 million yuan (14% YoY growth) - 2026: 9,538 million yuan (14% YoY growth) - 2027: 10,580 million yuan (11% YoY growth) [1] - Adjusted net profit projections are: - 2023: 1,099 million yuan - 2024: 1,585 million yuan (44% YoY growth) - 2025: 2,275 million yuan (44% YoY growth) - 2026: 3,066 million yuan (35% YoY growth) - 2027: 3,747 million yuan (22% YoY growth) [1] - Non-GAAP net profit projections are: - 2023: 2,156 million yuan - 2024: 2,711 million yuan (26% YoY growth) - 2025: 3,332 million yuan (23% YoY growth) - 2026: 4,113 million yuan (23% YoY growth) - 2027: 4,786 million yuan (16% YoY growth) [1] Operational Efficiency - The company has improved customer acquisition efficiency, with adjusted sales expense ratio decreasing by 3.5 percentage points year-on-year. The adjusted operating profit margin increased to 36.1% [4] - The average monthly active users (MAU) for the BOSS Zhipin app reached 53 million in 2024, a 25% increase year-on-year, indicating strong user engagement [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q4 2024 slightly exceeded expectations, and there is optimism for a recovery in recruitment demand in 2025 [1][4] - The contribution of blue-collar, lower-tier cities, and small enterprises to revenue continues to rise, with strong growth in AI-related job recruitment [3] - The company is expected to achieve an adjusted operating profit of approximately 3 billion yuan in 2025, driven by improved customer acquisition efficiency and cost reductions through AI [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,952 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32%. This is expected to increase to 7,356 million yuan in 2024, representing a 24% growth [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,099 million yuan in 2023, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 925%, and is expected to reach 1,585 million yuan in 2024, a 44% increase [1] - Non-GAAP net profit is anticipated to grow from 2,156 million yuan in 2023 to 2,711 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a 26% increase [1] - The adjusted EPS is projected to rise from 4.76 yuan in 2023 to 5.98 yuan in 2024 [1] Operational Insights - The company achieved a gross margin that remained stable year-on-year, with an adjusted sales expense ratio decreasing by 3.5 percentage points [4] - The adjusted operating profit for Q4 was 6.59 billion yuan, accounting for 36.1% of revenue, which is a 3 percentage point increase year-on-year [4] - The average monthly active users (MAU) for the BOSS Zhipin app reached 53 million in 2024, a 25% year-on-year increase [4][9] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue gaining market share in 2025, supported by increased brand recognition and a robust two-sided network effect [4] - The recruitment market is showing signs of recovery, with historical highs in active user numbers and job postings following the Spring Festival [4][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Views - The company's revenue for the reporting period reached 1.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and the adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company was 730 million yuan, up 15.8%, aligning with market expectations [1][6] - The average monthly active users (MAU) reached 52.7 million, reflecting a robust growth of 27.9% year-on-year, with the total number of paying enterprise clients increasing by 17.3% to 6.1 million [1][6] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the domestic recruitment market and has provided guidance for Q1 2025 revenue to be between 1.90 billion and 1.92 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 11.5% to 12.7% [1][6] Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 82.8% in Q4 2024, with a slight improvement in expense ratios due to enhanced operational efficiency [1][6] - The projected revenue for 2025 is estimated at 8.484 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15% [2][8] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is expected to be 2.077 billion yuan, reflecting a 31% increase compared to the previous year [2][8] User Growth and Market Position - The company continues to see strong user growth, with a significant increase in paying enterprise clients, which is a key driver for revenue [1][6] - The report emphasizes the company's commitment to leveraging technology to build competitive advantages, particularly through AI, which is expected to transform the recruitment industry [1][6] Valuation Metrics - The report projects a Non-GAAP net profit of 3.126 billion yuan for 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19x, 17x, and 15x for the years 2025 to 2027 [2][6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.6% in 2024 to 14.2% by 2027 [9]

Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved GAAP revenue of RMB 1.82 billion, up 15% year-on-year, and adjusted net income of RMB 720 million, reflecting a 15% year-on-year growth [7][8] - For the full year 2024, GAAP revenue reached RMB 7.36 billion, up 24% year-on-year, with adjusted net income of RMB 2.71 billion, up 26% year-on-year [8][9] - Adjusted operating income for the full year was RMB 2.32 billion, rising by 41% year-on-year, with share-based compensation expenses as a percentage of revenue decreasing by 2.3 percentage points compared to 2023 [9][10] User and Business Metrics - Average verified monthly active users (MAU) on the BOSS Zhipin app increased by 28% year-on-year to 52.7 million in Q4 2024, with full-year MAU reaching 53 million, a 25.3% increase [8][11] - The company facilitated over 1.85 billion successful resume exchanges in 2024, indicating strong operational performance [11] - The revenue contribution from blue-collar segments grew to 38% in 2024, with the manufacturing sector showing the fastest growth rate [13][15] Market and Competitive Landscape - Recruitment demand from white-collar and large enterprises stabilized, with enterprises over 10,000 employees showing the fastest quarter-on-quarter revenue growth in Q4 [16] - The company noted a significant increase in recruitment demand for AI-related jobs, with average daily postings surging by over 60% year-on-year [28] Strategic Initiatives and AI Implementation - The company is focusing on enhancing user experience through continuous product and service optimization, particularly in blue-collar recruitment [15] - AI applications are being integrated into the recruitment process, with features like AI-powered job search and interview coaching being introduced [19][20] - The company has invested significantly in AI infrastructure, with plans to continue exploring AI applications and product development [56][58] Management Commentary on Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the recruitment market's recovery post-Chinese New Year, expecting Q1 2025 revenues to be between RMB 1.9 billion and RMB 1.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5% to 12.7% [40] - The company aims for a non-GAAP operating profit target of RMB 3 billion for 2025, which is 30% higher than the previous year [74] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $229 million worth of shares in 2024, accounting for 3.7% of total outstanding shares, reflecting confidence in long-term growth [29][39] - Total cash position stood at RMB 14.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, providing a strong foundation for future growth initiatives [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of AI boom on online recruitment industry - Management noted a surge in AI-related job postings and active searches, indicating a significant shift in recruitment dynamics [44][46] - Concerns were raised about the potential oversaturation of AI-generated resumes and job descriptions [50][51] Question: Recruitment demand across different enterprise sizes and industries - Management highlighted strong sequential growth in online active job postings, particularly in white-collar industries and AI-related sectors [63][64] Question: Customer acquisition cost and marketing plans for 2025 - Management indicated no major marketing campaigns planned for 2025, focusing instead on user growth and brand awareness [72] Question: Revenue contribution and strategy for blue-collar business - The blue-collar segment is expected to continue growing, with strategic investments in AI and closed-loop services [78]

Group 1 - The article focuses on the investment service "Asia Value & Moat Stocks," which targets value investors looking for Asia-listed stocks with significant discrepancies between price and intrinsic value [1] - The service emphasizes deep value balance sheet bargains, such as net cash stocks and low price-to-book (P/B) stocks, as well as wide moat stocks that represent high-quality businesses [1] - The rating for Kanzhun (NASDAQ: BZ) has been upgraded from Hold to Buy, indicating a positive outlook based on the preview of its Q1'24 earnings [1]

Core Viewpoint - The integration of AI into human resource management is transforming the industry, with over 70% of surveyed companies already applying AI to enhance employee experience and recruitment efficiency [1][14]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The human resource service industry in China is expected to grow rapidly, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.7% from 2023 to 2028, driven by the deepening application of AI [1]. - The global economic recovery is leading to a significant rebound in corporate recruitment demand, benefiting companies like BOSS Zhipin [4]. Group 2: Company Performance - BOSS Zhipin reported a total revenue of 7.356 billion yuan for the year 2024, exceeding market expectations of 6.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.6% [4]. - The company achieved a fourth-quarter revenue of 1.824 billion yuan, marking a 15.4% year-on-year increase and maintaining double-digit growth for six consecutive quarters [4]. - The number of job postings on BOSS Zhipin's platform increased by 28% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in hiring demand [4]. Group 3: User and Technology Growth - BOSS Zhipin's unique "user-technology" dual-driven model has contributed to its growth, with nearly 49.5 million new users added in 2024 [5][6]. - The platform served over 225 million users and more than 16.6 million enterprises, facilitating over 1.85 billion interactions [6]. - Monthly active users (MAU) reached over 53 million, with a year-on-year growth of 25.3% [6]. Group 4: Financial Metrics - The company’s operating cash flow exceeded 800 million yuan for six consecutive quarters, with a record high of 956 million yuan in the fourth quarter [9]. - BOSS Zhipin's net profit increased by 42.6% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit reaching 2.71 billion yuan, a 25.7% increase [10]. - The adjusted operating profit margin reached a historical high of 31.5% due to improved operational efficiency [9]. Group 5: AI Integration and Innovation - BOSS Zhipin accelerated its AI initiatives in 2024, integrating its self-developed recruitment-specific large language model "Nanbeige" into its product matrix [9]. - The company invested 1.816 billion yuan in research and development, reflecting a 17.6% year-on-year increase [9]. - AI applications are expected to enhance recruitment efficiency, with companies reporting a 30% reduction in HR department workload [14]. Group 6: Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment - Despite a year-to-date stock price increase of over 32%, BOSS Zhipin's shares remain at historically low levels, indicating potential for future growth [12]. - Major global investment firms, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have issued buy/hold ratings for BOSS Zhipin, reflecting positive market sentiment [12][13]. - The company projects a revenue growth of 11.5%-12.7% for Q1 2025, with net profit margin targets set between 22%-25% [13].

证券研究报告 BOSS 直聘 (BZ US) 边际趋势良好，期待春招弹性 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 3 月 | 12 日│美国 | 互联网 | 24Q4 MAU 为 5270 万，同比增长 28%。春节后平台用户呈现较高活跃度， 根据 Questmobile 的数据 2 月最后一周，BOSS 直聘/前程无忧/智联招聘/ 猎聘周活跃用户分别增长 yoy+12.9%/10%/-2%/12%，公司在规模和增长上 依然领先同业。根据 Sensor Tower 的数据显示 1-2 月同比增长 13.2%，好 于此前 24 年 11-12 月的数据跟踪。考虑到边际招聘需求回暖，公司指引 25Q1 收入为 19~19.2 亿元（yoy+ 11.5% ~12.7%），彭博一致预期为 18.85 亿，略好于预期。 盈利兑现持续，25 年利润率持续提升 24FY 公司毛利率 83.1%(yoy+ 0.9pct)，销售费用率为 28.2%，一次性品牌宣 传 投 放 前 提 下 同 比 依 然 下 降 5.3pct 。 管 理 和 研 发 费 用 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, the company achieved GAAP revenue of RMB 1.82 billion, up 15% year-on-year [7] - For the full year 2024, GAAP revenue reached RMB 7.36 billion, reflecting a 24% year-on-year increase [8] - Adjusted net income for Q4 was RMB 720 million, a 15% increase year-on-year, while for the full year it was RMB 2.71 billion, up 26% year-on-year [8][37] - Adjusted operating income for the full year was RMB 2.32 billion, rising by 41% year-on-year [9] - The adjusted operating margin for Q4 reached a historical high of 36.1% [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average verified monthly active users (MAU) on the BOSS Zhipin app increased by 28% year-on-year to 52.7 million in Q4 [7] - The number of paid enterprise customers reached 6.1 million, marking a 17% year-on-year growth [31] - Revenue contribution from blue-collar segments rose to 38% in 2024, with the manufacturing sector showing the fastest growth [13] - The average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) grew by 6.8% year-on-year in Q4 [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The recruitment market showed signs of stabilization towards the end of 2024, with a significant increase in active job postings post-Chinese New Year [26][63] - The job seeker to enterprise user ratio among new users improved compared to the same period last year [27] - AI-related job postings surged by over 60% year-on-year, indicating a revitalizing ecosystem for emerging business [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing user experience through continuous product and service optimization, particularly targeting blue-collar workers and micro/small enterprises [15] - There is an emphasis on AI applications, with ongoing development of AI-powered tools for both job seekers and recruiters [19][22] - The company plans to explore closed-loop services and placement-related services to further enhance its offerings [17][78] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that despite macroeconomic challenges, the user growth-driven revenue model remains effective [11] - The recruitment spending is expected to show an upswing trajectory post-Chinese New Year, with projected revenues for Q1 2025 between RMB 1.9 billion and RMB 1.92 billion [40] - Management expressed confidence in long-term growth, supported by robust cash reserves and operating cash flows [38][39] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $229 million worth of shares in 2024, accounting for 3.7% of total outstanding shares [29] - Share-based compensation expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased by 2.3 percentage points compared to 2023 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of AI boom driven by DeepSeek on online recruitment industry - Management noted a surge in AI-related job postings and active searches, indicating a significant shift in recruitment dynamics [46][47] - Concerns were raised about the potential pollution of resumes and job descriptions due to AI-generated content [50][51] Question: Recruitment demand between different enterprise sizes and industries - Management highlighted strong sequential growth in online active job postings, particularly in white-collar industries [63] - The overall cash inflow has shown an accelerating growth trend, indicating a recovery across various sectors [64] Question: Customer acquisition cost and marketing plans for 2025 - There are no major marketing campaigns planned for 2025, as the company is still in a fast user growth stage [72] - The traffic acquisition cost per user has decreased significantly due to improved brand awareness [72] Question: Revenue contribution and client feedback from blue-collar business - The Hailuo project has seen significant contract amounts and user engagement, indicating positive feedback and growth potential [76][78]