| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2026-01-29 | 002028 | 思源电气 | 185.89 | 1.20 | 223.07 机构专用 | | 机构专用 | 1月29日，思源电气大宗交易成交1.2万股，成交额223.07万元，占当日总成交额的0.11%，成交价185.89元，较市场收盘价 185.89元持平。 | 权益类证券大宗交易 (协议交易) | | --- | ...

格隆汇1月28日｜华西证券研报指出，思源电气2025年业绩超预期，海外业务将持续注入增长动能。受 美国电网扩容改造&AIDC建设放量等需求驱动，美国高压设备供应紧张，电力变压器PPI指数持续上 升。国内持续加大电网相关投资，根据中国电力报公众号，"十五五"期间，国家电网公司固定资产投资 预计达到4万亿元，较"十四五"投资增长40%。该行认为，在国内电网投资的带动下，公司的国内业务 也有望实现可观增长。在全球AIDC快速发展&电网建设投资持续增长的驱动下，电力设备需求迎来景 气周期。公司作为国内输变电设备龙头企业，国内外业务表现亮眼，后续业绩有望持续增厚。维持"增 持"评级。 ...

证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 2025 年业绩超预期，海外业务将持续注入增长动能 [Table_Title2] 思源电气(002028.SZ) [Table_Summary] ►2025 年业绩超预期 公司发布 2025 年业绩快报，2025 年公司实现营收 212.1 亿元， 同比增长 37%；实现归母净利润 31.6 亿元，同比增长 54%；实 现扣非归母净利润 29.6 亿元，同比增长 58%。就 2025Q4 来看， 公司实现营收 73.8 亿元，同比增长 46%，环比增长 38%；实现 归母净利润 9.7 亿元，同比增长 74%，环比增长 8%；实现扣非 归母净利润 9.2 亿元，同比增长 95%，环比增长 15%。 ►在美国供应高压变电站设备，盈利水平有望持续提升 受美国电网扩容改造&AIDC 建设放量等需求驱动，美国高压设备 供 应 紧 张 ， 电力 变 压 器 PPI 指 数 持 续上 升 。 根据 Wood Mackenzie 报告，2025Q2 美国升压变压器、电力变压器交付周 期已分别达到 143 周、 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 21.21 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.16 billion yuan, up 54% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.96 billion yuan, reflecting a 58% increase [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing expansion and renovation of the U.S. power grid, with a tight supply-demand situation for high-voltage equipment. The delivery cycles for transformers in the U.S. have reached 143 weeks and 128 weeks for booster and power transformers, respectively [1] - Domestic investment in the power grid is increasing, with the State Grid Corporation expected to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan. The company has shown strong bidding performance in domestic projects, indicating potential for significant growth in its domestic business [2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upwards to 21.21 billion yuan and 26.83 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 35 billion yuan. The expected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 37.2%, 26.5%, and 30.5% [3] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 3.16 billion yuan and 4.24 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 6.02 billion yuan. The expected net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are 54.3%, 34.2%, and 41.8% [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 4.05 yuan for 2025, 5.43 yuan for 2026, and 7.71 yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 47X, 35X, and 25X based on the closing price of 189.26 yuan on January 27, 2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Global investment in power grid infrastructure is expected to grow over the next decade, with varying supply and demand dynamics across different regions [2][3] Regional Perspective - China: During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the power supply and demand are expected to become more balanced, leading to resilient grid investment [2] - United States: From 2025 to 2029, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for utility capital expenditures is projected to be 4.6%, with data centers being a significant contributor to power infrastructure investment due to supply bottlenecks [2] - Other Regions: Electricity consumption growth in Europe is expected to rise, while demand in emerging economies remains strong [2] Technical Perspective - The penetration rate of renewable energy continues to increase, with various grid technologies like STATCOM and flexible direct current starting to see wider adoption [2] - Green hydrogen and green alcohol are identified as long-term technological trends for deep decarbonization, with demand beginning to emerge under policy catalysts [2] Data Center Insights - Data centers are a key driver of power infrastructure investment globally, particularly in the U.S. [2] - The U.S. Department of Energy forecasts an additional load of 52 GW from data centers by 2030 compared to 2024, with some estimates reaching up to 109 GW [2] Supply Bottlenecks - The delivery cycle for power transformers remains high, currently exceeding 100 weeks [2] - Major companies are scheduling gas turbine production until 2028, driven by equipment replacement cycles, rapid expansion of AI data centers, and energy transition [2] Investment Recommendations - Power infrastructure investment remains robust, maintaining a "recommended" rating for the power equipment industry [4] - Focus on North American power equipment shortages, with key stocks including Siyi Electric (002028.SZ) and TBEA (600089.SH) [4] - Attention to new power supply technologies for data centers, with relevant stocks including Sifang Co. (601126.SH) and China XD Electric (601179.SH) [4] Power Trading Opportunities - Companies like Guoneng Rixin (301162.SZ) and Langxin Group (300682.SZ) are highlighted for their potential in the market-oriented transformation of the power industry and AI applications [5] UHV Investment - Investment in ultra-high voltage (UHV) grid infrastructure is expected to grow steadily, unaffected by external geopolitical risks, making it suitable for strategic allocation [5]

Group 1: Company Overview - The company, SmartSens, is expected to achieve a revenue of 8.8 to 9.2 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 47% to 54% [3] - The projected net profit for 2025 is estimated to be between 976 million to 1.031 billion yuan, indicating a significant year-on-year growth of 149% to 162% [3] - The company anticipates a net profit margin of 11.15% for 2025, which is an increase of 4.57 percentage points compared to the previous year, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency [4] Group 2: Product Segments - In the smartphone sector, the company has deepened collaborations with multiple clients, leading to a substantial increase in the shipment of high-end products, including 50 million pixel cameras [5] - In the automotive electronics sector, the company has seen a significant rise in the shipment of products used for intelligent driving assistance, contributing to revenue growth [5] - The smart security segment has also experienced growth, with the company increasing its market share in high-end security and smart home applications [5] Group 3: Market Trends and Opportunities - The Chinese government has announced subsidies for consumers purchasing digital and smart products, which is expected to boost sales in the consumer electronics sector [6] - Recent policy changes in Canada and Germany are expected to facilitate the export of Chinese electric vehicles, creating new competitive dynamics in the automotive market [6] - The penetration rate of passenger cars equipped with advanced driving assistance systems (L2 level) in China has reached 64%, indicating a growing market for intelligent driving technologies [6] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for SmartSens from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 90.5 billion, 122.45 billion, and 152.43 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 52%, 35%, and 24% respectively [8] - The projected net profits for the same period are 10.03 billion, 15.17 billion, and 19.83 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 155%, 51%, and 31% respectively [8] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 41, 27, and 21 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [8]

2026年以来，海外机构调研A股热情高涨，聚焦优质标的布局全年投资机会，调研方向集中于电子、电 力设备和机械设备三大行业。 1月以来海外机构调研92只股 据证券时报·数据宝统计，1月以来，海外机构调研92只股。其中，14只股获11家及以上海外机构调研， 华明装备、汇川技术、奥普特的调研家数居前，分别达到59家、53家、51家。 多家公司透露了在海外市场发展的情况。 华明装备表示，公司目前主要在土耳其、印尼有装配及试验工厂。公司的产能布局已足以应对未来一段 时间的市场需求，在海外的工厂布局更多是为了拓展及巩固当地及周边的市场，获取更多的市场机会。 下一步计划推进在沙特的产能布局及完善土耳其本土供应链。 汇川技术表示，公司希望未来海外业务占比持续提升。基于国际化目标的设定，公司现阶段在海外市场 要着力推动以下几个方面工作：一是加大力度推动公司在国际市场的品牌建设；二是快速搭建包括销 售、研发、供应链在内的国际化平台；三是借助行业定制化解决方案以及与跨国企业在中国市场深度合 作的积累，坚定执行解决方案出海的策略。 2025年12月中旬以来，机器人概念持续火热，概念指数自12月低点累计上涨超15%。据中央广播电视总 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry sectors mentioned [2]. Core Insights - The overall industry strategy focuses on the simultaneous rise in energy storage volume and price, with ongoing themes in space and AI [3]. - The new energy vehicle supply chain is entering an upward cycle, benefiting companies like CATL and EVE Energy due to the electrification upgrade and optimization of energy storage patterns [3]. - By the end of December 2025, China's electric vehicle charging infrastructure is expected to reach 20.092 million units, a year-on-year increase of 49.7% [3]. - Global energy storage battery shipments are projected to reach 640 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 82.9%, with CATL maintaining a leading position [3][25]. - The solid-state battery sector is entering a critical phase of engineering and industrialization, with companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Peking University Technology benefiting [4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage and New Energy - The energy storage trend continues to improve, with companies like Sungrow Power and Huaneng Power benefiting from a significant increase in domestic procurement, which exceeded 100 GWh for the first time [5]. - The average price of lithium battery storage systems has rebounded by 6.39% to 0.5226 yuan/Wh [5]. - AI expansion and global grid upgrades are driving demand for power equipment, benefiting companies like TBEA and Sanyuan Electric [5]. Lithium Carbonate and Battery Materials - The supply and demand for lithium carbonate are exceeding expectations, with companies like Salt Lake Potash and Hunan Youneng benefiting from favorable market conditions [4]. - The cost of phosphoric iron lithium cathode materials has increased, with processing fees rising by 318.7 yuan/ton compared to November averages [4][27]. AI and Robotics in New Energy - The integration of AI and humanoid robots in the new energy sector is gaining traction, with companies like Zhejiang Rongtai and Keda Li benefiting from advancements in robotics [7]. - Tesla's shift towards becoming a robotics company is expected to create new growth cycles, with significant implications for the automotive industry [7][26]. Market Trends and Projections - The report highlights that the global energy storage battery shipment is expected to reach 1,090 GWh in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 70% [25]. - The market for commercial energy storage products is evolving, with larger capacity batteries becoming mainstream and driving innovation in the sector [29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The report addresses key issues such as global power equipment demand from the perspective of power infrastructure investment, focusing on data center power infrastructure, overseas expansion as a long-term growth driver, and changes in the domestic power industry [6][7] - Global power infrastructure investment is expected to grow over the next decade, with varying power supply and demand situations across different regions [9][10] - Data centers are a significant driver of power infrastructure investment globally, particularly in the United States, where demand is projected to increase substantially [38][39] - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in the power sector, including the rise of new energy technologies and their implications for power equipment demand [37] Summary by Sections Power Infrastructure - Power infrastructure investment is a direct driver of power equipment demand, with a projected CAGR of 12.7% from 2020 to 2024 [14] - In China, power supply and demand are expected to trend towards balance, with resilient grid investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan [21] - In the U.S., public utility capital expenditures are expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2025 to 2029, with a focus on generation investment [28] - European electricity demand is anticipated to rebound, with emerging economies showing strong power demand growth [29] AI Data Centers - Data centers are projected to contribute nearly half of the load growth in the U.S., with significant investments from major tech companies [39] - The U.S. Department of Energy forecasts an increase of 52GW in data center load by 2030 compared to 2024 [41] - Supply bottlenecks exist in power transformers and gas turbines, impacting data center construction timelines [42] Overseas Expansion of Power Equipment - Overseas expansion is a crucial long-term growth driver for power equipment companies, with domestic firms expected to gain market share due to shorter delivery times [50] - The overseas market for power equipment is estimated to be four times larger than the domestic market, presenting significant growth opportunities [54] Power Trading - The domestic power market is undergoing significant changes, with a trend towards increased supply and demand balance and a rising share of new energy sources [62] - By the end of 2025, new energy sources are expected to fully enter the market, leading to substantial changes in operational and revenue models for power companies [72] - The retail market for electricity is projected to grow, with independent electricity sales companies expected to play a more prominent role [75]

转自：证券时报 | | | | 部分海外机构调研股 | H | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | i前杯 | 外资机构 | 2025年度归母净 | 年初以来融 | 总市值 | | | | 调研家数 | 利润预计同比增 | 资净买入 | (亿元) | | | | | 长下限 (%) | (亿元) | | | 002373 | 干方科技 | 1 | 扭亏 | 1.15 | 201.95 | | 688521 | 芯原股份 | 14 | 減5 | 4.86 | 1166.41 | | 605358 | 立昂微 | 2 | 減5 | 1.12 | 287.42 | | 688525 | 佰维存储 | 2 | 427.19 | 11.05 | 843.64 | | 300476 | 胜宏科技 | 2 | 260.35 | 0.83 | 2310.78 | | 600983 | 惠而浦 | 1 | 150.00 | 0.00 | 83.39 | | 688213 | 思特威-W | 26 | 149.00 | 2.06 | 404.20 | | 301035 | ...