Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental sectors [1]. Core Views - The report expresses a positive outlook on investment opportunities in the energy storage and hydrogen-ammonia sectors, highlighting ongoing domestic and international developments that support growth in these areas [3][4][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage continues to show strong demand, with significant GWh-level tenders such as CGN's 7.2GWh and Xinjiang Corps' 1200MWh projects. The expectation is that independent energy storage tenders will maintain good levels through 2026, supported by a complete revenue model from energy, capacity, and ancillary service markets [3][7]. - Internationally, the U.S. continues to face electricity shortages, driving demand for energy storage solutions. The latest capacity auction in the U.S. saw prices reach $333.44 per MW-day, indicating a strong need for reliable power sources [7]. - In November 2025, domestic new energy storage installations totaled 4.51GW/13.03GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 57.14% in power and 74.66% in capacity [8]. Hydrogen-Ammonia and Wind Power - The report notes the launch of China's largest integrated green hydrogen-ammonia project in Jilin, which is expected to drive further development in this sector. Additionally, Poland's successful offshore wind auction for 3.4GW of capacity is anticipated to enhance the European offshore wind market [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of hydrogen-ammonia as a key direction for renewable energy consumption and non-electric applications, supported by favorable policies and market conditions [4]. Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium market is experiencing a shift, with expectations of continued demand despite a potential slowdown in new energy vehicle sales. The report highlights the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in lithium mining and production [5][20]. - The report suggests that the ongoing negotiations for long-term contracts in the lithium battery supply chain may face challenges, but the overall supply-demand balance is expected to improve [23]. Wind Power - The report indicates that China's onshore wind power installations reached 75.8GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind installations saw a decrease of 40.85% [9]. - The bidding capacity for wind turbines in 2024 is projected at 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year, indicating a robust market outlook for wind power [14][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sectors, including CATL, Keda, and others [5][6]. Core Insights - The electric equipment and new energy sector experienced a decline of 3.12% in the week from December 15 to December 19, 2025, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1]. - QuantumScape (QS) signed a joint development agreement with a global top ten automotive manufacturer, marking significant progress in its commercial expansion goals for 2025 [2]. - China's photovoltaic module exports reached approximately 20.29 GW in October 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17% [3]. - The completion of the Jinshang-Hubei ±800 kV UHVDC project marks a historical high in grid construction intensity, with an investment of 33.4 billion yuan [4]. Summary by Sections 1. New Energy Vehicles - QS's partnership with a major automotive manufacturer signifies a key advancement in its business expansion for 2025, with ongoing collaborations with several top car manufacturers [14]. - The energy density of QS's solid-state battery reaches 844 Wh/L, supporting fast charging and high discharge rates [17]. - The company is focused on expanding its cooperative ecosystem and accelerating the commercialization of solid-state batteries [24]. 2. New Energy Generation - China's photovoltaic module exports in October 2025 were approximately 20.29 GW, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth [35]. - The cumulative export volume reached 226.45 GW by the end of October, with a year-on-year increase of 11% [35]. - The European market remains the largest, but exports have declined for two consecutive months, with a 31% decrease month-on-month [36]. 3. Electric Equipment and Automation - The Jinshang-Hubei ±800 kV UHVDC project has been officially completed, with a total investment of 33.4 billion yuan, capable of transmitting approximately 40 billion kWh of clean electricity annually [54]. - The project enhances the capacity for large-scale development of hydropower and renewable energy in the upper reaches of the Jinsha River [54]. - The National Grid has completed 42 UHV projects, significantly supporting the large-scale delivery of clean energy from the western and northern regions [55]. 4. Weekly Sector Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a decline of 3.12%, ranking 30th in performance, with the new energy vehicle index showing the largest increase of 0.14% [1]. - The nuclear power index experienced the largest decline of 4.07% during the same period [1].

行业点评：澳洲户储补贴加码，户储渗透率有望大幅提升 [Table_ReportDat] 2025 年 12 月 20 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业Tabl事项e_ReportType] 点评 [Table_StockAndRank] 电力设备与新能源 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 胡琎心 电新行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525080001 联系电话：010-83326711 邮 箱：hujinxin@cindasc.com 姚云峰 电力设备与新能源行业联系人 联系电话：18840829584 邮 箱：yaoyunfeng@cindasc.com 澳洲储能贡献国内供应商明显增量，需求具备持续性。据 CESA 储能应用分 会数据库统计，2025 年 1-9 月，中国企业在澳大利亚储能市场那些的订单 共计 43.21GWh，占比 20.13%，成为中国企业海外储能订单第二大来源地。 今年 9 月，特斯拉能源亚太区区域总监 Josef Tadich 透露，到 2026 年底， 特斯拉将在澳大利亚投入运营约 4.5GW/12GWh 的构网型储能系统（Grid Forming BESS），并预计这一数字未 ...

Summary of Sieyuan Electric's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Sieyuan Electric - **Industry**: Power Equipment and Utilities - **Current Price**: Rmb 155.02 (as of December 15, 2025) - **Price Target**: Rmb 180.00 (by December 2026) [3][19] Key Points H-Share Listing Announcement - Sieyuan announced plans to apply for an H-share IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming for completion within 24 months post shareholder approval on December 31, 2025 [2][4] - The exact timeline and issuance amount remain unspecified, but the issuance will not exceed ~15% of the total share count post-issuance [4][12] Strategic Goals - The IPO aims to enhance Sieyuan's global strategic positioning, establish an international capital operation platform, and improve competitiveness [12][19] - The company anticipates overseas revenue could reach ~Rmb 10 billion by 2027, indicating a strong push for international market penetration [2][12] Financial Performance - Sieyuan has experienced a significant increase in new orders, particularly in the U.S., driven by a power equipment shortage [12] - The company estimates receiving Rmb 300-500 million in orders for transformers and switchgear from the U.S. this year [12] - Overseas gross profit has shown a CAGR of over 40% from 2020 to 2024, with overseas gross profit accounting for ~38% of total gross profit in the first half of 2025 [4][11] Market Context - The move to list in Hong Kong aligns with trends among other clean energy equipment manufacturers like CATL and Sungrow, who are also pursuing overseas listings [2][12] - The company has over 15 years of experience in international markets, operating in more than 100 countries [4][12] Investment Thesis - Sieyuan is positioned as a major beneficiary of China's elevated T&D capital expenditure and is expected to continue gaining market share despite being in a state-owned enterprise-dominated industry [19] - The company has a strong track record in overseas expansion and R&D, making it an attractive investment opportunity [19] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected overseas expansion, intense domestic competition, rising raw material costs, and goodwill impairment [21][19] Conclusion - Sieyuan Electric's strategic move towards an H-share listing is a significant step in its global expansion efforts, supported by strong financial performance and market demand for power equipment [2][12][19]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the global energy storage market, with a focus on high growth opportunities in non-US overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Asia [4][12]. Core Insights - The energy storage market is expected to experience significant growth driven by increasing demand in Europe, Asia, and Africa, alongside the contribution from AIDC (Automated Industrial Data Center) storage [2][12]. - The demand for energy storage is being catalyzed by the tight supply of battery cells, with leading companies experiencing full order books and production schedules extending into Q1 2026 [3][12]. - The report highlights the importance of local manufacturing in response to geopolitical factors and trade policies, with leading companies establishing overseas production facilities to enhance competitive barriers [3][25]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Key companies to focus on include CATL, EVE Energy, and HIBOR, with recommendations for both front-end and back-end energy storage opportunities [4]. Market Demand and Supply - The global energy storage market saw a significant increase in project planning and bidding, with a total of 534GW/1,430GWh of new projects planned globally as of November 2025, predominantly from Asia [13][18]. - The supply of battery cells remains tight, with a notable increase in production capacity utilization among leading manufacturers, which is expected to gradually ease by Q2 2026 [24][27]. Technological Advancements - The report notes a clear trend towards larger capacity battery cells, with significant advancements in energy density and cycle life, which are crucial for reducing costs and enhancing project economics [29][30]. Regional Market Outlook - The report provides a detailed outlook for various regional markets, emphasizing the unique drivers and challenges in each area, including the impact of local policies and resource availability [12][13].

Group 1 - The company stated that its main customers for small storage products include leading home storage manufacturers in the industry [1] - Notable clients mentioned include Goodwe, Deye, Sungrow, Ailuo, Maitian, Sanjing, and Greewat [1]

Core Viewpoint - Penghui Energy (300438.SZ) has confirmed that its small storage product clients include major players in the home storage industry, indicating a strong market presence and customer base [1] Group 1 - The main clients for the company's small storage products are leading manufacturers in the home storage sector [1] - Notable clients mentioned include Goodwe, Deye, Sunshine, Ailuo, Maitian, Sanjing, and Greevawatt [1]

Capacity Planning - The second phase of the Quzhou base is nearly completed, with plans to establish a 587Ah battery production line next year [1] - The company’s small storage battery products range from 20-150Ah, with mainstream models being 50Ah and 100Ah [1] - The current production capacity for small storage products is at full capacity, with production scheduled until the first half of next year [2] Market Demand and Supply - The demand for small storage batteries is higher than for large storage batteries due to multiple regional demands in similar scenarios [2] - The company’s overseas large storage orders are increasing significantly compared to previous years, with major clients in North America, India, and Europe, each accounting for approximately one-third of the market [2] Product Development and Cost - The manufacturing cost of the 587Ah product is expected to decrease theoretically as capacity increases, although initial yield rates may be lower than the current mainstream 314Ah products [2] - The company anticipates that domestic growth next year will be similar to this year, while overseas growth is expected to accelerate [2] Material Management - The company employs different raw material procurement strategies based on market conditions and will engage in commodity hedging to manage price volatility risks [3]

Industry Overview - China's photovoltaic product export prices have stabilized, showing signs of improvement in the industry's profitability and a reduction in losses, with a total loss of 31.039 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, down 5.618 billion yuan from the previous quarter, a reduction of approximately 46.7% [1] - The average price of photovoltaic modules increased by 1.34% year-on-year in November 2025, while the average factory price of polysilicon rose by 34.4% year-on-year [1] - The supply-side adjustments have led to a significant decrease in polysilicon production for the first time since 2013 and a decline in wafer production for the first time since 2009 [1] Market Trends - TrendForce reported that the photovoltaic industry chain is experiencing a price stabilization trend due to inventory digestion and procurement efforts, with polysilicon prices rising to 65 yuan/kg and a strong price rebound in the wafer segment driven by inventory clearance [1] - The second quarter of 2026 is expected to see a genuine upward price movement for modules as seasonal demand recovers and upstream cost pressures are fully transmitted [1] Company Insights Silicon Material Segment - Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) is the global leader in silicon materials with a production capacity exceeding 300,000 tons and a market share of over 35%, leading the industry by 10-15% in cost advantages [3] - TBEA Co., Ltd. (600089) employs an integrated coal-electricity-silicon model, achieving a net profit of 6.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with photovoltaic business accounting for 45% [3] Wafer Segment - LONGi Green Energy (601012) is a dual leader in wafers and modules, with a global market share exceeding 30% and a unit cost reduction of 15% [4] - TCL Zhonghuan (002129) holds over 60% market share in 210mm large-size wafers, with a target production capacity of 180GW for 2025 [4] Cell Segment - Aiko Solar Energy (600732) leads globally in ABC cell technology with a mass production efficiency of 27.2%, achieving a 400% year-on-year increase in ABC module shipments [5] - Junda Co., Ltd. (002865) has a leading N-type cell technology, with a net profit growth of nearly 400% in Q3 2025 [6] Module Segment - JinkoSolar (688223) shipped 61.85GW of modules in the first three quarters of 2025, ranking first globally, with a positive gross margin in Q3 [7] - Trina Solar (688599) achieved a shipment of 45GW in the first three quarters, focusing on 210mm large-size and HJT technology [8] - JA Solar (002459) shipped 35GW of modules, maintaining an 80% capacity utilization rate in its U.S. and Malaysia plants [8] - Canadian Solar (688472) shipped 25GW of modules, with a net profit of 989 million yuan in Q3 2025 [8] Inverter Segment - Sungrow Power Supply (300274) holds a 35% global market share in inverters, with a net profit of 11.881 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 56.34% [9] - Ginlong Technologies (300763) is the third-largest inverter manufacturer globally, with over 100GW of cumulative shipments [9] Auxiliary Materials Segment - Flat Glass Group (601865) is a leading player in photovoltaic glass with a 32% global market share, reporting a net profit of 638 million yuan in Q3 2025 [11] - Foster (603806) leads in photovoltaic encapsulation films with a 55% market share, achieving a net profit of 668 million yuan in Q3 2025 [11] Equipment Segment - Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751) is a leader in HJT battery equipment with over 80% market share in screen printing equipment, with order amounts exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2025 [12] - Jiejia Weichuang (300724) covers all technology routes in photovoltaic battery equipment, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 116.26% in 2024 [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that after 2H25, China's provinces will successively implement capacity pricing policies, leading to excellent economic viability for independent energy storage under the "peak-valley arbitrage + capacity pricing + ancillary services" revenue model, with high demand expected to continue in the short term [1] - The European market is experiencing positive storage demand due to energy shortages and a lack of grid flexibility resources, with a shift in focus from household storage to large-scale and industrial storage [1] - The Australian electricity market is maturing, with large-scale storage projects accelerating, while household storage is being reinforced by high subsidies, ensuring medium to long-term demand [1] Group 2 - The AIDC (Automated Industrial Data Center) demand in the U.S. is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that by 2030, AIDC storage demand could reach 100-200 GWh, driven by the need for enhanced flexibility and interconnectivity [2] - The green methanol sector is seeing increased demand from the shipping industry, which is catalyzing the construction of numerous wind-solar-storage hydrogen-methanol integrated projects in China, thereby boosting storage demand [2] Group 3 - The strong demand for energy storage is leading to a tight supply of storage cells, with major companies experiencing full order books and production schedules extending into Q1 2026; however, relief is expected post-Q2 2026 as production capacity is released [3] - Major companies are building competitive barriers through overseas factories and technology licensing in response to local policy trends in Europe and the U.S., allowing them to benefit from high growth in overseas markets [3] Group 4 - Recommended companies for front-of-the-meter storage include CATL (300750.SZ, 03750), EVE Energy (300014.SZ), and Haibo Technology (688411.SH), while for behind-the-meter storage, recommended companies include Deye Technology (605117.SH), Airo Energy (688717.SH), and Pylon Technologies (688063.SH) [4]