近一个多月以来，Anthropic正在全球软件行业引发一场堪比"雪崩"的连锁反应。 美东时间2月23日，IBM股价收盘暴跌超13%，创下其逾25年来最惨烈的单日跌幅。导火索就是 Anthropic，当日，该公司宣布其旗下工具Claude Code能够对COBOL这一古老的编程语言进行现代化改 造，这种语言要在IBM的大型机上运行。 开年以来，笼罩在AI阴影下的传统软件巨头远不止IBM。从网络安全领域的CrowdStrike、Zscaler，到 SaaS领域的Salesforce、ServiceNow，这些股票均遭遇了不同程度地抛售。行业认为AI正摧毁传统软件 赖以生存的商业模式。 天使投资人、资深人工智能专家郭涛对第一财经记者表示，此前软件股的暴跌，是恐慌情绪与现实竞争 压力的共同结果。"虽然AI工具确实替代了部分传统软件功能，压缩了特定企业的市场空间，但传统软 件仍有不可替代的护城河，只是需主动转型。" 软件股震荡 这一轮软件股震荡始于今年1月，彼时Anthropic推出了Claude大模型的工具Cowork及其行业特定插件， 涵盖法律、金融、销售等领域，该工具将智能体能力扩展至非编程领域，能够处理类似"从 ...

近一个多月以来，Anthropic正在全球软件行业引发一场堪比"雪崩"的连锁反应。 美东时间2月23日，IBM股价收盘暴跌超13%，创下其逾25年来最惨烈的单日跌幅。导火索就是Anthropic，当日，该公司宣布其旗下工具Claude Code能够对 COBOL这一古老的编程语言进行现代化改造，这种语言要在IBM的大型机上运行。 开年以来，笼罩在AI阴影下的传统软件巨头远不止IBM。从网络安全领域的CrowdStrike、Zscaler，到SaaS领域的Salesforce、ServiceNow，这些股票均遭遇 了不同程度地抛售。行业认为AI正摧毁传统软件赖以生存的商业模式。 但就在2月24日，剧情有了新的变化。Anthropic宣布推出10款企业级AI插件，覆盖股票研究、投资银行、法律合规等多个领域，而合作方正是此前被视 为"受害股"的汤森路透、FactSet、Salesforce旗下Slack等公司。消息一出，汤森路透涨超10%，IBM、Cloudflare也跟涨近3%。 天使投资人、资深人工智能专家郭涛对第一财经记者表示，此前软件股的暴跌，是恐慌情绪与现实竞争压力的共同结果。"虽然AI工具确实替代了部分 ...

周二，与人工智能初创公司 Anthropic 达成合作的美国软件企业股价领涨板块反弹；此前该板块因担忧 人工智能带来的颠覆性冲击而遭遇重挫。 Anthropic 宣布，正与合作伙伴开发名为 "插件" 的新型工具，可应用于投资银行、财富管理及人力资源 等场景，包括交易审查、投资组合分析，以及让新员工入职材料符合企业品牌调性与制度要求。 其合作伙伴股价普遍走高，包括伦交所集团（LSEG）、FactSet、Salesforce 旗下的 Slack 以及 DocuSign，涨幅在 0.4% 至 5.3% 之间。 标普 500 软件与服务指数上涨1.4%，iShares 扩展科技软件行业 ETF 大涨2.4%。 本周一，在 Citrini Research 发布一份 2028 年情景预测后，软件指数触及 10 个月低点。该报告认为， AI 将快速替代软件与交付类应用，引发裁员，失业率将升至10.2%。 股票交易网络首席市场策略师丹尼斯・迪克表示： 本月早些时候，为期一周的抛售令华尔街市值蒸发约1 万亿美元，分析师称之为 "软件末日"，冲击横跨 欧美及印度的软件、物流等多个行业。 Anthropic 周一曾宣布，其 Cl ...

Group 1 - U.S. software stocks experienced a rebound due to partnerships with AI startup Anthropic, which announced the development of new tools for investment banking, wealth management, and HR tasks [1][1][1] - Shares of partners such as LSEG, FactSet, Salesforce's Slack, and DocuSign rose between 0.4% and 5.3%, while the S&P 500 software & services index increased by 1.4% and the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF jumped 2.4% [1][1][1] - The software index had previously hit a 10-month low, following a selloff that erased approximately $1 trillion in market value, referred to as 'Software-mageddon' [1][1][1] Group 2 - Anthropic's Claude Code tool is expected to modernize programming languages on IBM systems, leading to a significant drop in IBM's shares, which later recovered by 3.5% [1][1][1] - Other companies like Intuit and Intapp also saw gains of 2.8% and 7.1% respectively after announcing separate partnerships with Anthropic [1][1][1]

2028 年全球情报危机 --- THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS substack.com/home/post/p-188821754 Substack Preface 序言 What if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that's actually bearish? 倘若我们对人工智能的乐观情绪持续正确 …… 而这种 " 正确 " 本身反而预示着悲观前景，又当如 何？ What follows is a scenario, not a prediction. This isn't bear porn or AI doomer fan-fiction. The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that's been relatively underexplored. Our friend Alap Shah posed the question, and together we brainstormed the answer ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing tech sell-off in the U.S. is significantly influenced by developments in AI, with IBM experiencing its steepest drop in history, reflecting broader market concerns about the tech sector's sustainability amidst AI advancements [1][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The tech sector is under pressure, with a notable sell-off driven by fears that AI advancements are cannibalizing traditional tech stocks [2][3]. - FAANG ETFs and software stocks like Salesforce and Adobe are among the first to feel the impact, indicating a broader trend of U.S. investors divesting from tech [3][9]. - The consumer discretionary, tech, and financial sub-indices of the S&P 500 remain negative year-to-date, highlighting the rapid growth of investor fears [9]. Group 2: AI Developments - IBM's recent price action is linked to the emergence of AI programs like Anthropic's 'Claude,' which are seen as potential competitors to existing software solutions [5][9]. - Agentic AI, which can autonomously create code and fulfill roles traditionally held by humans, poses a significant threat to companies like Adobe and Salesforce, potentially reducing their revenue from SaaS contracts [6][9]. - The speculative nature of AI's impact on the economy is underscored by a report suggesting that AI could lead to a 'Ghost GDP,' where economic activity does not translate into consumer spending [14][15]. Group 3: Speculative Insights - A speculative blog post titled "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" has contributed to market panic, suggesting that AI disruption could lead to a collapse in labor GDP and the mortgage market [11][12]. - The report's narrative resonates with existing market fears, indicating a consensus view among investors regarding the potential negative implications of AI on the economy [12][15]. - The concept of a 'Ghost GDP' suggests that while investments in AI may increase, they do not benefit the workforce, leading to decreased consumer spending and economic downturn [14][15].

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 美媒：特朗普政府考虑对六大行业征收新的国家安全关税 美媒：美军将领警告对伊朗动武风险极高，易陷长期冲突 欧洲议会暂停批准欧美贸易协议 特朗普：任何想"耍花招"的国家将面临更高的关税 外交部：德国总理默茨将于2月25日至26日对中国进行正式访问 国投白银LOF估值调整预计对公司2026年度归母净利润产生一定负面影响 市场盘点 周一，在美最高法院推翻特朗普的关税政策后，交易员重新评估美国关税政策，美元指数横盘整理，最终收跌0.02%，报97.73。基准的10年期美债收益率收 报4.0330%，对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.4440%。 特朗普关税计划不确定性带动避险需求，现货黄金重回5200美元之上，触及三周最高水平，最终收涨2.46%，报5229.93美元/盎司；现货白银上触89美元， 最终收涨4.24%，报88.18美元/盎司。 今日优选 特朗普释放美伊局势缓和信号：更倾向协议而非战争 在美国与伊朗即将举行第三轮核谈判之际，国际油价小幅回落，但仍维持在六个 ...

特朗普释放美伊局势缓和信号：更倾向协议而非战争。美国总统特朗普：来自假新闻媒体的众多报道一 直在流传，声称丹尼尔·凯恩（Daniel Caine）将军，有时被称为拉辛（Razin），反对我们对伊朗开战。 这些报道并未将这一海量信息归于任何人，且百分之百不实。凯恩将军和我们所有人一样，不希望发生 战争，但如果决定在军事层面与伊朗对抗，他认为我们能够轻易获胜。他非常了解伊朗，因为他曾负 责"午夜之锤"行动，打击伊朗核项目。所有关于可能对伊朗开战的报道都是错误的，而且是蓄意为之。 我是做决定的人，我更愿意达成协议而不是打仗，但如果不能达成协议，对伊朗及伊朗人民来说，那将 是极其糟糕的一天。非常可悲，他们伟大而美好，这样的事情本不该发生在他们身上。 【美股】截至收盘，道指跌821.91点，跌幅为1.66%，报48804.06点；纳指跌258.80点，跌幅为1.13%， 报22627.27点；标普500指数跌71.76点，跌幅为1.04%，报6837.75点。贵金属、有色板块领涨，应用软 件、信息技术服务跌幅居前，IBM(IBM.US)大跌超13%，创2000年以来最大单日跌幅，此前人工智能 (AI)初创公司Anthr ...

Thank you. Hello and welcome to the Morning Filter podcast. I'm Susan Jabinsky with Morning Star.Every Monday before market open, I sit down with Morning Star chief US market strategist Dave Sakara to talk about what investors should have on their radars for the week, some new Morning Star research, and a few stock ideas. All right. Well, grab your coffee because Dave and I have a lot of ground to cover this morning.Now, last Friday's Supreme Court ruling struck down some of the Trump administration's tarif ...

Market Overview - On February 19, U.S. stock indices fell collectively due to multiple negative factors, including tightening liquidity in the private credit industry and escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 267.5 points, a decline of 0.54%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.28% and 0.31%, respectively, with the Nasdaq experiencing a cumulative decline of over 2% since 2026 [1][2]. Private Credit Industry - A liquidity crisis in the private credit sector was a core reason for the market's weakness. Blue Owl Capital announced the sale of $1.4 billion in loan assets and tightened investor liquidity, leading to a significant drop in its stock price by 1%. This triggered a collective decline in the private credit sector, with major firms like Blackstone and Apollo Global Management seeing their stock prices fall by over 5% [2][3]. Geopolitical Tensions - The geopolitical tension between the U.S. and Iran has become another major market disturbance. President Trump indicated a decision on potential military action against Iran would be made within ten days, which has heightened investor caution and led to a general sell-off of risk assets [3]. Corporate Earnings and Guidance - Discrepancies in corporate earnings and guidance have intensified market volatility. Walmart's fourth-quarter revenue and profit exceeded expectations, but its annual profit guidance fell short, resulting in a stock price drop of over 1%. In contrast, Amazon surpassed Walmart in projected net sales for 2025, reaching $716.9 billion [4]. Economic Data - Recent economic data showed initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 206,000, significantly below expectations, indicating resilience in the labor market. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index rose to 16.3, the highest since September of the previous year. However, the trade deficit unexpectedly widened to $70.3 billion in December 2025, with the annual goods trade deficit reaching a record $1.2409 trillion, an increase of $25.5 billion or 2.1% from the previous year [4]. Market Sentiment - According to a recent survey by the American Association of Individual Investors, the proportion of bearish retail investors has exceeded bullish investors for the first time since November of the previous year, with bearish, bullish, and neutral sentiments at 36.9%, 34.5%, and 28.5%, respectively. This reflects a growing caution among investors [5]. Sector Rotation - The U.S. stock market is undergoing a rotation in leading sectors. Excluding the top companies, other stocks in the S&P 500 are in urgent need of earnings momentum. Despite a decline in valuations for the "Magnificent Seven," their price-to-sales ratios remain at historical highs, indicating they are not in undervalued territory [5].