香港联交所最新资料显示，7月29日，易方达基金管理有限公司增持招商证券（600999）(06099)608.34 万股，每股作价17.5442港元，总金额约为1.07亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为8028.65万股，最新持 股比例为6.3%。 ...

Group 1 - E Fund Management Co., Ltd. increased its stake in China Merchants Securities (06099) by 6.0834 million shares at a price of HKD 17.5442 per share, totaling approximately HKD 107 million [1] - After the increase, the total number of shares held by E Fund is approximately 80.2865 million, representing a holding percentage of 6.3% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that overseas cloud service providers (CSPs) are experiencing significant growth in capital expenditure, with a projected increase of 45% year-on-year to reach $334 billion by Q2 2025, driven by the demand for AI computing infrastructure [1][2] - Major CSPs such as Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon AWS reported double-digit revenue growth in Q2, exceeding market expectations, and have raised their capital expenditure targets for the year [2][3] - The AI-related infrastructure remains the primary focus for investment among these companies, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing their capabilities in this area [2] Group 2 - The performance of key players in the AI data center (AIDC) sector has been impressive, with companies like Vertiv exceeding market expectations in revenue and profitability, and achieving a record backlog of $8.5 billion in orders [3] - Vertiv has raised its full-year revenue guidance to $10 billion for the second time this year, reflecting strong demand and order conditions [3] - The trend of increasing power requirements for AI server racks is shifting from kilowatt to megawatt levels, highlighting the need for advanced power solutions [4] Group 3 - The HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) solution is gaining recognition as an effective response to the limitations of traditional power systems in terms of space, copper usage, and efficiency [4] - The +/-400V HVDC solution is expected to leverage the established supply chain from the electric vehicle industry, potentially becoming a mainstream development in the future [4] - Companies like Nvidia and various upstream suppliers are actively promoting HVDC solutions, indicating a growing consensus in the industry regarding its advantages [4]

后非瘟时代，随着行业逐步向优势产能集中、产能去化放缓、猪价波动幅度趋弱，周期逐步弱化，生猪 养殖业进入微利时代。同时，防疫水平抬升及养殖效率优化共同驱动全行业成本中枢下移，但现阶段不 同养殖主体之间成本方差较大，单公斤成本能拉开2元/千克甚至更高的差距，具备成本优势和疫病防控 优势的规模养殖主体仍有望获取超额利润并实现盈利累积。 看得见的手如何引导行业变化? 年初以来猪价长期在成本线以上运行，产业整体保持着较好盈利。能繁母猪产能自2025年4月开始高位 回升，截止5月底，我国能繁母猪存栏约4042万头，高于正常保有量3900万头的基准线。2025年年中以 来，农业农村部、发改委等相关部门采取多种措施引导产能调控，促进生猪养殖业高质量发展——通过 引导降重、限制二育销售等方式调整短期生猪供应;严控新增产能，引导能繁调减100万头左右至3950万 头，预计2026年的生猪供需格局亦将显著改善;长期看，则通过环保政策、融资渠道收紧等多种方式引 导能繁母猪降至合理水平。 招商证券主要观点如下： 政策端的变与不变：民生导向&高质量发展并重 过往十多年来，在环保政策执行及非瘟大考下，生猪养殖业低效产能加速退出，行业养殖效 ...

Core Viewpoint - Meta's Q2 performance exceeded expectations with a revenue of $47.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22%, and an operating profit of $20.4 billion, surpassing forecasts by 19% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 reached $47.5 billion, representing a 22% year-on-year growth and exceeding expectations by 6% [1] - Operating profit was reported at $20.4 billion, which is 19% above market expectations [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The strong growth was primarily driven by advertising revenue from the Family of Apps [1] - Daily active users increased by 6% year-on-year, reaching 3.48 billion [1] - Ad impressions grew by 11% year-on-year, while the average price per ad rose by 9% [1] Group 3: Analyst Recommendations - The company is the top pick in the industry according to the report, with the target price raised from $759 to $866 [1] - The acceleration in growth confirms the sustained robust growth in user and advertising revenue driven by AI, alleviating concerns over capital expenditures [1] - The rating for Meta is "Buy" [1]

Core Viewpoint - Meta's Q2 performance exceeded expectations with a revenue of $47.5 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, and an operating profit of $20.4 billion, surpassing forecasts by 19% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 reached $47.5 billion, exceeding expectations by 6% [1] - Operating profit was $20.4 billion, which was 19% above forecasts [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Strong growth was primarily driven by advertising revenue from the Family of Apps [1] - Daily active users increased by 6% year-over-year to 3.48 billion [1] - Ad impressions rose by 11% year-over-year, while the average price per ad increased by 9% [1] Group 3: Analyst Recommendations - The company is the top pick in the industry according to the report [1] - Target price has been raised from $759 to $866, indicating a positive outlook [1] - The rating is "Buy," reflecting confidence in sustained growth driven by AI [1]

招商证券国际发表研究报告指，亚马逊第二季度业绩表现强劲，净销售额按年增长13%，经营利润增长 31%，净利润增长35%，均超出市场预期。期内AWS按年增长17%，增速与首季相若，略逊于微软 Azure及谷歌Google Cloud的39%及32%增长。该行指，亚马逊第三季度收入指引胜预期，经营利润指引 中位数略低于预期，可能反映宏观环境及关税因素影响，维持"买入"评级，将目标价上调至271美元， 看好其受惠AI发展、关税能见度改善及AWS增长潜力，预期产能限制问题可逐步缓解。 ...

Market Outlook - The market is expected to show a fluctuating pattern in early August, returning to an upward trend in late August, potentially reaching new highs [1][2] - The overall demand is recovering, with government spending and exports performing well, while real estate and investment face pressure [2][5] Earnings Reports - The earnings season is anticipated to reveal mixed results, with some stocks facing adjustment pressure before disclosures [1][2] - The second quarter earnings reports are expected to confirm improvements in operating cash flow for leading companies [2][5] Investment Strategy - A "dumbbell" investment strategy is recommended, focusing on high ROE and free cash flow companies on one side, and sectors like AI on the other [3][4] - Key sectors to watch include military trade, semiconductor autonomy, and new consumption [3] Style and Sector Allocation - In August, the market is expected to experience increased volatility, favoring mainstream styles [4] - Recommended indices include Sci-Tech 50, CSI 1000, and Hang Seng Technology [4] Industry Focus - Attention should be given to sectors with expected earnings recovery, including non-bank financials, pharmaceuticals, power equipment, machinery, defense, and computing [5][7] - Key investment themes include AI applications, AI hardware, non-bank finance, defense, and innovative drugs [5][6] Liquidity and Fund Supply - There is an expectation of continued net inflow of incremental funds, with active participation from financing, private equity, and industry ETFs [5][6] - The macro liquidity remains loose, but potential tightening may occur due to increased government bond supply [5][6] Economic Indicators - High-performing sectors in July included resources, midstream manufacturing, and information technology, with price increases noted in steel and coal [7] - The overall A-share earnings report is expected to face pressure, but certain sectors may still show robust growth [6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China’s Longxin Technology has been initiated coverage by China Merchants Securities (Hong Kong) with a "strong buy" rating [1]

鉴于业绩的强劲增长，Meta当前估值为19倍2025财年非GAAP市盈率，对比行业均值31倍，及同行亚马 逊27倍和微软37倍相对具有吸引力。该行将Meta设为行业首推股票，目标价从759美元上调至866美 元，分别对应2025、2026财年24倍、22倍市盈率，以及22倍、19倍企业价值倍数(EV)/EBITDA，评 级"增持" 。 招商证券国际发表研究报告指，Meta次季收入按年增长22%，盈利按年增长38%，三季度收入指引下限 高于市场共识。此外，Meta用户增长强劲，日活跃用户增长6%，AI驱动广告效果增强，带动广告展示 量和平均广告价格增长。 ...