[Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 投资建议：当前时点优质龙头已进入击球区，建议加大重视和适度增强 配置。短期维度来看，当前渠道库存处于相对低位，叠加逐步进入啤酒 消费旺季，优选攻守兼备的青岛啤酒(量价节奏转好、股息率 3%+)，兑 现成长的燕京啤酒(U8 高增仍将延续)，韧性升级的华润啤酒(喜力、纯 生维持增势)。中期维度来看，若消费刺激政策能加速落地，则预计餐饮、 流通场景修复向好，啤酒板块有望迎来β配置机会，关注珠江啤酒、重 庆啤酒、百威亚太。 ◼ 风险提示：宏观经济不及预期；食品安全问题；中高档啤酒竞争加剧。 证券研究报告·行业深度报告·食品饮料 食品饮料行业深度报告 啤酒行业深度：攻守兼备，优质龙头已进入 击球区 增持（维持） 2025 年 05 月 22 日 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书：S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭晓东 执业证书：S0600525040001 guoxd@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -28% -24% -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 2024/5/22 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·食品加工 安井食品（603345） 股东大会调研反馈：新品为抓手，策略迭代 升级 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 14,045 | 15,127 | 16,269 | 17,353 | 18,222 | | 同比（%） | 15.29 | 7.70 | 7.55 | 6.66 | 5.01 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,478 | 1,485 | 1,625 | 1,828 | 1,960 | | 同比（%） | 34.24 | 0.46 | 9.42 | 12.49 | 7.24 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 5.04 | 5.06 | 5.54 | 6.23 | 6.68 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 16.04 | 15.96 | 14.59 | 12.97 | 12.09 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is actively adjusting its operational strategy, focusing on a "green health strategy" to enhance brand recognition among consumers and explore new store formats [7] - The company aims to optimize existing stores and introduce new health-focused products, responding to consumer demand for healthier options [7] - The company is expanding its overseas business and steadily developing its bottled beverage segment, with a 10% year-on-year growth in bottled beverage revenue for 2024 [7] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is set at 5.2 billion, 5.3 billion, and 5.5 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profit expectations of -130 million, 500,000, and 5.6 million yuan [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5.164 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 20.33% [1] - The company anticipates a net profit of -917.29 million yuan for 2024, with a significant recovery expected in subsequent years [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.54 yuan in 2024 to 0.03 yuan in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 342.72 in 2026 and 31.73 in 2027, indicating potential for future profitability [1]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·食品加工 股东大会调研反馈：新品为抓手，策略迭代 升级 买入（维持） 安井食品（603345） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 14,045 | 15,127 | 16,269 | 17,353 | 18,222 | | 同比（%） | 15.29 | 7.70 | 7.55 | 6.66 | 5.01 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,478 | 1,485 | 1,625 | 1,828 | 1,960 | | 同比（%） | 34.24 | 0.46 | 9.42 | 12.49 | 7.24 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 5.04 | 5.06 | 5.54 | 6.23 | 6.68 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 16.04 | 15.96 | 14.59 | 12.97 | 12.09 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see a recovery in its performance, with a focus on upgrading mechanisms, accelerating new product launches, refining channels, and expanding overseas markets. The third-party business is projected to maintain low double-digit growth, while improvements in related party operations are anticipated [7] - The company has implemented a partner assessment mechanism that encourages market expansion by using incremental profit as a key incentive. The product development has accelerated, with over 50 new products launched in 2024. The management of distribution channels has been refined, and e-commerce and overseas markets are being actively developed [7] - The company’s revenue forecast shows total revenue increasing from 6,156 million in 2023 to 8,680 million in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.78% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 852.70 million in 2023 to 1,051.16 million in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [1][8] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 6,156 million in 2023, 6,540 million in 2024, 7,191 million in 2025, 7,907 million in 2026, and 8,680 million in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of (0.11)%, 6.24%, 9.96%, 9.96%, and 9.78% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 852.70 million in 2023, 739.43 million in 2024, 849.32 million in 2025, 945.72 million in 2026, and 1,051.16 million in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 14.92%, (13.28)%, 14.86%, 11.35%, and 11.15% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.82 in 2023, 0.71 in 2024, 0.82 in 2025, 0.91 in 2026, and 1.01 in 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the company's mechanism upgrades, accelerated product launches, refined channel strategies, and overseas market expansion, with a stable performance expected from third-party businesses and improvements anticipated from related parties [7] - The company is projected to achieve a low double-digit growth in third-party revenue in 2025, with significant contributions expected from other B-end markets and overseas expansions, particularly in Southeast Asia [7] - The report anticipates a steady improvement in profitability due to stable raw material prices and optimized sales expense ratios, leading to a gradual increase in net profit margins [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 6,156 million RMB in 2023 to 8,680 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.78% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 852.70 million RMB in 2023 to 1,051.16 million RMB in 2027, with a notable recovery in 2025 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.82 RMB in 2023 to 1.01 RMB in 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 13.32 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 12,688.95 million HKD [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.90 for 2023, which is expected to decrease to 12.09 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation over time [1][5] Operational Insights - The company has implemented a partner assessment mechanism to incentivize market expansion, with over 50 new products launched in 2024 [7] - The management of distribution channels has been refined, with a focus on e-commerce and overseas market penetration, particularly following the establishment of a factory in Thailand [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 7.003 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24%, and an adjusted net profit of 363 million yuan, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate [8] - User traffic reached new highs, with daily active users (DAU) at 107 million and monthly active users (MAU) at 368 million, along with an average daily usage time of 108 minutes [8] - The company's gross margin improved for the 11th consecutive quarter, reaching 36.3%, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin business revenue and the dilution of fixed costs [8] - Advertising revenue grew by 20% year-on-year to 1.998 billion yuan, with strong growth in performance-based advertising exceeding 30% [8] - Mobile game revenue increased by 76% year-on-year to 1.731 billion yuan, primarily due to contributions from the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" [8] Financial Projections - The company expects adjusted net profits of 1.935 billion yuan, 3.027 billion yuan, and 4.201 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] - Corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the current stock price are projected to be 29, 18, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 7.003 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 24%, and an adjusted net profit of 363 million yuan, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate [8] - User traffic reached new highs, with daily active users (DAU) at 107 million and monthly active users (MAU) at 368 million, alongside an average daily usage time of 108 minutes [8] - The company's gross margin improved for the 11th consecutive quarter, reaching 36.3%, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin business revenue and the dilution of fixed costs [8] - Advertising revenue grew by 20% year-over-year to 1.998 billion yuan, with strong growth in performance-based advertising exceeding 30% [8] - Mobile game revenue increased by 76% year-over-year to 1.731 billion yuan, primarily due to contributions from the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World" [8] - The report forecasts adjusted net profits of 1.935 billion yuan, 3.027 billion yuan, and 4.201 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 29, 18, and 13 times [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to reach 29.855 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 11% [1] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 577 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from previous losses [1] - Non-GAAP net profit is anticipated to be 1.935 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [1]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·互联网电商 若羽臣（003010） 独家原料红宝石油产品重磅上新，保健品业 务高增可期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,366 | 1,766 | 2,685 | 3,634 | 4,762 | | 同比（%） | 12.25 | 29.26 | 52.06 | 35.34 | 31.04 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 54.29 | 105.64 | 179.66 | 232.36 | 302.92 | | 同比（%） | 60.93 | 94.58 | 70.07 | 29.34 | 30.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.33 | 0.64 | 1.10 | 1.42 | 1.85 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 179.98 | 92.50 | 54.39 | 42.05 | 32.26 | ◼ 公司上新重磅单品红宝石油产品，进一步 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company has launched a significant new product, Ruby Oil, which is expected to expand its health supplement business [2] - The self-owned brands, Zhanjia and Feicui, are driving growth with Zhanjia projected to achieve a revenue of 5.01 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 90.28% [2] - The company's profitability is expected to improve due to the growth of its self-owned brands, with gross margins and net profit margins increasing in 2024 [3] - The brand management business is showing strong growth, with revenue expected to reach 5.01 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 212.24% [3] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 upwards due to better-than-expected growth in self-owned brands [4] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1.37 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.76 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.04% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 54.29 million yuan in 2023 to 302.92 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 30.37% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.33 yuan in 2023 to 1.85 yuan in 2027 [1]