发展新能源汽车是我国从汽车大国迈向汽车强国的必由之路。当前，新能源汽车正逐步成为新车销售主 流，在这一关键节点上，业界更需锚定"稳预期、提质效、优环境"的核心方向，持续推动产业高质量发 展。 政府相关部门在此过程中肩负着重要使命，需着力完善新能源汽车消费支持长效机制，为产业发展营造 稳定的政策预期。具体而言，要尽快明确汽车"以旧换新"政策的接续方案，确保新能源汽车购置税减免 优惠政策有效落实，并提前谋划政策退出的平稳过渡路径；同时，遵循产业发展与财政可持续平衡的原 则，优化新能源汽车税收体系，研究探索差异化征管模式，例如按节能减排效果征收车辆购置税、按动 力电池容量或耗电量征收消费税，以及按行驶里程或充电环节征税补充公路养护费用等，为产业发展筑 牢稳定的政策支撑。 根据中国汽车工业协会最新发布的数据，今年10月，我国新能源汽车销量达171.5万辆，同比增长 20％，占汽车总销量的51.6％。这标志着我国新能源汽车单月销量渗透率首次突破50％大关，成为新车 销售市场的主流选择。 新能源汽车的快速增长，得益于国内外市场协同发力及纯电、插电两种动力类型的双轮驱动。在国内市 场，纯电动汽车成为增长核心引擎。10月，新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing a significant transformation driven by competition among different technology routes, including pure electric, plug-in hybrid, and range-extended vehicles. This has led to a shift in the relationship between manufacturers and suppliers, emphasizing collaboration and shared growth in the face of survival anxiety [5][7][14]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The competition in the automotive sector is intensifying, with the landscape for electrification still uncertain while the race for intelligence in vehicles is accelerating [5]. - Suppliers are now taking on a more prominent role in defining technologies, particularly in key areas such as the three electric systems, intelligent driving, and vehicle chips, marking a structural shift in their industry position [7]. - The relationship between manufacturers and suppliers is evolving from a linear model to a collaborative partnership, especially as Chinese automotive companies expand globally [7][9]. Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - Despite an increase in orders for many component manufacturers, profit margins are shrinking, leading to a paradox where value creation is becoming more challenging [7]. - The automotive industry is entering a critical phase of scale development, with projections indicating that by 2025, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China will exceed 50% [28]. - The industry faces regulatory challenges, such as the EU battery regulations that trace carbon footprints back to mineral sourcing, necessitating a transformation in supply chain structures [23][24]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - The focus on quality is paramount, as it is seen as the foundation for long-term cooperation and high-quality development within the industry [18]. - Innovations in thermal management systems are becoming increasingly important, with energy consumption in electric vehicles attributed to these systems ranging from 15% to 20% [28]. - The integration of new refrigerants and thermal management technologies is essential for improving vehicle performance and reducing costs [36][40]. Group 4: Strategic Collaborations - Companies are encouraged to shift from a transactional relationship to a co-creative partnership, enhancing their collaborative capabilities to develop core technologies together [26]. - The automotive sector is witnessing a trend towards creating shared, open, and win-win ecosystems, moving away from short-term transactional dynamics [24]. - The emphasis on long-term strategic collaboration is crucial for navigating the competitive landscape and ensuring sustainable growth [24][26].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic partnership between SK On and Geely Automobile Group, focusing on the establishment of a joint venture for the production of square lithium iron phosphate batteries, which aims to enhance both companies' competitiveness in the electric vehicle market [3][5][6]. Group 1: Partnership Development Timeline - The collaboration between SK On and Geely began in November 2023 with a battery module supply agreement for Geely's Polestar 5 model starting in 2025 [3]. - In June 2024, a strategic cooperation framework agreement was signed, expanding their collaboration to electric vehicle batteries and green methanol energy technology [3]. - By July 2024, discussions were ongoing regarding battery supply contracts, but negotiations faced interruptions due to declining electric vehicle demand and U.S. tariffs [3]. - In the third quarter of 2025, SK On formed a special task force to revive negotiations, focusing on converting existing facilities in Hungary into a joint production base [3][4]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Market Strategy - The proposed joint venture will transform SK On's existing factories in Komárom, Hungary, which have capacities of 7.5 GWh and 10 GWh, primarily supplying soft-pack batteries to European automakers [4]. - This partnership is crucial for SK On to optimize its production capacity and gain financial support from Geely, especially in light of the current downturn in electric vehicle demand [4][5]. - The joint venture is expected to prioritize orders from Geely in the European market, enhancing SK On's business presence in Europe [5]. Group 3: Financial and Operational Implications - SK On reported a revenue of 1.81 trillion KRW in Q3 2025, with an operating loss of 124.8 billion KRW, highlighting the financial pressures the company faces [5]. - The partnership with Geely allows for shared production facilities, reducing capital investment and operational costs for Geely in Europe, where there is a preference for brownfield investments [5][6]. - Geely aims to increase its self-supply ratio of battery cells to 30% within two years while maintaining a 70% external procurement ratio, balancing technology independence and supply chain stability [6].

Core Viewpoint - The proposal by former President Trump to terminate strict fuel economy standards set by the Biden administration poses a significant challenge to Europe's aggressive policies on banning fuel vehicles, highlighting a shift in the automotive industry's dynamics towards a more sustainable and diversified future led by China's oil-electric hybrid strategy [1][9]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Impacts - Trump's proposal aims to reduce the average cost of purchasing new cars by $1,000, potentially saving Americans $109 billion over five years [3]. - The new fuel efficiency standard proposed by Trump's administration requires vehicles to achieve approximately 34 miles per gallon by 2031, compared to Biden's target of 50 miles per gallon [2]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry's core profits are derived from fuel vehicles, and the transition to electric vehicles represents a significant restructuring of interests, with traditional automakers facing survival pressures due to lost profits from engine manufacturing and after-sales services [4]. - The shift in stance among U.S. automakers from supporting electric vehicle initiatives to opposing stringent regulations reflects the industry's struggle with profit erosion amid changing policies [4]. Group 3: European Market Challenges - European automakers are under severe pressure from the EU's legislation to ban fuel vehicles by 2035, which is seen as overly ambitious and detrimental to businesses [5]. - The EU's "Fit for 55" plan aims for a 55% reduction in new car carbon emissions by 2030, with a complete transition to zero emissions by 2035, but this has led to some companies planning to abandon engine development altogether [5]. Group 4: Global Automotive Trends - The trend of oil-electric hybrid strategies is gaining traction globally, with Asian automakers, particularly Chinese brands like BYD, Geely, and Chery, significantly increasing their market share [7][8]. - The global automotive market remains predominantly fuel-based, with 73% of vehicles still using fuel, indicating that a rapid transition to electric vehicles is unlikely in the short term [8]. Group 5: China's Strategic Position - China's oil-electric hybrid strategy is viewed as a successful model, with the recent release of the 3.0 roadmap emphasizing the continued importance of internal combustion engines alongside electric vehicles [10]. - By 2040, it is projected that 85% of new passenger vehicles in China will be electric, with a significant market still remaining for non-pure electric models, positioning Chinese automakers as key players in the global automotive technology landscape [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is transitioning from automotive manufacturing to AI technology, with significant growth expected in revenue and profit margins by 2026 [1][8] - The company plans to launch seven new models in 2026, focusing on both pure electric and extended-range vehicles, while expanding its global presence [8][41] - The Robotaxi segment is anticipated to reshape the Chinese transportation market, with commercial operations expected to accelerate in 2026 [8][50] Summary by Sections C-end Smart Vehicles - The company aims to build a "mass production capability" for multiple successful vehicle models, leveraging a platform-based technology approach [14][15] - The introduction of the X9 EREV model highlights the company's focus on long-range capabilities and efficient energy consumption [23][30] - The company has achieved significant growth in monthly deliveries, indicating a successful product strategy [20][41] B-end Robotaxi - The company is positioned to benefit from favorable policies and technological advancements in the Robotaxi market, with expectations for commercial operations to begin in 2026 [50] - The Robotaxi project is expected to leverage the company's AI capabilities and innovative business models to capture market share [8][50] Collaboration with Volkswagen - The partnership with Volkswagen has evolved from joint vehicle development to deeper collaboration on electronic architecture and AI technology [8][24] - The collaboration is expected to enhance the company's market position as a provider of intelligent technology solutions [8][24] Robotics and Flying Cars - The company is advancing its robotics initiatives, with plans for commercial applications of its IRON robot in various service scenarios by 2026 [8][24] - The flying car project is nearing production, with successful test flights and significant pre-orders indicating strong market interest [8][24]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive industry is facing a significant downturn, with 2026 expected to be one of the most challenging years in its history due to declining sales and market conditions [5][37]. Group 1: Market Performance - Retail sales of passenger cars in China saw a 15% year-on-year increase earlier this year, but growth has rapidly declined since July, with October experiencing an overall negative growth [7][39]. - In November, daily retail sales averaged 4.6 million units, down 19% year-on-year in the first week, and 6.7 million units, down 9% in the second week [8][39]. - Major automakers are struggling to meet their sales targets, with only a few smaller new players achieving their goals by November [8][40]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The automotive industry is transitioning from subsidy-driven growth to competition based on real demand and efficiency, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [40][41]. - The impact of subsidies is diminishing, with over 50% of sales in 2025 attributed to trade-in programs, highlighting a reliance on government incentives [9][41]. - The market is experiencing a "strategic waiting" phase among consumers, leading to a decline in new orders as buyers anticipate better deals [15][48]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The expected decline in new energy vehicle purchase tax incentives in 2026 is anticipated to further exacerbate market challenges [15][47]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is slowing, with a notable drop in total retail volume despite high growth rates in percentage terms [15][47]. - The industry is likely to undergo a significant restructuring, with weaker companies facing exit from the market, marking a shift from scale expansion to value competition [32][65]. Group 4: Technological Developments - The automotive sector is exploring various technological advancements, including smart driving and battery innovations, but progress varies across different areas [51][54]. - The introduction of solid-state batteries and centralized computing is underway, but widespread adoption is not expected until 2026 or later [54][55]. - The smart driving sector is experiencing a technological leap, with new models expected to enhance user trust and influence purchasing decisions in 2026 [57][60].

Group 1 - The "2025 International Automotive Design Forum" was held in Shanghai, focusing on the development of "Chinese Design • Global Aesthetics" and the release of the "Research White Paper on China's Automotive Design Discourse System (Third Edition)" [1] - Geely shared its "Nine Principles of Design" and various research initiatives, emphasizing the transition of Chinese automotive original design from exploration to precise focus, thereby solidifying its theoretical foundation [3] - Geely has established five global design centers in Shanghai, Ningbo, Milan, Gothenburg, and Coventry, integrating global perspectives with Eastern wisdom, which enhances the global automotive design landscape with a touch of Chinese aesthetics [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the launch of Geely's flagship MPV model V900, which incorporates a new generation of super AI range extension technology, addressing diverse family travel needs with four core advantages: larger space, stronger four-wheel drive performance, higher overall energy efficiency, and enhanced AI intelligence [2] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - The new generation super AI range extension technology is built on the GEA Evo global intelligent new energy architecture, moving beyond traditional range extension technology by focusing on user scenarios to reconstruct technical value [4] - The range extension electric drive features a stacked layout, integrating the front powertrain into a compact space of 0.4 cubic meters, achieving a high usable space rate of 91.8%, allowing for comfortable seating arrangements even with child seats [4] Group 2: Performance and Efficiency - The V900 is equipped with a dual-motor four-wheel drive system that balances energy efficiency for daily commuting with the ability to switch to four-wheel drive for enhanced power when needed, supported by a 90kW high-power P1 generator [4] - The vehicle boasts an impressive range extension thermal efficiency of 47.26%, translating to 3.77 kWh of electricity generated per liter of fuel, with a low cost of 1.9 yuan per kWh [4] Group 3: AI Integration - The AI-powered Starry AI Cloud Power 2.5 system acts as the vehicle's "smart brain," enabling intelligent decision-making for power distribution and fuel-electric switching based on real-time road conditions, ensuring a smooth driving experience while optimizing energy consumption [5] - The V900 offers a combined range of 1200 km and a pure electric range of 240 km, effectively alleviating range anxiety and making long-distance travel feasible with minimal charging [5] Group 4: User-Centric Solutions - The V900 addresses winter travel challenges for northern users with a smart four-wheel drive system that can detect icy road conditions and adjust modes for better traction, while the AI energy management system ensures stable range performance in cold weather [7] - The vehicle includes luxury features such as a 27-speaker Flyme Sound system and a 17.7-inch anti-pinch viewing screen, along with robust safety systems, providing a warm, comfortable, and secure travel experience for families in winter [7] - Geely emphasizes that technology should serve user needs, positioning the V900 as a versatile travel partner that balances space, comfort, performance, and energy efficiency, while redefining the value standards for flagship MPVs [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that 2026 is expected to be a challenging year for the Chinese automotive industry, with significant declines in sales and a shift from subsidy-driven growth to competition based on real demand and efficiency [2][9]. Sales Performance - Retail sales of passenger cars in China saw a 15% year-on-year growth at the beginning of the year, but the growth rate has sharply declined since July, with October experiencing an overall negative growth [4][8]. - In November, the average daily retail sales of passenger cars were 46,000 units, down 19% year-on-year in the first week, 9% in the second week, and 7% in the third week [6]. Company Targets and Achievements - BYD aimed for 4.6 million units and achieved 4.18 million units by November, facing challenges to meet its target [7]. - SAIC Group set a target of 4.5 million units, with 4.11 million units sold by November, likely to meet its goal [7]. - Chery and Li Auto are unlikely to meet their targets, while Xiaomi and Leap Motor have already achieved theirs [11]. Market Dynamics - The automotive industry is experiencing its lowest profit margins in five years, with an average profit margin of only 3.8%, leading to significant price reductions [8]. - The market is shifting from a subsidy-driven model to one focused on genuine consumer demand and efficiency, indicating a potential industry "cold wave" in 2026 [8][41]. Subsidy Impact - The impact of subsidies is diminishing, with over 50% of sales in 2025 attributed to trade-in programs, which are now facing adjustments and reductions in many regions [10][13]. - The withdrawal of subsidies is leading to a significant drop in consumer purchasing activity, as many are adopting a "wait-and-see" approach [19][23]. Technological Developments - The article discusses various technological advancements in the automotive sector, including developments in autonomous driving and battery technology, which are seen as potential growth areas for 2026 [26][30]. - The shift towards "software-defined vehicles" and advancements in intelligent driving systems are expected to play a crucial role in the market's future [30][40]. Industry Outlook - The automotive industry is facing a structural adjustment, with weaker companies likely to exit the market as competition intensifies [47]. - The transition from scale expansion to value competition is seen as essential for the long-term health of the industry, with a focus on innovation and efficiency [47][48].

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 浙江吉利控股集团有限公司，成立于2003年，位于杭州市，是一家以从事汽车制造业为主的企业。企业 注册资本103000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，浙江吉利控股集团有限公司共对外投资了38家企 业，参与招投标项目523次，财产线索方面有商标信息5000条，专利信息5000条，此外企业还拥有行政 许可274个。 国家知识产权局信息显示，浙江极氪智能科技有限公司、浙江吉利控股集团有限公司取得一项名为"储 能柜的控制方法和电子设备"的专利，授权公告号CN115782659B，申请日期为2022年12月。 天眼查资料显示，浙江极氪智能科技有限公司，成立于2021年，位于宁波市，是一家以从事研究和试验 发展为主的企业。企业注册资本1300000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，浙江极氪智能科技有限公 司共对外投资了10家企业，参与招投标项目195次，专利信息5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可4个。 ...