刷短视频弹出"投资稳定币保本保息"的诱人广告,亲友群里转发"海外理财捷径",朋友圈看到"资产代币化 能躺着赚钱"……近年来,虚拟货币等炒作交易活动变换马甲、更新套路,不断将黑手伸向百姓"钱袋子"。 2月6日,中国人民银行等8部门联合发文,明确在境内虚拟货币相关业务活动属于非法金融活动,禁止境内 开展现实世界资产(RWA)代币化活动,进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险,合力保障人民群众财产安 全。 涉及虚拟货币的 业务活动坚决取缔 如今,虚拟货币市场"过山车"行情已呈常态:2025年10月创出每枚超12万美元价格高点的比特币,2026年2 月已跌破每枚7万美元,部分"空气币"更是单日波动幅度超20%。这期间引发多次大规模杠杆交易爆仓,数 百亿美元在一夜间"灰飞烟灭"。 此次发布的政策和此前一以贯之。兑换业务、信息中介、定价服务、代币发行融资……这些涉及虚拟货 币的业务活动被严格禁止、坚决取缔,监管力度只紧不松。 近年来,稳定币成为全球市场关注重点。近期,虚拟货币价格波动较大,一些稳定币也出现暴跌、脱钩,让市 场看到稳定币其实并不"稳定"。 此次通知对稳定币作出了清晰判断:挂钩法定货币的稳定币在流通使用中变相履行 ...

2月7日，中国人民银行、中国证监会等八部门联合发布《关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险的 通知》（以下简称《通知》），严格对虚拟货币、现实世界资产（RWA）代币化相关活动的监管。 《通知》首次明确RWA代币化"境内严禁、境外严管"的监管原则。中国证监会配套发布《关于境内资 产境外发行资产支持证券代币的监管指引》（以下简称《指引》），明确以境内资产所有权、收益权等 （以下统称"境内权益"）为基础在境外开展类资产证券化的RWA代币化业务需事前备案，即实施严格 的"备案制"，明确负面清单，划定清晰"红线"，并强化持续监管，防范风险。 中信证券首席经济学家明明在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，这一规定既可以规范RWA发行的整 体行为，降低各类欺诈风险，还能够补齐对资金内外流动的监管漏洞，防范跨境非法集资、资金逃避监 管非法流入或流出等行为。 填补监管漏洞 RWA代币化主要是指使用加密技术及分布式账本或类似技术，将资产的所有权、收益权等转化为代币 （通证）或者具有代币（通证）特性的其他权益、债券凭证，并进行发行和交易的活动。 实施严格的"备案制" 《指引》明确了对境内企业赴境外开展类资产证券化的RWA代币化业务实施 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the market is expected to continue its oscillation in the upcoming week, based on various technical indicators and market sentiment models [1][2]. - The liquidity shock indicator for the CSI 300 index was reported at 6.21, which is higher than the previous week's 5.07, suggesting that current market liquidity is significantly above the average level over the past year [2]. - The PUT-CALL ratio for the SSE 50 ETF increased to 0.96 from 0.89, indicating a rising caution among investors regarding the short-term performance of the SSE 50 ETF [2]. Group 2 - The Shanghai Composite Index and Wind All A five-day average turnover rates were recorded at 1.34% and 1.97%, respectively, indicating a decrease in trading activity, positioned at the 77.24% and 82.76% percentiles since 2005 [2]. - The official manufacturing PMI for China in January was reported at 49.3, lower than the previous value of 50.1 and below the consensus expectation of 50.18, while the S&P Global China Manufacturing PMI was at 50.3, slightly above the previous value [2]. - The SAR indicator showed that the Wind All A index broke below the reversal indicator on February 2, indicating a potential downward trend [2]. Group 3 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations last week, with the SSE 50 index down by 0.93%, the CSI 300 index down by 1.33%, the CSI 500 index down by 2.68%, and the ChiNext index down by 3.28% [3]. - The current overall market PE (TTM) stands at 23.0 times, which is at the 81.0% percentile since 2005, indicating a relatively high valuation level [3]. - Observations on factor crowding indicate a decrease in high profitability factor crowding, with small-cap factor crowding at 0.06 and low valuation factor crowding at -0.31 [3].

非银金融 2026 年 02 月 08 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究报告 《1 月基金新发显著增长，头部券商业 绩预告符合预期 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.1 《偏股基金新发同比明显增长，公募 强化基准约束—行业周报》-2026.1.25 《逆周期调节呵护"慢牛"，券商和 保险业务开门红 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.1.18 1 月新开户高增超预期，银保渠道实现开门红 ——行业周报 | 高超（分析师） | 卢崑（分析师） | 张恩琦（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | gaochao1@kysec.cn | lukun@kysec.cn | zhangenqi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520050001 | 证书编号：S0790524040002 | 证书编号：S0790125080012 | |  周观点：1 | 月新开户高增超预期，银保渠道实现开门红 | | 保险在个险和银保两端均实现开 ...

证券板块 券商经营环境进一步改善。交易活跃背景下业绩有望延续高增，上交所数据显示，2026 年 1 月 A 股新开户 491.58 万 户，环比增长 89%，同比 2025 年 1 月的 157.0 万户增长 213%；1 月日均股基成交额同比增长 157%至 3.6 万亿元，日 均两融余额同比增长 47%至 2.7 万亿元，IPO 向常态化恢复。预计交易层面 ETF 净流出将缓解、再融资影响可控，券 商的压制因素逐步解除，当前估值性价比极高。当前板块 PB（LF）估值 1.36 倍，处于十年 34%分位数。 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优质券商，重点关注国泰海通；建议关注 AH 溢价率较高、有收并购主题的券商；建议关注短期受益于科技股上市的券商。（2）四川双马：科技赛道占优，创投业 务有望受益，布局基因治疗赛道新标的，深化生物医药产业链。公司管理基金的已投项目：屹唐股份、西安奕材、沐 曦股份（科创板已上市）、奕斯伟计算以及群核科技（港交所 IPO 申报）、邦德激光、丽豪半导体等上市进程加快；公 司参投基金已投：傅利叶已完成多轮融资，奇瑞汽车港交所已上市，慧算账向港交所递 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4][48]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings, with 4.9158 million new accounts in January 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 213% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 89% [4]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift of funds from traditional banks to capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, driven by the expiration of 70 trillion yuan in one-year or longer deposits and a decline in net interest margins [4]. - The report discusses the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerages [4]. - The report notes that the international business landscape for brokerages is expanding due to the deepening process of RMB internationalization and the demand for cross-border wealth management and investment banking services [4]. - The report mentions that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting a strong confidence in the insurance sector [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,643.60 with a decline of 1.33%, while the non-bank index closed at 2,030.92 with a decline of 0.60% [8]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [8]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [10]. - Ping An Group's recent acquisitions of shares in China Life (H) are detailed, showcasing a strategic investment approach [12]. - Huatai Securities plans to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development [14]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brokerages with strong comprehensive capabilities, recommending stocks such as Guotai Junan A+H, GF Securities A+H, and CITIC Securities A+H [4]. - For insurance, the report recommends China Life (H), New China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance, highlighting the systemic value reassessment opportunities in the insurance sector [4].

中电科蓝天科技股份有限公司 首次公开发行股票科创板 上市公告书提示性公告 保荐人（主承销商）：中信建投证券股份有限公司 联席主承销商：国泰海通证券股份有限公司 扫描二维码查阅公告全文 本公司及全体董事、高级管理人员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整、 及时，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 经上海证券交易所审核同意，中电科蓝天科技股份有限公司（以下简称"电 科蓝天""公司""本公司"或"发行人"）发行的人民币普通股股票将于 2026 年 2 月 10 日在上海证券交易所科创板上市，上市公告书全文和首次公开发行股票 的招股说明书在上海证券交易所网站（http://www.sse.com.cn/）和符合中国证监 会 规 定 条 件 网 站 （ 中 证 网 ， https://www.cs.com.cn/ ； 中 国 证 券 网 ， https://www.cnstock.com/；证券时报网，https://www.stcn.com/；证券日报网， http://www.zqrb.cn/ ； 经 济 参 考 网 ， http://www.jjckb.cn/ ； 金 融 时 报 网 ： https://www. ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Sentiment Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The sentiment model is designed to measure the strength of market sentiment using factors related to limit-up and limit-down stocks[14] - **Model Construction Process**: The model incorporates factors such as the proportion of net limit-up stocks, next-day returns of limit-down stocks, proportion of limit-up stocks, proportion of limit-down stocks, and high-frequency board-hitting returns. These factors are aggregated to generate a sentiment score, with a maximum score of 5. The sentiment score for the current period is 0[14][18] - **Model Evaluation**: The sentiment model indicates weak market sentiment, as reflected by the score of 0[14][18] 2. Model Name: Moving Average Strength Index - **Model Construction Idea**: This model evaluates the strength of market trends by calculating the moving average strength index based on secondary industry indices[14] - **Model Construction Process**: The moving average strength index is calculated using the performance of secondary industry indices. The current market score is 181, which corresponds to the 62.50th percentile since 2023[14] - **Model Evaluation**: The model suggests that the market still has significant downside potential[14] 3. Model Name: High-Frequency Capital Flow Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses high-frequency capital flow trends to generate buy and sell signals for major broad-based indices[14] - **Model Construction Process**: The model tracks high-frequency capital flows and generates signals for indices such as CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000. The signals for all indices are currently negative, indicating a bearish outlook[14][18] - **Model Evaluation**: The model shows a bearish signal across all major indices, reflecting weak market conditions[14][18] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Sentiment Model - Sentiment score: 0 (out of 5)[14][18] 2. Moving Average Strength Index - Current score: 181 (62.50th percentile since 2023)[14] 3. High-Frequency Capital Flow Model - CSI 300: Negative signal - CSI 500: Negative signal - CSI 1000: Negative signal - CSI 2000: Negative signal[14][18] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Factor Crowding Indicator - **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor crowding indicator measures the degree of crowding in specific factors, which can serve as a warning for factor underperformance[19] - **Factor Construction Process**: The indicator is calculated using four metrics: valuation spread, pairwise correlation, long-term return reversal, and factor volatility. These metrics are aggregated to produce a composite crowding score for each factor. For example: - Small-cap factor crowding score: 0.06 - Low-valuation factor crowding score: -0.31 - High-profitability factor crowding score: -0.01 - High-growth factor crowding score: 0.28[19][20] - **Factor Evaluation**: The crowding scores indicate varying levels of crowding across factors, with low-valuation and high-profitability factors showing negative scores, suggesting potential underperformance[19][20] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Factor Crowding Indicator - Small-cap factor crowding score: 0.06 - Low-valuation factor crowding score: -0.31 - High-profitability factor crowding score: -0.01 - High-growth factor crowding score: 0.28[19][20]

Core Insights - The article highlights the fundraising activities of various investment funds in January 2026, with a total of 17 fundraising events amounting to over 270 billion RMB [2]. Fundraising Activities - Hengxu Capital completed the first closing of its fourth flagship fund, raising over 2 billion RMB, with a target final closing of 3.5 billion RMB [5][7]. - Dongfang Jiafu National SME Development Sub-Fund successfully completed its first closing of 1.6 billion RMB, with a total target of 2 billion RMB, focusing on advanced manufacturing, new materials, and health sectors [8][9]. - Zhangzhou Capital Operations Group and CICC established a healthcare fund with a total scale of 1 billion RMB, targeting traditional Chinese medicine and biomedicine [10][11]. - China Resources Capital launched a 1 billion RMB fund focused on chemical innovation drugs and high-end medical devices [12]. - Caitong Capital's two funds completed expansion, raising over 2.4 billion RMB to support the development of Taizhou Bay New Area [13]. - Kaibo Capital's Kaibo Nord Energy Storage Fund completed registration with a scale of 400 million RMB, focusing on independent energy storage projects [14][15]. - Deth Capital initiated a 500 million RMB fund aimed at the cultural and film sectors [18]. - The Baiyin Specialty Industry Fund, managed by Jincheng Capital, successfully registered with a scale of 200 million RMB, focusing on local specialty industries [19][20]. - Guangzhou Industrial Control Group launched a 1 billion RMB fund to support early-stage technology companies [21]. - Hushan Capital's new fund focusing on AI and semiconductor industries completed its first closing at 400 million RMB [22]. - Hubei Port and Shipping Development Fund completed expansion, reaching a scale of 2.8 billion RMB [24]. - Luxin Venture Capital initiated a 1 billion RMB fund targeting the artificial intelligence sector [26][27]. - Electric Science Investment established a 2 billion RMB electronic basic industry fund [28]. - Shangcheng Capital launched a 10 billion RMB fund to support AI and embodied intelligence industries [29]. - Beigong Investment and Jizhi Future established a 200 million RMB venture capital fund focusing on AI and new information technology [30]. - SPD Bank launched the "Puchuang Huazhang" science and technology direct investment fund with a scale of 500 million RMB [32][33]. - The "Golden Seed" fund for university student entrepreneurship was established with a scale of 45 million RMB [34][35].

Core Viewpoint - The joint notification issued by eight Chinese regulatory bodies emphasizes that virtual currencies do not hold the same legal status as fiat currencies and that activities related to virtual currencies are illegal financial activities within China [1][2][4]. Group 1: Virtual Currency Regulation - The notification reiterates the prohibition of virtual currency activities in China, stating that they are illegal financial activities [2][4]. - It specifies that stablecoins linked to fiat currencies, particularly the Chinese yuan, cannot be issued abroad without approval from relevant authorities [4]. - The notification highlights the risks associated with virtual currencies, including cross-border transmission of risks and the potential for illegal fundraising and securities trading [4][7]. Group 2: Real-World Asset Tokenization - The notification defines real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and establishes a regulatory framework that prohibits RWA tokenization activities within China while imposing strict regulations on overseas activities [1][5]. - It emphasizes that any RWA tokenization activities must comply with the principle of "same business, same risk, same rules" and require approval from relevant regulatory bodies [5][6]. - The notification aims to combat illegal financial activities and protect national security and social stability by strictly regulating RWA tokenization [5][7]. Group 3: Enforcement and Compliance - The notification outlines the responsibilities of provincial governments in managing and controlling virtual currency mining activities, reinforcing the ban on such operations [8]. - It calls for strict enforcement against illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and RWA tokenization, with legal consequences for violations [7][8]. - The notification encourages research into the technological foundations of virtual currencies, such as blockchain, while promoting controlled exploration of digital currency applications in cross-border payments [8].