Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry, indicating an expectation of performance that exceeds the market benchmark by more than 5% [2]. Core Insights - The airline sector has shown improvement since Q2 2025, with the three major airlines reporting a combined net profit of 10.27 billion yuan in Q3, up from 9.19 billion yuan in Q3 2024. For the first three quarters, the net profit totaled 4.47 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 680 million yuan in the same period last year [3][14]. - The operating cash flow for the three major airlines in Q3 reached 50.61 billion yuan, significantly higher than 39.89 billion yuan in the same quarter of 2024. Cumulatively, the cash flow for the first three quarters was 95.33 billion yuan, surpassing 83.98 billion yuan from the previous year [3][16]. - The improvement in airline performance is attributed to lower fuel costs and effective ticket pricing strategies, which have helped maintain high load factors despite a competitive environment [19][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Overview - The airline sector's performance has improved, with high load factors and reduced fuel costs benefiting airline profitability. The three major airlines reported a combined net profit of 10.27 billion yuan in Q3 2025, an increase from 9.19 billion yuan in Q3 2024. For the first three quarters, the net profit was 4.47 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 680 million yuan in the previous year [3][14]. 2. Domestic Routes - Domestic airlines, particularly the major carriers, have shown restrained capacity growth during peak seasons, with growth rates of 2.7%, 1.8%, and 1.6% from July to September. The overall load factor for major airlines in Q3 saw a lower year-on-year increase compared to Q1 and Q2, although September showed a recovery [4][36]. 3. International Routes - The capacity growth for international routes has stabilized, with the recovery of routes to Japan and South Korea being more pronounced than to Thailand. The recovery rate for U.S. routes remains below 30%. The international operations of major airlines are gradually stabilizing, although some routes still face oversupply issues [5][42]. 4. Aircraft Introductions - The three major airlines are on track to meet their aircraft introduction plans, with 118 aircraft added in the first three quarters, representing 61% of the annual target. The net increase in fleet size is expected to be around 4%, higher than in the previous two years [6][60]. 5. Valuation Levels and Investment Recommendations - The airline sector has underperformed the market since the beginning of 2025, but there is an expectation of a rebound in Q4. The sector's fundamentals have gradually improved, supported by low oil prices and a reduction in price competition. The market is anticipated to focus on marginal improvements in Q4, with the potential for significant loss reduction compared to the previous year [7][71].

Core Insights - In October, 6837 out of 7419 comparable bond funds achieved positive performance, representing 92% of the total [1] - The top-performing fund, ICBC Convertible Bond Fund, recorded a return of 4.15%, the only fund to exceed 4% in October [1] - The fund's asset allocation includes 61% in bonds, with 80% of that in convertible bonds, and 37% in equities, primarily in undervalued airline and brokerage stocks [1] Fund Performance - ICBC Balanced Return 6-Month Holding Period Bond A and C rose by 3.61% and 3.59% respectively in October, with major holdings in government and financial bonds [2] - Other notable performers include CITIC Prudential Stable Bond C (3.66%), CITIC Prudential Stable Bond A (3.65%), and several others with returns ranging from 2.72% to 2.90% [2] - Conversely, 11 bond funds experienced declines exceeding 3%, with Jin Ying Yuan Feng Bond A and C falling by 3.45% and 3.48% respectively [2] Asset Allocation - Jin Ying Yuan Feng's bond assets account for nearly 80%, primarily in convertible bonds, with top holdings in various convertible bonds and stocks in technology and data sectors [3] - Other funds like Zhonghai Convertible Bond A and Dongfang Convertible Bond C also reported declines, with losses around 2.84% to 2.87% [3] Fund Management - The current manager of ICBC Convertible Bond Fund, Huang Shiyuan, has been with the firm since 2013 and has been managing the fund since September 2021 [1] - The management team for Dongfang Convertible Bond includes experienced professionals with backgrounds in fixed income research and investment management [3]

Core Points - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced the addition of the Chinese Yuan (RMB) as a settlement currency for its Clearing House (ICH), set to launch in December 2025 after a trial run [1][3] - This new option is expected to significantly benefit airlines operating in China by reducing exchange rate risks, simplifying local supplier access, and enhancing cost efficiency [3][4] Group 1: Industry Impact - The introduction of RMB settlement is seen as a positive development for the Chinese aviation industry, with major airlines like China Southern Airlines and Xiamen Airlines set to pilot the program in November 2025 [4] - The announcement led to a rise in airline stocks, with China Southern Airlines and China National Aviation Holdings seeing increases of nearly 2% and over 5% respectively [4][5] Group 2: Financial Services and Market Response - IATA's Clearing House currently supports seven currencies, and the addition of RMB aims to enhance financial services for member airlines without incurring extra costs [3][7] - The market response to the new RMB settlement option has been positive, indicating strong demand for improved financial services in the aviation sector [7] Group 3: RMB Internationalization - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) highlighted the steady rise of the RMB's international status, noting it is now the largest currency for China's foreign receipts and the second-largest for trade financing globally [7][8] - The PBOC has established 32 effective swap agreements with central banks across major economies, covering key regions globally, with a total scale of approximately 4.5 trillion RMB [7]

Core Viewpoint - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has announced the addition of the Chinese Yuan (RMB) as a settlement currency in its clearing house, marking a significant step forward for RMB internationalization [1][2]. Group 1: RMB as a Settlement Currency - The RMB settlement will be available starting December 2025, following a trial run, providing significant benefits to airlines operating in China by reducing exchange rate risks and simplifying local supplier access [2]. - China Southern Airlines and Xiamen Airlines will be the first to pilot the RMB settlement in November 2025 [4]. - The introduction of RMB settlement is seen as a positive development for the Chinese aviation industry, facilitating faster settlements and lowering costs associated with multiple currency exchanges [4][7]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement, airline stocks experienced a notable increase, with Southern Airlines and China National Aviation rising nearly 2%, and Huaxia Airlines increasing over 5% [5]. - The aviation index showed a slight increase of 0.63%, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the new RMB settlement option [6]. Group 3: IATA Clearing House Operations - The IATA Clearing House currently supports seven currencies and provides efficient settlement services for 581 airlines and related enterprises, with a projected settlement amount of $63.8 billion in 2024, including 33 airlines operating in China [6]. - IATA's senior vice president emphasized that the addition of RMB settlement is a crucial step in meeting the demand for cost-effective financial services from member airlines [7]. Group 4: RMB Internationalization - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) highlighted the steady rise of the RMB's international status, noting it is now the largest settlement currency for China's foreign trade and the second-largest trade financing currency globally [8]. - The PBOC has signed 32 effective swap agreements with central banks from various countries, covering major economies across six continents, amounting to approximately 4.5 trillion RMB [8]. - Future plans include building a self-controlled cross-border payment system for RMB and enhancing the efficiency of cross-border RMB clearing services [9].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the longest Spring Festival holiday in history, lasting 9 days in 2026, is expected to significantly benefit various sectors including tourism, hospitality, retail, and transportation [2][5]. Tourism and Travel - The extended holiday is anticipated to boost travel demand, with a reported 63% increase in flight bookings for the 2026 Spring Festival compared to 2025 [6]. - Data from Qunar indicates a threefold increase in searches for flights during the Spring Festival shortly after the announcement, highlighting a surge in travel interest [5]. - Spring and summer travel to popular European destinations has seen a 200% increase in inquiries, indicating a strong demand for international travel during the holiday [5]. Hospitality and Dining - The longer holiday is expected to enhance overnight stays and dining out, benefiting hotels, restaurants, and related services [6]. - The hospitality sector, including hotels and restaurants, is likely to experience increased patronage due to the extended holiday period [6]. Retail and Consumer Spending - The holiday is projected to stimulate consumer spending in retail, particularly in sectors like duty-free shopping and commercial retail [2]. - Increased travel and dining out during the holiday are expected to drive sales in the retail sector, particularly in urban areas [6]. Industry Implications - The extended holiday will likely lead to a more balanced daily flow of tourists, reducing congestion and enhancing the overall travel experience [6]. - Analysts suggest that the 9-day holiday will not only encourage long-distance and interprovincial travel but also increase the duration of stays, positively impacting various industries [6].

Market Performance - The aviation and airport sector increased by 1.32% on November 5, with Huaxia Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3969.25, up 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13223.56, up 0.37% [1] Stock Performance - Huaxia Airlines (002928) closed at 11.07, up 4.14% with a trading volume of 228,800 shares and a turnover of 250 million yuan [1] - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.87, up 3.31% with a trading volume of 13,966,000 shares and a turnover of 2.608 billion yuan [1] - Spring Airlines (601021) closed at 55.48, up 2.42% with a trading volume of 8,650 shares and a turnover of 476 million yuan [1] - China National Aviation (601111) closed at 8.26, up 1.98% with a trading volume of 549,400 shares and a turnover of 451 million yuan [1] - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.94, up 1.17% with a trading volume of 381,400 shares and a turnover of 263 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) decreased by 2.48% to 17.28 with a trading volume of 262,600 shares [2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 118 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 131 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like HNA Holding and Huaxia Airlines had mixed capital flows, with HNA Holding seeing a net inflow of 108 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to the capital flow in several stocks, including China National Aviation and Shenzhen Airport [3]

Group 1 - The 2026 Spring Festival holiday will last for 9 days, marking the longest Spring Festival holiday in history, benefiting various sectors such as tourism, hotel and catering, retail, and transportation [2][5]. - Following the announcement of the holiday, there was a significant increase in travel-related searches, with flight searches for the Spring Festival period tripling, indicating a strong demand for travel [5][6]. - The extended holiday is expected to boost long-distance and inter-provincial travel, leading to increased overnight stays and dining out, which will positively impact industries like hotels, scenic spots, and transportation [6][5]. Group 2 - Data from Qunar shows that the number of booked flights for the 2026 Spring Festival is projected to increase by 63% compared to 2025, reflecting heightened travel interest [6]. - The announcement has led to a 200% increase in inquiries for European travel, with popular destinations seeing a doubling in search volume, suggesting a potential surge in travel orders for the Spring Festival [5][6]. - The longer holiday is anticipated to create a more balanced daily flow of tourists, enhancing the overall travel experience during the Spring Festival [6].

Core Viewpoint - Spring Airlines' stock price has shown a slight decline of 2.05% year-to-date, but has experienced a recent uptick of 4.50% over the last five trading days, indicating potential recovery in investor sentiment [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Spring Airlines reported a revenue of 16.773 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.98%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.32% to 2.336 billion yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, since its A-share listing, Spring Airlines has distributed a total of 2.83 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.899 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Spring Airlines reached 30,200, an increase of 43.53% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 30.33% to 32,433 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder with 21.9475 million shares, a decrease of 765,500 shares from the previous period [3]. Stock Market Activity - On November 5, Spring Airlines' stock rose by 2.03%, reaching 55.27 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 230 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.43%. The total market capitalization stands at 54.072 billion yuan [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 3.5543 million yuan, with large orders showing a buy of 28.3028 million yuan and a sell of 32.4299 million yuan [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the transportation industry [6] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates have significantly increased, with the China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) rising to 2425.93 points, up 48.6% from October 23 [2][13] - The three major state-owned airlines in China reported collective profitability in the first three quarters of 2025, with Hainan Airlines becoming the most profitable domestic airline [15][16] - Jitu Express has launched the world's largest self-built logistics hub, which is expected to enhance logistics capabilities during the "Double 11" shopping festival [22][23] Industry Investment Opportunities - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping Specialized, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - Attention to the transportation demand increase driven by the construction of hydropower stations in the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream, recommending Sichuan Chengyu, Chongqing Port, and Fulimin Transportation [4] - Investment opportunities in the low-altitude economy, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - Opportunities in the highway and railway sectors, recommending Gansu Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and others [4] - The cruise and water ferry sector presents thematic investment opportunities, recommending Bohai Ferry and Haixia Shares [4] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda Shares [4] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending Air China, China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and others [4] Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased month-on-month, while year-on-year it has decreased [25] - Domestic freight volume for express delivery in September 2025 increased by 12.70% year-on-year, with revenue up by 7.20% [51] - In the first nine months of 2025, the total freight volume at national ports reached 1.3567 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [48]

Group 1 - Jinguang Electric won a bid for a State Grid procurement project with a total amount of 21.7976 million yuan, accounting for approximately 2.93% of the company's expected revenue for 2024 [1] - Shen Gong Co. plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 2%, equating to 340.61 million shares [2] - Guomai Culture received a government subsidy of 3.78 million yuan, representing 24.90% of its audited net profit for 2024 [2] Group 2 - Guomai Culture focuses on the development and provision of digital content operation platforms [3] - Shentong Technology's two directors plan to collectively reduce their shareholding by no more than 0.0473% [4] - Ruihua Tai intends to reduce its shareholding by up to 1%, amounting to 1.8 million shares [5] Group 3 - Guoji Automobile's wholly-owned subsidiary won a total contract project worth 809 million yuan [7] - Changcheng Technology's stock is expected to remain suspended due to potential changes in control [9] - Huabei Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for a chemical raw material drug listing application [11] Group 4 - Fuyao Glass has changed its legal representative to Cao Hui [13] - Huaxi Biological plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 2%, totaling 9.6336 million shares [14] - Hopu Co. signed a procurement contract for a storage system worth 500 million yuan [15] Group 5 - ST Songfa's subsidiary plans to invest 458 million yuan in a mooring dock project [18] - Zhonghong Medical's subsidiary is expected to be selected for several centralized procurement projects [19] - Huakai Yibai's vice chairman plans to increase his shareholding by no less than 30 million yuan [20] Group 6 - Haichuang Pharmaceutical completed the first participant enrollment for a clinical trial of a drug for metabolic-associated fatty liver disease [21] - Dongfang Biological's subsidiary obtained medical device product registration certificates for multiple products [22] - Lepu Medical's rechargeable implantable deep brain stimulation system received NMPA registration approval [23] Group 7 - Changyuan Power's power generation in October decreased by 32.25% year-on-year [24] - Jinshi Yaya's diclofenac sodium sustained-release tablets passed the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [26] - Yutong Bus sold 3,040 buses in October, a decrease of 5.62% year-on-year [27] Group 8 - Far East Co. signed contracts worth 1.062 billion yuan in October [28] - Tianya Pharmaceutical's subsidiary passed the consistency evaluation for a drug [29] - Yuheng Pharmaceutical plans to resolve a debt dispute through a share transfer agreement [30] Group 9 - Hailanxin's subsidiary won a bid for a marine observation network project worth 1.097 billion yuan [31] - Huasheng Lithium plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 0.37% [33] - Maike Biological obtained product registration certificates for five new in vitro diagnostic products [34] Group 10 - Huayuan New Materials signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Taiblue New Energy [37] - Greebo's actual controller and some directors plan to collectively increase their shareholding by no less than 11.5 million yuan [39] - Yian Technology received a government subsidy of 1.1643 million yuan [41] Group 11 - Kangtai Biological's quadrivalent influenza virus vaccine has commenced Phase I clinical trials [43] - Spring Airlines received a commitment letter for a stock repurchase loan of up to 450 million yuan [45] - Foton Motor sold 8,006 new energy vehicles in October, a year-on-year increase of 98.83% [46] Group 12 - Greebo plans to transfer 100% equity of its subsidiary for 280 million yuan [48] - Siwei Liekong's director is under investigation [49] - Dingyang Technology launched a new generation of multi-channel microwave signal generator products [50] Group 13 - Jiangling Motors reported a year-on-year increase of 8.06% in vehicle sales for October [51] - Shengyi Technology plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 1.03% [52] - Dongshan Precision completed the acquisition of 100% equity of France's GMD Group for approximately 814 million yuan [53] Group 14 - Tianyang Technology plans to acquire 7.5% of Baoland's shares for 155 million yuan [54] - Alter plans to establish a joint venture company with a total investment of 672 million yuan [54] - Changchun High-tech's clinical trial application for a drug was approved [55] Group 15 - Beibu Gulf Port's cargo throughput in October increased by 22.73% year-on-year [56] - ST Zhangjiajie was ruled by the court to undergo reorganization [57] - Teda Co.'s subsidiary was selected as a supplier for an energy project in Indonesia [58]