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兴通股份(603209):Q3业绩短期承压,静待化工需求复苏
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-03 05:04
证券研究报告 交通运输 | 航运港口 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 03 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC:S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC:S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC:S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC:S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC:S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 2025 | 年 | 10 | 月 | | | 30 | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | | 15.23 | | | | | | 一 年 最 高 最 低 | / | | | | | | 内 | | | | | ...
贵金属回调后或重回布局区间,持续看好长期价格上行:贵金属双周报(2025/10/20-2025/11/2)-20251103
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-03 01:36
Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [3][5] Core Viewpoints - The precious metals sector has experienced a rapid price decline, with gold and silver prices dropping significantly after two months of strong gains. Key factors include recent US-China trade agreements and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [4][5]. - The long-term outlook for gold prices remains optimistic due to expected monetary policy changes and central bank purchases, with global gold demand projected to reach 4,974 tons in 2024, a 1.5% increase from 2023 [5]. - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the precious metals sector, including Zijin Mining International, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and others [5]. Price Trends - Over the past two weeks, London spot gold fell by 5.05% to $4,011.50 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange gold dropped by 7.79% to ¥921.92 per gram. Silver prices also saw declines of 9.50% and 6.60% respectively [9][10]. US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Tracking - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, with the target range now at 3.75%-4.00%. There are indications of internal disagreements within the Fed regarding future rate cuts [4][5]. Holdings and Trading Volume - The report notes a decrease in trading volumes for both gold and silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, with gold holdings down by 12.54% to 346,200 contracts and silver holdings down by 17.11% to 694,300 contracts [10][41]. Futures Basis Situation - As of the latest report, the international gold basis (spot-futures) is at -$1.90 per ounce, an increase of $41.25 from two weeks prior, while the domestic gold basis is at -0.90 yuan per gram, up by 3.00 yuan [61][62].
海澜之家(600398):25Q3公司营收小幅增长,京东奥莱拓店持续
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-03 01:05
证券研究报告 纺织服饰 | 服装家纺 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 03 日 证券分析师 丁一 SAC:S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 2025 | 年 | 10 | 30 | 日 | | | 月 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | 6.16 | | | | | | | | 年 高 低 | 一 | | | | 8.96/5.56 | | 内 | 最 | | / | 最 | | (元) | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值(百万元) | | | | | 29,585.07 | | | | | | | | 流通市值(百万元) | | | | | 29,585.07 | | | | | | | | 总股本(百万股) | | | | | 4,802.77 | | | ...
北矿检测(920160):有色金属矿产品检验检测领域龙头,新建产能拓展先进精密仪器业务
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-02 12:23
证券研究报告 社会服务 | 专业服务 北交所|新股申购 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 02 日 赵昊 SAC:S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC:S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 北矿检测(920160.BJ) 证券分析师 ——有色金属矿产品检验检测领域龙头,新建产能拓展先进精密仪器业务 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 发行价格 6.7 元/股,发行市盈率 13.77X,申购日为 2025 年 11 月 3 日。北矿检测 发行股份全部为新股,初始发行数量为 2,832.00 万股,发行后总股本为 11,328.00 万股,发行数量占发行后总股本的 25.00%,不采用超额配售选择权。经我们测算, 公司发行后预计可流通股本比例为 25%,老股占可流通股本比例为 0%。本次发行 战略配售发行数量为 283.20 万股,占本次发行数量的 10.00%。网上发行数量为 2,548.80 万股,占本次发行数量的 90.00%。有 2 家机构参与公司的战略配售 ...
2025Q3 公募对北交所配置风格转向多元新兴标的,机构参与格局持续深化:北交所基金三季报深度总结
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-02 11:28
证券研究报告 | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 01 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC:S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC:S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 2025Q3 公募对北交所配置风格转向多元新兴标的,机构参与格局持续深化 ——北交所基金三季报深度总结 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 2025 年第三季度公募基金持仓总量稳中有进,市场广度与参与度持续深化。2025 年第三季度,公募基金对北交所市场的配置呈现出"总量攀升、广度拓展、结构优 化"的鲜明特征。当季进入各类基金前十大重仓名单的北交所公司数量增至 71 家, 涵盖的基金产品数量攀升至 142 只。值得注意的是,非北交所主题基金数量增至 103 只,占比 73%,表明北交所正获得全市场主流基金产品的关注与积极参与。2025Q3 公募重仓北交所总市值突破 100 亿元大关,环比增长 4%。然而,由于同期全市场 权益基金重仓总市值增长更快,北交所重仓市值占全 A 的 ...
2025Q1-Q3北证业绩稳中趋暖,加快推出北证50ETF增量资金可期:北交所周观察第五十期(20251102)
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-02 11:28
证券研究报告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 2025Q1-Q3 北交所业绩呈现营收回暖、盈利承压的分化态势,龙头与稀缺标的领跑。279 家 已披露三季报的公司前三季度实现总营收 1451 亿元,同比增长 6%;归母净利润总计 92 亿 元,同比下降 7%,整体业绩转暖与分化并存,主要是期间费用率上升挤压了整体盈利,同时 部分大体量公司业绩探底回升及优质专精特新企业延续高增长又带动了增速上升。业绩核心 特征如下:其一,龙头与稀缺标的领跑。锦波生物、贝特瑞、开发科技等大体量龙头整体表 现较好,且北证 50 成分股归母净利润中位数(0.46 亿元)超过科创板;北证专精特新成分股 整体营收同比增长 13%的同时也呈现分化,其中优质企业值得关注。其二,行业分化显著。 营收增速领跑行业为美容护理(+30%)、石油石化(+24%)、通信(+18%)、汽车(+17%),但大 部分行业均面临营收增长而盈利承压的挑战。其三,个股亮点纷呈,多维度挖掘优质标的。1) 盈利领军者 (19 家):2025 前三季度归母净利润大于 1 亿元且增速为正,如林泰新材、广信 科技、吉林碳谷、同力股份等细分赛道领军者。2)长 ...
中国巨石(600176):传统业务稳步修复,高端电子布是未来看点
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-31 10:34
戴铭余 SAC:S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC:S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 建筑材料 | 玻璃玻纤 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 31 日 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com | 盈利预测与估值(人民币) | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 10 | 月 | 31 | 日 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 16.40 | 一 | 年 | 内 | 最 | 高 | / | 最 | 低 | 17.58/10.46 | | (元) | 总市值(百万元) | 65,651.44 | | | | | | | | | | 流通市值(百万元) | 65,651.44 | 总股本(百万股) | 4,003.14 | ...
康农种业(920403):2025Q3末合同负债同比+65%,Q3客户集中退货致使营收和利润承压
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-31 10:34
证券研究报告 农林牧渔 | 种植业 北交所|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 31 日 证券分析师 | 基本数据 | | | | 年 | 10 | 月 | | | | 29 | | 日 | 2025 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | | | | 24.30 | | | | | | | 年 内 高 | 最 | / | 低 | | | | | | 最 | | 一 | | | | (元) | | | | | | | | 55.97/12.68 | | | | | | | 总市值(百万元) | | | | | | | | 2,414.47 | | | | | | | 流通市值(百万元) | | | | | | | | 1,409.44 | | | | | | | 总股本(百万股) | | | | | | | | 99.36 | | | | | | | 资产负债率(%) | | | | | | | | 49.52 ...
曼卡龙(300945):曼卡龙25Q3收入高增,品牌力持续向上
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-31 10:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company, Mankalon, has shown significant revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 36.22% and a net profit growth of 25.33% [7] - The company is focusing on a fashion-forward, light luxury positioning, continuously innovating its product lines to attract younger consumers [7] - The integration of online and offline channels is driving sales growth, with online revenue increasing by 39.34% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 29.54 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.30% [6] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to reach 1.22 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 26.97% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.47 RMB for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.23% [6] Market Data - As of October 30, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 17.68 RMB, with a total market capitalization of 4,633.43 million RMB [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 15.36% and a net asset value per share of 6.35 RMB [3]
中国广核(003816):Q3业绩低于预期广东变动成本补偿取消
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-31 10:30
证券研究报告 公用事业 | 电力 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 31 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC:S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC:S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邹佩轩 SAC:S1350524070004 zoupeixuan01@huayuanstock.com 蔡思 SAC:S1350524070005 caisi@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | | | 年 | | 30 | 日 | 月 | | | 2025 | 10 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | | | | | | 4.07 | | | | | | 最 | / | 高 | 最 | | | | | | | | | | | | | (元) | | | | | | | | ...