富瑞发布研报称，对今年香港金融股前景看法正面，因新股市场活跃、结构性跨境资金流动，以及住宅 物业市场初步复苏。富瑞预期未来美联储的政策可能令HIBOR正常化，料今年上半年一个月HIBOR将 维持于2.5%水平。 信贷成本方面，富瑞看法则较为保守，偏好资产负债表较稳健及风险取态较审慎的银行。虽然今年本地 楼市初步复苏，但仍未见结构性转势。富瑞相信行业层面的不良贷款高峰期已过，预期与商业房地产相 关的不良贷款将于今年见顶回稳，其后经历一至两年的去风险过程。 股份方面，富瑞最看好港交所(00388)，因其更具杠杆效应，目前估值低于长期平均水平，升评级至"买 入"，目标价由373.94港元升至502港元。虽然富瑞亦预期本地银行股今年将录得正回报，但或因资本回 报水平较低而跑输国际同业。予中银香港(02388)及东亚银行(00023)"持有"评级，较偏好前者，基于其 基本面较具韧性及较高的回报水平; 中银目标价由31港元升至48港元。至于东亚银行，富瑞预期今年信 贷成本仍维持高企，但亦有交易机会，因考虑到潜在指数纳入及香港物业市场复苏因素。如去风险速度 较预期快，则有望带来进一步估值重估; 目标价由12港元升至16港元 ...

信贷成本方面，富瑞看法则较为保守，偏好资产负债表较稳健及风险取态较审慎的银行。虽然今年本地 楼市初步复苏，但仍未见结构性转势。富瑞相信行业层面的不良贷款高峰期已过，预期与商业房地产相 关的不良贷款将于今年见顶回稳，其后经历一至两年的去风险过程。 股份方面，富瑞最看好港交所(00388)，因其更具杠杆效应，目前估值低于长期平均水平，升评级至"买 入"，目标价由373.94港元升至502港元。虽然富瑞亦预期本地银行股今年将录得正回报，但或因资本回 报水平较低而跑输国际同业。予中银香港(02388)及东亚银行(00023)"持有"评级，较偏好前者，基于其 基本面较具韧性及较高的回报水平; 中银目标价由31港元升至48港元。至于东亚银行，富瑞预期今年信 贷成本仍维持高企，但亦有交易机会，因考虑到潜在指数纳入及香港物业市场复苏因素。如去风险速度 较预期快，则有望带来进一步估值重估; 目标价由12港元升至16港元。 富瑞发布研报称，对今年香港金融股前景看法正面，因新股市场活跃、结构性跨境资金流动，以及住宅 物业市场初步复苏。富瑞预期未来美联储的政策可能令HIBOR正常化，料今年上半年一个月HIBOR将 维持于2.5%水平 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations and declines due to the Chinese New Year holiday, with a recommendation to focus on sectors such as precious metals, energy, consumer, and technology for potential investment opportunities [1][5]. Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market had only two trading days during the week (February 16 to February 20), with the Hang Seng Index falling by 0.58%, the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 2.78%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreasing by 0.81% [2]. - Among the primary industries, eight sectors rose while three fell, with energy, materials, and industrial sectors showing the highest gains of 3.65%, 2.27%, and 1.03% respectively. Conversely, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and communication services sectors faced declines of 1.86%, 1.50%, and 0.13% respectively [2]. Market Liquidity - Due to the holiday, the Hong Kong market had a half-day trading session on February 16, with a trading volume of HKD 85.056 billion. On February 20, the trading volume was HKD 165.461 billion, lower than the previous week's average of HKD 240.643 billion [3]. - Short selling amounted to HKD 23.727 billion, representing 14.43% of the total, significantly higher than the previous week's average of 12.56% [3]. - Over the past week, there was a net inflow of USD 321 million from active foreign funds and USD 697 million from passive foreign funds into Hong Kong stocks, both lower than the previous week's inflows [3]. Valuation and Risk Appetite - As of February 20, the Hang Seng Index had a PE ratio of 12.09 and a PB ratio of 1.23, which are at the 79% and 55% percentile levels since 2010 [4]. - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 4 basis points to 4.08%, with the risk premium for the Hang Seng Index at 4.19%, positioned at the 5% percentile since 2010 [4]. - The AH share premium index for the Hong Kong-Shanghai Stock Connect decreased by 1.02 points to 116.40, at the 9% percentile level since 2014 [4]. Investment Outlook - The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was revised down to an annualized rate of 1.4%, below the expected 2.5% and the revised 4.4% from Q3 [5]. - President Trump announced an increase in the import tariff on global goods from 10% to 15% [5]. - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as precious metals and energy due to rising geopolitical risks and adjustments in U.S. tariff policies, as well as the consumer sector, which is expected to benefit from increased consumption policies [5]. The technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with potential rebounds anticipated due to advancements in AI [5].

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, driven by favorable policies and continued capital inflow, suggesting potential for sector rebound [1][6]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sector, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [2]. Market Performance - As of February 14, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.39%. The CSI 300 Index saw a modest gain of 0.36% [12]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.11 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.3% decrease week-on-week [6]. Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The report indicates that listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest margins. The insurance fund utilization scale reached 38.5 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, up 15.7% year-on-year [18]. - The report suggests that the upcoming spring market rally may drive better-than-expected performance for insurance companies in Q1 2026, supported by a stable long-term interest rate and an upward trend in the equity market [18]. Securities Sector - The report discusses the recent optimization measures for refinancing announced by the three major exchanges, which aim to enhance financing efficiency and support high-quality enterprises [19]. - The new refinancing rules are expected to create structural opportunities for securities firms, shifting the focus from compliance to the ability to identify and serve quality clients [20]. - The report emphasizes that the optimization of refinancing will lead to a more differentiated regulatory system, benefiting quality companies while tightening controls on weaker entities [22]. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuations for several key companies in the sector, including: - China Ping An (601318.SH) with a target price of 85.17 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) with a target price of 94.21 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - China Life (601628.SH) with a target price of 55.47 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - The report also highlights the expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance in 2025 and 2026 [7].

Core Insights - Alibaba Group (9988.HK) is expected to lead a rally in the Hong Kong technology sector with shares indicated to rise 2% at market open as it prepares to release its quarterly earnings, focusing on growth in AI and cloud divisions [2][9] - The positive sentiment around Alibaba coincides with a broader recovery in Hong Kong's primary listing market, with total employment in the financial services sector reaching 204,000 by late 2025, marking a 2.4% year-on-year increase [3][9] Employment Trends - The financial sector added 4,800 jobs in the 12 months ending September 2025, driven by a revival in the IPO market, although structural staff cuts persist at several investment banks as firms focus on cost control in non-core divisions [3][9] - The labor market remains polarized, with firms seeking specialized roles while implementing selective layoffs, indicating a strategic shift towards high-margin deal-making roles [4] Regulatory Environment - Regulatory scrutiny is increasing, with the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) warning 13 banks about "serious deficiencies" in recent IPO applications, reflecting concerns over the quality of listings amid the rapid IPO resurgence [5][9] - The SFC has capped the number of simultaneous mandates a single banker can handle to ensure market integrity [5] Market Outlook - Market participants are cautiously optimistic about the momentum in Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (0388.HK) continuing through the first half of 2026, with a focus on disciplined expansion amid a complex global economic environment [6]

Group 1 - Major blue-chip stocks mostly rose, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 137.775, up 2.59% from the previous close in Hong Kong [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 531.758, an increase of 1.87% from the previous close in Hong Kong [2] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings reported a latest price of HKD 522.000, down HKD 11.000 or 2.06%, with an ADR price of HKD 531.758, showing an increase of HKD 9.758 compared to the Hong Kong stock price [3] - Alibaba Group (W) had a latest price of HKD 147.100, down HKD 7.600 or 4.91%, with an ADR price of HKD 150.874, reflecting an increase of HKD 3.774 compared to the Hong Kong stock price [3] - HSBC Holdings had a latest price of HKD 134.300, up HKD 0.100 or 0.07%, with an ADR price of HKD 137.775, indicating an increase of HKD 3.475 compared to the Hong Kong stock price [3]

一、买壳上市尽职调查的详细流程 买壳上市的尽职调查通常分为前期准备、正式启动、专项尽调、报告输出及风险评估、后续支持五大阶段，各阶段环环相扣， 需协调律师、会计师、行业顾问等多方中介。 1. 前期准备阶段 在港交所通过"买壳上市"（即收购已上市公司控股权实现间接上市）的过程中，尽职调查（Due Diligence, DD）是核心环节，旨 在全面识别壳公司风险、评估交易可行性，并为后续估值、交易结构设计及监管申报提供依据。以下从详细流程和核心要点两 方面展开说明，结合港交所（HKEX）监管规则（如《上市规则》《公司收购、合并及股份回购守则》等）及实务经验。 二、买壳上市尽职调查的核心要点 2. 启动正式尽调（签署LOI后） 收购方与壳公司签署意向书（LOI，Letter of Intent）后，尽调进入正式阶段，核心是全面排查风险并验证壳公司信息的真实 性。 法律尽调启动 3. 专项深度尽调 目标筛选与初步接触 收购方（拟上市主体）根据战略需求（如行业匹配度、市值规模、股权结构复杂度等）筛选潜在壳公司，通过投行、财务 顾问或中介机构初步接触。需初步了解壳公司的基本信息（如市值、股价、股东结构、近期是否有卖壳意向 ...

港交所数据显示，2025年香港IPO集资额达374亿美元，同比增加231%，居全球新股融资中心榜首。从 行业上看，香港已成为全球顶尖医疗保健及生物科技、TMT（科技、媒体及电讯）和工业及新能源行 业公司上市地。 港交所主席唐家成指出，2026年以来，已有24只新股上市，集资额超过870亿港元，目前排队上市的企 业有488家。他强调，数量增加的同时，港交所在上市审核过程中绝无松懈，将努力确保让香港持续成 为一个备受认可的高质素市场。港交所今年将全力推进各项工作，包括公布提升上市制度和T+1的咨询 文件。 港交所行政总裁陈翊庭表示，近几年，全世界对亚洲市场关注和讨论显著增加，许多国际投资者都想了 解如何投资香港、内地和亚洲市场。过去两年，港交所积极拓展固定收益、货币及大宗商品业务，目标 是建设一个涵盖产品、交易、结算与数据和信息服务的完整生态圈，拓展市场规模，为香港金融市场带 来更多增长机遇。 特区政府财经事务及库务局副局长陈浩濂在香港黄金交易所农历年黄金启市日暨2026年新春开市仪式上 表示，为进一步多元发展香港的国际金融业务，特区政府正全力推动香港成为国际黄金交易中心。 陈浩濂说，将以三年超越2000吨为拓展 ...

2月20日，香港特区政府财经事务及库务局副局长陈浩濂在香港黄金交易所农历年黄金启市日暨2026年 新春开市仪式上表示，为进一步多元发展香港的国际金融业务，特区政府正全力推动香港成为国际黄金 交易中心。陈浩濂说，将以三年超越2000吨为拓展在港黄金仓储的目标，打造香港成为区域黄金储备枢 纽。在推动大宗商品交易方面，目前已有15个伦敦金属交易所认可的仓库在香港营运。港交所也会深化 与广州期货交易所及内地其他大宗商品市场的联通发展。（新华社） ...

格隆汇2月20日｜港交所主席唐家成在香港黄金交易所农历年黄金启市日暨2026年新春开市仪式上指 出，2026年以来，已有24只新股上市，集资额超过870亿港元，目前排队上市的企业有488家。他强调， 数量增加的同时，港交所在上市审核过程中绝无松懈，将努力确保让香港持续成为一个备受认可的高质 素市场。港交所今年将全力推进各项工作，包括公布提升上市制度和T+1的咨询文件。 ...