| 36 | | 阿里巴巴 | 2799.92 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4 | | 小米集团-W | 1763.96 | | | 5 | | 拼多多 | 1603.06 | | | | 網易 | 网易 | 825.18 | 11 | | 7 | | 东方财富 | 520.85 | II | | 8 | | 中芯国际 | 516.85 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 | | 京东 | 457.68 | | | 10 | | 快手-W | 409.34 | | | II | | 腾讯音乐 | 326.82 | | | 12 | Bal Car | 目度 | 295.44 | | | 13 | | 理想汽车 | 283.13 | | | 14 | | 贝壳 | 221.36 | | | 15 | | 同花顺 | 218.78 | | | 16 | | 小鹏汽车 | 171.87 | | | 17 | | 中通快递 | 159.79 | | | 18 | | 科大讯飞 | 157.13 | | | 19 | | 蔚来 ...

| 25 | | 金蝶国际 | 77.06 | 1 4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 26 | | 新东方 | 76.45 | 1 1 | | 27 | | 万国数据 | 75.02 | 11 | | 28 | | 用友网络 | 71.64 | 1 t | | 29 | | 巨人网络 | 65.55 | 1 t | | 30 | m | 美图公司 | 63.41 | 1 1 | | 31 | | 金山软件 | 62.27 | 2 t | | 32 | | 昆仑万维 | 62.24 | 2 1 | | 33 | | 中国软件 | 62.24 | -1 - | | 34 | | 好未来 | 62.22 | | | 35 | | 同程旅行 | 61.28 | 11 | | 36 | | 深信服 | 59.74 | 1 1 | | 37 | | 润和软件 | 59.69 | -2 1 | | 38 | | 恺英网络 | 56.34 | 11 | | 39 | | 拓维信息 | 55.83 | -1 | | 40 | | 柏楚电子 | 54.06 | | | 41 | 3) | ...

本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，据国家邮政局消息，7月29日，国家邮政局召开快递企业座谈会，就依法依规治理行业"内卷 式"竞争，强化农村地区领取快件违规收费等突出问题整治，促进行业高质量发展进行座谈交流。国信 证券认为，未来在"反内卷"和高质量发展政策指导下，快递行业的无序竞争有望实现边际好转，从而促 使监管、竞争、盈利和质量达成新的平衡，今年四季度旺季行业的价格和盈利表现仍然值得期待。 智通财经获悉，中通快递-W(02057)涨近4%，截至发稿，涨3.78%，报161.9港元，成交额1.07亿港元。 ...

中通快递-W(02057)涨近4%，截至发稿，涨3.78%，报161.9港元，成交额1.07亿港元。 消息面上，据国家邮政局消息，7月29日，国家邮政局召开快递企业座谈会，就依法依规治理行业"内卷 式"竞争，强化农村地区领取快件违规收费等突出问题整治，促进行业高质量发展进行座谈交流。国信 证券认为，未来在"反内卷"和高质量发展政策指导下，快递行业的无序竞争有望实现边际好转，从而促 使监管、竞争、盈利和质量达成新的平衡，今年四季度旺季行业的价格和盈利表现仍然值得期待。 ...

Core Viewpoint - ZTO Express (02057) has seen a nearly 4% increase in stock price, currently trading at 161.9 HKD with a transaction volume of 107 million HKD, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1]. Industry Summary - The State Post Bureau held a meeting on July 29 to address issues of "involution" competition within the express delivery industry, focusing on the regulation of illegal charges in rural areas and promoting high-quality development [1]. - Guosen Securities believes that under the guidance of policies aimed at "anti-involution" and high-quality development, the chaotic competition in the express delivery industry is expected to improve marginally, leading to a new balance among regulation, competition, profitability, and quality [1]. - The price and profitability performance of the industry during the peak season in the fourth quarter of this year is still anticipated to be promising [1].

Core Points - The State Post Bureau held a meeting on July 29 to address "involution" competition and illegal charges for package collection in rural areas, aiming to promote high-quality development in the express delivery industry [1][3] - The meeting emphasized the need for express companies to enhance their awareness of the overall situation and implement the directives from the central government [3][4] - The meeting highlighted the importance of compliance, risk management, and the establishment of a long-term mechanism to ensure stable operations and high-quality development of enterprises [3][4] Industry Development - Since the 18th National Congress, the express delivery industry in China has experienced rapid growth [3] - Express companies are encouraged to innovate their business models and improve the adaptability and sustainability of services in rural areas [3][4] - The meeting called for strengthening the political guidance of party building in the industry to enhance governance and management [3][4] Regulatory Measures - The postal management department is urged to increase regulatory and enforcement efforts to protect the legal rights of consumers and delivery personnel [3][4] - The meeting included discussions among representatives from major express companies such as Zhongtong, Yuantong, Yunda, Shentong, and Jitu, focusing on regulatory issues and suggestions for improvement [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the express delivery industry [8]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry is expected to experience a "de-involution" phase, with significant policy catalysts anticipated in the upcoming months. The transition from the off-peak to peak season is expected to enhance the pricing power of express companies [2][11]. - The pricing increase duration is projected to be between 2 to 4 months, with a price increase of 0.06 to 0.30 yuan per ticket expected during the peak season. The profit per ticket is anticipated to improve by 0.01 to 0.10 yuan in Q4 [2][11]. - The average profit elasticity for e-commerce express delivery is expected to reach double digits, with second-tier express companies showing even more significant profit elasticity [2][11]. Summary by Sections Event Description - The report discusses the recent meeting of the State Post Bureau, which emphasized the need to combat "involution" in the express delivery sector. It addresses three main questions: the timing and sustainability of the current "de-involution," the profit elasticity for core enterprises, and the tools available for this process [6]. Pricing Dynamics - The report analyzes historical pricing trends, indicating that the current "de-involution" phase may be catalyzed by policy changes, with pricing increases expected to last longer than in 2024 but shorter than in 2021. The report references past data to illustrate potential outcomes [11][20]. Profit Elasticity - The report provides a detailed analysis of profit elasticity for major express companies, projecting that if the industry begins to raise prices in August and continues until December, the net profit for companies like Zhongtong, Yunda, and Shentong could reach 95.8 billion, 40.6 billion, and 17.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding profit elasticities of 6.5%, 12.7%, and 27.9% [20][21]. Tools for "De-involution" - The report identifies two main strategies for achieving "de-involution": regulatory measures to curb price wars and encouraging mergers and acquisitions among leading companies to optimize competition. The acquisition of Danbird Logistics by Shentong Express is highlighted as a significant step towards improving market dynamics [25][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests actively seizing opportunities presented by the "de-involution" phase, recommending companies such as YTO Express, Shentong Express, Zhongtong Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [21].

Group 1 - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of July 29, 2025 [1] - Alibaba leads the list with a market capitalization of 2,913.7 billion [3] - Xiaomi and Pinduoduo follow, with market capitalizations of 1,823.48 billion and 1,657.58 billion respectively [3] Group 2 - Meituan ranks sixth with a market capitalization of 990.12 billion [3] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) is in eighth place with a market cap of 530.08 billion [4] - JD.com and Kuaishou rank tenth and eleventh, with market capitalizations of 478.87 billion and 388.76 billion respectively [4] Group 3 - The list includes various companies from different sectors, such as Baidu at 307.33 billion and NIO at 109.38 billion [4][5] - The rankings reflect the competitive landscape of the Chinese tech industry, showcasing the significant market presence of these companies [1] - The data is calculated based on the market capitalization in USD, converted using the day's exchange rate [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the express delivery industry [1] Core Insights - The express delivery industry is experiencing a trend of "anti-involution," leading to a revaluation of its value [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory actions in stabilizing the industry and improving profitability [3] - Short-term price improvements are expected, with potential for further increases during peak seasons [3] Summary by Sections 1. Review of 2021's "Anti-Involution" - In 2021, the express delivery industry saw a significant policy push to protect courier rights, leading to price increases and improved profitability [3][19] - The average price per ticket for the "Tongda" system increased by approximately 0.6 yuan from the low point in August 2021 to January 2022 [3] - By Q4 2021, YTO Express reported a net profit of 1.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 202% [3] 2. Current Industry Dynamics - After 2023, the industry has re-entered a phase of price competition due to increased capacity and market share strategies, leading to profitability nearing historical lows [3][39] - The National Postal Administration has clearly opposed "involution-style" competition, indicating a regulatory environment similar to that of 2021 [3][65] - The report suggests monitoring regulatory developments in key production areas like Yiwu and Guangdong for potential price adjustments [3] 3. Short-term and Long-term Outlook - Short-term price improvements are anticipated, particularly in traditionally low-price cities, with potential for broader price increases in peak seasons [3][69] - The report forecasts a shift from price wars to value competition, which could enhance long-term profitability for leading express companies [3][69] - Investment recommendations include focusing on A-shares such as Shentong Express, YTO Express, and Yunda Express, as well as H-shares like Jitu Express and ZTO Express [3] 4. Financial Performance Metrics - In Q1 2025, the net profit per ticket for major companies like Zhongtong, YTO, Yunda, and Shentong fell close to or below historical lows [50] - The report highlights significant cash flow pressures, with some companies experiencing cash flow performance worse than the bottom of 2021 [50] - The report provides elasticity calculations indicating that price increases could significantly enhance profitability for express companies [70]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the issue of "rounding up" charges in various sectors such as express delivery, parking, and shared services, which has raised public concern regarding fairness and transparency in pricing practices [1][14]. Express Delivery Sector - Several express delivery companies have been reported to engage in unfair "rounding up" practices, where the weight of packages is inflated for charging purposes [2][4]. - For instance, YTO Express marked a 2.7 kg package as 4 kg, increasing the charge by nearly 50%, while Jitu Express charged for a 3 kg weight for a 2.1 kg package [3][4]. - A significant number of express delivery companies (about half) have been found to have similar issues in their weight charging practices [4]. - The new regulations effective from April 1, 2024, stipulate that billing weight must be in kilograms and retain at least one decimal place, making the "rounding up" practices clearly illegal [5][17]. Parking Sector - Parking fees are often charged based on a minimum time unit, leading to situations where even a slight delay results in significantly higher charges [7][10]. - For example, a consumer was charged for 45 minutes despite only using 30 minutes and 7 seconds of parking time, highlighting the unfairness in the billing system [9][11]. - The article notes that this practice is widespread and often seen as a "hidden rule" in many parking facilities [8][10]. Shared Services Sector - Similar "rounding up" practices are observed in shared services like charging stations, where consumers are charged for longer durations than they actually used [12][13]. - A case was mentioned where a consumer was charged for 30 minutes of charging despite only using 5 minutes, which was deemed unreasonable [13][19]. - The article emphasizes that such practices infringe upon consumers' rights to fair transactions as outlined in consumer protection laws [18][20]. Regulatory Response - The National Postal Administration has taken notice of the express delivery sector's "rounding up" practices and has initiated investigations, urging companies to comply with national standards for weight billing [17]. - The article calls for similar scrutiny and reform in the parking and shared services sectors to ensure fair pricing practices [23].