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DeepSeek预测:5年后,300万的房子还值多少钱?终于找到答案了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 03:19
Core Insights - The real estate market is facing significant challenges, with predictions indicating that most properties will not appreciate in value over the next five years, failing to outpace inflation or bank interest rates [1][15] Group 1: Demographic Changes - The primary home-buying demographic is shrinking, with the population of potential buyers in the 90s and 00s age groups significantly lower than that of the 70s and 80s, leading to a potential drop in demand for housing [3] - The declining birth rate, with 2023 newborns falling below 9 million, suggests a further reduction in future home-buying capacity [3] Group 2: Policy Limitations - Since 2021, numerous policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market have been implemented, including lowering down payments and interest rates, but their effectiveness has diminished over time [5] - The current economic climate, characterized by uncertainty in income expectations, has made potential buyers hesitant to take on additional debt [5] Group 3: Economic Context - The rapid economic growth of the past two decades has slowed, with GDP growth now at around 5%, which is expected to impact property value appreciation [7] - The perception of real estate as a guaranteed investment is shifting back to its original purpose as a place to live, rather than a wealth-generating asset [7] Group 4: Urban Disparities - There will be a stark differentiation in property values across cities, with major urban centers likely to maintain value while smaller cities may see significant declines [9][11] - Properties in strong second-tier cities are expected to experience a decrease in value of 10%-15%, while those in weaker cities could drop by as much as 30% [11] Group 5: Investment Strategies - Current homeowners should assess their individual situations before making decisions about selling or holding properties, with recommendations to manage financial exposure carefully [13] - The era of real estate as a primary means of wealth accumulation is over, with future opportunities lying in sectors like technology, consumption, and health [13][15]
AI周报 | OpenAI CEO承认存在 AI 泡沫;消息人士称DeepSeek R2在8月无发布计划
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 00:32
Group 1 - OpenAI CEO Sam Altman acknowledges the existence of an AI bubble, comparing it to the internet bubble of the 1990s, predicting significant losses for some and substantial gains for others [1] - The AI market has seen a surge in funding for startups, with some companies receiving high valuations despite minimal resources [1] - OpenAI plans to invest tens of billions in data center construction in the near future [1] Group 2 - DeepSeek R2 is not scheduled for release in August, despite market rumors, leading to a temporary surge in AI-related stocks [2][3] - The anticipation for DeepSeek R2 has been building, especially after the release of GPT-5, with expectations of strong competition in the domestic large model market [3] Group 3 - Mihayou co-founder Cai Haoyu's AI game "Whispers from the Star" is priced at 27.19 yuan, indicating a focus on innovation rather than profit [4] - The game introduces a new genre called FPT (First-person Talker), emphasizing real-time dialogue driven by AI [4] Group 4 - Igor Babuschkin, co-founder of xAI, is leaving to start his own venture capital firm after contributing to the development of significant AI technologies [5][6] - xAI's original team has decreased from 12 to 9 members following Babuschkin's departure [6] Group 5 - Tencent's stock reached 600 HKD per share, the highest in four years, following a strong earnings report driven by AI-related business growth [7] - Tencent's revenue for Q2 2025 was 184.5 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase, with AI contributing to improvements in marketing and enterprise services [7] Group 6 - Google highlights the role of Chinese developers as key players in global innovation, with numerous awards for their applications and games [8] - The focus of the Google Developer Conference has shifted towards AI, reflecting the growing enthusiasm among developers [8] Group 7 - Apple plans to re-enter the AI space with new devices, including a desktop robot, expected to launch by 2027 [9] - The company is working on enhancing Siri's capabilities to support these new products [9] Group 8 - OpenAI is preparing to invest in Merge Labs, a brain-computer interface company, with a valuation of 850 million USD and a funding round of 250 million USD [10][11] - Merge Labs aims to compete with Neuralink in the brain-computer interface sector [11] Group 9 - Baichuan Intelligence has released the open-source medical model Baichuan-M2, outperforming other models in health benchmarks [12] - The medical field is a significant application area for large models, with various companies exploring AI's role in healthcare [12] Group 10 - xAI has made its Grok 4 model available for free to users, introducing new usage modes and limited daily queries [13] - The competition between OpenAI and xAI has intensified following the release of GPT-5 [13]
强劲财报后,腾讯共识目标价大幅上调,投行乐观程度仅次于DeepSeek上线后
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-15 06:38
这份乐观情绪的背后,是腾讯超出预期的业绩支撑。财报显示,其第二季度营收同比增长15%至1845亿元人民币,广告等主要业务板块均实现双 位数增长,公司将其归功于AI驱动的效率提升。分析师总结了几个关键亮点: 展望未来,腾讯的增长将主要由新游戏和人工智能共同驱动。备受期待的新手游《Valorant Mobile》即将发布,同时,已被财报验证有效的AI技 术将作为核心竞争力,持续为各业务板块提供长期增长动力。 一份强劲的季度财报,正让腾讯控股重新成为资本市场的宠儿。 8月15日,据彭博报道,自周三发布财报以来,超过二十位分析师上调腾讯目标价,当前其共识目标价已跃升超过5%至688港元。基于上周五 594.50港元的交易价格,新的共识目标价意味着未来12个月内有近16%的潜在上涨空间。 这一轮乐观情绪的升温幅度,仅次于今年3月因AI初创公司DeepSeek相关消息引发的市场热情,这是过去五年中腾讯财报发布后目标价的第二大 增幅。目前,至少有16家券商预测,腾讯股价将有望突破其在2021年创下的历史高点,即约700港元。 华尔街见闻写道,高盛将腾讯的目标价从658港元上调至701港元,同时将公司2025至2027年的收 ...
传DeepSeek完成C轮融资,杭城科技创业人士:没听说,应该假消息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 06:31
潮新闻客户端 记者 张云山 今天,一条DeepSeek完成C轮融资的消息传来,称深度求索已于昨日(8月14日)完成超过7亿美元的C轮融资,融资完成后,深度求索估值已突破 80亿美元,成为全球估值最高的AI大模型初创企业之一。 潮新闻记者再打开最早的信息链接,发现文章已删除。 传闻DeepSeek完成新一轮融资 针对这一消息,潮新闻记者采访了几位杭城科技圈和创业圈的人士,他们都表示这一消息存疑。"DeepSeek不缺钱,没有融资需求。"一位资深的创 业人士表示。 "应该是假消息,估值80亿美元也不准确。"另一位业内人士这样说。 ...
DeepSeek+Cursor+Devbox三剑合璧零代码开发新范式(附完整案例)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 12:35
在软件开发领域,创新的浪潮从未停歇。近年来,零代码开发逐渐崭露头角,为众多开发者和企业带来了新的机遇与变革。而当 DeepSeek、Cursor 和 Devbox 这三款强大的工具组合在一起时,更是构建出了一种前所未有的零代码开发新范式,彻底改变了软件开发的流程与效率。 DeepSeek 作为一款先进的人工智能工具,在零代码开发新范式中扮演着至关重要的 "智慧大脑" 角色。它具备强大的自然语言理解能力,能够深入解读开 发者用日常语言描述的项目需求。无论是构建一个简单的信息展示网站,还是复杂的企业级应用系统,只需将需求清晰地告知 DeepSeek,它便能迅速展 开分析。 比如,当提出 "开发一个电商平台,需要具备商品展示、用户注册登录、购物车、在线支付以及订单管理等功能" 的需求时,DeepSeek 会立即识别出各个 关键功能点,并进一步细化。它会思考商品展示需要涵盖哪些信息,如图片、名称、价格、描述等;用户注册登录要采用何种验证方式,密码强度要求如 何;购物车如何实现商品的添加、删除、修改数量以及总价计算;在线支付需对接哪些主流支付渠道;订单管理又要包含订单状态跟踪、发货处理、退换 货流程等。通过这样深入细致 ...
前瞻全球产业早报:DeepSeek否认8月下旬发布R2
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-08-14 11:27
今年1880亿元超长期特别国债支持设备更新投资补助资金下达完毕 据国家发展改革委官微,近期,2025年超长期特别国债支持设备更新的1880亿元投资补助资金已下达完毕, 支持工业、用能设备、能源电力、交通运输、物流、环境基础设施、教育、文旅、医疗、住宅老旧电梯、电 子信息、设施农业、粮油加工、安全生产、回收循环利用等领域约8400个项目,带动总投资超过1万亿元。 浙江:聚焦人工智能数据与应用、脑机接口、新药创制等领域部署实施重大科技专项 浙江省卫生健康委员会等10部门印发《浙江省加快推动"人工智能+医疗健康"高质量发展行动计划(2025— 2027年)》。其中提到,打造多模态医疗行业大模型,建设全自主AI研发框架,形成共性模型服务能力。 开发覆盖医疗服务、健康管理、公共卫生、药械研发、行业治理等一批专病专科模型和医疗智能体。聚焦人 工智能数据与应用、脑机接口、新药创制等领域部署实施重大科技专项,加强多模态人工智能、具身智能与 医学、药学交叉领域的科研布局。鼓励科研机构加强医学人工智能跨学科合作,形成一批具有全球影响力的 科研成果。 DeepSeek R2有望8月下旬发布?内部人士:不属实 近日有市场传言称,国产 ...
DeepSeek App 1.3.0版本正式上线:对话分享图功能成亮点
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-08-14 09:42
来源:环球网 【环球网科技综合报道】8月14日消息,人工智能企业DeepSeek宣布其移动端应用DeepSeek App完成重 大更新,正式推出1.3.0版本。 据悉,此次更新在修复已知问题、优化文本操作体验的基础上,首次引入"对话内容生成分享图"功能, 为用户提供更便捷、个性化的内容传播方式。 本次更新最值得注意的功能是"对话内容生成分享图"。用户在与DeepSeek进行多轮对话后,可通过点击 界面右上角的"分享"按钮,选择将当前对话内容自动生成设计精美的图片。该功能支持自定义背景模 板、字体样式及布局排版,用户可根据需求调整对话气泡颜色、添加个性化水印或品牌标识,最终生成 适合社交媒体传播的高清图片。 例如,用户与AI探讨科技趋势后,可将关键观点生成图文并茂的卡片式分享图,直接发布至微信、微 博等平台;教育场景中,教师可整理学生与AI的互动问答,生成结构化知识图谱用于课堂展示。(青 山) ...
别太相信DeepSeek
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-14 09:31
打开DeepSeek,当你敲下"xx地方最好吃的餐厅是什么"的时候,得到的AI答案,也许经过了一场人为"设计"。 其中,Profound一年融资三次,估值超过1亿美金。 据《财富》杂志最新报道,8月12日,Profound 宣布完成 3500 万美元 B 轮融资,由红杉资本(Sequoia Capital) 领投,现有投资方科斯拉创投(Khosla Ventures)、凯鹏华盈(Kleiner Perkins)、Saga VC和South Park Commons继续跟投。 本轮融资使 Profound 成立至今的总融资额达到5850 万美元。此前,该公司分别于 2024 年 8 月获得 350 万美元种子轮融资(科斯拉领投),2025 年 6 月 完成 2000 万美元 A 轮融资(凯鹏华盈领投)。 "这是有史以来第一次你为机器人创建内容",詹姆斯·卡德瓦拉德(James Cadwallader)说,"品牌正在使用 Profound 创建人类可能觉得无聊的内容——高 度结构化的、专为机器人消费而设计的内容,就像一场传话游戏。" 2025年,全球GEO市场规模突破420亿元,年复合增长率达87%。Gartne ...
九章+DeepSeek双擎驱动,好未来AI重塑教育全链条
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-08-14 08:30
近日,好未来发布了截至2025年5月31日的2026财年Q1财报,其Q1净收入从上年同期的4.14亿美元上升 到本季度的5.75亿美元,亮眼成绩的取得在于学习服务和AI驱动的智能硬件稳步增长。事实上,作为国 内教育大模型的"头号玩家",AI已经融入好未来的各大业务中,各项产品已经被AI深度重构。 T4学习机的AI助手正引导一名孩子逐步拆解复杂的数学难题;而几步之遥,另一名小观众则沉浸在素 养机器人的拼搭挑战中——在上海世博展览馆内学而思展台上围满了前来体验的小观众们。随着以大模 型技术为代表的人工智能加速发展,教育正成为AI垂类应用落地最快的领域之一。 AI战略开花结果 2026财年Q1,好未来净收入从上年同期的4.14亿美元上升到本季度的5.75亿美元,归属于好未来的净利 润为3128.2万美元,同比增长174.36%。好未来的利润率也持续上涨,而这背后是好未来规模效应释 放、运营流程优化以及AI技术提效。 所谓AI技术提效,是好未来在AI大模型上的重点布局的三条路径。即AI学习教练,利用AI Agent来协助 老师完成诸如跟踪学生出勤情况、制定学习计划、回答问题以及管理日常事务等任务,提高了工作效 率;A ...
DeepSeek App重磅更新:支持对话内容生成分享图功能
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-08-14 03:33
更新之后,用户的问答对话可以通过原生功能生成图片,比截图分享更方便了。 8月14日,根据手机应用商店显示,DeepSeek App发布了1.3.0版本更新,支持对话内容生成分享图功 能。 近日有市场传言称,国产大模型公司深度求索旗下DeepSeek R2有望在8月15日至30日期间发布。 QuestMobile数据显示,DeepSeek在1月28日的日活跃用户数首次超越豆包,随后在2月1日突破3000万大 关,成为史上最快达成这一里程碑的应用。 (齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点客户端编辑 石卉 综合江南都市报、智通财经等) 据智通财经报道,8月13日,DeepSeek内部人士向记者表示,上述消息不属实。 据了解,2025年伊始,来自中国的AI大模型DeepSeek凭借其突破性进展迅速走红,各行各业都在积极 拥抱DeepSeek。 1月27日,Deepseek应用登顶苹果中国地区和美国地区应用商店免费App下载排行榜,在美区下载榜上 超越了ChatGPT。 ...