行业观点 SpaceX 最快 3 月递交招股书，估值超 1.75 万亿美金。 根据21世纪经济报道，马斯克旗下的商业航天公司SpaceX正考虑最快于今年3月秘密递交首次公开募股（IPO） 文件。作为今年全球资本市场最受瞩目的潜在 IPO 项目，SpaceX 的目标估值据称将超过 1.75 万亿美元，有望 跻身全球上市公司市值排行榜前列。2026 年 2 月 2 日，SpaceX 宣布已经完成对人工智能公司 xAI 的收购。据 媒体报道，本次交易对 xAI 估值约为 2500 亿美元，合并后的公司估值达 1.25 万亿美元。这意味着短短不到 1 个 月，市场对 SpaceX 的估值预期又大幅增长。此次 IPO 的募资规模可能高达 500 亿美元，有望刷新全球 IPO 最 大募资额纪录，超过沙特阿美在 2019 年创下的 290 亿美元 IPO 募资额。对于巨额筹资的用途，此前 SpaceX CFO 布雷特·约翰森（Bret Johnsen）在致员工的备忘录中表示，IPO 募集的资金将主要用于三大领域：大幅提 升下一代重型运载火箭"星舰"（Starship）的发射频率、在太空建立人工智能数据中心，以及建设月球基地 ...

持续关注 AI Infra 及商业航天 计算机周观察 20260301 TMT 及中小盘/计算机 本篇报告梳理了过去一周科技相关热点，建议持续关注 AI Infra 及商业航天。 OpenAI 完成新一轮融资估值达到 7300 亿美元；英伟达发布 FY26Q4 业绩，营 收与利润创历史新高，数据中心贡献超九成；SpaceX 正加快推进史上最大规 模 IPO 计划，预计估值将达到 1.75 万亿美元；中国 Token 调用量首超美国， 算力云服务是最确定方向。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 285 | 5.5 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 4529.7 | 3.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 4022.3 | 3.8 | 证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2026 年 03 月 01 日 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -2.1 2.7 11.0 相对表现 -2.2 -4.7 -7.7 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Mar/25 Jun/25 Oct/25 Jan/ ...

上午盘面结构综述 一，盘面最强主线：国产链 有色 二，连板结构梳理： 燃机、电力。 长源东谷，神马电力，北京科锐 华银电力2板；豫能控股7板，赣能股份2板 算力。 豫能控股7板 昇腾。 泰嘉股份 华胜天成2板 有色。 章源钨业3板 三，题材板块梳理： 1.国产算力 昇腾。 泰嘉股份，华胜天成，拓 上午盘面结构综述 一，盘面最强主线：国产链 有色 二，连板结构梳理： 燃机、电力。 长源东谷，神马电力，北京科锐 华银电力2板；豫能控股7板，赣能股份2板 算力。 豫能控股7板 昇腾。 泰嘉股份 华胜天成2板 有色。 章源钨业3板 三，题材板块梳理： 1.国产算力 昇腾。 泰嘉股份，华胜天成，拓维信息，众诚科技，盛科通信，高新发展 云计算。 豫能控股，首都在线，杭钢股份，顺网科技，青云科技，云赛智联，城地香江，利通电子，网宿科技 推理。 云天励飞，芯原股份，翱捷科技，万通智控 2.有色。 章源钨业，云南锗业，翔鹭钨业，宝武镁业，宝钛股份，锌业股份，中钨高新，东方锆业，厦门钨业 3.航天 商航。 明志科技，飞沃科技，广联航空，海兰信，电科蓝天 太空光伏。 聚合材料，钧达股份，双良节能，亿晶光电 4.电力。 豫能控股，赣 ...

#这是一场势必不亚于10年前移动支付的大变革——最确定的方向：算力云服务！ 云厂提价背后的需求逻辑正在 强化，国内AI算力基础设施的主升或许才刚开始。 投资关键看含GPU量，国产的有边际变化，含nv的更稀缺，继续首推【协创、宏景】 #Agent使用走向平权但不普惠（都要花钱了！）。 智谱全网寻找"算力合伙人"并因运营和算力紧缺致歉。 延续周末观点，继续强CALL算力云服务 新边际变化：D.S.近期发布预期；D.S. V4首次破例优先向国产芯片开放提前访问权（REUTERS）；中国AI模型 的API调用量首次超过美国，四款大模型霸榜全球前五（OpenRouter）；华为云码道agent；再一轮的算力紧缺以及 预期的涨价潮；预期XXClaw批量出现。 #这是一场势必不亚于10年前移动支付的大变革——最确定的方向：算力云服务 延续周末观点，继续强CALL算力云服务 新边际变化：D.S.近期发布预期；D.S. V4首次破例优先向国产芯片开放提前访问权（REUTERS）；中国AI模型 的API调用量首次超过美国，四款大模型霸榜全球前五（OpenRouter）；华为云码道agent；再一轮的算力紧缺以及 预期的涨价潮；预 ...

Group 1: Market Activity - The total trading amount for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 161.69 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 179.85 billion [2] - The top traded stocks on the Shanghai Stock Connect included Qihua Technology with 2.744 billion, followed by Kweichow Moutai at 2.197 billion and Industrial Fulian at 1.889 billion [3] - On the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the leading stock was Tianfu Communication with 4.960 billion, followed by CATL at 4.709 billion and Zhongji Xuchuang at 2.732 billion [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals and power sectors showed significant gains, while the paper and semiconductor sectors experienced declines [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector had the highest net inflow of funds, while the electronics sector saw the largest net outflow [4] Group 3: Individual Stock Highlights - The stock Tuo Wei Information surged to the daily limit, receiving 1.01 billion from a single retail investor and a total of 2.55 billion from two quantitative funds [1][10] - Capital Online, another stock in the computing power leasing sector, saw four institutions buy 2.38 billion and a deep stock connect buy of 2.28 billion, but faced a sell-off of 47.64 million from one institution [1][8] - Hunan Gold experienced a 10.01% increase, with three institutions buying 2.1 billion and one institution selling 53.89 million [8] Group 4: ETF Trading - The top ETF by trading amount was the China-Korea Semiconductor ETF with 11.132 billion, showing a 27.97% increase from the previous trading day [5] - The A500 ETF fund had a trading amount of 9.8396 billion, reflecting an 8.08% decrease [5] Group 5: Futures Market - In the futures market, the main contracts for IF, IC, and IM saw both long and short positions increase, with a notable increase in short positions for the IC contract [6]

利通电子、城地香江涨停，云天励飞涨超15%，顺网科技、首都在线涨超10%，云赛智联、网宿科技、 宏景科技等跟涨。 ...

1、行情 指数继续小幅波动，市场整体较为无聊的一天。 题材方面，商业航天、太空算力早盘迎来反弹，协鑫能科、双良节能（炸）涨停，海兰信、东方日升、九丰能源、广联航空等大涨； 电力板块发力，南网能源、涪陵电力、赣能股份、闽东电力、运能控股、华银电力、金开新能等集体涨停； 有色板块集体大涨，章源钨业3连板，翔鹭钨业、宝武镁业、东方锆业、中稀有色、厦门钨业、中钨高新、锡业股份、金钼股份、湖南黄金、华 锡有色等先后涨停； 金刚石板块午后突然爆发，沃尔德（20CM）、国机精工涨停，四方达、黄河旋风、力量钻石等跟涨； 此外，稀土、钛白粉、算力、华为昇腾等均有局部强势表现，电子布、PCB、半导体、CPO等跌幅居前。 截至收盘，沪指收涨0.39%，深成指、创业板指分别收跌0.06%、1.04%，市场超3200股上涨，2000余股下跌，三市成交额近2.5万亿。 2、算力 算力板块今日盘中迎来多次局部拉升。 华胜天成2连板（炸），拓维信息、杭钢股份、烽火通信、利通电子、云天励飞（20CM）涨停； 首都在线、宏景科技、芯原股份、云从科技、顺网科技、海光信息、每日互动等盘中均有大幅走强表现。 截至收盘，算力、算力芯片板块分别收涨2.3 ...

2月27日，全市场成交额2.51万亿元，较前一交易日缩量512亿元。板块方面，小金属、稀土、有色金属板块大爆 发，电力、煤炭、锂矿等板块走高；玻璃玻纤、半导体设备、PCB、元件等板块下挫。 龙虎榜单日净买入额前三为拓维信息、华胜天成、云天励飞，分别为5.67亿元、3.93亿元、3.46亿元。 | 市场 | 4685 | 名称 | 示日涨幅 | 当日价格 | 换手率 | 全额 | 净买入 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品 | 600498 | 烽火通信 3日 | +10.01% | 51.55 | 12.35% | 76.711Z | 19.28亿 | | 源 | 600010 | 包钢股份 图 | +8.72% | 3.24 | 12.99% | 130.33亿 | 7.63 Z | | 北 | 600410 | 华胜天成 88 | +6.12% | 28.94 | 54.98% | 176.19 Z | 7.12 Z | | 深 | 000657 | 中钨高新 图 | +10.00% | 66.22 | 6.57% | 61. ...

| 加高能 | 4 2.27 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 机构资金参与个股一 | | | 证券简称 | 目涨跌幅 | 机构净买入(万元) | | 烽火通信 | 10.01% | 138717.89 | | 包钢股份 | 8.72% | 59878.59 | | 首都在线 | 10.28% | 19091.97 | | 湖南黄金 | 10.01% | 15722.05 | | 涪陵电力 | 10.02% | 15282.14 | | 章源钨业 | 10.00% | 8437.92 | | 沃尔德 | 20.00% | 8171.86 | | 宏和科技 | -6.74% | 8128.92 | | 浩云科技 | 16.54% | 7719.62 | | 神马电力 | 10.00% | 7046.87 | | 华锡有色 | 10.01% | 6961.90 | | 塞恩斯 | 18.40% | 6467.29 | | 蒸磊股份 | 3.57% | 5318.43 | | 中科环保 | -3.34% | 4489.87 | | 锡业股份 | 9.99% | 4482.69 | | 珈伟新能 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese large model market has seen a significant surge, with token usage reaching 41.2 trillion, surpassing the U.S. models for the first time [1][2] - Major Chinese models dominate the top five in usage, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape [1][2] - The market is bifurcating, with established players like BAT focusing on integrating models into existing services, while new entrants like Kimi and MiniMax are expanding their developer ecosystems [1][2] Token Usage and Developer Insights - The 41.2 trillion tokens are primarily driven by global developers, with U.S. developers accounting for 47.17% of usage compared to only 6.01% from China [2] - The surge in token usage reflects real demand from developers who are willing to invest in models that deliver performance and cost efficiency [2][6] - MiniMax M2.5 and Kimi K2.5 are highlighted for their competitive performance and cost advantages, with MiniMax achieving the highest usage in coding and search tasks [2][3] Cost Efficiency and Performance - Chinese models are significantly cheaper, costing only 1/10 to 1/20 of their U.S. counterparts, which is reshaping the economic calculations for developers [3][4] - The cost structure of models like MiniMax and Kimi allows for substantial savings in computational expenses, making them attractive options for developers [3][4] - The introduction of the "Mixture of Experts" (MoE) architecture has optimized engineering efficiency, contributing to lower costs [3] Demand Dynamics and Token Consumption - The emergence of agent-based scenarios has changed the token consumption logic, leading to exponential increases in token usage for complex tasks [5][6] - Over 70% of token consumption comes from large internet companies and professional developers, indicating a strong demand for these models in production environments [6] Business Model Evolution - The industry is shifting towards a "Results-as-a-Service" (RaaS) model, where payment is based on outcomes rather than token usage [8][9] - This transition requires a rethinking of pricing structures, moving from token-based to results-based billing, which aligns better with client expectations [9][10] - The challenge remains in accurately attributing results to AI contributions, complicating the implementation of this new model [18][19] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The current landscape shows a growing willingness among businesses to pay for quantifiable results, driven by changes in procurement processes [16][20] - The financial sustainability of new players is under scrutiny, as they face high computational costs that can exceed revenue [8][26] - The ability to successfully implement results-based pricing will be crucial for the survival and growth of these new entrants in the market [26][27]