Investment Rating - The report suggests an increase in allocation to coal-related stocks due to the rebound in coal prices and the overall health of coal companies' balance sheets [5][6]. Core Views - The price of thermal coal is approaching 600 RMB, leading to negative feedback on the supply side. The report notes a continued decrease in coal imports as of May, with global coal shipment volumes to China at 4.85 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 23.7% [5]. - The coal industry is undergoing a transformation driven by energy security and policy changes, indicating that coal may still be in a golden era. The supply of coal is expected to remain rigid due to strict capacity controls and increasing extraction difficulties [5]. - The report emphasizes that while macroeconomic conditions may temporarily affect coal demand, the rigid supply and rising costs will support coal prices, which are expected to maintain a volatile pattern [5]. Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - As of July 4, 2025, the Qinhuangdao 5500K thermal coal price is 623 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.5% and a year-on-year decrease of 25.8% [3][30]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines is 5.661 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.2% [45]. - The inventory index for thermal coal is at 194.3, showing a year-on-year decline [3][49]. Coking Coal - The price of coking coal at the Jing Tang Port remains at 1230 RMB/ton, unchanged week-on-week, with a year-on-year decrease of 41.7% [4][83]. - The average daily production of coking coal from 523 sample mines is 739,000 tons, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [82]. - The inventory of coking coal at independent coking plants is 716,500 tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 5.57% [82]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities in the coal sector, including companies with strong resource endowments and stable operating performance, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [6]. - Companies benefiting from coal-electricity integration and those with production growth potential are also highlighted as attractive investment targets [6].

Employment Data Insights - In June, the U.S. added 147,000 non-farm jobs, an increase of 3,000 from May, marking the second-highest monthly gain of the year[3] - The unemployment rate decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 4.1%, down from a three-month plateau[3] - The average hourly wage growth slowed by 0.1 percentage points to 3.7% year-on-year, indicating a lack of strong upward pressure on wages[3] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor force participation rate fell by 0.1 percentage points to 62.3%, the lowest level in 2023, reflecting a continued decrease in labor supply[3] - Government employment surged by 73,000 in June, the highest increase in 15 months, while private sector job growth showed signs of cooling[3] - Job additions in the education and healthcare sectors were 51,000 and 20,000, respectively, both lower than the previous month[3] Economic Outlook and Federal Reserve Implications - The necessity for short-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has significantly decreased due to strong employment data[3] - Future inflation levels will be influenced by fiscal stimulus effects and tariff directions, potentially leading to a steeper inflation trajectory[3] - The passage of the "Big and Beautiful Act" aims to stabilize consumer demand and enhance domestic manufacturing, which could tighten the labor market[3] Risks and Considerations - The potential for the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts remains, as the labor market shows mixed signals[4] - The dollar index is expected to bottom out and recover in the second half of the year, influenced by the evolving economic landscape[3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, TCL Technology [6][78]. Core Views - TCL Technology is positioned as a global leader in semiconductor display and photovoltaic sectors, with significant investments and acquisitions enhancing its competitive edge [2][10]. - The semiconductor display business is experiencing substantial revenue growth and profitability improvements, while the photovoltaic segment is expected to recover [4][59]. Summary by Sections 1. Semiconductor Display and Photovoltaic Leadership - TCL Technology focuses on core business development in semiconductor displays and renewable energy, aiming for global leadership [10]. - TCL Huaxing is a leading player in the semiconductor display market, with significant investments and production capacity [2][25]. 2. Semiconductor Display Business Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1,043 billion yuan in 2024 for its semiconductor display business, marking a 25% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 62.3 billion yuan [4][19]. - TCL Huaxing ranks second globally in TV panel shipments, with a leading market share in large-size panels [25][29]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in mid-size and small-size displays, achieving significant market shares in various segments, including esports monitors and LTPS technology [3][38]. 3. Photovoltaic Business Outlook - TCL Zhonghuan, the photovoltaic arm, is the global leader in silicon wafer shipments, with a projected output of 125.8 GW in 2024, reflecting a 10.5% increase [59][71]. - The photovoltaic segment is expected to improve as industry conditions stabilize, with a revenue forecast of 284 billion yuan in 2024 [64][71]. 4. Financial Projections and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts revenues of 1,848.61 billion yuan, 2,017.89 billion yuan, and 2,192.17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 61.57 billion yuan, 90.78 billion yuan, and 104.21 billion yuan [4][74]. - The company's valuation is considered low compared to peers, justifying the "Buy" rating based on projected earnings growth and market position [78].

Group 1 - The total IPO financing scale in the A-share market for June 2025 was 3.368 billion, a decrease of 65% month-on-month. The main board raised 640 million, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board raised 2.497 billion [5][6][12] - A total of 3 new stocks were issued in June, representing a 63% decrease compared to the previous month [6][5] - As of the end of June, there were 50 approved but unissued IPO projects across all A-share sectors, with a total proposed fundraising scale of 49.36 billion. The ChiNext accounted for 28% (14 companies), while the main board and Sci-Tech Innovation Board accounted for 34% and 6% respectively [12][12] Group 2 - The average offline subscription limit for new stocks in the past three months was mostly in the range of 100 million to 200 million for the main board and ChiNext, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had limits mostly in the range of 500 million to 1 billion [13][13] - In June, the number of offline inquiry objects for the main board, ChiNext, and Sci-Tech Innovation Board reached 509, 0, and 197 respectively, with a month-on-month decrease of 73% and 100% for the main board and ChiNext [17][17] - The average winning rate for A/B class accounts on the main board in June was 0.0104% and 0.0094%, down 24% and 28% month-on-month respectively [18][18] Group 3 - The average first-day increase for new stocks on the main board in June was 286% [30][30] - The contribution of new stocks to funds was measured, with funds in the 100 million to 200 million range contributing +0.188% and those in the 200 million to 300 million range contributing +0.129%. The annualized return for funds of 800 million was 0.368% [32][32] - In June 2025, a total of 3,132 funds participated in new stock subscriptions, with a total scale of 6.05 trillion. The most numerous were equity mixed funds, with 1,189 funds, followed by flexible allocation funds with 595 funds [35][35]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The main tone of "moderately loose monetary policy" remains unchanged, and stabilizing growth is still the central bank's primary short - term goal. If economic growth shows no improvement and faces more pressure, a new round of broad monetary policy may be launched [1]. - In July, the large - scale supply of government bonds and tax - payment factors will significantly interfere with the capital market. However, the central bank's support for the capital market is expected to continue, with overnight and 7 - day capital interest rates likely to remain stable [1]. - The supply - demand structure of inter - bank certificates of deposit (CDs) will further improve in July, with the maturity scale of CDs decreasing and the interest rate having room to decline [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Current Situation and Future Concerns - From June 23 to June 27, the central bank made substantial net injections to support cross - quarter liquidity, leading to a divergence in capital prices. Overnight capital interest rates were stable, while 7 - day rates rose significantly, and the liquidity stratification phenomenon was obvious [5]. - The second - quarter monetary policy committee meeting changed the wording, but it doesn't rule out the possibility of broad monetary policy in the third quarter. If the economy doesn't improve, new policies may be introduced [5]. - In July, large government bond supply and tax - payment factors will affect the capital market, but the central bank's support is expected to continue. The overnight capital interest rate may fluctuate around the policy rate, and the 7 - day rate may return to around 1.5% [6]. - It is estimated that in July 2025, government bond issuance will be 2.61 - 2.86 trillion yuan, with net financing of 1.45 - 1.70 trillion yuan, slightly higher than in June. The supply of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds may increase, and new local government special bonds are expected to be the main type in the third quarter [6]. - In July, MLF and buy - out repurchase maturities total 1.5 trillion yuan, more than in June. The central bank's operation method has enhanced its control over medium - and long - term liquidity [10]. - Thanks to the central bank's support, in June, CDs maintained high - volume issuance with stable or decreasing prices. In July, the supply - demand structure of CDs will improve, and the interest rate has room to decline [10]. 3.2 Money Market Interest Rate Tracking - From June 23 to June 27, overnight capital interest rates were stable (DR001 around 1.37%, R001 between 1.44% - 1.46%), while 7 - day rates rose (DR007 from 1.51% to 1.70%, R007 from 1.56% to 1.92%), and the liquidity stratification was obvious [13]. - During this period, the bank's capital lending scale increased, the money fund's lending scale decreased, and the bond market leverage ratio continued to rise [17]. - From June 23 to June 27, bill interest rates first decreased and then increased, with the 3M national - share discount rate and half - year national - share transfer discount rate showing corresponding changes [22]. 3.3 Open Market Operation Tracking - As of June 27, the central bank's total balance of open - market operations was 1168.85 billion yuan, including 202.75 billion yuan in pledged repurchase, 480 billion yuan in buy - out repurchase, and 515 billion yuan in MLF [23]. - From June 23 to June 27, the central bank's net injection in open - market operations was 126.72 billion yuan, with 106.72 billion yuan in pledged repurchase. In June, buy - out repurchase and MLF maturities and net injections were as expected. From June 30 to July 4, pledged repurchase maturities reached 202.75 billion yuan [27]. 3.4 Government Bond Tracking 3.4.1 Government Bond Issuance - From June 23 to June 27, treasury bond issuance was 11.1 billion yuan, and net financing was 11.1 billion yuan; local bond issuance was 64.164 billion yuan, with net financing of 56.0393 billion yuan [33]. - It is estimated that from June 30 to July 4, treasury bond issuance will be 0 yuan, with net financing of - 8.015 billion yuan; local bond issuance will be 7.2139 billion yuan, with net financing of 2.1676 billion yuan [33]. 3.4.2 Government Bond Payment - From June 23 to June 27, government bond net payment was 78.981 billion yuan, including 33.1 billion yuan for treasury bonds and 45.881 billion yuan for local bonds. It is estimated that from June 30 to July 4, the net payment will be - 0.594 billion yuan [39]. 3.5 Inter - bank Certificate of Deposit Tracking 3.5.1 Primary Market of Inter - bank CDs - From June 23 to June 27, inter - bank CD issuance was 72.64 billion yuan, with net financing of - 41.15 billion yuan. The maturity scale from June 30 to July 4 was 27.67 billion yuan. By bank type, city commercial banks had the highest issuance; by term type, 3M CDs had the highest issuance [42]. - The overall issuance success rate was 94%. State - owned banks and other banks had a 100% success rate, and 3M CDs had a 95% success rate. The issuance interest rates of all types of banks and terms decreased [42][43]. 3.5.2 Secondary Market of Inter - bank CDs - From June 23 to June 27, despite the tightened cross - quarter liquidity, the yields of secondary - market CDs of all terms increased slightly, and the yield curve was partially inverted [60]. 3.6 Excess Reserve Ratio Tracking - The estimated excess reserve ratio at the end of May 2025 was 0.52%. From June 23 to June 27, the central bank's net injection in open - market operations was 126.72 billion yuan, and government bond net payment was 78.981 billion yuan, increasing the excess reserve scale by 47.739 billion yuan [64].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the upcoming summer peak season as a catalyst for the tourism and cultural sectors, highlighting the integration of cultural tourism with IP-driven new consumption logic [2][3] - It suggests focusing on the IP + scenic area concept, particularly in regions like Jiangsu, and recommends companies such as Emei Mountain A, Changbai Mountain, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, and Haichang Ocean Park [3][21] - The report notes the stabilization of second-hand prices in the trendy toy sector, driven by the summer season, while also addressing regulatory risks and price fluctuations in the second-hand market [3][22] - In the gold and jewelry sector, the report highlights the potential for high growth in terminal store efficiency and expansion opportunities for brands targeting high-end and young consumers [4][131] - The beauty and personal care sector is identified as having structural opportunities, with a focus on product innovation and long-term growth potential [5][101] Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free and Scenic Areas - The report tracks the performance of duty-free operators and suggests focusing on city duty-free store openings to capture inbound tourist spending [14] - It highlights the summer tourism market's preparation, with a predicted peak in hotel guest flow in early August [15][21] 2. Trendy Toys - The report notes a significant year-on-year increase in online sales for the trendy toy sector, with a total of approximately 2,754 million yuan in sales from January to May 2025, reflecting a 61% growth [23] - It emphasizes the strong cultural presence of LABUBU, surpassing the popularity of Nintendo Switch2 and LOL in recent trends [3][27] 3. Gold and Jewelry - The report indicates that gold prices remain high, with retail sales in the gold and jewelry sector reaching 30 billion yuan in May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.8% [128][131] - It recommends brands like Chaohongji, Laisentongling, and Laopu Gold for their growth potential in high-end markets [131] 4. Beauty and Personal Care - The report identifies significant growth opportunities in the beauty sector driven by product innovation and changing consumer habits, recommending companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei [5][101] - It highlights the successful listing of Ying Tong Holdings as a leading player in the fragrance distribution and brand management sector [68] 5. Medical Aesthetics - The report suggests that the medical aesthetics industry is poised for market share gains due to refined operations and the upcoming release of new products in Q3 [5][61] - It recommends focusing on companies like Jinbo Bio and Sihuan Pharmaceutical for their innovative product pipelines [5][66] 6. Employment and Human Resources - The report notes a stable employment situation with a slight decrease in urban unemployment rates, suggesting a focus on flexible employment leaders [102][105] 7. Sports and Events - The report highlights the ongoing development of outdoor sports and suggests monitoring the "Su Chao" theme for investment opportunities in related companies [111]

Core Insights - The report indicates a positive outlook for China's life sciences sector, driven by government support, continuous funding, and regulatory reforms that simplify approval processes and promote innovation [2][7][9] - The pharmaceutical index showed positive returns across six sub-sectors, reflecting strong market performance [2][17] - Significant growth is anticipated post-2024, with expectations of robust trading activities among life sciences companies [2][9] Industry Overview - From 2019 to 2023, revenue for large biopharmaceutical companies in China increased from $30 billion to $50 billion, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.1% [7] - The application of artificial intelligence and robotics is enhancing efficiency and cost savings in life sciences companies [8] - The surgical robot market in China is projected to grow at a CAGR of 38.4% from 2021 to 2032, driven by a large patient population and increasing use of robots in surgeries [8] Innovation and Regulatory Changes - The number of innovative drugs developed in mainland China rose from 9 in 2018 to 34 in 2023, while innovative medical devices increased from 21 to 61, with respective CAGRs of 30.5% and 23.8% [9] - In 2024, the National Medical Products Administration approved over 110 innovative drugs, marking an 11.1% year-on-year increase [9] - The external licensing transaction scale in China is expected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 59.2% from 2020 to 2024, increasing from $605 million to $3.885 billion [16] Market Performance - The medical services and medical device sectors showed the highest weekly gains of +2.92% and +2.10%, respectively, while traditional Chinese medicine and chemical pharmaceuticals had lower gains of +1.29% and +0.71% [17] - The valuation levels for chemical pharmaceuticals and biological products were the highest at 80.49 times and 66.16 times, respectively [17] Technological Advancements - The DAMO GRAPE AI model, developed for early detection of gastric cancer, demonstrates a sensitivity of 85.1% and specificity of 96.8%, significantly outperforming human radiologists [29] - The model is being deployed in various provinces, enhancing early detection capabilities in the healthcare system [29] Policy Developments - The 2025 adjustment of the medical insurance directory includes commercial health insurance for innovative drugs, indicating a shift towards a more integrated healthcare financing system [30] - The implementation of "zero tariff" policies in Hainan Free Trade Port has led to significant imports of drugs and medical devices, totaling $1.14 billion [31]

Manufacturing PMI Insights - June manufacturing PMI slightly improved by 0.2 percentage points to 49.7%, remaining below the expansion threshold[2] - New export orders index rose by 0.2 percentage points to 47.7%, indicating ongoing export challenges despite temporary easing in US-China trade tensions[3] - New orders index increased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.2%, with consumer goods PMI improving by 0.2 percentage points to 50.4%[3] Inventory and Production Trends - Finished goods inventory index surged by 1.6 percentage points to 48.1%, but annualized index fell by 0.1 percentage points to a low of 47.6%[4] - Production index rose by 0.3 percentage points to 51.0%, reflecting a temporary improvement in production driven by consumption and export demand[4] Economic Outlook and Risks - The rebound in manufacturing PMI is attributed to subsidies stimulating durable consumption and a second wave of export efforts[4] - Future uncertainties hinge on the domestic real estate market's recovery and the potential impact of the US tax reduction plan on local production and consumption[4] - There is a risk of additional interest rate cuts if the real estate market continues to struggle, with potential for increased subsidies for durable goods[4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "stronger than the market" for the industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The draft of the Medical Security Law focuses on financing mechanisms, the division of responsibilities among stakeholders, and management supervision, indicating a clearer boundary of responsibilities in future medical insurance operations [5] - The overall number of articles in the draft has been reduced from 70 to 50, with significant changes in expression, deletions, and additions [3][4] Summary by Sections Changes in Expression - Article 2 removes content related to price management, bidding procurement, and medical services - Article 12 adds that the standards for basic medical insurance benefits should support the development of a hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system - Article 15 encourages employers to establish supplementary medical insurance for employees - Article 20 introduces principles of balancing income and expenditure, timely adjustments to financing or benefit policies in case of payment difficulties, and promotes provincial coordination of basic medical insurance [4] Deletions - Several articles related to commercial health insurance, charitable medical assistance, long-term care insurance, and drug collection functions have been removed [5] Additions - New articles emphasize the responsibility of citizens for their health, the establishment of a long-term mechanism for insurance participation, and the need for evidence-based medicine and economic evaluations for drugs in the insurance catalog [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 to 12 months [50]. Core Insights - The Wind New Materials Index closed at 3795.82 points, up 5.12% week-on-week, with significant gains in various sub-indices, particularly the lithium battery index which rose by 9.05% [3][9]. - EVE Energy plans to launch a solid-state battery with an energy density of 350Wh/kg and 800Wh/L by 2026, followed by a high-energy solid-state battery exceeding 1000Wh/L by 2028 [4][27]. - Xiaomi officially launched the YU7 model on June 26, 2025, with three configurations priced at 253,500 CNY, 279,900 CNY, and 329,900 CNY [4][31]. Market Overview - The semiconductor materials index rose to 6144.52 points, up 4.01%, while the organic silicon materials index reached 5880.86 points, up 4.85% [3][9]. - The carbon fiber index increased by 8.85%, indicating strong performance in this sub-sector [3][9]. - The domestic manufacturing upgrade is expected to drive demand for high-standard and high-performance materials, leading to rapid growth in the new materials industry [4][27]. Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights several companies with strong growth potential, including Tongcheng New Materials for its progress in import substitution in the photoresist sector, and Huate Gas for its integrated industrial chain in electronic specialty gases [4][27]. - Guocera Materials is noted for its rapid growth across three major business segments, particularly in the dental sector and explosive growth in the new energy business [4][27]. - The report also emphasizes the importance of polymer additives in enhancing polymer material performance, with a focus on domestic leaders like Lianlong and Zhuhai New Base [4][27].