Market Performance - Hong Kong's HSI traded at 27,037, up 188 points or 0.7% [2][4] - Nikkei increased by 864 points or 1.6% to 54,413 [2][4] - Shanghai and Shenzhen indices rose by 1.11% and 1.83% respectively [2][4] - South Korea's Kospi was down 4 points around 9 am IST [2][4] US Market Influence - US stocks retreated on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 pulling back from a record high [2][4] - Losses were primarily driven by banking shares after JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported investment-banking fees below guidance [2][4] - December inflation data did not significantly alter expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest-rate cuts [2][4] Bank Earnings Outlook - A heavy slate of bank earnings is being tracked, with results from major banks like Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley expected soon [3][4] - The banking group is projected to achieve its second-highest annual profit on record, aided by policy changes under the Trump administration [3][4] Tariff Ruling Risks - The potential US Supreme Court ruling on President Trump's global tariffs is a key risk factor [3][4] - An unfavorable ruling could lead to a negative market response, although the administration has alternative legal routes to enforce tariffs [3][4] Commodity Market Trends - Brent crude prices extended gains, marking the largest four-day rise since June due to heightened rhetoric around Iran [3][4] - Silver prices continued to rise, achieving the strongest three-day rally on record [3][4]

Core Insights - The Q4 earnings season began positively with JPMorgan and Delta Air Lines reporting favorable results, although both stocks fell over 2% due to cautious economic outlooks [1][2] JPMorgan's Q4 Results - JPMorgan reported Q4 sales of $45.79 billion, a 7% increase from $42.76 billion in the previous year, surpassing expectations of $45.69 billion [4] - The bank's net income was $13 billion, with adjusted EPS of $5.23, exceeding Q4 earnings expectations of $4.87 per share by 7% and rising 9% from $4.81 a year ago [6] - A 17% increase in market revenue, driven by fixed income, currencies, commodities, and equities, was a key growth factor, while investment banking continued to struggle [4][6] - JPMorgan's full-year sales increased 3% to $185.6 billion, with full-year EPS rising 1% to $20.02 [10] Delta Air Lines' Q4 Results - Delta's Q4 sales rose 3% to $16 billion, exceeding estimates of $15.62 billion, despite a 2% revenue reduction due to the U.S. government shutdown [8] - The airline reported a net income of $1.22 billion, with adjusted EPS of $1.55, slightly above estimates of $1.53 but down from $1.85 in the previous year [9] - Delta's full-year sales reached a record $63.4 billion, with management highlighting strong free cash flow generation of $4.6 billion [11] Economic Insights - JPMorgan's CEO noted the resilience of the U.S. economy but warned of geopolitical tensions and potential inflation challenges [2] - Delta indicated a bifurcation in consumer spending, with high-income travelers maintaining strong spending while price-sensitive consumers show signs of fatigue [3] Future Guidance - JPMorgan expects FY26 net interest income to rise to $103 billion, with projected sales of $190.86 billion and EPS of $20.97 [10] - Delta anticipates FY26 EPS between $6.50 and $7.50, indicating over 20% growth, with Q1 EPS expected at $0.50-$0.90 [12] Valuation and Investment Considerations - Both JPMorgan and Delta are considered attractively valued, with JPM trading at 15X forward earnings and Delta at 9X [13] - Analysts may find it appealing to buy into these stocks post-earnings selloff, provided economic outlooks and EPS revisions remain stable [14]

Market Performance - On January 13, the three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by 0.8% to 49,191.99 points, the S&P 500 down by 0.19% to 6,963.74 points, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 0.1% to 23,709.87 points [2][4] - The financial sector experienced significant declines, with JPMorgan Chase leading the drop, closing down over 4%. Other financial stocks such as Morgan Stanley fell by over 2%, while Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo all dropped by more than 1% [4] Sector Performance - Large-cap technology stocks showed mixed results, with Google rising over 1%, while Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft fell by more than 1%. The semiconductor sector saw an overall increase, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 0.95%, reaching a historical high [6] - Energy stocks collectively rose, with ExxonMobil increasing by nearly 2%, and other companies like Schlumberger and Occidental Petroleum also seeing gains of over 1% [6] Chinese Stocks - Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. generally declined, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index dropping by 1.86%. Notable declines included BrainCo down over 26% and WeRide down over 10% [9] Precious Metals - The international silver price reached a new historical high, surpassing $89 per ounce, with an increase of over 2% on January 13. Since the beginning of 2026, the silver price has accumulated a rise of over 20% in less than 10 trading days [10]

Market Overview - U.S. stocks ended lower, primarily driven by declines in financial shares due to concerns over President Trump's credit-card proposal [10] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 398.21 points (0.80%) to 49,191.99, while the S&P 500 lost 13.53 points (0.19%) to 6,963.74 [10] - The Nasdaq Composite decreased by 24.03 points (0.10%) to 23,709.87 [10] Financial Sector Performance - Shares of Visa fell by 4.5%, Mastercard dropped by 3.8%, and the financial sector overall declined by 1.8%, leading the S&P 500's losses [10] - JPMorgan's shares ended down by 4.2%, despite reporting a better-than-expected quarterly profit, attributed to a drop in investment banking fees [10][5] - Other major banks also experienced declines ahead of their quarterly earnings reports, although analysts expect stronger results for the last quarter of 2025 [5] Economic Indicators - A report on U.S. inflation for December met expectations, which helped to stabilize market expectations for potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year [10] - Tim Ghriskey, a senior portfolio strategist, noted that financials are being negatively impacted by Trump's credit-card proposal, which could hurt profits for financial companies [2] Earnings Season Insights - The fourth-quarter U.S. earnings season unofficially began with results from JPMorgan and other companies, with expectations of positive earnings news overall [6] - Oliver Pursche, a senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, indicated that there may be upward revisions for 2026 earnings forecasts [6] Market Dynamics - Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a ratio of 1.15-to-1, with 577 new highs and 77 new lows [11] - On the Nasdaq, 2,068 stocks rose while 2,701 fell, resulting in a declining issues ratio of 1.31-to-1 [11] - Trading volume on U.S. exchanges reached 18.68 billion shares, surpassing the 20-day average of approximately 16.4 billion shares [11]

Group 1 - Proposed credit card interest rate cap policy could severely impact the $70 billion credit card debt securitization market, but investors believe the likelihood of implementation is low, resulting in a muted market reaction [1] - Analysts from JPMorgan indicated that a 10% interest rate cap would significantly reduce the excess spread, a key profitability metric, to levels comparable to those during the 2008 financial crisis [1] - The credit card asset-backed securities market is highly sensitive to the interest rate cap policy, which could block high-interest borrowers from accessing credit cards, leading to a significant contraction in the market [2][3] Group 2 - If the interest rate cap is enforced, banks are expected to tighten credit issuance, leading to a decline in overall loan volumes and a reduction in the issuance of credit card asset-backed securities [3] - Current data shows that credit card ABS has dropped from a peak of 36% of total ABS issuance in 2009 to just 9% [2] - The stock market reacted negatively, with significant declines in shares of banks and credit card issuers, particularly those with a higher proportion of low-quality borrowers [4] Group 3 - Analysts predict that if the interest rate cap is made permanent, it could lead to systemic adjustments in credit card companies' strategies, including reduced credit issuance to non-prime consumers and increased fees [4][5] - Major banks like Citigroup, JPMorgan, and Bank of America could see a decline in earnings per share ranging from 1% to 10% due to the proposed policy [5] - The potential impact on credit card companies' book values could be severe, with estimates suggesting declines of 20% to 40% for certain firms under the temporary cap [5][6]

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission will introduce a comprehensive management approach for the recycling of new energy vehicle batteries, increasing restrictions and phasing out outdated processes and equipment [1][10] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued an action plan for the high-quality development of industrial internet platforms from 2026 to 2028, aiming for over 450 influential platforms and a significant increase in industrial equipment connections to over 120 million by 2028 [1][10] - The Ministry of Commerce announced the continuation of anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon from the US and South Korea starting January 14, 2026, with rates ranging from 53.3% to 57% for US companies and 4.4% to 113.8% for South Korean companies [1][10] Group 2 - UBS Group's 26th Greater China Conference highlighted three key factors supporting the upward trend of the Chinese stock market: improved corporate earnings growth, attractive valuations, and continuous inflow of domestic and foreign capital [1][10] - The China Performance Industry Association reported that the number of commercial performances in 2025 is expected to reach 640,400, a year-on-year increase of 6.58%, with box office revenue projected at 61.655 billion yuan, up 6.39% [1][10] - Guizhou Moutai announced its market-oriented operation plan for 2026, which includes a dynamic pricing mechanism based on market conditions, with plans to lower prices for several products [1][10][16] Group 3 - Rongbai Technology signed a procurement cooperation agreement with CATL to supply 3.05 million tons of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials from Q1 2026 to 2031, with a total sales amount exceeding 120 billion yuan [1][10] - Fulin Precision plans to raise approximately 3.175 billion yuan by issuing shares to introduce CATL as a strategic investor, aiming to deepen cooperation in the new energy sector [1][10][16] - China Power Construction Corporation signed two major contracts totaling approximately 15.589 billion yuan [1][16]

Core Insights - GoodRx is being presented by JPMorgan's health care services division, indicating a focus on the health care sector and its investment opportunities [1] Company Overview - GoodRx is represented by CEO Wendy Barnes and CFO Chris McGinnis, highlighting the leadership team involved in the company's strategic direction [1]

The nation's largest bank kicked off fourth-quarter earnings season—profits were down 7% from a year ago. ...

摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙（Jamie Dimon）周二在财报电话会议上发出警告，称特朗普政府对美联储的 攻击可能会适得其反，进而推高借贷成本和通胀。 戴蒙明确表示，他全力支持央行的独立性，并对美联储主席鲍威尔个人怀有"极大的敬意"。他指 出："任何削弱（美联储独立性）的做法可能都不是个好主意。在我看来，这会产生相反的后果。它将 提高通胀预期，并可能随着时间的推移推高利率。" 这一言论发表之际，市场正密切关注美联储与白宫之间日益紧张的关系。此前几天，鲍威尔透露自己正 受到特朗普政府司法部的刑事调查。对此，特朗普周二回应称，他认为自己的做法没有问题，并反击 称："我们应该降低利率。Jamie 戴蒙可能想要更高的利率。也许那样他能赚更多的钱。" 捍卫央行独立性 华尔街其他高管也表达了担忧。纽约梅隆银行首席执行官Robin Vince指出，侵蚀美联储独立性与白宫 改善消费者负担能力的愿望背道而驰。Vince表示："质疑债券市场的基本原则之一，实际上冒着适得其 反的风险，可能会推高利率，因为市场不得不担心一些坦率地说本不该担心的事情。" 摩根大通首席财务官Jeremy Barnum也附和了戴蒙的警告，称更大的问题在于"对 ...

当地时间1月13日，美国股市三大股指全线收跌，其中道琼斯工业指数跌0.8%，报49191.99点。标准普尔500指数跌0.19%，报6963.74点，纳斯达克指数跌 0.1%，报23709.87点。 宏观消息面上，据央视新闻客户端报道，美国财政部表示，受支出创纪录及福利支付时间调整影响，美国政府2025年12月录得1450亿美元财政赤字，同比 增加67%，创下该月份历史新高。 美股市场金融股整体大跌，其中摩根大通领跌市场，收盘大跌超4%。其他金融股中，摩根士丹利跌逾2%，高盛、花旗、美国银行、富国银行均跌逾1%。 和金融有关的公司股票中，VISA跌逾4%，该股盘中一度跌超5%。 当地时间1月13日，美国股市三大股指全线收跌，其中金融板块整体大跌，拖累美股市场整体表现。中概股亦普遍下跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌 1.86%。 贵金属市场中，国际银价再创历史新高。 美股三大股指收跌 金融股大跌 能源股集体上涨，埃克森美孚涨近2%，斯伦贝谢、西方石油均涨逾1%，雪佛龙、康菲石油均涨近1%。 抗疫概念股多数上涨，Moderna涨超17%，诺瓦瓦克斯医药涨近12%，BioNTech涨近5%，阿斯利康涨近1%，吉利德科学跌 ...