Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The real estate sector is expected to gradually stabilize, which may lead to a recovery in valuations for the home appliance industry. Current stock prices may have fully reflected short-term risks due to factors such as demand being pulled forward by national subsidies, upstream price increases, and currency appreciation [3][4] - The core pressure on domestic demand is likely to ease as signs of stabilization in the real estate market emerge. After a deep correction from 2022 to 2025, domestic housing inventory is gradually being reduced, with recent increases in second-hand housing transaction volumes in Shanghai and narrowing price declines in first-tier cities [4][8] - The leading companies in the white goods sector are currently valued at historically low levels, with projected P/E ratios for 2026 being 12 for Midea Group, 7 for Gree Electric Appliances, and 10 for Haier Smart Home. If the real estate market stabilizes, these companies may see a valuation recovery [14] Summary by Sections 1. Signs of Stabilization in Real Estate - Signs of stabilization in the real estate market are emerging, with domestic housing inventory gradually decreasing and recent increases in second-hand housing transactions in Shanghai. The drag effect of real estate on domestic demand is expected to gradually diminish [4][8] 2. Company Performance Forecasts - Ninebot Company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.67-1.85 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.0%-70.6%. However, Q4 2025 may see a net loss of 120 million yuan to a profit of 60 million yuan due to factors like exchange losses [5][16] - Huabao New Energy is projected to have a net profit of 15.5-23 million yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decline of 90.4%-93.5%, with Q4 2025 expected to incur a net loss of 120-130 million yuan [5][16] - Ecovacs is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.7-1.8 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 110.9%-123.3%, with Q4 2025 projected to yield a net profit of 280-380 million yuan [5][16] 3. Market Review - The home appliance sector saw a weekly increase of 1.3% from February 2 to February 6, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.6 percentage points. The white goods segment increased by 1.7%, while black goods decreased by 1.9% [17][19] 4. Key Data Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, the RMB appreciated by 88 basis points against the USD, continuing its upward trend. This short-term fluctuation is not expected to affect the core competitiveness of export companies [21] - The LME copper spot price was $12,840 per ton, down 4.0% week-on-week, indicating a slight decline in raw material prices [21][22]

证券研究报告 商贸零售 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 08 日 联系人 黄山旅游拟投资 5.3 亿元用于酒店项目，丰富旅游产品供给。黄山旅游公告，公司 拟投资建设黄山滨江东路 12 号酒店项目，预计投资金额约为 5.3 亿元（具体以实际 投资金额为准），资金来源为公司自筹资金。项目建设周期预计为 24 个月。根据 可研报告，经测算，该项目静态投资回收期为 16.14 年。目前，公司已通过司法拍 卖竞得该酒店在建工程，并对原部分装修进行拆除，同时已开展设计等项目前期工 作。根据公司公告，本次投资建设酒店项目，是公司顺应黄山市大交通格局完善及 旅游发展趋势所作出的举措，有利于进一步优化公司高端酒店会议、客房、餐饮等 设施配比，丰富酒店产品供给及产品结构。黄山景区客流数据亮眼。根据黄山风景 区发布信息，2025 年，黄山风景区主景区接待游客 516.8 万人次，同比增长 4.99%， 首次突破 500 万大关，2026 年元旦假期，景区共接待游客人数超 7.5 万。服务消费 政策组合拳持续加码，叠加节假日放假配合，我们预计或带动出行链蓬勃发展，建 议重视服务消费板块机会。 2025 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trading atmosphere weakened this week, and the credit spreads widened slightly from a low level. The AA commercial and trade industry's credit spreads widened significantly, while the AA+ steel industry's credit spreads compressed significantly. The credit spreads of other industries and ratings fluctuated within 10BP. [2][4][6][27][45] - The net financing of traditional credit bonds increased this week, and the net financing of asset - backed securities increased by 58 billion yuan compared with last week. The issuance and repayment volumes of different types of bonds showed different trends. [4][12] - The credit bond trading volume decreased this week, and the turnover rate declined overall. The yields of credit bonds with different ratings and maturities fluctuated within 3BP compared with last week. [4][20][21] - There were 36 bond implicit ratings downgraded involving 8 entities this week, and the "Xiangyi You" bond issued by Shanghai Xiangyuan Investment Holding Co., Ltd. defaulted. [5][43] - The central bank conducted large - scale net cash withdrawals this week. In the future, the credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds may continue to compress. [6][45] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Credit Hot Events - On February 2, 2026, Anhui Small - loan Re - lending Co., Ltd. successfully issued two small public - offering corporate bonds, with a total issuance scale of 600 million yuan. This is the first public - offering corporate bond of a small - loan company in China, indicating increased regulatory recognition of the standardized financing of small - loan companies. [10] - On February 3, 2026, the "Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Anchoring Agricultural and Rural Modernization and Solidly Promoting Comprehensive Rural Revitalization" was released, proposing to innovate the investment and financing mechanism for rural revitalization and strictly control the new village - level debt. [11] 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Net Financing Scale - This week, the net financing of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) was 298.2 billion yuan, an increase of 55.5 billion yuan compared with last week. The net financing of asset - backed securities was 1.84 billion yuan, an increase of 58 billion yuan compared with last week. [12] - By product type, the net financing of urban investment bonds was 98.6 billion yuan, an increase of 49.2 billion yuan; the net financing of industrial bonds was 136.1 billion yuan, an increase of 18 billion yuan; the net financing of financial bonds was 63.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.6 billion yuan. [12] 3.2.2 Issuance Cost - This week, the weighted average issuance interest rates of AA urban investment bonds and industrial bonds remained in the range of 2.5% - 2.6%. The average issuance interest rate of AA+ industrial bonds rose above 2.3%, and the issuance interest rates of other credit bonds with different ratings and varieties were less than 2.2%. [17] 3.3 Secondary Market 3.3.1 Transaction Situation - In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of credit bonds (excluding asset - backed securities) decreased by 92.7 billion yuan compared with last week. The trading volume of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, financial bonds, and asset - backed securities all decreased. [20] - In terms of turnover rate, the turnover rate of credit bonds decreased overall this week. The turnover rates of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, financial bonds, and asset - backed securities all declined. [20] 3.3.2 Yield - This week, the yields of credit bonds with different ratings and maturities fluctuated within 3BP compared with last week. The yields of different - rated and different - term credit bonds showed different trends. [21] 3.3.3 Credit Spreads - Overall, the credit spreads of the AA commercial and trade industry widened significantly, and the credit spreads of the AA+ steel industry compressed significantly. The credit spreads of other industries and ratings fluctuated within 10BP. [27] - For urban investment bonds, the credit spreads of different maturities widened slightly this week. [33] - For industrial bonds, the credit spreads of different maturities fluctuated within 5BP this week. [38] - For bank capital bonds, the credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds with different maturities fluctuated within 5BP, and the short - term (1Y) and long - term (10Y) spreads compressed. [40] 3.4 This Week's Bond Market Public Opinion - This week, the implicit ratings of 36 bond items of 8 entities were downgraded, and the "Xiangyi You" bond issued by Shanghai Xiangyuan Investment Holding Co., Ltd. defaulted. [5][43] 3.5 Investment Suggestions - The central bank conducted large - scale net cash withdrawals this week. Overall, the credit spreads of the AA commercial and trade industry widened significantly, and the credit spreads of the AA+ steel industry compressed significantly. The credit spreads of other industries and ratings fluctuated within 10BP. [45] - The credit spreads of urban investment bonds widened slightly, the credit spreads of industrial bonds fluctuated within 5BP, and the credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds fluctuated within 5BP, with the short - term and long - term spreads compressing. [45] - In January 2026, the yields of bank secondary and perpetual bonds decreased significantly, and the excess spreads were still at a high level since the beginning of 2025. The credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds may continue to compress in the future. [45][46]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The supply tightness in the rare earth sector is increasing, with prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide reaching new highs, up 12.64% to 757,500 CNY/ton [4] - Molybdenum prices have rebounded due to improved supply-demand dynamics, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 2.48% to 4,135 CNY/ton [21] - Tungsten prices continue to hit historical highs, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 25.19% to 671,000 CNY/ton [27] - Tin prices have seen significant adjustments, with SHFE tin down 16.89% to 357,000 CNY/ton [30] - Antimony prices are experiencing a rebound, with antimony ingot prices up 2.49% to 164,500 CNY/ton [39] Summary by Category Rare Earth - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 12.64% to 757,500 CNY/ton, while dysprosium and terbium prices decreased by 1.41% to 140,000 CNY/ton and 2.37% to 617,500 CNY/ton respectively [9][4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices rose 2.48% to 4,135 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron (Mo60) prices increased 3.48% to 267,500 CNY/ton [21][4] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices surged 25.19% to 671,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices rose 24.68% to 985,000 CNY/ton [27][4] Tin - SHFE tin prices fell 16.89% to 357,000 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices decreased 15.42% to 45,845 USD/ton [30][4] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices increased by 2.49% to 164,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices rose 1.40% to 144,500 CNY/ton [39][4]

证券分析师 张东雪 SAC：S1350525060001 zhangdongxue@huayuanstock.com 林若尧 SAC：S1350525070002 linruoyao@huayuanstock.com 联系人 证券研究报告 食品饮料 | 饮料乳品 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 08 日 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2026 | 年 | 02 | 月 | | | | | 日 | | 06 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 19.50 | | | | | | | 最 高 / 最 | | | | | 低 | | | | | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 16,783.21 | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 16,588.83 | | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the solid-state battery industry, highlighting significant growth potential and technological advancements [2]. Core Insights - The Chinese government has established the world's first national standard for solid-state batteries, emphasizing the need to accelerate breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology. The new standard categorizes batteries based on their ion transfer methods, excluding the previously mentioned "semi-solid batteries" [6][10]. - The demand for solid-state lithium batteries is projected to reach approximately 200 billion yuan by 2030, driven by their advantages in energy density, safety, and environmental impact compared to liquid lithium batteries [15][27]. - The solid-state battery industry is expected to see rapid growth, with global demand forecasted to reach 243.7 GWh by 2030, translating to a market space of nearly 200 billion yuan [25][27]. Market Dynamics - The report outlines that the solid-state battery supply chain is similar to that of liquid lithium batteries, encompassing upstream raw materials, basic materials (cathodes, anodes, electrolytes, current collectors, and auxiliary materials), and production equipment. The midstream involves cell packaging and battery module assembly, while downstream applications include electric vehicles, consumer electronics, and energy storage systems [6][10]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has emphasized the need to accelerate the development of solid-state batteries and advanced autonomous driving technologies [14]. Material Routes - The report identifies a short-term mainstream system for solid-state batteries consisting of high-nickel ternary cathodes, silicon-based anodes, sulfide electrolytes, and iron-based current collectors. Sulfide electrolytes are expected to dominate the market, with a projected market share of 65% in solid-state batteries by 2030 [28][33]. - The production of cathode materials in China is expected to exceed 5 million tons by 2026, while anode materials are projected to reach 288,000 tons in the same year [29][30]. Key Company Updates - Yuanhang Precision is developing precision components that may expand into the solid-state battery field, focusing on conductive connections and thermal protection [3]. - Better Energy has launched the Beian FLEX semi-solid and GUARD solid-state series, providing high-energy and high-safety material solutions for next-generation battery technologies [3]. - Liwang Co., in collaboration with Tsinghua University, is researching new high-performance lithium battery technologies to meet the needs of humanoid robots [3].

Group 1: Medical Aesthetics Industry - The Chinese medical aesthetics market is expected to reach nearly 370 billion by 2025, with a high growth outlook for the recombinant collagen segment [2][35] - The trend of younger consumers in medical aesthetics is evident, with light medical aesthetics gradually becoming mainstream, accounting for 52% of the market in 2022 [7][12] - Approximately 50.90% of users choose medical aesthetics because "becoming beautiful can make oneself happier," indicating a strong emotional value associated with beauty [4][8] Group 2: Beauty Industry - The retail sales of cosmetics in China are projected to grow at a CAGR of about 9% from 2016 to 2024, with domestic brands expected to maintain growth momentum [2][3] - The Chinese cosmetics market is entering a phase of high-quality development, with trends leaning towards scientific beauty and Eastern philosophies [3][19] - The market for cosmetic raw materials is expected to grow from 1147.80 billion in 2019 to 1603.90 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 6.9% [2][3] Group 3: Related Companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange - Companies such as Jinbo Biological, which leads in recombinant human collagen medical devices, and Bawei Co., which provides ODM services for domestic and international cosmetic brands, are expected to benefit from the ongoing beauty consumption boom [2][3] - The market for functional skincare products is also seeing new entrants, with companies like Jinbo Biological expanding into this segment [2][3] - The beauty industry is experiencing a transformation driven by technological innovations, including synthetic biology and the application of new materials [2][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][13] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of autonomous agents, marking the beginning of the third scaling phase in the industry. Companies like Anthropic are revising their revenue expectations upwards, with projections of $18 billion and $55 billion for 2026 and 2027 respectively. The penetration of agents is expected to drive significant revenue growth [6] - The report notes a decline in global web traffic share for ChatGPT, which fell to 64.5% in January 2026, a decrease of approximately 20 percentage points compared to January 2025. This shift indicates a transition in growth narratives towards mixed revenue models [6] - The report emphasizes the potential for AI-native products to emerge rapidly, amplifying short-term industry volatility while validating long-term trends. It anticipates a significant increase in the "Token->ARR" conversion for agents in 2026, suggesting a robust investment opportunity in high-growth sectors [6] Summary by Sections Section: Market Performance - The report discusses the performance of the computer sector, indicating a positive outlook based on recent developments and market trends [2] Section: Autonomous Agents - The report details the advancements in autonomous agents, including their increasing role in B2B applications and the significant rise in token consumption compared to traditional chat models. The penetration of these agents is seen as a key lever for revenue growth for companies like Anthropic [6] Section: Consumer Productivity - OpenClaw has gained popularity, driving a surge in Mac mini purchases. The report notes that consumer sensitivity to model performance is low, while sensitivity to interaction is high, indicating a shift in user engagement with AI tools [6] Section: Group Intelligence - The emergence of Moltbook, an agent-based platform, is discussed as a preliminary form of group intelligence. The report highlights the initial chaotic nature of agent interactions and the potential for new business models to develop from these early stages [6] Section: Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors with clear industry trends and high growth certainty, recommending investments in domestic large models, agents, infrastructure, and computing power companies. It advises on the importance of reverse investment strategies and forward-looking positioning due to industry volatility [6]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - The report highlights strong order performance in the AI energy sector, with GEV securing approximately 24GW of gas turbine demand in Q4 2025, and a total of 83GW of orders and capacity reserved until 2029, aiming for 100GW by the end of 2026 [5][13][14] - In the fintech sector, BREAD Financial led the market with a 5.5% increase after reporting Q4 2025 earnings that exceeded market expectations, while the overall sector remains under pressure [16][21] - Quantum computing companies like Honeywell and IonQ are making significant strides, with Honeywell's Quantinuum raising approximately $840 million and IonQ acquiring Seed Innovations and Skyloom to enhance its enterprise-level platform [28][29][31] Summary by Sections AI Energy - The AI energy sector saw GEV's strong performance with 24GW of new gas turbine demand and a total of 83GW of orders, with expectations to reach 100GW by 2026 [5][13] - The company anticipates a significant increase in gas turbine production by Q3 2026 and a doubling of grid equipment capacity from 2024 to 2028 [14] - The report notes a positive outlook on the U.S. emergency power auction mechanism, which could accelerate the construction of stable, dispatchable power sources [14] Fintech - The fintech sector experienced a downturn, with most companies declining, except for BREAD Financial, which reported a 5.5% increase in stock price after strong Q4 earnings [16][21] - Visa has implemented Apple Pay for Chinese cardholders, enhancing cross-border payment capabilities, while NITMX is working on cross-border payment systems with major Chinese payment service providers [21][22] - The report suggests that cross-border payments are transitioning from a "channel competition" phase to a "infrastructure reconstruction" phase, driven by high-frequency consumption scenarios [23] Quantum Computing - The quantum computing sector saw Honeywell's Quantinuum achieve significant funding and partnerships, integrating its products with NVIDIA's AI technology [28][29] - IonQ is advancing its enterprise-level platform through acquisitions, enhancing its capabilities in machine learning and quantum networking [31] - The report emphasizes IonQ's strategy to build a comprehensive platform covering quantum computing, networking, sensing, and security [31] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a slight decline, with key companies like Honeywell and RTX reporting strong earnings despite market fluctuations [36] - Honeywell's Q4 sales reached $9.8 billion, with a 6% year-over-year increase, while RTX reported $24.2 billion in sales, a 12% increase from the previous year [36]

Group 1: North Exchange IPO Insights - In January 2026, five companies were listed on the North Exchange, raising a total of 1.8 billion yuan, approximately one-fourth of the fundraising amount in 2025 [2][7] - The average first-day increase for new IPOs in January 2026 was 196%, a decrease from the 368% average in 2025, primarily due to larger and traditional industry IPOs [2][7] - The average online subscription funds reached a historical high of 910.3 billion yuan in January 2026, compared to 662.4 billion yuan in 2025, indicating increased interest in new listings [2][8] Group 2: AI and Energy Sector Analysis - The return of the Trump administration has shifted the U.S. macro policy environment towards growth, industrial security, and resource safety, impacting energy and financial systems [10][11] - AI's large-scale application is rapidly reshaping energy demand structures, with significant implications for power supply and infrastructure [12] - The report suggests a long-term positive outlook for nuclear power, uranium, and energy storage as key growth areas in the context of AI and digital economy [14] Group 3: Food and Beverage Sector - Babi Foods - Babi Foods reported a revenue of 1.86 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.2%, while net profit decreased by 1.3% to 273 million yuan [15][16] - The company is focusing on expanding its new store model, with plans to open 1,000 new stores in 2026, leveraging strong sales performance from the new model [16][17] - The net profit margin is expected to improve due to effective cost management and new product development [17] Group 4: Chemical Logistics - Milkway - Milkway is a leading player in the hazardous chemical supply chain, with a dual-driven model of comprehensive logistics and chemical distribution [18][19] - The hazardous chemical logistics market is projected to grow from 2.05 trillion yuan in 2020 to 2.44 trillion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.45% [19] - The company has established a global service network and is expected to benefit from industry consolidation as smaller players exit the market [20] Group 5: Electronics - BOE Technology - BOE Technology has become a global leader in the semiconductor display industry, with a revenue of 101.28 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.45% year-on-year growth [22][23] - The company is entering a new growth phase, with its LCD business benefiting from increased demand for large-size displays [23] - The OLED segment is also expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing penetration of OLED in mobile devices and upcoming product launches from major brands [24][25]