证券研究报告 电子 | 消费电子 北交所|首次覆盖报告 投资要点： 雅葆轩(920357.BJ) 投资评级： 增持（首次） ——PCBA 电子制造服务"小巨人"，受益于汽车电子智驾需求和工控数字化转型 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 12 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 年 | 12 | 日 | | 2025 | | 月 | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | 25.11 | | | | | | | 一 年 内 最 最 低 | | | | / | | 高 | | | | （元） | | | 31.57/16.24 | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | 2,010.81 | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | 1,117.76 | | | | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In November, the year-on-year increase in CPI was mainly driven by a sharp rebound in fresh vegetable prices, while PPI remained weak year-on-year. The unexpected rebound in exports may be due to factors such as the suppression of the base effect in October, Christmas stocking in Europe and the United States, and improvements in Sino-US tariffs. The structure of foreign trade exports continued to improve, with diversification results becoming prominent, and high-end manufacturing becoming the core driving force for exports [2]. - The economy still faces certain pressures. Although there is growth in durable goods and service consumption supported by policies on the consumer side, the structural differentiation of CPI and the mild rebound of core CPI reflect that the overall consumer willingness of residents still needs to be boosted. Exports rebounded unexpectedly in November, and the trade structure continued to improve. Affected by the high base of pre - emptive exports in the first half of this year, the resilience of foreign trade growth next year needs to be continuously observed. The 75BP interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the second half of the year have brought changes in global liquidity, and overseas trade frictions may still continuously disrupt export expectations. Against the backdrop of the intertwining of internal and external factors, the probability of the introduction of growth - stabilizing policies such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts has increased, and attention should be paid to the implementation effects of policies and the improvement signals of prices and foreign trade [3]. - The performance of the bond market in 2026 is expected to be better than expected. Since the second half of the year, the bond market has often deviated from the fundamentals and is mainly dominated by institutional behavior. From the perspective of the domestic fundamentals, the domestic economic data is under pressure, and the necessity of lowering the policy interest rate has significantly increased. From the external environment, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 75BP, and the inversion of the Sino - US interest rate spread has been significantly relieved. Currently, the yield of long - term bonds has reached a high point this year. Under the dual effects of internal and external factors, the probability of a successful long - position strategy is relatively high [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs CPI Situation - In November, CPI increased by 0.7% year - on - year, the highest level since March 2024. Food prices turned from a decline of 2.9% last month to an increase of 0.2%, while non - food prices rose by 0.8% year - on - year. Core CPI increased by 1.2% year - on - year, maintaining above 1% for three consecutive months [2]. - Food prices "turning from negative to positive" were the core driving force. Fresh vegetable prices rose by 14.5% year - on - year, with the impact on the year - on - year increase of CPI increasing by about 0.49 percentage points. The year - on - year decline in pork prices narrowed to - 15.0%, and the prices of beef and mutton increased. Energy prices had a greater drag, with energy prices falling by 3.4% year - on - year [2]. - There was a structural differentiation in core CPI. On the industrial consumer goods side, the year - on - year increase in gold jewelry prices expanded to 58.4%, and clothing prices rose by 2.0%, but household appliance prices decreased. On the service side, although the demand for post - holiday travel declined, the prices of domestic services and dining out still maintained positive growth [2]. PPI Situation - In November, PPI decreased by 2.2% year - on - year, with the decline expanding by 0.1 percentage points. Production materials decreased by 2.4% year - on - year, and living materials decreased by 1.5% year - on - year. PPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month, maintaining positive growth for two consecutive months [2]. - Domestic policies and seasonal demand supported upstream prices. The start of "peak - winter power consumption" in November led to a surge in coal demand, and the prices of coal mining and washing and coal processing increased significantly month - on - month. The effects of comprehensive rectification of "involution - style" competition were evident, and the year - on - year decline in prices of some industries continued to narrow [2]. - Input factors showed a differentiated pattern. The increase in international non - ferrous metal prices drove up the prices of domestic non - ferrous metal mining and smelting industries, while the decline in international oil prices led to a decline in the prices of the oil and gas extraction and refined petroleum product industries [2]. - The seasonal decline in downstream demand for infrastructure restricted the overall ex - factory prices. The prices of the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year, reflecting the weakening of infrastructure demand. Most industries' ex - factory prices were still under significant pressure year - on - year, but non - ferrous metal industries performed well [2][3]. Foreign Trade Situation - In November, the total value of imports and exports was 3.9 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%. Exports were 2.3 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.7%, turning from negative to positive compared with October. Imports were 1.6 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.7%, continuing the six - month growth trend. The trade structure continued to have the characteristics of "strong exports and stable imports" [3]. - Trade with the EU and Africa rebounded significantly, while the decline in exports to the US continued to expand. Exports to ASEAN maintained double - digit growth. Exports to the EU rebounded strongly, and exports to Africa had a high growth rate. Although the decline in exports to the US expanded, the drag on overall exports was offset by the growth of the EU and African markets [3]. - This month's unexpected export growth was mainly affected by the rebound in export growth to the EU and Africa. High - end manufacturing became the core driving force for the rebound. Exports of mechanical and electrical products and high - tech products increased significantly year - on - year, while the growth rates of labor - intensive products were still in the decline range [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its market position and growth potential [5][8]. Core Insights - The company specializes in polyurethane materials and has over 20 years of technical expertise, focusing on three main product categories: polyurethane elastomers, polyester/polyether polyols, and other downstream derivatives [6][15]. - The company achieved revenue of 3.55 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.98%, and a significant increase in net profit by 54.98% to 112 million yuan [6][25]. - The company is positioned as a national manufacturing champion in the CPU segment, with a market share of 35% in 2021, and is expanding its production capacity to enhance its competitive edge [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer of polyurethane raw materials and derivatives, with a diverse product range that includes elastomers, polyols, and other fine chemical materials [15][22]. - The company has established a robust R&D framework, holding over 520 patents and participating in the formulation of more than 20 national standards [17][19]. 2. Industry Context - China is a major producer and consumer of polyurethane, accounting for approximately 50% of global production, with the market expected to grow to 237.9 billion yuan by 2027 [6][40]. - The industry is characterized by increasing concentration, with major players dominating the upstream raw materials market, particularly in MDI and TDI [43][48]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has a leading position in the polyurethane sector, with ongoing capacity expansion projects that will significantly increase its production capabilities [6][10]. - The company is focusing on high-end product development and expanding its applications in various industries, including automotive and renewable energy [10][64]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 202 million yuan, 233 million yuan, and 268 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.7, 18.8, and 16.3 [8][29]. - Revenue is expected to grow steadily, with a forecasted increase in operating income from 7.48 billion yuan in 2025 to 9.39 billion yuan in 2027 [7][8].

证券研究报告 计算机 | 计算机设备 北交所|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 12 日 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC：S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 2025 | 年 | 12 | 10 | 日 | | | | | 月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24.73 | | 年 高 低 | 最 | / | | | | | | 48.62/19.88 | 内 | 一 | 最 | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | 2,473.00 | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | ...

证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 11 日 投资要点： | 市场数据 指数名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3,873.32 | -0.70% | 18.72% | | 创业板指 | 3,163.67 | -1.41% | 53.54% | | 沪深 300 | 4,552.18 | -0.86% | 19.15% | | 中证 1000 | 7,312.00 | -1.30% | 26.13% | | 科创 50 | 1,325.83 | -1.55% | 38.78% | | 北证 50 | 1,443.17 | 3.84% | 41.50% | 资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2025年12月11日 华源晨会精粹 20251211 汽车 看好高端车市场自主品牌崛起——汽车行业双周报：40 万元以上高端车市场空 间稳定，且目前自主份额占比较低，自主车企具备较大提升空间。在智能电动化时 代，竞争要素由品牌+参数性能向以科技属性+感性体验为外在表征的新要素转变。 在新的竞争框架下，自主车 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company, Ming Ming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the snack retail industry, with a total of 14,394 stores across 28 provinces in China as of December 31, 2024, indicating significant market penetration [6][2] - The Chinese food and beverage retail market is projected to reach 7.1 trillion yuan in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 5.2% from 2019 to 2024, with the snack retail segment expected to grow from approximately 2.9 trillion yuan in 2019 to 3.7 trillion yuan in 2024 [13][14] - The company primarily generates revenue through franchising, with franchise income accounting for 98.8% of total revenue in 2024, amounting to 38.89 billion yuan [28][37] - The company has a strong supply chain management system, combining self-operated and outsourced logistics, with 25 self-operated warehouses and 11 third-party warehouses, ensuring efficient distribution [50][51] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Ming Ming Hen Mang is positioned as a top player in the snack retail industry, having established a significant presence since its founding in 2016 and the acquisition of Zhao Yi Ming in 2023 [6][2] Market Growth - The food and beverage retail market in China is expected to grow steadily, with the snack retail segment projected to expand significantly, particularly in lower-tier cities [13][14][15] Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of 39.34 billion yuan and a gross profit of 2.999 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 282.15% and 288.31% respectively [28][31] - Adjusted net profit reached 910 million yuan in 2024, showing a substantial increase of 288.67% compared to the previous year [31] Franchise Model and Expansion - The company has rapidly expanded its franchise network, adding 8,083 new franchise stores in 2024, with a total of 14,379 stores by year-end [37][42] - Approximately 58% of the stores are located in county and town areas, indicating a strong focus on penetrating lower-tier markets [42] Supply Chain and Digitalization - The company employs a robust supply chain strategy, with a focus on digitalization to enhance efficiency in product selection, logistics, and store management [50][51] - The logistics costs as a percentage of total revenue have been effectively controlled, indicating superior management compared to industry peers [50] Product Offering and Pricing Strategy - The company emphasizes high-quality and cost-effective products, with an average price approximately 25% lower than similar products in offline supermarkets [47] - The product range includes over 1,800 SKUs per store, with a significant portion being custom products developed in collaboration with manufacturers [47]

证券研究报告 汽车 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 10 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） 李泽 SAC：S1350525030001 lize@huayuanstock.com 游泽晨 youzechen@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 看好高端车市场自主品牌崛起 ——汽车行业双周报（20251124-20251207） 证券分析师 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 市场空间：40 万元以上高端车市场空间稳定，看好纯电放量驱动新能源渗透率提升。 2018 年以来，绝大多数年份 40 万元以上高端车销量均保持在 70-120 万辆区间内， 在汽车总销量中占比基本在 5%以上，市场空间整体稳定。目前 40 万元以上高端车 的能源类型仍以 ICE 为主，2025 年 1-10 月累计销量中 ICE 占比为 52.9%，BEV 仅 15.0%。随着充电效率的提升和补能网络逐步完善，纯电车型有望凭借更大的空间、 更顺畅的驾驶体验和更高的能源转化效率等优势在高端市场快速放量，驱动新能源 渗透率进一步提升，预计 2026 年 40 万元以上高端车新能 ...

Group 1: Corporate Pension Fund and Investment Performance - The core viewpoint indicates that in Q3 2025, corporate pension funds exhibited characteristics of "scale expansion, high investment returns, and market structure differentiation" [7][8] - The coverage and fund scale continue to expand, with a significant jump in equity investment returns driving overall performance improvement [7][9] - The number of established corporate pension plans increased by 2,770 to 175,000, and the number of participating employees rose by 275,200 to 33.32 million, with accumulated funds increasing by 24 billion to 409 billion [8][9] Group 2: Investment Management Market Dynamics - The current market for corporate pension fund trustees is dominated by insurance capital, with banks rapidly emerging, and competition strategies are diversifying, particularly towards small and micro enterprises [9][10] - As of Q3 2025, major players like China Life Pension and Ping An Pension dominate the market, holding nearly half of the management in terms of enterprises, employees, and asset amounts [9][10] - The total assets under management for corporate pension funds increased by 6.3% to 3.1 trillion, with smaller institutions experiencing faster growth [9][10] Group 3: Investment Returns and Product Performance - The investment returns for equity portfolios surged, with quarterly returns jumping from 1.02% to 4.82%, leading to an overall increase in investment returns from 1.00% to 4.26% [13][14] - The net asset value of equity products increased by 42.8% to 223.6 billion, with investment returns rising from 2.3% in Q2 to 22.9% in Q3 [14] - Fixed income products saw a slight decrease in net asset value by 5.95% to 1.596 trillion, with returns slightly declining to 0.68% [14] Group 4: Wealth Management and Market Trends - As of November 2025, the total wealth management scale reached 34 trillion, an increase of 4 trillion from the previous year, with a monthly increase of 0.35 trillion [15][16] - The average annualized yield for pure fixed income wealth management products fell to 2.42%, reflecting a downward trend in the performance benchmark since early 2022 [16][17] - The growth in wealth management scale is expected to provide strong support for credit bonds with a maturity of 3 years or less [17] Group 5: Real Estate Market Overview - The real estate sector saw a decline of 2.2% in the week, with new home transactions in 42 key cities dropping by 6.9% to 1.93 million square meters [18][19] - The macroeconomic environment is influenced by policies supporting the development of REITs and asset securitization, with the scope of underlying assets expanding to urban renewal facilities [19][20] - Local governments are implementing housing subsidies, with cities like Changzhou and Nanning introducing new policies to support homebuyers [19][20]

固收定期报告 证券研究报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 10 日 11 月理财规模稳步增长 ——理财规模跟踪月报（2025 年 11 月） 投资要点： 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 11 月理财规模稳步增长。我们测算，截至 2025 年 11 月末，理财规模合计 34.0 万 亿元，较上年末增加 4.0 万亿元，较上月末增加 0.35 万亿元。2025 年 11 月理财规 模增加 0.35 万亿，2023-2024 年的 11 月份理财规模平均增加 0.37 万亿，与季节性 规律接近。尽管三季度股市大幅上涨，但 2025 年三季度理财规模合计增量达 1.46 万亿，高于 2022-2024 年的同期增量。 11 月理财公司纯固收理财平均当月年化收益率回落。2022 年初以来，理财公司当月 新发人民币固收类理财的平均业绩比较基准震荡下行，我们测算，截至 2025 年 11 月末，理财规模合计 34.0 万亿元，较上年末增加 4.0 万亿元，较上月末增加 ...

固收点评报告 证券研究报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 10 日 ——25Q3 企业年金基金及养老金产品业务数据点评 投资要点： 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 马赫 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 mahe@huayuanstock.com 权益类收益跳涨带动业绩走强 核心观点：25Q3 企业年金呈现"规模扩容、投资收益高增、市场格局分化"的特征。 覆盖面与基金规模持续扩张的同时，权益类投资收益的跳涨带动整体业绩大幅改善。 受托市场上，险资仍主导，银行系发力，且机构竞争策略分化（部分机构发力中小 微企业）。投资端头部效应强化，权益类产品成为业绩核心驱动力，市场行情与产 品结构调整共同驱动了本季度亮眼表现。 企业年金覆盖面持续扩大，收益率明显增长。从环比变动数据看，25Q3 呈现"规模 扩张、投资走强、领取微降"的特征。总体上，建立企业数增加 2770 个至 17.5 万 个、参加职工数增 27.52 万人至 3332 万人、积累基金增 0.24 万亿元至 4.09 万亿元， 规模类指 ...