2025 年 11 月 09 日 北交所研究团队 汽车产业链业绩领跑，北证科技产业三季报凸显结构性机遇 ——北交所策略专题报告 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 北证科技三季报盘点：汽车产业链逆势领跑，成科技新产业中唯一亮点 北交所三季报披露收官。科技新产业共计 155 家企业，在 2025Q1-3 共实现营收 631.38 亿元，同比增长 0.73%；总归母净利润 48.60 亿元同比-13.83%。电子产业 企业在 2025Q1-3 共实现营收 170.73 亿元同比增长 9.51%，总归母净利润 160,021.78 万元同比-15.88%。产业内关注如创远信科（+109.05%）、同惠电子 （+59.36%）、雅葆轩（+36.59%）等。汽车产业 2025Q1-3 实现总营收 115.94 亿 元同比增长 17.89%，总归母净利润 13.99 亿元同比增长 19.49%，是科技新产业 中实现营收、净利润均双增长的行业。产业内关注林泰新材（+131.19%）等。 信息技术产业 2025Q1-3 实现营收 55.61 亿元同比-7.94%，总 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights that in the current loose monetary policy environment, small-cap stocks are gaining an advantage, with the North Exchange 50 Index effectively reflecting the performance of small and micro-cap stocks, characterized by high elasticity and policy adaptability [1][2] - As of November 7, 2025, the North Exchange 50 Index has risen by 1.09%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Anda Technology (up 23.94%), Silane Technology (up 10.27%), and Huami New Materials (up 6.88%) [1] - The North Exchange is focused on improving its merger and acquisition system, guiding financial resources towards key core technology sectors, and enhancing the attractiveness of its market through various reforms and new bond products [1] Group 2 - The North Exchange's overall revenue and profit showed recovery in the third quarter, although the profit growth rate remains negative, indicating pressure on core profitability [2] - There is optimism regarding the North Exchange's future performance, with favorable factors accumulating and clear signals of policy warming, particularly the anticipated launch of the North Exchange 50 ETF, which is expected to attract incremental funds [2] - The North Exchange aims to enhance investment transaction convenience by accelerating the launch of the North Exchange 50 ETF and exploring after-hours fixed-price trading [2]

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4001.24 points, slightly down by 0.16%, with a total trading volume of 1,266.157 billion yuan [1] - A total of 525 A-shares have surpassed their five-day moving average, indicating a positive market trend [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Notable stocks with significant deviations from their five-day moving average include: - Kaisheng New Materials (乖离率 8.79%) with a price increase of 11.41% [1] - Zhongwei Electronics (乖离率 8.36%) with a price increase of 10.94% [1] - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials (乖离率 8.17%) with a price increase of 10.02% [1] - Other stocks with smaller deviations include: - Qingda Environmental Protection, Chengda Biology, and Nanjing New Hundred, which have just crossed their five-day moving average [1] Trading Data - The trading data for stocks that broke through the five-day moving average includes: - Kaisheng New Materials: Latest price 24.50 yuan, five-day moving average 22.52 yuan [1] - Zhongwei Electronics: Latest price 11.36 yuan, five-day moving average 10.48 yuan [1] - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials: Latest price 27.13 yuan, five-day moving average 25.08 yuan [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The recent volatility in the US stock market has raised concerns about a potential new round of market correction, with the Nasdaq dropping by 2% on November 4 and significant declines in Japanese and Korean markets [2][11] - The tightening of dollar liquidity due to the US government shutdown has been identified as a catalyst for increased market fluctuations, with the Treasury General Account (TGA) rising by $200 billion since October [11] Group 2: North Exchange Market Analysis - The North Exchange's Q3 report shows a revenue growth of 5.3% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 5.0%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges [10][12] - The return on equity (ROE) improved slightly to 6.1%, with asset turnover at 62.0% and net profit margin at 5.6% [10][12] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Specific Sectors - The industrial automation sector is highlighted as a growth area, with the company achieving market share increases in low-voltage frequency converters and servo systems from 1.80% and 0.55% in 2019 to 3.02% and 2.30% by 2024 [19] - The human-shaped robot industry is also noted for its potential, with the company leveraging its automation technology to reduce R&D cycles and costs [19][20] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Sector Performance - The pharmaceutical sector reported a total revenue of 18,064 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a slight year-on-year decline of 1.9% [21][24] - The innovative drug segment showed a significant revenue increase of 36% in Q3, indicating strong growth potential [21][24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in profitability with a year-on-year increase in net profit of 131% for Q1-Q3 2025, reaching 106.65 million yuan [7] - The company is positioned as a key player in the domestic market for wet-type friction materials, particularly in the automotive sector, with a focus on electric vehicles [5][7] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of Electronic Limited Slip Differential (ELSD) in the domestic market, which is projected to enhance vehicle stability and safety [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 3.26 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a 69% year-on-year growth [7] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 153 million, 220 million, and 316 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34, 24, and 16 [5][6] - Revenue is expected to grow from 510 million yuan in 2025 to 1,010 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 41.11% [6][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is the only domestic enterprise capable of full-process independent production of wet-type paper-based friction plates for passenger car automatic transmissions, establishing a strong competitive edge [5] - The company has established deep partnerships with leading domestic brands such as BYD, SAIC, and Geely, enhancing its market presence [5] - The company is expanding its production capacity, with a new factory expected to be completed by November 2025, aiming for an annual capacity of 80 million pieces by the end of 2025 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a 68.92% year-on-year increase in revenue to 326 million yuan and a 131.19% increase in net profit to 107 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [3] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of 141 million yuan, 202 million yuan, and 295 million yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 2.53 yuan, 3.61 yuan, and 5.28 yuan per share [3] - The company is focusing on expanding its production capacity, with new facilities expected to be completed by November 2025, aiming for an annual capacity of 80 million pieces by the end of 2025 and 97 million pieces by 2026 [4] - The domestic market for Electronic Limited Slip Differential (ELSD) is expected to grow significantly, driven by the need for improved vehicle stability and safety, particularly in electric vehicles [5] Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 207 million yuan, with a projected increase to 481 million yuan in 2025E and 890 million yuan in 2027E, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [6][9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 42.1% in 2023A to 50.5% in 2027E, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 23.8% to 33.1% over the same period [10] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 18.7% in 2023A to 28.4% in 2027E, indicating strong profitability [10]

江苏林泰新材科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、 投资者关系活动类别 □特定对象调研 证券代码：920106 证券简称：林泰新材 公告编号：2025-124 √业绩说明会 □媒体采访 □现场参观 □新闻发布会 □分析师会议 □路演活动 □其他 二、 投资者关系活动情况 活动时间：2025 年 10 月 31 日 活动地点：线上电话会议 参会单位及人员：创金合信、中泰证券、长江证券、华鑫证券、君茂资本、 华商基金、上海森锦投资、申万宏源、长承私募、益和源资产、第一创业、中信 证券、兴业证券、华源证券、天弘基金、中庚基金、中信建投基金、中邮创业基 金、同泰基金、西部利得基金、联储证券、开源证券、东方证券、浙商证券、民 生证券、红塔证券、江海证券、富德生命人寿、上汽金控、上海临信、尚诚资产、 大湾区发展基金、滦海资本、汇瑾资产、星允投资、丰道投资、铁林(厦门)股权、 朴信投资、磊垚创业、四海圆通、冰河资产等 本次投资者关系活动的主要问题及公司对问题的回复 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company's Q3 revenue met expectations, but profit margins were lower than anticipated due to a decline in high-margin exports and one-time maintenance costs [5] - The company achieved a revenue of 326 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 68.9%, with a net profit of 107 million yuan, up 131.2% year-on-year [5] - The report anticipates a recovery in profit margins in Q4 2025 as one-time costs clear and sales volumes increase [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025E are 480 million yuan, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 85.4% [2][7] - The gross margin for 2025E is expected to be 45.3%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 25.7% [2] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 703 million yuan and 890 million yuan in 2026E and 2027E, respectively [2][7] Market Data - As of October 31, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 93.32 yuan, with a market capitalization of 2,732 million yuan [3] - The stock has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 35 for 2025E, decreasing to 24 in 2026E and 18 in 2027E [2][3] Revenue and Profitability Analysis - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 39.4%, down from previous quarters, primarily due to a decrease in the proportion of high-margin exports and increased one-time maintenance costs [5] - The report highlights that the company is focusing on domestic markets, particularly in supplying to new energy vehicle manufacturers, which is expected to drive future growth [5] Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in Q4 2025, with a return to stable profit margins and continued growth in both domestic and export sales [5] - The introduction of new products, such as the electronic control limited-slip differential (ELSD), is anticipated to contribute to the company's growth trajectory starting next year [5]

证券代码：920106 证券简称：林泰新材 公告编号：2025-122 江苏林泰新材科技股份有限公司 第二届董事会第十六次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、会议召开和出席情况 （一）会议召开情况 1.会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 28 日 2.会议召开地点：林泰新材会议室 3.会议召开方式：现场及通讯方式 4.发出董事会会议通知的时间和方式：2025 年 10 月 24 日以书面方式发出 5.会议主持人：董事长刘健先生 6.会议列席人员：总经理、董事会秘书及其他高级管理人员 7.召开情况合法合规的说明： 会议召开符合《公司法》和《公司章程》的有关规定。 （二）会议出席情况 会议应出席董事 7 人，出席和授权出席董事 7 人。 二、议案审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于 2025 年三季度报告的议案》 1.议案内容： 2.议案表决结果：同意 7 票；反对 0 票；弃权 0 票。 本议案已经公司董事会审计委员会审议通过，同意将议案提交董事会审议。 3.回避表决情况： 该议 ...

Market Overview - The automotive parts sector increased by 0.82% on October 29, with Sanxiang Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Top Gainers in Automotive Parts Sector - Sanxiang Technology (code: 920195) closed at 24.97, with a significant increase of 29.98% and a trading volume of 143,100 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 325 million yuan [1] - Kete Co., Ltd. (code: 920978) saw a rise of 12.23%, closing at 41.30 with a trading volume of 68,900 shares [1] - Lintai New Materials (code: 920106) increased by 12.20%, closing at 96.01 with a trading volume of 19,200 shares [1] - Other notable gainers include Jianbang Technology (10.42%), Mingke Precision Technology (9.99%), and Shanzi Gaoke (9.97%) [1] Top Losers in Automotive Parts Sector - Taixiang Co., Ltd. (code: 301192) experienced the largest decline, down 11.04% to 37.30 with a trading volume of 59,600 shares [2] - Changrun Co., Ltd. (code: 603201) fell by 9.36%, closing at 17.44 with a trading volume of 82,600 shares [2] - Qingdao Double Star (code: 6650000) decreased by 8.62%, closing at 7.00 with a trading volume of 2,072,900 shares [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The automotive parts sector saw a net inflow of 1.331 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 429 million yuan [2] - The main capital inflow was concentrated in stocks like Shanzi Gaoke, which had a net inflow of 195.5 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks with significant institutional inflows include Junsheng Electronics (40.8 million yuan) and Top Group (26.9 million yuan) [3]