公司报告 | 公司点评 嘉益股份（301004） 证券研究报告 越南产能布局稀缺性重要性显现 2025 年越南生产基地将快速完成完整产能布局 在当前关税政策影响下，对于美国订单覆盖情况将基于客户对于海外产能 布局的需求而决定。同时公司主要客户的全球市场在快速拓展，终端市场 反馈良好，因此 2025 年越南生产基地产能的覆盖比例将结合前述两个趋势 综合判断。公司已就对美市场的相关风险进行了前瞻性规划，并在海外产 能布局方面开展了具体部署。 越南生产基地爬坡较为顺利，同时基于当前贸易关系、关税政策的影响下， 公司将进一步推进越南生产基地产能的布局。在生产经营方面，公司始终 将本土化作为提升运营效率和成本管控的重要方向，公司当前正在努力推 进供应链本土化的进展。 越南生产基地是全流程的生产基地，涵盖从原材料、半成品、成品的全产 业链能力，具备所有杯型生产的能力。该基地的规划和建设充分考虑了客 户结构的多样性和定制化需求，公司为不同核心客户设置了独立的生产车 间及配套布局，确保各客户项目在产线、人员、品质控制等方面具备较高 的专属性和独立性。 公司在越南设立的为 EPE 企业，其运营模式需与内销市场严格隔离，在越 南 ...

截至2025年4月11日收盘，嘉益股份（301004）报收于85.25元，较上周的94.0元下跌9.31%。本周，嘉 益股份4月11日盘中最高价报86.66元。4月9日盘中最低价报68.81元。本周无涨停收盘情况，共计1次跌 停收盘。嘉益股份当前最新总市值88.55亿元，在家居用品板块市值排名9/69，在两市A股市值排名 1660/5143。 当前阶段公司主要客户尚未发生终端价格调整。 公司的资本支出计划继续保持稳健的态度，本年度资本性支出将控制在略低于去年同期水平。利润分配 方面，公司上市以来每年分红总额持续增加，未来将结合资本支出需求等综合考虑，适当调整分红金 额。 本周关注点 机构调研要点 当前公司生产经营情况一切正常，生产订单有序发货，近期国际市场的关税政策变动情况未对公司经营 情况造成重大不利影响。 近期客户和公司依然保持紧密合作沟通，但当前国际市场的政策不稳定性仍然存在，公司也就未来政策 的变动情况进行持续观望。 2025年越南生产基地将快速完成完整产能布局，在当前关税政策的影响下，对于美国订单的覆盖情况将 基于客户对于海外产能布局的需求而决定。同时公司主要客户的全球市场在快速拓展，终端市场反馈良 ...

嘉益股份分析师会议 调研日期：2025年04月10日 调研行业：家用轻工 参与调研的机构：富国基金、工银理财、建信基金、景泰资本、 上海同犇投资等 / 机构调研pro小程序 DJvanbao.com 洞见研报 出品 : 机构调研pro小程序致力于为金融证券投资者提供最新最全的调研会议纪要。 来机构调研pro小程序，了解最新的：行业投资风向、热门公司关注、权威机构分析... 权威完善的信息持续更新! 更多精彩的机构调报告请移步机构调研pro小程序~ 一解投资机构行业关注度。 频判市场 | Gallia | | | --- | --- | | 11 2 12 200 2 110 | | | 1:给我们 = 影片面临官 = | | | 阿里巴巴佩尼 | | | 钢铁机之题。 8 | 图纸制图: 23 | | 20GB Millio Aller 19 | | | 海双集团 | | | 1 1 80.0 0 | 总机构建 23 | | LOGA: REGH, KETA: 1986 | | | 小麦具日 | | | 的研究次数:8 | 上机构馆:23 | | 定年代的:用者点击:我要的中:主要原因 | | | START ...

• 嘉益股份受益于全球化战略，非美地区订单占比已达 70%，2024 年整体 比例超过 30%，显示出强劲的国际市场扩张势头，尤其在欧洲市场增长显 著，订单金额达数百万美元。 • 越南工厂产能快速爬坡，预计 2025 年可达 2,500 万至 3,000 万支，目标 2026 年达到 5,000 万支，旨在覆盖美国订单并实现与国内产能一比一布 局，同时满足 Stanley、星巴克等大客户的强劲需求。 • 客户对关税政策态度明确，更关注越南生产基地的进展，目前 Voltalia 与 史丹利在关税态度上保持一致，越南出货无需承担中国出口的约 5%关税， 具备成本优势。 • 公司积极推进越南工厂本土化供应链，虽原材料品质和稳定性测试流程较 长（通常需六个月以上），但通过 EPE 企业保税区政策，从国内采购原材 料无需缴纳关税和增值税，降低了采购成本。 • 2024 年第四季度毛利率下降受多重因素影响，包括越南产能爬坡、新客 户厂房设备投入及股权激励费用计入生产成本，预计随着产能转移和成本 消化，未来毛利率有望改善。 Q&A 最近关税政策频繁变化，公司下游客户对此有何反应？ 嘉益股份 20250410 2025-04 ...

公司发布2024 年年报，收入表现略超预期，利润符合预期：2024 年收入28.36 亿元，同比+59.8%；归 母净利润7.33 亿元，同比+55.3%；扣非归母净利润7.25 亿元，同比+55.5%。24Q4 收入8.51 亿元，同比 +55.6%；归母净利润2.02 亿元，同比+27.6%；扣非归母2.01 亿元，同比+40.9%。2024 年现金分红3.12 亿元（含税），占归母42.5%；以资本公积金向全体股东每10 股转增4 股。 风险提示：原材料价格大幅波动的风险、汇率波动的风险、国内外环境变化的风险、大客户销售不及预 期的风险。 24Q4 越南基地仍处于爬坡状态，24Q4 提前为新客户Owala 进行设备铺设投入，订单逐步释放，从而越 南、新客户毛利率均处于较低状态。25Q1 越南和新客户都将继续爬坡提效，毛利率预计环比24Q4 改 善。规模效应持续体现，2024 年费用率延续下降。2024 年销售/ 管理/ 研发/ 财务费用率分别为 0.8%/3.7%/3.3%/-1.1% ， 分别同比-0.83/-0.73/-0.52/-0.36pct 。24Q4 销售/ 管理/ 研发/ 财务费用率分别为 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.836 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 59.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 733 million yuan, up 55.3% year-on-year [7] - The high demand for thermal cups continues, with significant growth from major clients and successful new customer acquisition in Q4 2024 [7][8] - The company is expanding its production capacity in Vietnam to mitigate tariff risks and enhance supply chain efficiency, which is expected to improve profitability in the upcoming quarters [7][8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections are as follows: - 2023: 1.775 billion yuan - 2024: 2.836 billion yuan - 2025E: 3.749 billion yuan - 2026E: 4.639 billion yuan - 2027E: 5.552 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at 41.0% for 2023, 59.8% for 2024, 32.2% for 2025, 23.7% for 2026, and 19.7% for 2027 [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023: 472 million yuan - 2024: 733 million yuan - 2025E: 912 million yuan - 2026E: 1.116 billion yuan - 2027E: 1.377 billion yuan - The projected growth rates for net profit are 73.6% for 2023, 55.3% for 2024, 24.5% for 2025, 22.3% for 2026, and 23.4% for 2027 [2][10] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 104.90 yuan, with a market capitalization of 10,048 million yuan [3] - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 23 in 2023 to 8 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation [2][3]

Summary of Key Points Overall Market Performance - The performance of the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices over the past year shows a significant decline, with the CSI 300 down by 32% and the ChiNext down by 16% [1]. Industry Performance - The top five performing industries yesterday included textiles and apparel (+1.448%), beauty and personal care (+1.014%), telecommunications (+0.971%), banking (+0.897%), and diversified industries (+0.742%) [1]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing industries were defense and military (-1.17%), non-ferrous metals (-0.866%), utilities (-0.801%), steel (-0.580%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-0.537%) [1]. Communication Industry - The satellite internet construction in China is gradually taking shape, with significant developments in the commercial aerospace industry [10]. - On April 1, 2025, China successfully launched a satellite for internet technology testing, marking a step towards the integration of satellite and terrestrial networks [12]. - The "Thousand Sails Constellation" plan aims to deploy 648 satellites by the end of 2025 and 1,296 satellites globally by 2027, with a long-term goal of 15,000 satellites by 2030 [13]. Coal Mining Industry - China Jushi (600176.SH) reported a significant increase in Q4 2024 performance, with revenue reaching 42.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.49% [16]. - The company’s glass fiber yarn sales reached a record high of 3.025 million tons in 2024, driven by structural optimization and market expansion [17]. Real Estate and Construction Industry - China Overseas Development (00688.HK) ranked first in equity sales and land acquisition, with a steady growth in commercial income [21]. - The company reported a revenue of 1,851.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.6%, while its equity sales amounted to 3,107 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3% [22][23]. Food and Beverage Industry - China Feihe (06186.HK) achieved a revenue of 20.749 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with a proposed dividend of 0.3264 HKD per share [27]. - The company’s ultra-high-end product series continues to drive growth, with a focus on expanding its market share in the infant formula sector [28]. Chemical Industry - Shengquan Group (605589.SH) reported a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 9.87% [37]. - The company is expanding its high-frequency and high-speed resin varieties, indicating a robust growth trajectory [38]. Light Industry - Jiayi Co., Ltd. (301004.SZ) achieved a revenue of 2.836 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, supported by strong customer relationships [31]. - The company’s overseas revenue growth is a significant driver of its overall performance [32].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in 2024, with revenue projected at 2.836 billion yuan (up 59.8% year-on-year) and net profit attributable to shareholders at 733 million yuan (up 55.3%) [5] - The company benefits from strong customer relationships and robust manufacturing capabilities, which contribute to impressive revenue and profit growth [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 due to increased capital expenditures related to capacity expansion, with net profit estimates of 864 million yuan for 2025 and 1.049 billion yuan for 2026 [5] Revenue Summary - The primary revenue source for the company remains stainless steel vacuum containers, with revenue from stainless steel vacuum cups reaching 2.682 billion yuan (up 57.64%) in 2024, accounting for 94.56% of total revenue [6] - International market revenue has been a significant growth driver, with overseas revenue at 2.690 billion yuan (up 59.39%), representing 94.85% of total revenue [6] Profitability Summary - The company's gross margin for 2024 is reported at 37.67% (down 3.05 percentage points), with a quarterly gross margin of 33.3% in Q4 2024 (down 10.5 percentage points) [7] - The net profit margin for 2024 is 25.8% (down 0.7 percentage points), with a quarterly net profit margin of 23.7% in Q4 2024 (down 5.2 percentage points) [7] Company Highlights - The completion of the Vietnam production capacity project, which can produce 13.5 million stainless steel vacuum cups annually, enhances the company's order capacity and competitive advantage [8] - The company has deepened its partnership with PMI, with revenue from this client reaching 2.470 billion yuan (up 63.96%), accounting for 87.15% of total revenue [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 2.836 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.144 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 19.9% [9] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.32 yuan, 10.10 yuan, and 12.24 yuan, respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve total operating revenue, net profit attributable to the parent company, and net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses of 2.836 billion, 733 million, and 725 million yuan in 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 60%, 55%, and 56% respectively [2][6] - In Q4 2024, the company is projected to achieve total operating revenue, net profit attributable to the parent company, and net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses of 851 million, 202 million, and 201 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 56%, 28%, and 41% respectively [2][6] - The company is expected to continue to grow due to the increase in both new and existing customers, as well as the ramp-up of production capacity at its Vietnam base, which is anticipated to drive profit recovery [2][6] Revenue Performance - The company achieved overseas revenue of 2.690 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59%, with overseas revenue accounting for 95% of total revenue [11] - The sales volume of metal products reached 60.73 million units, up 59% year-on-year, with an average price of 45.5 yuan per unit, reflecting a 1% increase [11] - The largest customer, PMI, generated revenue of 2.472 billion yuan, a 64% increase, and its share of total sales rose from 85% to 87% [11] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross profit margin decreased by 3.1 percentage points to 37.7% in 2024, primarily due to the ramp-up of new production capacity [11] - The net profit margin attributable to the parent company and the net profit margin excluding non-recurring gains and losses both decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 25.8% and 25.6% respectively [11] - In Q4 2024, the gross profit margin dropped by 10.5 percentage points to 33%, mainly due to the ramp-up phase of the Vietnam base and increased fixed costs from new domestic facilities [11] Tax and Tariff Considerations - The company’s main product, thermal cups, has a high markup to end customers, and the global sales trend of customers, along with the company's global production layout, is expected to mitigate the impact of tariffs [11] - The company is actively advancing the production setup of its Vietnam subsidiary to enhance product origin diversification and strengthen supply chain collaboration with overseas customers [11] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the growth of both new and existing customers, alongside improved capacity utilization leading to profit recovery [11] - Projections for net profit attributable to the parent company are 900 million and 1.1 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 12x and 10x respectively [11]

Group 1: Market Overview - The bond market has experienced fluctuations since December 2024, with liquidity pressures easing marginally, indicating a shift in the central bank's target function [10] - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to see a high overall economic sentiment, driven by domestic demand, while external pressures may arise from trade policies [10] - The second quarter may witness a return to monetary and fiscal cooperation, with potential for bond purchases and interest rate cuts [10] Group 2: Gold Market Insights - Gold has the highest risk-reward ratio among domestic asset classes, with its low correlation to other asset categories making it an attractive option for institutional investors [9][11] - The correlation between gold prices and U.S. Treasury yields has evolved, with recent trends indicating a weak correlation, suggesting gold's role as a hedge against market volatility [11] Group 3: Convertible Bond Market - The median price of convertible bonds fell to 121 yuan in March, with high-priced bonds declining by 2% while low-priced bonds remained stable [14] - The convertible bond market is facing a unique environment, with strong demand from fixed-income investors despite supply constraints [14] - The first quarter of 2025 may see an increase in the number of companies receiving attention from rating agencies due to performance issues, impacting bond prices [14] Group 4: Company-Specific Performance - Laopu Gold (6181.HK) reported a significant revenue increase of 167.5% year-on-year, reaching 8.51 billion yuan, with net profit soaring by 253.9% [13][15] - The brand's recognition has improved, leading to a substantial increase in store revenue, with an average sales figure of 328 million yuan per store [15] - The company plans to expand its presence internationally, with a new store opening in Singapore, enhancing its global brand strategy [15] Group 5: Industry Trends - The consumer battery sector is experiencing a golden development phase, with significant growth in both consumer and energy storage applications [21][23] - The insulated cup market remains robust, with exports to the U.S. increasing by 20.3% year-on-year, indicating sustained demand [24][26] - The company is focusing on diversifying its supply chain and enhancing production efficiency to mitigate tariff impacts and improve profitability [26]