Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 7.78% in the first half of 2025, with a total revenue of 109.1 billion yuan, despite a slight decline of 3.39% in Q2 [8] - The growth in container shipping volume and profitability from port operations supported the company's performance [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.56 yuan per share for the mid-term, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of approximately 50%, which is a 7.69% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [8] - The company is expected to maintain stable profits in the future due to a solid industry structure and its dividend attributes [8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 175.448 billion yuan, 2024: 233.859 billion yuan, 2025E: 192.372 billion yuan, 2026E: 180.483 billion yuan, 2027E: 191.742 billion yuan [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: 2023: 23.86 billion yuan, 2024: 49.1 billion yuan, 2025E: 25.525 billion yuan, 2026E: 19.036 billion yuan, 2027E: 20.09 billion yuan [7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be: 2023: 1.54 yuan, 2024: 3.17 yuan, 2025E: 1.65 yuan, 2026E: 1.23 yuan, 2027E: 1.30 yuan [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be: 2023: 12.17%, 2024: 20.92%, 2025E: 10.32%, 2026E: 7.41%, 2027E: 7.52% [7]

证券研究报告 国防军工 | 航海装备Ⅱ 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 09 月 02 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | | 月 01 | 日 | 09 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 38.92 | | | | 一 年 内 / 低 | 最 | 高 | | | 最 | 45.95/26.93 | | | | （元） | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) due to its considerable commercialization momentum and steady progress in its pipeline [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 950 million for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 31.3%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 145 million [7]. - The company has made significant strides in commercialization, having obtained marketing approvals for several products and initiated their commercialization processes [7]. - The existing product indications are being expanded, and the potential pipeline is actively advancing, providing ample space for future growth [7]. - The company is expected to achieve total revenues of RMB 20.30 billion, RMB 32.77 billion, and RMB 53.63 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 1,540.49 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 91.6%. For 2024, revenue is expected to be RMB 1,933.05 million, reflecting a growth rate of 25.5% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be a loss of RMB 560.39 million in 2025, with a significant recovery expected in 2027, reaching a profit of RMB 876.84 million [6]. - The company's cash and financial assets totaled RMB 4.528 billion as of June 30, 2025, an increase of 47.2% compared to the end of 2024 [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry [4]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to benefit from a transition from generic to innovative drugs, with a focus on companies that have strong innovation pipelines and are positioned for growth in both domestic and international markets [5][6]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of innovative drugs in driving growth for traditional pharmaceutical companies, with several firms successfully transitioning to innovative drug development [5][6]. - The aging population and the rise in chronic diseases are anticipated to boost demand for healthcare products and services, creating a favorable environment for pharmaceutical companies [5][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - From August 25 to August 29, the pharmaceutical index declined by 0.65%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.37% [5]. - Notable gainers included Tianchen Medical (+31.04%), Ailis (+25.62%), and Maiwei Biotech-U (+22.39%) [5][52]. - A total of 101 stocks rose while 385 stocks fell during this period [5]. Company Focus: Renfu Pharmaceutical - Renfu Pharmaceutical has a robust innovation pipeline, with over 500 projects in development, including more than 60 innovative drug projects in clinical stages [5][9]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D spending, from 5.02 billion CNY in 2016 to 16.3 billion CNY in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.8% [9][11]. - The R&D expenditure as a percentage of revenue has risen from 8.98% in 2016 to 11.4% in 2024 [9][11]. Innovative Drug Pipeline - Renfu's pipeline includes drugs targeting various diseases such as anesthesia, cancer, respiratory diseases, and chronic conditions [11][12]. - Key projects include: - PUDK-HGF for critical limb ischemia, with a market application expected in December 2024 [12][19]. - HWH486 (BTK inhibitor) and RFUS-144 (opioid receptor agonist) in Phase II clinical trials [12][19]. - HW021199 (autotaxin inhibitor) and HW201877 (15-PGDH inhibitor) in clinical development for lung fibrosis and inflammatory bowel disease, respectively [12][33]. Market Trends and Opportunities - The report emphasizes the growing market for innovative drugs, particularly in the context of an aging population and increasing chronic disease prevalence [5][6]. - The potential for international expansion and the increasing focus on innovative drug development are seen as key growth drivers for the sector [5][6]. - The report suggests that companies with strong innovation capabilities and competitive drug pipelines will be well-positioned to capitalize on these trends [5][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The swine industry is experiencing high-quality development with significant policy transformations aimed at protecting farmers' rights and stimulating enterprise innovation. Future growth stocks will likely focus on technological content and innovative models that balance farmer interests [4][12] - The overall profitability of listed pig companies has significantly increased due to a stable pig price year-on-year and a substantial decrease in costs. Although pig prices may face pressure in the second half of the year, the trend of improving efficiency suggests that profitability will remain strong [4][12] - The poultry sector is facing a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption," leading to losses that force breeding farms to reduce capacity. Integrated enterprises and contract farming are expected to gain market share [5][13] - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to see growth due to improved management and increased capacity utilization [6][14] - The pet industry is witnessing a concentration of market share among leading brands, with potential growth opportunities for mid-tier brands. The impact of tariffs on exports is expected to diminish over time [7][16] - The agricultural sector is closely monitoring the effects of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] Summary by Sections 1. Swine - Latest pig price is 13.70 CNY/kg (down 0.01 CNY/kg month-on-month), with an average slaughter weight of 127.83 kg (down 0.15 kg month-on-month) and a price of 445 CNY for 15 kg piglets (down 18 CNY month-on-month). Short-term price declines may be due to policy-driven weight reductions [3][12] - The industry is undergoing profound policy transformations, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and stimulating innovation. Companies with cost advantages and strong connections with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][12][13] 2. Poultry - As of September 1, the price of chicken seedlings in Yantai is 3.45 CNY/piece (down 5.5% month-on-month) and the price of broiler chickens is 3.55 CNY/kg (down 1.39% month-on-month) [5][13] - The white feather chicken industry is facing ongoing challenges of high capacity and weak consumption, leading to a reduction in breeding capacity among chicken farms [5][13] 3. Feed - The feed sector is recommended to focus on Hai Da Group, which is expected to benefit from industry recovery and improved management effects [6][14] 4. Pets - The pet industry is characterized by a stable four-brand dominance, with increasing concentration expected. The impact of tariffs on exports is anticipated to lessen, and leading companies are expected to maintain high growth rates [7][16] 5. Agricultural Products - The agricultural sector is closely watching the impact of US-China trade negotiations, with expectations of tightening soybean supply and potential price increases for soybean meal [8][17] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4497, up 2.71% from the previous week, while the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index closed at 3001, up 2.02% [18][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but order growth supports long-term resilience [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 8.063 billion, 9.060 billion, and 10.129 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.83%, 12.37%, and 11.80% respectively [6] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 9.34, 8.31, and 7.43 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 43.536 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, with net profits of 2.780 billion and 2.720 billion RMB, down 13.00% and 13.72% respectively [8] - The decline in revenue is attributed to the exit of certain subsidiaries and transitional impacts in the engineering construction sector [8] - The company’s comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 14.50%, down 1.38 percentage points year-on-year [8] Business Segments - Revenue from engineering construction, trade sales, and highway investment operations in H1 2025 was 38.836 billion, 3.201 billion, and 1.345 billion RMB, with year-on-year changes of -7.08%, +221.99%, and -3.96% respectively [8] - The company has seen significant growth in trade sales, while engineering construction has faced challenges due to complex project conditions [8] Order Growth and Market Expansion - The company reported a rapid increase in orders, with a total new bid amount of approximately 72.2 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.20% [8] - The company has successfully expanded into international markets, including signing projects in Kuwait and achieving breakthroughs in Ethiopia and Malaysia [8] Financial Projections - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 116.654 billion, 128.453 billion, and 138.946 billion RMB, with corresponding growth rates of 8.78%, 10.11%, and 8.17% [7][10] - The net profit for 2025 is projected at 8.063 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 11.83% [7][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance was below expectations, but its nuclear power projects in hand ensure stable and continuous growth [5] - The company plans to acquire 82% equity of Huizhou Nuclear Power and 100% equity of Huizhou Second and Third Nuclear Power, as well as 100% equity of Zhanjiang Nuclear Power for a total consideration of 9.38 billion RMB [7] - The company has 20 nuclear units under construction, which will support its medium to long-term growth [7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.82 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 0.09% [6][8] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.21 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.92 [6][8] - The company's revenue for 2025 is estimated at 87.60 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 0.92% [6][8]

Group 1: Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, 47% of companies in the North Exchange's consumer services sector reported positive year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders [2][8] - The median revenue for these companies in H1 2025 was 236 million yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.36% year-on-year, while the median net profit attributable to shareholders was 15.23 million yuan, down 7.59% year-on-year [17][19] - In Q2 2025, the median revenue increased to 126 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.88%, and the median net profit rose to 7.92 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [17][19] Group 2: Company Performance - Among the 38 companies, 14 reported both revenue and net profit growth in H1 2025, while 15 companies achieved sequential growth in both metrics in Q2 2025 [20][22] - Notable performers included Jinbo Biological, which achieved a revenue of 859 million yuan in H1 2025, a 42% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 392 million yuan, up 26.65% [30] - Kangnong Seed Industry reported a significant increase in contract liabilities, up 410% year-on-year, indicating strong market acceptance of its products [26] Group 3: Market Trends - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the consumer services sector increased from 51.7X to 51.8X, while the total market capitalization decreased from 126.47 billion yuan to 124.89 billion yuan [34][37] - The overall market performance for the consumer services sector showed a median decline of 1.99% in stock prices during the week of August 25 to August 29, 2025 [33][38] - The TTM median P/E ratio for the broader consumer sector rose by 8.98% to 72.3X, indicating a positive valuation trend [44][45] Group 4: Industry Insights - The TTM median P/E ratio for the food and beverage and agriculture sectors decreased from 47.9X to 45.8X, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment [46][47] - The professional technical services sector saw a decline in its TTM median P/E ratio from 32.2X to 31.2X, indicating potential challenges in valuation [50][51] - The consumer services sector's performance is influenced by various factors, including market competition and economic conditions, which are critical for future growth [2][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The report suggests that the improvement in gross margin is expected to support the company's performance bottoming out [6] - The company reported a revenue of 41.292 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 9.38%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.368 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.34% [8] - The report highlights that the most challenging period for the company may have passed, as it managed to maintain its sales volume of cement and clinker products despite a decline in overall cement production in the country [8] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 140.999 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.80%. However, a significant decline of 35.44% is expected in 2024 [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 10.430 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year decrease of 33.40%, followed by a recovery in 2025 with an expected profit of 9.328 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 21.21% [7] - The report indicates that the company’s comprehensive gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.20%, an increase of 6.27 percentage points year-on-year, driven by price recovery and lower coal costs [8] Market Performance - The report notes a decline in the aggregate business while the ready-mixed concrete business shows an upward trend, with ready-mixed concrete revenue increasing by 28.86% year-on-year [8] - The company’s operating expense ratio increased to 10.69%, up 1.16 percentage points year-on-year, but the net profit margin improved [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 9.328 billion yuan, 10.503 billion yuan, and 11.765 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 11 times [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is steadily advancing its integrated diagnosis and treatment strategy, with its industrial layout entering a realization phase [5] - The company reported a revenue of 869 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 163 million yuan, up 3.84% year-on-year [7] - The company's overseas business is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue from international operations increasing by over 60% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing its market penetration in key countries, including expanding its presence in private hospitals in France and Italy, and developing product solutions for the U.S. market [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1,862 million yuan, 2,120 million yuan, and 2,311 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.71%, 13.84%, and 9.04% respectively [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 303 million yuan, 408 million yuan, and 546 million yuan for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 10.06%, 34.52%, and 33.79% respectively [6][8] - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 73.28%, a decrease of 3.99 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.62 yuan for every 10 shares [7]