日度报告——综合晨报 特朗普警告伊朗，美联储按兵不动 [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2026-01-29 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 特朗普警告伊朗达成协议 美联储 1 月利率会议维持利率水平不变，对于经济边际乐观程度 上升，市场风险偏好上升，美元指数反弹。 宏观策略（黄金） 特朗普警告伊朗 综 金价强势上涨呈现明显加速迹象，市场波动加大，美联储利率 会议如期按兵不动，会议声明较此前表态更为乐观，主要是判 断就业市场趋于稳定，但通胀存在上行风险。 合 黑色金属（螺纹钢/热轧卷板） 晨 多家房企目前已不被监管部门要求每月上报"三条红线"指标 报 钢价延续震荡运行，近期表现偏弱，但趋势性驱动依然不明显。 建材需求季节性走弱对钢价形成压制。但由于基本面矛盾不算 突出，估值也并不算高，同样难以打开下方空间。 有色金属（锌） Fresnilloplc2025 锌精矿产量有增有减 谨慎追多，前期多单可继续持有，短期操作难度较高，建议做 好仓位管理。 能源化工（沥青） 国内重交沥青产能利用率下降 由于低价重质原油资源的稀缺，沥青反弹幅度偏强，但年前备 货节奏放缓，实际需求支撑疲弱。 | 黄玉萍 | 资深分析师 ...

图片来源：unsplash 美股"科技七巨头"财报季开启，Meta先交卷了。 根据1月28日美股盘后该公司公布的财报，2025年四季度，Meta实现营业收入598.9亿美元，同比增长25%，超过此前分析师预期的584.2亿美元均值。公司净 利润228亿美元，同比增长9%，同样高于分析师预期的210亿美元。 业绩增长主要得益于强劲的在线广告业务，四季度公司广告收入增长24%达到581亿美元，占公司总营收的97%。CEO马克·扎克伯格（Mark Zuckerberg）在 财报电话会议上表示，破纪录的假日需求和AI驱动的性能提升为广告业务提供了最大助力。 此前，Meta方面曾多次强调，公司在人工智能方面的投资能够取得回报，且正在提升广告投放的精准度和有效性，四季度的业绩表现似乎也印证了相关说 法。 。对于这家总部位于新加坡但根植于中国的智能体AI初创公司，中国监管机构本月已表示将审查这笔交易。扎克伯格在业绩会上回应了公司去年底对Manus 的收购案，计划将Manus的技术整合到其现有平台中。 考虑到2026年全球广告支出前景看涨，其中在线广告预计将贡献最多增量，作为该领域的佼佼者，Meta业绩大概率也将进一步得到提 ...

Microsoft - Microsoft’s stock decline is attributed to slowing revenue growth from its Azure cloud platform and concerns over backlog concentration, particularly its reliance on a significant deal with OpenAI [1][2] - The company’s remaining performance obligations, or backlog, is currently $625 billion, more than double from a year ago, with approximately 45% tied to OpenAI [2] - Despite these concerns, analysts believe Microsoft can monetize AI effectively due to its diverse business segments, including applications, security, and infrastructure [3] - Microsoft reported $81.3 billion in revenue for its fiscal second quarter, with adjusted earnings per share of $4.14, exceeding analyst expectations [21] - Intelligent Cloud revenue, which includes Azure, reached $32.9 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $32.39 billion [21] - Capital expenditures for Microsoft were $37.5 billion, higher than the expected $34.3 billion, with a significant portion allocated to short-lived assets like GPUs and CPUs [18] Meta - Meta's anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $115 billion and $135 billion, significantly higher than last year's $72.22 billion and above analysts' expectations of $110 billion [13][14] - The increase in spending is primarily driven by investments in AI initiatives, particularly the Meta Superintelligence Labs [14] - Meta reported fourth-quarter earnings of $8.88 per share, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to a record $59.89 billion, driven by a surge in ad revenues [15] - The company expects first-quarter revenue between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, exceeding analyst projections [15] Tesla - Tesla's stock rose after reporting quarterly revenue of $25.71 billion, surpassing the consensus expectation of $25.12 billion, with net income at 60 cents per share [17] - The company did not provide a detailed outlook for vehicle sales, focusing instead on maximizing factory capacity utilization [12] - Tesla confirmed plans to unveil a new Optimus robot in the first quarter of 2026, with production expected to start in the same year [10]

On Facebook, Li said video time grew double digits year-over-year in the U.S. and that fourth-quarter optimizations produced a 7% lift in views of organic feed and video posts. She called it the largest quarterly revenue impact from Facebook product launches in the past two years. Li also said Meta increased the “freshness and originality” of content recommendations, including surfacing more same-day Reels on Facebook, and noted that 75% of recommendations on Instagram in the U.S. now come from original pos ...

Tesla's fourth quarter real, they're just crossing the wire. Let's get those numbers. Tesla Q4 just EPS50s.It looks like consensus was closer to 45 cents. So, we got a beat there. Uh Q4 revenue clocking in at 24.90% billion.Estimate was 25.11% billion. Uh Q4 gross margins, there it is, 20.1%, the estimate was 17.1%. Q4 free cash flow 1.42% 42 billion was closer to 1.59% billion.Let's get your take on this, Adam, because this is another one you own and the stock's popping about 4%. >> Love it. As it should.U ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying strong businesses at reasonable prices for long-term investment, while also exploring trend-following strategies and opportunities in technology and crypto sectors [1]. Group 1 - The company has a long-term investment strategy focused on identifying great businesses [1]. - There is a slight bias towards technology companies, but the company maintains a broad investment perspective [1]. - The investment approach includes seeking value beyond the U.S. market [1].

Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms Inc. is significantly increasing its investment in artificial intelligence (AI) for 2026, with Wall Street showing support for this strategy [1][3]. Financial Performance - In its fourth-quarter earnings report, Meta exceeded expectations on both revenue and earnings, reporting a 24% year-over-year revenue growth driven by online advertising [2][3]. - The company plans to allocate between $115 billion and $135 billion for AI-related capital expenditures in 2026, nearly double the amount spent in the previous year [2]. AI Investment Strategy - CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasized the importance of investing in infrastructure to develop advanced AI models and deliver personal super intelligence globally [4]. - Meta's finance chief, Susan Li, noted that the company is "capacity constrained," indicating a need for more computing power to enhance its advertising business and support AI development [5]. Future AI Developments - Zuckerberg stated that 2026 will be pivotal for AI, with expectations for new product rollouts throughout the year [6][7]. - The company has made a significant investment of $14.3 billion in Scale AI, bringing in key talent to lead its AI initiatives [7]. AI Model Development - Zuckerberg mentioned that the first models developed are expected to demonstrate a rapid improvement trajectory, with ongoing releases planned throughout the year [8]. - He highlighted the necessity for Meta to develop its own AI foundation model to maintain control over its technological future and not rely on external developments [8]. Revenue Dependency - Despite the focus on AI, online advertising remains the primary revenue source for Meta, providing substantial cash flow that allows the company to pursue its AI ambitions [8].

智通财经获悉，Meta Platforms(META.US)于美东时间1月28日公布了2025财年第四季度及全年财报，各 项核心指标均显著超越华尔街此前预期。财报显示，受益于AI驱动的广告效率提升，Meta该季度实现 营收598.9亿美元，同比大幅增长24%;每股收益(EPS)达到8.88美元，优于市场一致预期的8.21美元。 2025年全年营收规模首次突破2000亿美元大关，达到 2009.7 亿美元。该公司2025 年全年资本支出高达 722 亿美元。 核心业务方面，Meta旗下应用家族(Family of Apps)在该季度展现出强劲的用户粘性。每日活跃人数 (DAP)攀升至35.8亿，同比增长7%，而AI赋能的广告推荐算法使得广告展示量同比增长18%，单位价格 也逆势上调了6%。 Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格在业绩会上强调，该公司正在迈向"个人超智能化"时代，通过将生成式 AI深度整合至广告系统与穿戴设备，Meta已成功将技术投入转化为实际的营收增长动力。 长期以来，投资者一直担心 Meta 的业务能否从那等规模的投资中获得实质性收益。彭博情报分析师曼 迪普·辛格在上周的一份报告中称："与前沿的大 ...

点击输入图片描述（最多30字） 点击输入图片描述（最多30字） 【鸣鸣很忙上市大涨88%】中国最大的休闲食品饮料连锁零售商——湖南鸣鸣很忙商业连锁股份有限公司在港交所主板挂 牌上市，开盘大涨88.08%，截至收盘，涨幅回落至69.06%，报400港元/股，总市值达862.04亿港元。鸣鸣很忙此次全球发 售1410.1万股H股，公开发售阶段认购倍数超过1500倍，8家基石投资者合计认购15亿港元，包括腾讯、淡马锡与贝莱德 等。公司预计净筹资30亿港元以上，发行市值约500亿港元。鸣鸣很忙旗下拥有零食很忙、赵一鸣零食两大品牌，最新数据 显示，截至2025年11月30日，鸣鸣很忙门店数达21041家。（更多内容，点击查看《两位85后卖零食，开店两万家，身价均 超200亿港元，鸣鸣很忙刚刚IPO》）（中国基金报） 点击输入图片描述（最多30字） 【英伟达员工晒年会最牛年终奖：黄仁勋亲笔签名皮衣】近日，英伟达CEO黄仁勋陆续到访上海、北京、深圳，分别参加 了三地分公司举办的新年活动。1月27日，有网友在社交媒体晒出一件黄仁勋亲笔签名的皮衣。该网友表示，自己本来想签 在胸前，结果黄仁勋直接把他翻个身按住并称"Don't ...

AI正在重塑人机交互范式——用户从搜索关键词转向直接向聊天框提问。据Gartner预测，到2026年，25%的在线搜索将通 过AI聊天机器人完成。面对资本市场的回报压力，AI厂商亟需证明其商业价值，广告成为最直接的变现路径。 2026年1月，谷歌和OpenAI相继宣布，将在其人工智能工具中推送广告，并在一定范围内开始试水。Meta早在2025年10月 已经公开表示，用户与Meta AI的互动将很快被用来投放个性化广告，并据此修改了隐私协议。 然而，广告的性质却与AI的形象和承诺具有结构性冲突。一个被认为可以超越人类偏见、高效获取信息的"超级大脑"，突 然预装了"推销员"指令，客户将感受到某种不适，甚至是"背叛"。这就像你本来想跟一位专家请教知识，甚至期待一次顿 悟时刻，结果却被套路，买了一款专家能从中抽成的产品。现代人并不惧怕形形色色的营销和广告，但在"求知"中被推 销，却可能严重侵蚀用户对AI刚刚建立起的信任。 更重要的是，广告是否和如何植入AI，将成为各路厂商历史性选择的一个岔路口——AI产品的本质和终极价值是什么？将 广告信息融入大模型之中，究竟是系统性升级还是降级？它对人类生活是有益还是毒害？ 一、谷 ...