宏观日报 | 2026-01-23 关注宽松货币政策推进 中观事件总览 生产行业：1）SpaceX计划于2027年推出其第二代星链系统，旨在提供更高速的网络服务。二代星链系统预计将提 供类似5G的连接服务，整体容量将比一代提高100多倍，吞吐量提升20倍以上。根据现有进展，美国联邦通信委员 会（FCC）本月已批准SpaceX的申请，允许其再部署7500颗第二代星链卫星，以进一步提升其全球互联网服务能 力。 服务行业：1）中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜接受记者采访时表示，2026年，中国人民银行将继续实施好适 度宽松的货币政策，把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，发挥增量政策和存量政策集 成效应。总量政策方面，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充裕，使社会融资规模、货币 供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配。今年降准降息还有一定的空间。2）据央行官网，为保持银 行体系流动性充裕，2026年1月23日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展9000亿元 MLF操作，期限为1年期。这意味着1月MLF续作加量7000亿，净投放规模显著加大。此外，本月两 ...

AI基金华宝新机遇混合A（162414）披露2025年四季报，第四季度基金利润21.36万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0091元。报告期内，基金净值增长率为 0.5%，截至四季度末，基金规模为4562.05万元。 该基金属于灵活配置型基金。截至1月22日，单位净值为1.892元。基金经理是林昊和唐雪倩，目前共同管理4只基金。其中，截至1月22日，华宝新价值混合 近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达22.06%；华宝安享混合A最低，为4.23%。 基金管理人在四季报中表示，权益方面，四季度权益资产震荡，但上证指数整体收红，仍然延续了上行的态势。从风格上而言，三季度表现强势的大盘成长 风格出现小幅调整，大盘价值和小微盘股票相对占优。行业方面，周期品及能源类板块占优，有色、石油、钢铁、化工行业表现居前，成长板块分化，通信 （光模块）及军工（卫星链）表现居前，其它成长行业则高位有所调整。基金在报告期内维持了权益资产的整体仓位，未来仍将恪守投资边际，在 A 股市 场中寻找具有较高盈利质量和行业代表性的股票进行组合配置，同时关注估值上行后不同板块的估值比较，希望能够在长期中为持有人寻找和实现可以满足 资产配置收益需求的资 ...

Core Viewpoint - The six major banks in China have collectively announced the implementation of the latest fiscal interest subsidy policy for personal consumption loans, aiming to enhance related services and support consumer spending [1]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The implementation period for the fiscal interest subsidy policy for personal consumption loans has been extended to December 31, 2026 [1]. - The scope of support has been expanded to include credit card bill installment services [1]. Group 2: Subsidy Expansion - The subsidy field has been broadened by removing the restriction on single transactions of 50,000 yuan and above [1]. - The subsidy standard has been improved by eliminating the cap of 500 yuan on single transaction subsidies and the previous limit of 1,000 yuan on cumulative subsidies for each borrower at a single institution [1]. Group 3: Existing Agreements - For loans that have already signed the "Fiscal Interest Subsidy Service Agreement for Personal Consumption Loans," any consumption occurring after January 1, 2026, will automatically apply the latest fiscal interest subsidy policy without the need to re-sign the agreement [1].

AI基金申万菱信红利量化选股股票A（017292）披露2025年四季报，第四季度基金利润71.72万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.0717元。报告期内，基金净 值增长率为6.31%，截至四季度末，基金规模为1160.29万元。 该基金属于标准股票型基金。截至1月22日，单位净值为1.283元。基金经理是刘敦和夏祥全，目前共同管理的3只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至1月22 日，申万菱信中证1000指数增强A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达42.72%；申万菱信量化对冲策略灵活配置混合发起式A最低，为8.57%。 基金管理人在四季报中表示，作为一只普通股票型基金，本基金采用数量化方法，基于红利主题股票，在保持"红利"特性的基础上，结合基本面、预期、价 量等维度的多因子模型进行选股，力争构建具有性价比的投资组合。从结果来看，模型筛选的股票组合与业绩比较基准 2025 年四季度的行情特征较为一 致，报告期内本基金净值表现跑赢业绩比较基准，同时组合的构建从合同约定的红利主题股票池出发，且保持了组合的"红利"特性。 截至1月22日，申万菱信红利量化选股股票A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为9.38%，位于同类可比基金6 ...

一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【央行行长潘功胜：继续维护好金融市场平稳运行，支持资本市场稳定发展】1月22日，央行行长潘功胜在接受 采访时表示，2026年，央行将继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策，把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币 政策的重要考量，发挥增量政策和存量政策集成效应，为经济稳定增长、高质量发展和金融市场稳定运行营造 良好的货币金融环境，为实现"十五五"良好开局提供有力的金融支撑。潘功胜谈到，总量政策方面，灵活高效运 用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充裕，使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水 平预期目标相匹配。今年降准降息还有一定的空间。央行还将做好利率政策执行和监督，促进社会综合融资成 本低位运行。结构性政策方面，央行已在今年年初先行出台一批货币金融政策，对结构性货币政策工具的政策 要素作了优化完善。 【央行连续11个月加量操作MLF，加码中长期资金投放】央行1月22日发布中期借贷便利招标公告称，为保持银 行体系流动性充裕，1月23日，将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展9000亿元中期借贷便利 （MLF）操作，期限为1年期。鉴于本月2000亿元MLF到期，央行1月 ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 天眼查资料显示，中国工商银行股份有限公司，成立于1985年，位于北京市，是一家以从事货币金融服 务为主的企业。企业注册资本35640625.7089万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中国工商银行股份有 限公司共对外投资了28家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息969条，专利信息 5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可79个。 来源：市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示，中国工商银行股份有限公司取得一项名为"云平台接口生成方法和装置"的专 利，授权公告号CN114911858B，申请日期为2022年5月。 ...

Economic Policy - The People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, utilizing various tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions to maintain ample liquidity [1] - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments have issued opinions to promote high-quality development in the pharmaceutical retail industry, supporting mergers and acquisitions among retail pharmacies [1] Capital Market Developments - The People's Bank of China announced a 900 billion yuan MLF operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system, with a one-year term [3] - Public funds have focused on core sectors such as electronics and power equipment, with Zhongji Xuchuang becoming the largest holding stock, valued at 78.421 billion yuan [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 93.6 billion yuan in special bonds to support over 4,500 projects across various sectors, driving total investment exceeding 460 billion yuan [3] Industry Highlights - The commercial aerospace sector is gaining attention, with Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO status changing to "inquiry" as it aims to become the first commercial aerospace stock [7] - Domestic AI chip company Suiyuan Technology has received approval for its IPO, aiming to raise 6 billion yuan for AI chip development [7] - The human-shaped robot sector remains active, with Zhejiang's innovation center completing a 450 million yuan Pre-A round of financing [7] Company Updates - Zhaoyi Innovation expects a net profit of 1.61 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 46%, benefiting from AI computing demand [8] - ST Biology announced the termination of its major asset restructuring plan to acquire a 51% stake in Hunan Huize Biomedical Technology [9] - Xiaomi Group plans to repurchase up to 2.5 billion Hong Kong dollars of its Class B shares starting January 23 [10] - Alibaba has decided to support its chip subsidiary "Pingtouge" for future independent listing, initiating a restructuring process [11] - Intel reported a fourth-quarter revenue of 13.674 billion dollars, with a net loss of 591 million dollars, while its annual revenue was 52.853 billion dollars [11]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Administration have announced an extension of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy until the end of 2026, which now includes credit card installment payments [1] Group 1: Policy Changes - The implementation period for the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy has been extended to December 31, 2026 [1] - The scope of support has been expanded to include credit card installment payment services [1] - The subsidy field has been broadened by removing the restriction on single transactions of 50,000 yuan and above [1] Group 2: Subsidy Standards - The subsidy standard has been improved by eliminating the cap of 500 yuan on the subsidy amount for single transactions [1] - The previous limit of 1,000 yuan on the total subsidy for each borrower at a single institution for transactions below 50,000 yuan has been removed [1] Group 3: Existing Agreements - For loans that have already signed the "Personal Consumption Loan Interest Subsidy Service Agreement," any consumption occurring after January 1, 2026, will automatically apply the latest interest subsidy policy without the need to re-sign the agreement [1]

国家知识产权局信息显示，中国工商银行股份有限公司取得一项名为"业务推荐方法、装置、计算机设 备和存储介质"的专利，授权公告号CN116127183B，申请日期为2022年11月。 天眼查资料显示，中国工商银行股份有限公司，成立于1985年，位于北京市，是一家以从事货币金融服 务为主的企业。企业注册资本35640625.7089万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中国工商银行股份有 限公司共对外投资了28家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息969条，专利信息 5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可79个。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Zhongtai Dividend Quantitative Stock Selection A (021167) reported a profit of 349,400 yuan in Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0311 yuan. The fund's net value growth rate for the reporting period was 2.76%, and the fund size reached 12.6287 million yuan by the end of Q4 2025 [3]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 1.148 yuan. The fund manager, Zou Wei, currently manages five funds. The Zhongtai CSI 500 Index Enhanced A had the highest one-year growth rate at 43.81%, while the Zhongtai Dividend Quantitative Stock Selection A had the lowest at 13.09% [3]. - The fund's performance over the past three months showed a growth rate of 0.96%, ranking 105 out of 121 comparable funds. Over the past six months, the growth rate was 4.90%, ranking 103 out of 121. The one-year growth rate was 13.09%, ranking 110 out of 119 [4]. Risk and Management - The fund's Sharpe ratio since inception is 0.748 [9]. The maximum drawdown since inception is 12.37%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q2 2025 at 6.3% [11]. - The average stock position since inception is 90.65%, compared to the peer average of 88.34%. The fund reached a peak stock position of 92.43% at the end of H1 2025 and a low of 85.08% at the end of Q3 2024 [13]. Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q4 2025, the fund's size was 12.6287 million yuan. The top ten holdings are stable and include China Merchants Bank, China State Construction, Agricultural Bank of China, Midea Group, Kweichow Moutai, Chengdu Bank, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Hisense Visual Technology, Nanjing Steel, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [16][19].