美东时间4月2日下午，美国总统特朗普正式宣布酝酿已久的关税新政，核心内容包括对所有国家征收10% 的"基准关税"，以及对部分贸易伙伴征收更高的"个性化对等关税"，即任何一个国家对美国征收多少关 税，美国将以同等力度回敬。 全球股市遭抛售 新政一出，全球资本市场迅速反应，美股首当其冲。4月3日（周四）S&P 500大跌4.84%，创下自2020年 6月11日以来单日最差表现，随后在4月4日（周五）又下跌5.97%，是自2020年3月16日新冠疫情以来表 现最差的交易日。该指数两日跌幅达到10%。 高盛顶级交易员John Flood在周日的客户简报中表示，近期市场可能尚未见底，全球关税升级对GDP增 长、企业盈利和通胀的负面影响刚刚开始显现，市场波动性将持续，指数层面上可能尚未见到近期/中期 低点。不过他表示，高盛数据显示，当市场情绪降至目前极低水平时，未来两周S&P 500有70%概率实现 正回报。 亚太市场也未能幸免。清明节假期过后，恒生指数周一收报19828点，全日跌3021点，跌幅13.2%，创下 自1997年10月28日以来的单日跌幅纪录。而上证指数当日在有"国家队"的支持下，仍收跌7.34%，失守 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs economists initially predicted a 65% chance of a recession within the next 12 months due to new U.S. tariffs, but retracted this forecast shortly after President Trump announced a pause on reciprocal tariffs [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Predictions - Goldman Sachs issued a note predicting a 65% chance of recession due to tariffs that took effect on April 8 [2]. - The prediction was made shortly before 1 p.m. in New York, and the retraction occurred at 2:10 p.m. after Trump's announcement [2][3]. Group 2: Trade Policy Developments - President Trump announced a pause on tariffs imposed on countries other than China, while increasing tariffs on China by 125% [3][4]. - The pause on tariffs is set for 90 days, with a substantially lowered reciprocal tariff of 10% during this period [4]. Group 3: Corporate Strategy Implications - CFOs are urged to "rightsize" operations and adapt new import or manufacturing strategies amid evolving trade policies [5]. - The complexity of global trade is pushing CFOs to take on roles beyond traditional finance, focusing on global supply chain strategy [5].

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) is scheduled to release first-quarter 2025 earnings on April 14 before the opening bell.Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.Goldman’s close peer JP Morgan (JPM) is slated to announce quarterly numbers on April 11, whereas Morgan Stanley (MS) is expected to come out with its performance details on April 15.In the fourth quarter of 2024, Goldman's results benefited from the strength in the investment banking (IB) business. However, a rise ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs is expected to report quarterly earnings of $12.72 per share, reflecting a 9.8% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $15.16 billion, a 6.6% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 4.7% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts expect 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Debt investments' to be $244.00 million, down 29.3% from the prior year [5]. - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Consumer platforms' is projected to reach $621.01 million, indicating a slight increase of 0.5% year-over-year [5]. - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- Equities' is forecasted at $3.71 billion, reflecting an 11.9% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Private banking and lending' is expected to be $750.74 million, up 10.1% year-over-year [6]. - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Equity investments' is estimated at $158.00 million, down 28.8% from the prior year [7]. - 'Net Revenues- Platform Solutions- Transaction banking and other' is projected to be $74.15 million, down 7.3% year-over-year [7]. - 'Net Revenues- Global Banking & Markets- FICC' is expected to reach $4.56 billion, up 5.5% from the previous year [8]. - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Management and other fees' is projected at $2.75 billion, reflecting a 12.3% increase year-over-year [8]. - 'Net Revenues- Asset & Wealth Management- Incentive fees' is expected to be $90.49 million, indicating a 2.8% increase from the prior year [9]. Assets Under Supervision - The estimated 'Assets Under Supervision (AUS) - Total' is projected to be $3,187.21 billion, compared to $2,848 billion in the previous year [9]. Capital Ratios - The consensus estimate for the 'Common equity tier 1 capital ratio' is 15.0%, up from 14.7% in the same quarter last year [10]. - The average prediction for the 'Leverage ratio' stands at 5.5%, compared to 5.4% in the previous year [10]. Stock Performance - Goldman Sachs shares have decreased by 13% over the past month, slightly better than the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 13.5% [10].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs' stock experienced a significant decline of 9.3% amid broader market turmoil triggered by President Trump's tariff announcements, raising concerns about economic growth and market stability [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - President Trump's new tariffs include a 34% tax on imports from China, 20% on the European Union, and a 10% baseline tax on all countries, marking a major disruption to global trade [2]. - The tariffs have prompted retaliatory measures from major trading partners, which could hinder U.S. companies' ability to sell internationally [3]. Group 2: Goldman Sachs' Vulnerability - Goldman Sachs is particularly sensitive to international trade disruptions, as market stability is crucial for its operations [4]. - The bank's research indicates that the tariffs could lead to slower economic growth and increased inflation, potentially resulting in a stagflation scenario [4]. - If corporate activity declines and market volatility continues, Goldman Sachs' trading and investment banking revenues may face significant pressure [4].

在论坛期间， 施南德 还接受了 中央电视台财经频道专访 。谈及当前国际经贸环境，施南德表示 挑战的确与机遇并存 ，特别是在面临挑战时，创新往往迸发活 力，创造新的模式。虽然经济增长的模式和速度各不相同，但 亚洲整体处于全球经济增长的中心 。 色 。 博鳌亚洲论坛2025年年会 上周五在海南博鳌落幕。论坛期间， 高盛亚太区（除日本外）总裁施南德(Kevin Sneader) 参与了由国际货币基金组织原副总裁朱 民所主持的 "不稳定世界中寻找货币与金融稳定" 分论坛，探讨亚洲经济体如何应对发达经济体货币政策的外溢效应、如何有效应对公共债务和私人部门债务 压力以维护金融稳定。 施南德 在分论坛上分享了他 对全球货币及财政政策的看法，分析亚洲及中国在全球经济增长及众多上下行风险因素中扮演的关键角 " 亚洲仍是全球增长的中心 ——看清这一点非常重要。 我们能清晰地看到对中国经济增长前景的乐观情绪显著增强 ，东南亚区域在全球制造业经济中也愈发 成熟。尽管世界经济逆风而行，亚洲依旧是世界经济增长的中心。" 施南德 在接受央视采访时表示。 施南德 在采访中也提及，自去年9月中国政府推出增量经济刺激政策以来，伴随持续的货币和财 ...

Goldman Sachs is catching fresh heat over massive bonuses it has pledged to CEO David Solomon and his No. 2 executive John Waldron — with powerful shareholder voting advisors slamming the payouts as "excessive" and "poor practice." A pair of so-called proxy advisory firms, which counsel investors on how to vote at the annual meetings of big public companies, ripped an $80 million retention bonus for 63-year-old Solomon — a lavish sum that sparked outrage among the rank and file when the bank revealed it in ...

MONTICELLO, Miss., April 1, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Atlas-SSI Holdings, LLC ("Atlas-SSI" or the "Company"), a North American supplier of water management equipment for the protection of mission-critical assets and water ecosystems, announced its acquisition by the Sustainable Investing team at Goldman Sachs Alternatives. The transaction positions Atlas-SSI, previously a portfolio company of XPV Water Partners, to expand and meet increased demand in the water sector by upgrading aged infrastructure, enabling in ...

In the latest trading session, Goldman Sachs (GS) closed at $546.29, marking a +0.58% move from the previous day. The stock's performance was ahead of the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.55%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 1.01%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.14%. Coming into today, shares of the investment bank had lost 12.72% in the past month. In that same time, the Finance sector lost 3.92%, while the S&P 500 lost 6.22%. Based on our research, we believe these estimate revisions are directly related to near-t ...

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