Group 1: Fixed Income Market Insights - The report highlights the significant adjustment in the long-term bond market, indicating a supply-demand imbalance due to increased government bond issuance, which rose from 4.77 trillion in 2018 to approximately 13.35 trillion by December 2025 [6][7] - It is suggested that the future demand for ultra-long bonds may weaken, particularly from insurance funds, as the issuance of long-term bonds has surged, leading to increased pressure on banks' investment durations [7][8] - The report recommends addressing the supply-demand imbalance by controlling the issuance of government bonds and encouraging the central bank to purchase ultra-long bonds to alleviate market pressures [8][9] Group 2: China Jushi Co., Ltd. Insights - The report discusses the confidence of major shareholders in China Jushi Co., Ltd., with plans for significant share buybacks totaling between 6.75 billion and 11 billion RMB, reflecting a strong belief in the company's long-term growth potential [12][13] - China Jushi is recognized as a leading global manufacturer in the fiberglass industry, with a production capacity of nearly 3 million tons of fiberglass yarn and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.72% in revenue from 2014 to 2024 [13][14] - The company is entering the high-end electronic fabric market, which is expected to benefit from increased demand driven by advancements in computing power, positioning it for substantial growth in this sector [13][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The two major shareholders are increasing their stakes, demonstrating confidence in the company's medium to long-term development [6] - The company is a global leader in the fiberglass industry, with a significant production capacity and a strong historical growth trajectory [6] - The entry into the high-end electronic fabric sector is expected to provide substantial growth opportunities due to increasing demand [6] - Profit forecasts indicate a recovery in net profit and earnings per share over the next few years, with a projected net profit of 3.32 billion, 3.88 billion, and 4.23 billion RMB for 2025 to 2027 [6] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 15.86 billion RMB in 2024 to 21.65 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.72% from 2014 to 2024 [5][6] - The net profit is expected to recover from 2.45 billion RMB in 2024 to 4.23 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a significant growth rate [5][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.61 RMB in 2024 to 1.06 RMB in 2027 [5][6] - The company maintains a healthy return on equity (ROE), projected to rise from 8.14% in 2024 to 11.30% in 2027 [5][6]

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant adjustment in the long-term bond allocation value, particularly noting the weak performance of ultra-long bonds and the systemic reduction in duration by broker proprietary trading and bond funds due to limited capital gains expectations [1][2] - Since 2018, the net issuance of government bonds has rapidly increased from 4.77 trillion to approximately 13.35 trillion by December 2, 2025, with an expected net issuance of around 13.8 trillion for 2025, indicating a substantial increase in bond supply [1][2] - The report indicates a supply-demand imbalance for ultra-long bonds, with the annual issuance of interest rate bonds with a maturity of 20 years or more increasing from 1.96 trillion in 2021 to 5.28 trillion by December 2, 2025, leading to increased duration pressure on bank proprietary bond investments [1][2] Group 2 - Recommendations for addressing the ultra-long bond issues include controlling the issuance duration of government bonds and exploring the issuance of floating rate bonds to mitigate interest rate risk for banks [1][2] - The report suggests that the central bank should increase its own allocation of ultra-long bonds and encourage insurance funds to enhance their allocation to reduce the asset-liability duration gap [1][2] - The report notes that the conditions for further policy interest rate cuts may be in place, as the overall cost of interest-bearing liabilities for banks has decreased significantly, supporting the potential for lower LPR and policy rates [2]

Group 1: North Exchange IPO Insights - In the first 11 months of 2025, 23 companies completed their IPOs on the North Exchange, raising a total of 6.7 billion yuan, surpassing the total fundraising of 2024 [2][6] - The average first-day increase for new stocks in November was 471%, with a notable contribution from Dapeng Industrial, which saw a first-day increase of over 12 times [2][7] - The average online subscription amount reached 6.469 billion yuan in the first 11 months of 2025, indicating increasing competition and a decline in the average winning rate to 0.038% [7][8] Group 2: Real Estate Sector Developments - The real estate sector saw a 0.7% increase, with new home transactions in 42 key cities rising by 9.8% week-on-week, totaling 206 million square meters [9][10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is promoting the pilot program for commercial real estate REITs to enhance investment tools and support new real estate development models [10][11] - Various cities are implementing policies to stimulate the housing market, such as increasing housing provident fund loan limits and enhancing supply chain management [11][12] Group 3: Ninebot Company Analysis - Ninebot is a leading global player in smart short-distance transportation and service robots, with a revenue of 11.74 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 76.1% [14][15] - The company has a strong competitive advantage due to its technological expertise and established overseas brand channels, particularly after acquiring Segway in 2015 [15][16] - The main business segments include high-end electric two-wheelers and a recovering revenue stream from B2B and self-branded scooters, with significant growth expected in new product categories like all-terrain vehicles and robotic lawn mowers [16][17]

IPO Performance - In November 2025, the average first-day return for new stocks was 471%, showing an increase from previous months[24] - The average first-day return for IPOs in the first 11 months of 2025 reached 356%, significantly higher than in 2024[25] Fundraising and Market Activity - A total of 23 companies completed their IPOs in the first 11 months of 2025, raising 6.7 billion yuan, surpassing the total for 2024[2] - In November, 5 companies went public, raising 980 million yuan, maintaining a rapid IPO pace[19] Subscription Trends - The average subscription amount for new shares in November was 711.2 billion yuan, reflecting strong market interest[32] - The average subscription limit for accounts in the first 11 months of 2025 increased to 12.28 million yuan, significantly higher than 8.07 million yuan in 2023 and 8.43 million yuan in 2024[36] Company Quality - The average revenue for newly listed companies in 2025 was 800 million yuan, with an average net profit of 110 million yuan, indicating improved company quality[41] - The average gross margin for new IPOs in 2025 was 34%, up from previous years[40] Market Risks - Risks include potential changes in IPO review policies and market enthusiasm for new stock subscriptions[2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The report emphasizes that real estate is a crucial asset allocation and investment direction for Chinese households, and stabilizing housing prices is significant for facilitating economic circulation. The policy environment is expected to strengthen further, promoting high-quality development in the real estate sector [4][41] - The report highlights the potential for a wave of development in high-quality residential properties due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure. Additionally, the sentiment in the Hong Kong private residential market is gradually recovering, indicating a new round of value reassessment for Hong Kong developers [4] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.6%, the ChiNext Index by 4.5%, and the CSI 300 Index by 1.6%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) increased by 0.7% during the week [4][7] - The top five stocks in terms of growth were Wantong Development (+19.3%), *ST Nan Zhi (+12.6%), Xinhua Group (+10.5%), Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (+9.7%), and Tianbao Infrastructure (+9.2%). The bottom five were Huaxia Happiness (-14.9%), Jingji Zhino (-14.8%), Vanke A (-11.2%), Hefei Urban Construction (-9.8%), and Jindi Group (-6.2%) [4][7] New Housing Transactions - In the week of November 22-28, new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 2.06 million square meters, a week-on-week increase of 9.8% but a year-on-year decrease of 51.1% [11] - For November (up to the week of November 28), new housing transactions in 42 key cities totaled 7.24 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 0.8% but a year-on-year decrease of 43.1% [15] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the week of November 22-28, second-hand housing transactions in 21 key cities totaled 202,000 square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 0.6% and a year-on-year decrease of 18.5% [26] - For November (up to the week of November 28), second-hand housing transactions in 21 key cities totaled 8 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 27.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 19.2% [31] Industry News - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced a draft for the pilot program of commercial real estate investment trusts (REITs) to promote high-quality development in the REITs market and support the construction of a new model for real estate development [2][41] - Various local governments are implementing policies to enhance housing affordability and stimulate the real estate market, such as increasing the loan limits for purchasing high-quality residential properties in cities like Xuzhou and Changzhou [41] Company Announcements - Notable financing activities include China Merchants Shekou issuing bonds up to 5.04 billion yuan with a fixed interest rate of 1.77% for three years, and Poly Developments issuing medium-term notes with varying maturities and interest rates [44][45]

Export Data - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's transformer export value reached $647.874 million, a year-on-year increase of 39%[3] - The number of transformers exported in the same period was 236,112 units, reflecting a growth of 5.4% year-on-year[3] - Notably, in September 2025, the export value of transformers surged by 47% year-on-year[7] Industry Outlook - The transformer industry is expected to benefit from rising electricity demand, expansion of renewable energy, and an increase in charging stations[13] - The total production of transformers in China is projected to approach 2 trillion volt-amperes by 2025, with an estimated growth of 11% in 2024[3][27] - The market for high-voltage transformers (above 110kV) is characterized by fewer participants and higher concentration, while the medium and low-voltage market is more competitive with many players[24] Company Performance - Guangxin Technology reported a revenue of $58.6 million in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 41.35%, with net profit reaching $15 million, up 91.95%[47][49] - Minshida achieved a net profit of $9.117 million in the same period, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.88%[43][46] Market Trends - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the electronic equipment industry on the North Exchange increased by 0.21% to 55.4X[3] - The North Exchange's technology growth stocks showed a median price change of 0.00% from November 24 to November 28, 2025, with 49% of companies experiencing a rise[3]

Group 1: Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Views - Forecasts 2025 November new loans to be 450 billion yuan and social financing increment to be 2.15 trillion yuan; at end - Nov, M2 to reach 337.2 trillion, YoY +8.1%, new - caliber M1 YoY +5.6%, and social financing growth rate to be 8.4% [1] - November new loans may be less than the same period last year due to weak credit demand and banks' low motivation for credit issuance; future new loans may also be less year - on - year [2] - November M1 growth rate may decline, and M2 growth rate may slightly decline month - on - month [2] - Social financing growth rate may continue to decline, and it may drop to about 7.3% by the end of 2026 [2] - December bond market is promising, and the report is bullish on the bond market [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs New Loans - Predicts 450 billion yuan in new loans in November 2025, with individual loans +5 billion, corporate loans +35 billion, and non - bank inter - bank loans +5 billion; individual short - term loans - 5 billion, individual long - term loans +10 billion; corporate short - term loans +0 billion, corporate long - term loans +15 billion, and bill financing +20 billion [2] M1 and M2 - Predicts the new - caliber M1 growth rate at the end of November to be 5.6%, with a slight month - on - month decline; the M2 growth rate at the end of November to be 8.1%, with a slight month - on - month decline [2] Social Financing - Predicts 2.15 trillion yuan in social financing increment in November 2025, less than the same period in 2024; the growth rate at the end of November to be 8.4%, with a 0.1 - point month - on - month decline [2] Bond Market - Due to factors such as slow growth in bond fund scale and banks' and insurers' increased influence on bond market pricing, and considering factors like banks' lower liability costs and insurers' asset - liability duration gap, the report is bullish on the December bond market [2]

Fixed Income - The manufacturing PMI showed a slight rebound in November, but corporate profits remain under pressure, indicating potential economic downturn in Q4 [2][7] - Industrial profits fell significantly in October, with a year-on-year decline of 5.5%, reflecting a slowdown in economic growth compared to Q1 and Q2 [2][8] - The bond market is expected to perform well, with a forecasted decline in bond yields, driven by the necessity for policy interest rate cuts [10] Real Estate - Vanke's bond extension has negatively impacted the secondary market valuations of other real estate companies, although the overall effect is limited [13][18] - Vanke's financial situation remains precarious, with reliance on external financing for debt repayment, raising concerns about potential defaults [12][18] Transportation - The shipping industry is experiencing record high earnings, with VLCC daily earnings reaching $120,248 in November, the best performance since 2004 [20][23] - The logistics sector is seeing advancements in automation, with companies like Yunda and Jitu implementing automated sorting systems and unmanned delivery vehicles [20][21] Energy - The energy sector is focusing on the development of new storage capacity and pricing mechanisms, with provinces like Hubei and Heilongjiang advancing their storage system plans [4][10] Media - The film industry is witnessing a resurgence, with "Zootopia 2" grossing over 1.3 billion yuan, indicating strong market demand for quality films [4][6] Healthcare - Microelectrophysiology company has received approval for its self-developed PFA catheter, expanding its product matrix in the electrophysiology market [5][6] Consumer Goods - Bosideng reported a revenue increase of 1.4% in the first half of FY2025/26, driven by strong performance in its core down jacket business [5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction decoration industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The ongoing diplomatic efforts surrounding the Russia-Ukraine situation are creating opportunities for the infrastructure sector, particularly in post-war reconstruction in Ukraine, which is projected to require $486.2 billion over the next decade [4][13] - Chinese companies, particularly those with established operations in Ukraine, are well-positioned to participate in reconstruction efforts due to their competitive advantages in execution efficiency, cost control, and comprehensive industry chain support [4][13] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.40%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.56%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.54% during the week. The Shenwan Construction Decoration Index increased by 2.81%, with all sub-sectors except housing construction showing gains, particularly landscape engineering, engineering consulting, and other specialized engineering [5][23] Infrastructure Data Tracking - Special bonds issued this week amounted to CNY 273.83 billion, with a cumulative issuance of CNY 7,505.01 billion as of November 30, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.99% [6][28] - Urban investment bonds issued this week totaled CNY 55.05 billion, with a cumulative net financing of -CNY 545.48 billion as of November 30, 2025 [6][28] Company Dynamics - Notable project announcements include: - Tongji Technology won a bid for a project in Xi'an worth approximately CNY 866 million [18] - China Construction secured three major projects totaling CNY 10.67 billion [18] - China Aluminum International won a bid for a project valued at approximately CNY 2.909 billion [18] Industry News - Hunan Province reported significant achievements in transportation construction during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a total investment of CNY 538.6 billion, a 54% increase compared to the previous five years [15] - Beijing's 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes housing supply and the development of a new real estate model, focusing on a "market + guarantee" housing supply system [15]