2025年一季度上半年基础化工行业资产负债率虽有所抬升，但总体保持稳定 招商证券发布研报称，2025年一季度基础化工行业业绩同比上升;资产负债率虽有所抬升，但总体保持 稳定;另全行业营运能力小幅提升。2025年一季度，国际局势风云变化，美国存在贸易争端预期催化国 内出口加速，中东地区局势对国际油价波动造成影响，当前状况下，国内国产替代等高附加值行业备受 关注，同时机器人等高科技行业相关产业链受到资本市场青睐。建议关注未来具有成长性，高科技高附 加值类及低估值的行业龙头的投资机会，维持行业投资评级为"推荐"。 招商证券主要观点如下： 基础化工行业2025年一季度业绩同比上升 2025年一季度基础化工行业(申万)累计实现营业总收入5329.07亿元，同比增长8.53%;归母净利润341.09 亿元，同比增长17.99%。受到贸易争端预期、国内经济稳中向好影响，一季度国内基础化工行业营收 净利润双增长，即使外部环境仍旧保持复杂性、严峻性，但中国经济保持高速增长，化工行业在经历两 年的磨底阶段后，部分化工产品价格已经开始有所反弹，当前化工行业仍处于底部区间，随着需求恢 复，该行认为，化工行业增速有望逐步提高。 风险提 ...

截至发稿， 招商证券(06099.HK)涨7.68%、 中信证券(06030.HK)涨 6.35%、 国联民生(01456.HK)涨5.22 %、 中国银河(06881.HK)涨4.40 %、 中金公司(03908.HK)涨 3.92%。消息方面，中国人民银行行长潘功 胜5月7日在国新办发布会上宣布，降准0.5个百分点，并降低政策 利率0.1个百分点。 ...

| 姓名 | 离任职务 | 离任时间 | 原 定 到期日 | 任 期 | 离任原因 | 是否继续在上 市公司及其控 股子公司任职 | 具 体 职务 | 是 否存 履 行完 公开承诺 | 在未 毕的 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 总裁 | 2025 年 5 月 6 日 | 2027 月 18 日 | 年 1 | | | | | | | 吴宗敏 | 董事、董事会战 略与可持续发展 委员会委员、董 事会风险管理委 员会委员 | 公 司 股 东 大 会 选 举 产 生 新 任 董事之日 | 2027 月 18 日 | 年 1 | 到龄退休 | 否 | 无 | 否 | | | 上 | 《香港联合交易 所有限公司证券 市 规 则 》 第 3.05 条项下授权 | 公 司 股 东 大 会 选 举 产 生 新 任 | 不适用 | | | | | | | | | 代表（以下简称 授权代表） | 董事之日 | | | | | | | | 一、提前离任的基本情况 证券代码：600999 证券简称： 招商证券 编号： 2025－ ...

Core Viewpoint - 康希通信 reported a significant increase in revenue for 2024, but faced substantial losses in net profit and cash flow, indicating potential challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financial Results**: - Revenue reached 522.79 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.98% from 414.96 million yuan [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -76.13 million yuan, compared to a profit of 9.92 million yuan in the previous year, marking a decrease of 867.30% [2]. - Deducted non-recurring gains, the net profit was -96.20 million yuan, down from 1.88 million yuan, a decline of 5,210.68% [2]. - Operating cash flow was -169.44 million yuan, worsening from -0.98 million yuan year-on-year [2]. - **Q1 2025 Performance**: - Revenue for the first quarter was 13.54 million yuan, showing a substantial growth of 64.53% compared to 8.23 million yuan in the same period last year [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -3.02 million yuan, slightly worse than -2.41 million yuan in the previous year [3]. - Deducted non-recurring gains, the net profit was -3.31 million yuan, compared to -2.75 million yuan [3]. - Operating cash flow improved to -2.25 million yuan from -3.13 million yuan year-on-year [3]. IPO and Fundraising Details - 康希通信 was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on November 17, 2023, with an initial public offering of 63.68 million shares at a price of 10.50 yuan per share [3]. - The total amount raised was 668.64 million yuan, with a net amount of 599.67 million yuan, which was 18.20 million yuan less than originally planned [4]. - The funds are intended for the development and industrialization of next-generation Wi-Fi RF front-end chips, IoT RF front-end chips, and the establishment of a technology R&D center [4].

Group 1 - The core investment focus for April is on three sectors: robotics, semiconductor self-sufficiency, and cross-border payments, with robotics being the best-performing technology sector due to advancements in Tesla's Optimus production and emerging domestic commercialization cases [1] - The semiconductor sector is benefiting from changes in "integrated circuit" origin regulations in China, which may impact US IDM manufacturers due to tariff implications, while domestic semiconductor companies, particularly in analog and RF chips, are expected to gain advantages [1] - The importance of cross-border payments is increasing, reflecting a shift in investment priorities [1] Group 2 - Uncertainties surrounding overseas AI chip exports are rising, with Nvidia announcing that it must obtain export licenses for certain integrated circuits to China and other regions, potentially incurring costs up to $5.5 billion related to inventory write-downs and procurement commitments [2] Group 3 - Google and Microsoft are significantly increasing their capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, with Google's Q1 capital spending reaching $17.2 billion, up from $12 billion year-on-year, and Microsoft projecting its FY2025 capital expenditures to exceed $80 billion [3] Group 4 - Major advancements in AI models are being made, with Alibaba releasing the Qwen3 model, ByteDance launching the Doubao 1.5 model, and Xiaomi introducing the MiMo model, which demonstrates superior reasoning capabilities compared to larger models from competitors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to show a pattern of "weight index rebound and active technology growth" in May, with a focus on investing in industries with improved performance after the earnings disclosure period [1][2]. Market Outlook - After the earnings disclosure period, the market will actively invest in industries with improved performance, and as it enters a performance vacuum, new industry trends are emerging, making thematic investments likely to return [2][3]. - The market's downward adjustment space is limited due to the stabilizing effect of the central bank, which is expected to enhance risk appetite and lead to a return of financing balances [2][4]. Style and Industry Configuration - A-shares are expected to shift towards small-cap growth styles as seasonal effects weaken, driven by improved earnings growth and easing trade tensions [3]. - Key industries to focus on include computing, automotive, machinery (automation and general equipment), non-ferrous metals, social services, and agriculture, with an emphasis on sectors recovering from tariff impacts and those experiencing local economic improvements [3][6]. Liquidity and Capital Supply-Demand - The market's risk appetite is anticipated to recover in May, with financing funds likely to flow back into the market [4]. - The stock market saw net inflows in April, with ETFs becoming the main source of incremental capital, while financing funds experienced net outflows due to decreased risk appetite [4]. Mid-Cycle Prosperity and Industry Recommendations - The focus is on sectors that are recovering from tariff impacts and showing signs of economic improvement, particularly in consumer services, high-tech manufacturing, and real estate [5][6]. - Recommended sectors include consumer services (home appliances, furniture, jewelry), new energy vehicles, and high-tech manufacturing, with a focus on areas with high or improving prosperity [6]. Track and Industry Trend Investment - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show highlighted the debut of humanoid robots, showcasing advancements in automotive technology and AI applications [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a target price of 22.37 CNY [2][9]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 4.6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.31 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.3% [2][3]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.45 CNY, 1.56 CNY, and 1.67 CNY respectively, with corresponding book values per share (BPS) of 13.98 CNY, 15.02 CNY, and 16.06 CNY [9][10]. Financial Summary - The main financial indicators for the company are as follows: - Main revenue (million CNY): 20,891 in 2024A, projected to increase to 24,913 in 2025E, 26,316 in 2026E, and 28,348 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of 5%, 19%, 6%, and 8% respectively [5]. - Net profit (million CNY): 10,386 in 2024A, projected to increase to 12,567 in 2025E, 13,564 in 2026E, and 14,561 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 21%, 8%, and 7% respectively [5]. - Current price as of April 30, 2025, is 16.45 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.6 for 2024A, decreasing to 11.4 for 2025E, and further down to 9.8 for 2027E [5][9]. Business Performance - The company's self-operated business saw a slight quarter-on-quarter decline, with net income from heavy capital business totaling 1.72 billion CNY, and a net yield of 0.4% [9]. - Brokerage business revenue was 1.97 billion CNY, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.7% but a year-on-year increase of 49% [9]. - Investment banking revenue was 190 million CNY, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.5 million CNY but a year-on-year increase of 100 million CNY [9].

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研究报告称，截至4月30日上午，A股上市公司2024年年报和2025年 一季报业绩基本披露完毕(披露率99.8%)。受政策效果持续显现以及科技创新趋势驱动，整体A股盈利增 速转正。大类行业中信息技术、消费服务增速相对领先，TMT、资源品和中游制造业边际改善。推荐 关注业绩增速相对较高、自由现金流边际改善的领域。 招商证券主要观点如下： 利润端：一季度上市公司业绩边际改善。根据一致可比口径和整体法测算，A股2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1 单季度净利润增速依次为3.7%/-15.7%/3.2%，非金融石油石化2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度净利润增速 为-10.5%/-50.2%/4.5%。 收入端：全部A股单季度收入增速较24Q4放缓，但仍高于24Q3，延续改善。全部A股 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.0%/1.4%/-0.3%，非金融石油石化板块 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.9%/1.2%/0.5%。海外营收增幅扩大，海外营收占收入 的比例持续提升。 25年一季度A股盈利回暖主要受 ...

智通财经4月30日电，利弗莫尔证券显示，活力集团控股有限公司向港交所提交上市申请书，联席保荐 人为招商证券国际、民银资本。 ...

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 20.891 billion yuan (+5.40%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.386 billion yuan (+18.51%) [1] - The basic earnings per share reached 1.13 yuan (+20.21%), with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.82%, an increase of 0.91 percentage points year-on-year [1] Wealth Management Transformation - The company reported net income from brokerage business of 6.183 billion yuan (+11.79%) and income from agency securities trading of 6.779 billion yuan (+18.29%) [2] - The total transaction volume for stock-based transactions was 26.71 trillion yuan (+6.08%), with a market share of 4.51% [2] - The number of wealth management clients reached 627,500 (+16.66%), including 34,700 high-net-worth clients (+9.46%) [2] Investment Banking Performance - The investment banking segment saw a significant decline, with net income of 856 million yuan (-34.25%) and equity underwriting volume of 9.126 billion yuan (-54.84%) [3] - Bond underwriting performed well, with a total underwriting volume of 426.524 billion yuan (+30.91%), including financial bonds at 166.136 billion yuan (+36.14%) [3] - Asset-backed securities underwriting volume increased to 144.9 billion yuan (+57.84%) [3] Asset Management - The asset management business generated net income of 717 million yuan (+0.56%), but the total asset management scale decreased to 267.392 billion yuan (-9.31%) [4] - The scale of collective asset management increased to 126.562 billion yuan (+9.87%), while single and special asset management continued to decline [4] Credit Business - The credit business reported income of 1.134 billion yuan (-21.90%), with a financing margin balance of 90.879 billion yuan (+9.81%) [5] - The balance of stock pledge repurchase business decreased to 18.489 billion yuan (-18.82%) [5] Proprietary Trading and Derivatives - The proprietary trading segment showed strong performance with income of 9.527 billion yuan (+41.56%) [6] - The scale of financial assets reached 378.822 billion yuan (+1.13%), with a focus on bond investments [6] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to enhance overall performance due to strong capabilities in proprietary and wealth management businesses, alongside a moderate upward trend in the secondary market [7] - Earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.32 yuan, 1.36 yuan, and 1.45 yuan, respectively [7]