高盛外汇策略师Mike Cahill表示，仅凭沃什此前言论判断其政策取向是错误的，"愿意降息是他获得这 份工作的先决条件"。 智通财经2月5日讯（编辑 黄君芝）不出意外的话，美联储今年即将告别"鲍威尔时代"，迎来"沃什时 代"。但鉴于沃什过去鹰派的言论，许多分析人士担心美联储的"降息之路"就此打住。 然而，高盛似乎并不这么认为。该行在最新报告中指出，市场可能再次误判了这位美联储新主席的实际 立场，沃什领导的美联储未必会导致利率抬高，降息和量化宽松政策仍在考虑之中。 众所周知，降低利率可以降低失业率，但会导致通货膨胀，反之亦然。正是由于这种动态，即将卸任的 鲍威尔去年直到9月份才对利率问题采取行动，他担心降息会加剧通货膨胀。沃什上任后的利率路径无 疑是市场最关心的问题，高盛预计美联储今年将降息2次。 特朗普周三也指出，若其提名的美联储主席人选曾表达过加息意愿，那么这个人就不会获得这一工作机 会。他毫不怀疑利率 "很快就会下调"。 缩表问题 高盛还指出，该行不认为沃什会推动资产负债表大幅缩减，因美联储内部对"充足准备金"框架有广泛支 持，并直言激进缩表对风险资产破坏性太大。 在资产负债表问题上，沃什是个长期批评者 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, has led investment banks to increase their bullish positions on gold while cautioning against heavy investments in silver [1][4]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop, falling below $4,800, after a brief rebound earlier in the week [1]. - Despite the recent sell-off, many market observers, including UBS and Goldman Sachs, maintain a bullish outlook on gold, predicting prices could reach $6,200 next month and $5,900 by year-end [2][3]. - UBS identifies that the current sell-off is a normal fluctuation within a structural uptrend, with no signs of a bull market ending [2]. - Goldman Sachs forecasts a price of $5,400 per ounce by December 2026, supported by central banks increasing gold reserves and private investors boosting gold ETF purchases [2]. Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - Silver prices have seen a dramatic decline of over 30% from recent highs, with UBS suggesting that further declines are necessary for the metal to become attractive for investment [4][5]. - UBS highlights that silver's industrial demand complicates its price dynamics, as rising prices may suppress industrial usage [5]. - Analysts from Goldman Sachs express caution regarding silver due to liquidity issues in the London market, which exacerbate price volatility [5]. - American Bank also holds a cautiously optimistic view on silver but notes potential upward resistance from declining solar panel demand [5]. Group 3: Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment - The recent volatility in precious metals has created opportunities for investors seeking returns, despite the associated risks [2]. - UBS emphasizes the need for investors to carefully assess the expected returns on highly volatile assets like silver, which currently do not meet the required return thresholds [4]. - The market remains sensitive to geopolitical tensions and monetary policy changes, which could influence precious metal prices moving forward [1][3].

自2022年年中以来，动量交易员曾以足以让沃伦·巴菲特感到汗颜的夏普比率统治着市场。然而周三， 这一切几乎遭遇了全线崩盘——他们蒙受了载入史册的损失。 动量交易简单说来就是"买入最近涨得最好的，卖出涨得最差的"。而根据业内的统计，高盛的"高贝 塔"或无约束动量组合(GSPRHIMO)刚刚创下了自2022年以来表现最糟糕的一天，超过了去年1月 Deepseek风暴之后的AI抛售潮。高贝塔股通俗而言就是指那些波动比大盘更剧烈的股票。 这印证了高盛分析师Lee Coppersmith在上周末文章中的发现，即美股表面平静之下正波涛汹涌。统计 显示，标普500指数成分股平均的1周实际波动率，与整体标普500指数波动率之比在上周四刚刚达到 6.88——处于2023年以来的第99个百分位。 换句话说，标普500指数成分股的平均波动幅度大约是大盘指数的7倍，这就是为什么近几个交易日部分 个股的异动显得异常尖锐，即便标普500指数表面相对平滑的行情掩盖了底层波动的剧烈程度。 市场发生了什么？ 如果说，周二市场的跌幅源于软件股因人工智能颠覆风险引发的"投降式"抛售，那么周三的疲软则更集 中于基本面因素与仓位调整，使得大盘指数的变 ...

市场情绪层面释放出引人关注的信号。彭博报道称，中国主要黄金ETF周二遭遇历史最大单日资金净流 出，规模接近10亿美元，显示在金价从历史高位急速回落的冲击下，部分投资者信心明显受挫。 摘要今日周四(2月5日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为4855.06美元/盎司，较前一交易日下跌108.48美 元，跌幅2.19%，日内呈现承压回落走势。当日开盘价报4962.94美元/盎司，盘中最高触及5023.39美元/ 盎司，最低下探至4791.69美元/盎司。 今日周四(2月5日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为4855.06美元/盎司，较前一交易日下跌108.48美元，跌 幅2.19%，日内呈现承压回落走势。当日开盘价报4962.94美元/盎司，盘中最高触及5023.39美元/盎司， 最低下探至4791.69美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 高盛在最新报告中重申，2026年底金价有望达到5400美元/盎司，核心逻辑在于两大驱动力：一是全球 央行延续近期的稳健购金步伐，二是美联储进入降息周期后，私人投资者将加大对黄金ETF的配置力 度。高盛特别强调，该预测尚未计入私人部门若进一步扩大"多元化配置"所产生的额外需求，而这或成 为推升金价 ...

⾼盛交易部⻔解读沃什将如何影响利率、美联储资 产负债表和市场 泰勒·德登 2026年2⽉3⽇，星期⼆，上午10:55 ⼀夜之间，⾼盛的研究和交易团队发表了他们对⼀个迅速成为市场最重要话题的观点：美联储主席 凯⽂·沃什将如何影响市场。 以下摘录部分要点： 对于时间紧迫的读者，我们摘录了⾼盛经济学家⼤卫·梅⾥克（David Mericle）的⼀份报告的主要 内容，该报告探讨了凯⽂·沃什（Kevin Warsh）担任美联储理事将如何影响市场，题为《 凯⽂ · 沃 什论利率政策、资产负债表政策和⾦融监管》 （仅限专业订阅⽤⼾阅读）。以下是重点内容 （我们 将在下⽂深⼊探讨该报告）。 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 更多一手调研纪要和海外投行研报数据加V：shuimu2026 接下来，我们将总结⾼盛交易员 对沃什⽴场的主要看法（ 详情⻅下⽂ ）。 ...

Jerome Powell is out, Kevin Warsh is in. At least, that's the plan. Powell's term ends on May 15, and President Trump's nomination of Warsh is expected to sail through Congress relatively easily. The nomination of Warsh took Wall Street by surprise, given the White House's at-times fierce criticism of Powell for holding rates steady much of last year. Warsh is historically viewed as a hawk who has criticized quantitative easing and the use of lower rates to juice the economy. Goldman Sachs, however, does ...

NEW YORK, Feb. 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- LearnWell, a leading provider of academic and mental health services for students and their families throughout the continuum of care, today announced that it has received an investment to support its continued growth from the Sustainable Investing business at Goldman Sachs Alternatives. Through this new partnership, LearnWell will further its mission to improve the lives of those facing behavioral challenges by providing equitable access to services. With LearnWell s ...

Founded in 1869, Goldman Sachs is the world's second-largest investment bank by revenue and ranks 55th on the Fortune 500 list of the largest U.S. ...

Group 1 - The issuer of the securities is F.I.S. – Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p.A, with an aggregate nominal amount of EUR 300 million and EUR 470 million [3] - The securities include a fixed-rate senior secured note (SSN FXD) due on February 5, 2031, and a floating-rate senior secured note (SSN FRN) [3] - The offer price for both types of securities is set at 100 [3] Group 2 - No stabilization activities were conducted by the Stabilisation Managers in relation to the securities offer [2] - The Stabilisation Managers include BNP Paribas, Goldman Sachs International, and several other major financial institutions [4] - The announcement clarifies that the securities are not offered for sale in the United States and have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 [5]

Core Insights - There is a significant shift in how investors are accessing income through ETFs, moving beyond traditional fixed income assets to include derivatives for yield enhancement and total return [1][2] - Derivative income ETFs, which utilize options-based strategies, are rapidly growing, with $54 billion in net new assets in 2025 and a total of $130 billion in assets under management [1] - Major asset managers like JP Morgan, BlackRock, and Goldman Sachs are optimistic about the future of derivative income ETFs, highlighting their potential to generate income in uncertain markets [1][2] Trends in Option Income - In 2025, derivative income ETFs attracted $54 billion in net new assets, making it the most popular category among actively managed ETFs [1] - JP Morgan's JEPI and JEPQ are leading examples, with a combined $77 billion in assets [1] - BlackRock emphasizes covered call strategies as a solution for income generation, indicating a shift away from traditional cash yields [1] Market Outlooks - BlackRock and Goldman Sachs both foresee continued growth in derivative income ETFs, which are designed to provide income from equity portfolios using options contracts [1][2] - Goldman Sachs notes that these funds are appealing to investors seeking regular distributions not tied to interest rates, with examples like GPIX offering an 8% trailing distribution rate [1][2] Product Innovation - The demand for derivative income ETFs is driving robust product innovation, with firms like Amplify launching new strategies, including the HAKY ETF focused on cybersecurity [1][2] - Amplify's DIVO and QDVO funds have seen significant asset growth, with a 70% increase in 2025, showcasing the firm's innovative approach to income generation [1][2] - NEOS has also entered the market with new "boosted" income ETFs, expanding the options-based income ETF category [2]