Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to HKD 160 / USD 103, reflecting a potential upside of 34% and 22% respectively from current prices [3][6][18]. Core Insights - The company's overall performance in Q3 2024 was slightly below expectations, with revenue of RMB 26.2 billion, a year-on-year decline of 3.9% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.8%. This was 1.4% lower than market expectations. The adjusted net profit was RMB 7.5 billion, also below market expectations by 5.9% [1][3]. - The gaming segment showed mixed results, with total gaming revenue of RMB 20.2 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%. Mobile game revenue decreased by 10% due to high base effects from last year, while PC game revenue increased by 29% [2][3]. - The company is expected to see short-term growth driven by strong performance in PC games, particularly with upcoming titles and the return of Blizzard games to the Chinese market [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 revenue was RMB 26.2 billion, with a gross margin of 62.9%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The adjusted net profit margin was 28.6% [1][3]. - Revenue forecasts for FY24E and FY25E have been adjusted to RMB 105.6 billion and RMB 112.4 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit forecasts of RMB 31.9 billion and RMB 33.4 billion [3][4]. - The gaming segment's gross margin slightly decreased to 68.8%, while the overall gross margin improved [2][3]. Market Expectations - The target price reflects a P/E ratio of 14.3x for FY25E, indicating confidence in the company's long-term gaming operations and potential for new game releases [3][4]. - The stock is currently trading at HKD 119.5, with a 52-week range of HKD 116 to HKD 185.7, and a market capitalization of HKD 428.9 billion [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price adjusted to HKD 177, indicating a potential upside of 9% from the current price of HKD 162.4 [9][24]. Core Insights - The company achieved its first adjusted profit in Q3 2024, reporting revenue of RMB 7.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26%, surpassing market expectations by 2%. The adjusted net profit for the same quarter was RMB 236 million, with an adjusted profit margin of 3.2% [7][8]. - The company announced a share buyback plan worth USD 200 million, approximately 2.3% of its current market capitalization [7]. - Strong growth in gaming and advertising segments was highlighted, with daily active users increasing by 4.4% year-on-year to 107 million and monthly active users rising by 2.1% to 348 million, both reaching new highs [8]. - The advertising business grew by 28% year-on-year, driven by increased traffic and the gradual release of user commercial value, with expectations for a 22% year-on-year growth in Q4 advertising revenue [8]. - Gaming revenue surged by 84% year-on-year to RMB 1.82 billion, supported by the success of the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategize the World," with expectations for a 76% year-on-year growth in Q4 gaming revenue [8]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: FY22 at RMB 21.9 billion, FY23 at RMB 22.5 billion, FY24E at RMB 26.7 billion, FY25E at RMB 29.5 billion, and FY26E at RMB 32.5 billion [6][12]. - The company is expected to achieve an operating profit of RMB 590 million in FY25 and RMB 1.6 billion in FY26, with adjusted net profits projected to reach RMB 2.2 billion in FY25 and RMB 3.2 billion in FY26 [6][12]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 34.9%, with expectations for further improvement to 36% in Q4 [8]. Market Performance - The company's stock has a 52-week price range of HKD 67.8 to HKD 238.8, with a total market capitalization of HKD 62.05 billion [9][24]. - The report indicates a potential upside of 24% for the US-listed shares, with a target price of USD 23, compared to the current price of USD 18.59 [9][24]. Conclusion - The report emphasizes the company's strong performance in gaming and advertising, alongside its first adjusted profit, as key drivers for maintaining a positive outlook and "Buy" rating [9][24].

Economic Performance - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.8% year-on-year, up from 3.2% in September, exceeding the market expectation of 3.8%[1] - Fixed asset investment maintained a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of 3.4% in October, slightly below the market expectation of 3.5%[1] - The unemployment rate decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 5% in October, better than the expected 5.1%[3] Sector Analysis - The sales growth of home appliances surged to 39.2% in October from 20.5% in September, driven by the "old-for-new" consumption policy[1] - Infrastructure investment growth rebounded by 0.2 percentage points to 4.3% in October, aided by the accelerated use of special bond funds[2] - Manufacturing investment growth rose by 0.1 percentage points to 9.3%, supported by large-scale equipment upgrade policies[2] Challenges and Outlook - Industrial production value growth slightly declined to 5.3% in October, below the market expectation of 5.6%[3] - The real estate sector continues to face challenges, with real estate development investment falling by 10.3% year-on-year in October, widening from a 10.1% decline in September[1] - The sustainability of the recent improvements in retail and industrial sectors is questioned, particularly due to the temporary boost from the "Double Eleven" e-commerce promotions[3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent (700.HK) and raises the target price to HKD 500, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price of HKD 403.80 [7][11][19]. Core Insights - Tencent's 3Q24 revenue reached RMB 167.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, aligning with market expectations. Adjusted net profit rose by 33% year-on-year to RMB 59.8 billion, exceeding market expectations by 10% [5][6]. - Domestic gaming revenue rebounded with a 14% year-on-year growth to RMB 37.3 billion, driven by flagship games like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite." International gaming revenue also grew by 9% year-on-year to RMB 14.5 billion, supported by strong performances from "PUBG MOBILE" and "Brawl Stars" [6][7]. - The WeChat ecosystem continues to evolve, with advertising revenue increasing by 17% year-on-year to RMB 30 billion, primarily driven by video accounts and mini-programs. Financial technology and enterprise services revenue grew by 2% year-on-year to RMB 53.1 billion, although it fell short of expectations [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY24E, Tencent's revenue is projected to reach RMB 655.5 billion, with adjusted net profit expected to be RMB 212.5 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 34.8% [9][12]. - The gross margin improved by 3.6 percentage points year-on-year to 53.1%, while the adjusted net profit margin increased to 35.8%, showing improvements both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. - Deferred revenue grew by 22% year-on-year, indicating strong future growth potential in gaming [6][7]. Market Position and Outlook - The report highlights Tencent's strong competitive position in the domestic gaming market and the ongoing enhancements in its WeChat ecosystem, which are expected to drive future growth [6][7]. - The target price adjustment reflects a positive outlook on Tencent's profitability and ongoing share buybacks, which are anticipated to provide strong support for the stock price [7][8].

Inflation Data - The core CPI inflation rate in the US for October decreased by 0.03 percentage points to 0.28%, aligning with market expectations[1] - The overall CPI growth rate slightly accelerated by 0.06 percentage points to 0.24%, also meeting expectations[1] - Year-on-year, the overall CPI rebounded by 0.2 percentage points to 2.6% due to a low base effect, while the core CPI remained unchanged at 3.3%[1] Housing and Services - The housing price CPI rebounded by 0.16 percentage points to 0.38% in October, with significant increases in lodging prices[1] - The super core services CPI growth rate fell by 0.25 percentage points to 0.30%, influenced by a decline in transportation services inflation[1] - Owner's equivalent rent inflation rate increased by 0.07 percentage points to 0.40% after a temporary drop in September[1] Employment Trends - Non-farm payrolls in October increased by only 12,000, significantly below the market expectation of 100,000[1] - The unemployment rate rose from 4.051% in September to 4.145% in October, indicating a weakening labor market[1] - Average hourly earnings growth accelerated both month-on-month and year-on-year, despite a notable decline in the quarterly employment cost index by 0.2 percentage points to 3.86%[1] Federal Reserve Outlook - The prediction for a 25 basis point rate cut in December remains, with a 30% chance of pausing the cut[3] - The focus of the Federal Reserve's short-term policy is likely to remain on the labor market, with potential for a rate cut in December[3] - Risks include the possibility of recession if the Fed does not respond timely to economic weakness and inflation risks from geopolitical tensions[3]

Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price raised to $125 [7][9] Core Views - Sea's 3Q24 revenue reached $4.33 billion, up 30.8% YoY, surpassing market expectations by 6.4% [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for 3Q24 was $520 million, exceeding market expectations by 8.4% [5] - Adjusted net profit for 3Q24 was $330 million, 6.2% above market expectations [5] E-commerce Business - E-commerce revenue in 3Q24 was $3.18 billion, up 43% YoY, with core market revenue growing 49% and value-added services revenue up 29% [5] - GMV increased 25% YoY to $25.1 billion, with total orders up 24% to 2.8 billion [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for e-commerce turned positive at $34.5 million, with $30.9 million from Asia and $3.5 million from other markets [5] - The company maintains its full-year GMV growth guidance of around 25% [5] Digital Financial Services - Digital financial services revenue in 3Q24 was $620 million, up 38% YoY, driven by consumer and SME lending [6] - Loan principal increased 73% YoY to $4.6 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio improving to 1.2% [6] - Adjusted EBITDA for digital financial services was $190 million, up 13% YoY [6] Digital Entertainment - Digital entertainment revenue in 3Q24 was $500 million, down 16% YoY due to deferred revenue, but game revenue grew 24% YoY to $560 million [6] - Quarterly active users increased 16% YoY, and quarterly paying users grew 24% [6] - Adjusted EBITDA for digital entertainment was $310 million, up 34% YoY [6] - Free Fire remained the top-downloaded mobile game globally in 3Q24, with daily active users exceeding 100 million [6] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024E and 2025E were raised to $16.3 billion and $18.9 billion, respectively [7] - Adjusted net profit for 2024E and 2025E is projected at $1.09 billion and $1.73 billion, respectively [8] - Adjusted target P/E ratios for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 69.0x, 43.5x, and 31.9x, respectively [8] Valuation and Market Performance - The current stock price is $107.65, with a 52-week range of $34.35 to $117.52 [9] - The total market capitalization stands at $61.61 billion [9] - The stock has shown significant outperformance relative to the S&P 500 index over the past year [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $4.00, indicating a potential upside of 32% from the current price of $3.03 [5][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2024 revenue was RMB 1.54 billion, a year-on-year decline of 7.6%, but slightly above market expectations by 1.4%. The live streaming revenue dropped 26% year-on-year, primarily due to industry weakness and strategic adjustments [2][3]. - The company reported a cautious operational strategy, with stable operating expenses and an operating loss of RMB 32 million. Adjusted net profit was RMB 78 million, exceeding market expectations of RMB 64 million, with an adjusted net profit margin of 5.1% [2][3]. - Game-related services, advertising, and other revenues surged by 209% year-on-year and 33% quarter-on-quarter, contributing 27% to total revenue, driven by enhanced collaboration with Tencent and other game companies [3]. Financial Summary - The company's financial projections indicate a decline in revenue from RMB 6.99 billion in FY23 to an estimated RMB 6.05 billion in FY24, with an expected operating loss of RMB 209 million in FY24 [4]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to recover to RMB 259 million in FY24, with a target price-to-earnings ratio of 25.8x for FY24 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the US and Hong Kong stocks of BeiGene, with target prices adjusted to $255 and HK$153 respectively. The A-share rating is downgraded to "Hold" with a target price of RMB 181 [1][3][7]. Core Insights - The report highlights that BeiGene's total revenue for Q3 2024 reached $1.002 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 28.2% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7.8%. Product revenue was $993 million, up 66.9% year-over-year and 7.8% quarter-over-quarter, slightly below expectations due to lower-than-expected sales of Zanubrutinib in the US [1][3][4]. - The global sales of Zanubrutinib in Q3 2024 amounted to $690 million, a 93.0% increase year-over-year and an 8.3% increase quarter-over-quarter. US sales were $504 million, up 86.5% year-over-year, while European sales surged by 217.2% year-over-year to $97.3 million [1][3][4]. - The report notes a temporary decline in gross margin due to accelerated depreciation from new production lines, with an overall product gross margin of 82.8% in Q3 2024 [1][3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the adjusted non-GAAP operating profit was $65.63 million, an improvement from $48.46 million in Q2 2023. The net loss for the quarter was $121 million, which aligns with expectations but is lower than previous forecasts due to slightly lower revenue gross margins and higher R&D expenses [1][3][4]. - The report projects a slight reduction in revenue forecasts for 2024, with net losses adjusted to $740 million for 2024 and $350 million for 2025, while estimating a near breakeven point by 2026 [3][4]. R&D Pipeline Progress - The report indicates that BeiGene's R&D pipeline is progressing well, with key focus areas including BCL2, BTK CDAC, and CDK4 inhibitors. The BCL2 project has enrolled over 1,300 patients, with several trials expected to complete enrollment by early 2025 [2][3][4]. - The company anticipates that by the end of 2024, a total of 12 solid tumor products will enter clinical trials, with 8 already initiated this year [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zai Lab (ZLAB.US/9688.HK) and slightly lowers the target price to $55 for US shares and HK$43 for Hong Kong shares [1][4]. Core Insights - In Q3 2024, Zai Lab's net loss significantly narrowed to $41.67 million, a decrease of 39.7% year-over-year and 48.1% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to lower-than-expected selling and administrative expenses [1]. - Product revenue for Q3 2024 reached $101.8 million, representing a 47% year-over-year increase and a 1.7% quarter-over-quarter increase, aligning with consensus expectations [1]. - The gross margin for product sales was stable at 64.1%, with a slight decrease of 0.8 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1]. - The company continues to see strong growth in Efgartigimod, with Q3 2024 revenue of $27.3 million, a remarkable increase of 458% year-over-year and 17.6% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - Zai Lab has achieved approximately 65% market potential coverage for Efgartigimod, with around 10,000 myasthenia gravis patients having used the drug, and a stable monthly addition of about 1,000 new patients [1]. Financial Summary - The report projects a narrowing of net loss to $260 million for 2024, with slight adjustments to the 2025 and 2026 net loss and profit forecasts based on updated financial information [1][4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are $402 million, $651 million, and $995 million respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 50.6%, 62.2%, and 52.8% [4][5]. - The report anticipates that Zai Lab will continue to expand its product pipeline, with several key drugs expected to be commercialized in China by the end of 2024 and early 2025 [1][4]. Market Expectations - The current stock price for Zai Lab is $29.0, with a potential upside of 90% to the target price of $55.0 [2]. - The stock has a 52-week price range of $13.4 to $36.6, and the total market capitalization is approximately $2.885 billion [2]. - For the Hong Kong shares, the current price is HK$23.4, with a potential upside of 84% to the target price of HK$43.0 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the e-commerce industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 12 months [1]. Core Insights - The Double Eleven sales event saw a total online sales figure of 1,441.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.6%. Key categories such as home appliances, digital products, beauty, and clothing led the growth [1]. - The overall e-commerce market is expected to recover due to recent government policies aimed at stimulating the economy, including trade-in subsidies [1]. - The average price-to-earnings ratio for the Chinese e-commerce industry is projected to be around 10x by 2025, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1]. E-commerce Industry Dynamics - The comprehensive e-commerce platform sales grew by 20.1% year-on-year, while live-streaming e-commerce sales surged by 54.6% [1]. - Major e-commerce platforms are expected to see significant growth, with Alibaba projected to grow by over 10%, JD.com by over 15%, Pinduoduo by over 20%, and Douyin by over 30% [1]. - The national express delivery volume increased by over 20%, with approximately 12.082 billion packages collected during the Double Eleven period, marking a year-on-year growth of 21.4% [1]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that investors focus on domestic e-commerce platforms that are less exposed to cross-border risks, especially in light of potential uncertainties from the upcoming U.S. elections [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the effectiveness of government policies and the competitive landscape within the industry [1].