本文字数：2425，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 亓宁 黄金、白银价格暴涨后暴跌价格大涨大跌加速板块轮动，深受避险资金偏爱的银行股又成市场焦点。进入2026年以来，此前涨势如虹的国有大行股价均 有大幅回调，农业银行、工商银行分别跌超12%、8%。 2026.02. 02 从近期表现来看，与国有大行、股份行扛起"护盘"大旗不同，受到业绩快报等消息影响，区域性银行表现明显优于全国性银行，近期多家城农商行宣布 了股东或高管增持计划及进展，也被市场视为重要信号。多位机构人士认为，目前银行板块资金流出高峰已过，配置价值开始显现。 银行股坚定"护盘" 黄金、白银跌势还在持续。面对外回落，但之后短线拉升，一度助力沪指跌幅收窄。全天来看，银行股"护盘"吃力但也较为坚定，在31个申万一级行业 中，食品饮料、银行成唯二飘红板块。 截至当天收盘，沪指跌2.48%，深证成指跌2.69%，创业板指跌2.46%。其中，有色金属以7.62%的跌幅领跌，钢铁、化工、煤炭、石油天然气等资 源周期板块集体重挫，跌幅均在5%以上，半导体板块同样大幅走弱。全市场超4600只个股下跌，成交额约2.61万亿元，较上一交易日缩量近2500亿 元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing significant volatility, particularly in the precious metals and banking sectors, with a notable shift in investor focus towards regional banks amid a backdrop of fluctuating gold and silver prices [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 2, the A-share market faced downward pressure, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 2.48%, the Shenzhen Component by 2.69%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.46% [2]. - The precious metals sector led the decline with a 7.62% drop, while other resource sectors like steel, chemicals, and coal also saw declines exceeding 5% [2]. - Despite the overall market downturn, bank stocks showed resilience, with 17 banks recording gains, led by CITIC Bank with a 2.64% increase [5]. Group 2: Banking Sector Dynamics - The banking sector has been characterized by a significant outflow of funds, with the China Securities Index reporting a cumulative decline of 6.76% in the banking index as of January 30 [5][6]. - Regional banks have outperformed national banks, with several local banks announcing share buyback plans, signaling potential recovery and investor confidence [1][9]. - Analysts suggest that the peak of fund outflows from the banking sector has passed, with the price-to-book ratio for bank stocks currently around 0.57, indicating potential value for investors [6][7]. Group 3: Investment Sentiment - There is a growing optimism regarding the banking sector's fundamentals, with expectations for a strong start to credit growth in 2026 and stable asset quality [9]. - Recent announcements of share purchases by bank executives and shareholders have bolstered market confidence, particularly among regional banks like Qilu Bank and Nanjing Bank [9]. - The shift in focus from passive to active fund management in the banking sector may lead to increased buying interest, especially if the selling pressure from passive funds diminishes [7][8].

本期，南财理财通重点关注最低持有期人民币公募产品的业绩表现，按照90天、180天、365天持有期限分类对产品业绩进行排 名，业绩指标采用年化收益率，计算区间与持有期限相同，如90天持有期产品的业绩计算区间为近三月年化收益率，同机构同 系列同投资周期产品保留一只参与排名。 统计代销机构（28家）：工商银行、中国银行、农业银行、邮储银行（601658）、建设银行、交通银行、招商银行、中信银 行、光大银行、民生银行、兴业银行、浦发银行、广发银行、浙商银行（601916）、华夏银行、平安银行、恒丰银行、渤海银 行、北京银行、宁波银行、江苏银行（600919）、上海银行（601229）、南京银行、杭州银行（600926）、徽商银行、微众银 行、网商银行、百信银行。 需要特别提醒的是：本榜单对理财产品"在售"状态的判断基于其投资周期推算。但实际情况中，部分产品可能因额度售罄，或 银行针对不同客户展示的产品清单存在差异而无法购买。因此，建议投资者以代销银行APP的实际展示为准。 此外，南财理财通虽力求客观公正，但不对本评价榜信息的真实性、完整性和准确性作任何保证，排名信息仅供参考。 | | ZYHC24 | 幸福99卓越混 ...

本期，课题组重点关注理财公司发行的混合类产品，从代销渠道为投资者筛选出表现较优的在售产品。 为提供有效的选品参考，榜单展示了产品近一月、近三月及近六月的年化业绩，并按照近三月年化收益率进行排序，以此反映 其在近期市场波动中的多维度收益表现。 | 2 | EB1008 | 阳光橙优选基金宝 光大银行 | | 光大 | 72.0 | 26.1 | 42.2 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 理财 | 7% | 6% | 4% | | 3 | ZYHC24 | 幸福99卓越混合(多 | 杭州银行 | 杭银 | 82.6 | 24.4 | 29.6 | | | 05 | 元平衡)90天持有期 | | 理财 | 0% | 6% | 9% | | 4 | ZYHC23 | 幸福99 中華台(国 企红利精选FOF)10 杭州银行 | | 杭银 | 75.9 | 22.5 | 26.6 | | | 02 | 0天守有期 | | 理财 | 9% | 2% | 1% | | 5 | 100755 | 招智泓瑞多资产FO | 招商银行 | 招 ...

观点网讯：2月2日，东方明珠新媒体股份有限公司披露参与设立专项投资基金的进展。 根据公告内容，该公司此前拟出资5000万元参与设立长三角数智文化产业私募投资基金（上海）合伙企 业（有限合伙），并担任有限合伙人，首期出资2500万元。该基金已于2025年12月26日完成设立登记并 取得营业执照。 近期全体合伙人完成首期实缴出资，实际募集资金15.015亿元，并取得宁波银行股份有限公司出具的 《资产托管业务起始运作通知书》。 免责声明：本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.48%, narrowly holding above the 4000-point mark, while the ChiNext Index dropped by 2.46%. A significant decline was observed in sectors such as gold and non-ferrous metals, with resource stocks including oil, coal, steel, and chemicals experiencing widespread losses. Conversely, high-voltage concept stocks, liquor stocks, and bank stocks showed resilience, with over 4600 stocks declining overall [1]. ETF Performance - Several bank ETFs, including those managed by Huatai-PB, E Fund, Tianhong, Southern, Penghua, and Huaxia, saw gains despite the overall market downturn. The performance of these ETFs ranged from a 0.08% to 0.37% increase, although their year-to-date performance remains negative, with declines between 5.71% and 6.17% [3]. Fund Holdings Analysis - By the end of 2025, actively managed equity funds held a total market value of 1.61 trillion yuan in A-shares, with 30.367 billion yuan allocated to the banking sector, representing 1.89% of the total. This allocation is below the historical averages of 3.02% and 3.89% over the past 5 and 10 years, respectively. The proportion of active funds in the banking sector remained stable at 1% [5]. Individual Bank Holdings - The concentration of holdings among individual banks has decreased, with the top five banks—China Merchants Bank, Ningbo Bank, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China—accounting for 57.6% of the total holdings. There were 23 banks with increased holdings and 15 banks with decreased holdings in the fourth quarter [5]. Investment Outlook - According to Xinyi Securities, the banking sector may face selling pressure due to net outflows from broad-based ETFs. However, the impact is expected to ease as the banking index has returned to its low point from the third quarter of 2025. Many quality stocks are now considered to have high cost-performance ratios, with projected dividend yields for major state-owned banks in 2026 expected to rise to between 4.4% and 5%, and some quality regional banks exceeding 6% [6]. Long-term Investment Strategy - Huachuang Securities emphasizes the importance of long-term capital inflows and public fund reforms, suggesting that the banking sector remains under-allocated. The expectation for 2026 is a systematic recovery in bank valuations, transitioning from defensive to a balanced approach. The investment logic for bank stocks is anticipated to shift from purely dividend defense to a dual focus on dividends and growth [7]. Key investment themes include state-owned banks and quality regional banks benefiting from regional policies and improved performance [7].

本期为银行社交媒体指数（2025年12月）。 本期为银行社交媒体指数（2025年12月）。 12月银行SMI总榜整体变化不大，仅赣州银行（11月Top19）、郑州银行（11月Top20）掉出榜单，长沙银行（Top13）和泰隆银行（Top18）上榜，名单进出 主要为运营质量较为不稳定的中小城商行。 在12月抖音高赞榜中，虽然网商银行的《画100家小店》依靠"肥娟夫妇"的暖心回访继续稳坐头把交椅，但用户的关注重心较11月已出现明显转变，专业陪 伴内容与抽象整活成为12月内容创作的核心方向。 年末市场震荡背景下，投资者情绪普遍焦虑，专业陪伴类内容顺势成为12月最大的流量黑马。招商银行App精准捕捉基民核心痛点，推出《小招说・朋友 说》系列节目，邀请基金经理与财经媒体人组局交流，以"老友对谈"的轻松形式，深度拆解基金挑选方法、固收+与FOF的核心区别等专业内容。该系列连 续更新五期，平均点赞量达到2万左右，表明在市场波动阶段，能切实缓解用户焦虑的专业干货，远比趣味段子更具传播吸引力。同样的逻辑也体现在兴业 银行钱大掌柜上，他们以"红烧肉"为引子，讲解中国生猪繁育产业从全国统一市场到"南繁北育"的格局变迁，这种让专业知 ...

Group 1 - The international precious metals market experienced significant adjustments on January 30, leading major banks such as ICBC, CCB, BOC, and ABC to issue risk warnings and adjust related business rules [1] - ICBC advised investors to adopt a rational perspective on market fluctuations, control positions, and follow a principle of gradual and diversified allocation [1] - Other major banks also issued risk warnings, with CCB raising the minimum amount for personal gold accumulation to 1500 yuan, BOC advising clients to consider their risk tolerance, and ABC enhancing risk assessment requirements for gold accumulation [1][2] Group 2 - The physical gold market is experiencing high demand despite price adjustments, with popular products sold out on banking apps and limited availability of physical gold bars at branches [2] - There is a noticeable increase in inquiries about gold bars, as many view the price correction as an opportunity to accumulate for long-term holding, although supply constraints exist [2] - The interest rates for account-based gold products are being reduced to zero by major banks, indicating a weakening of their "interest property" [2]

Banking Sector - The banking sector is expected to see three major catalysts in 2026: 1) Interest margins are likely to stabilize as new loan rates reach a low point, and deposit repricing effects will continue to improve banks' funding costs [6][7] 2) Risks related to real estate exposure are expected to have peaked, with significant progress in mitigating financial risks in the real estate sector [6] 3) Retail business may show marginal improvement as credit risks ease and wealth management activities are expected to activate [6][7] - Investment strategies for 2026 suggest focusing on four main lines: 1) Increase allocation to high-quality city commercial banks with strong earnings elasticity, recommending Hangzhou Bank and paying attention to Ningbo Bank, Nanjing Bank, Chongqing Bank, Qingdao Bank, and Xiamen Bank [5][7] 2) Allocate to high-dividend large banks, with a focus on Bank of China Hong Kong (H), CITIC Bank (H), China Construction Bank (H), and China Merchants Bank [5][7] 3) Pay attention to Shanghai Bank and Industrial Bank due to expected strong redemption of convertible bonds [5][7] 4) Consider banks with significant valuation discounts and potential for performance recovery, such as Minsheng Bank and Ping An Bank [5][7] Mechanical Equipment - The CDU liquid cooling pump is expected to benefit from the accelerated construction of AI data centers, as it plays a crucial role in regulating coolant flow and pressure, constituting 30%-40% of the liquid cooling system's value [9][10] - The market size for CDU liquid pumps is projected to reach between $1.139 billion and $1.544 billion in 2026, driven by the increasing demand for liquid cooling solutions as chip power exceeds the limits of air cooling [9][11] - The cooling source side of the liquid cooling system is also expected to benefit from the rapid development of AI data centers, with the global market for cooling water units projected to grow from approximately 105.21 billion yuan in 2024 to nearly 167.33 billion yuan by 2031 [10] Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX's application for an orbital data center system aims to reduce energy consumption from ground data centers, which may create significant incremental opportunities for rocket launch service providers and satellite manufacturers [22][24] - The acceleration of low Earth orbit satellite constellations is expected to drive domestic leading rocket launch service providers to actively expand their satellite constellation-related businesses, creating new growth opportunities in upstream supply chain segments [22][24] - The construction of orbital data centers is anticipated to significantly reduce energy consumption, benefiting both rocket launch service providers and satellite manufacturers [24] Fixed Income - The manufacturing PMI for January showed a significant seasonal decline, with the index at 49.3%, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [14][15] - The service sector PMI slightly decreased, while the construction sector's activity index fell below 40%, indicating a need for further economic stabilization measures [19] - The credit market is expected to face structural opportunities despite a less favorable recovery outlook in February, with a focus on medium to high-rated city investment bonds [42][47] Airline Industry - Air China is projected to report a net loss of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, with Q4 losses expected to be between 3.17 billion and 3.77 billion yuan, indicating an increase in losses compared to the previous year [27][28] - Despite the projected losses, operational data for 2025 shows steady improvement, with available seat kilometers (ASK) and revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increasing by 3.24% and 5.85% respectively [27][28] - The long-term demand for civil aviation in China is viewed positively, supported by the company's strong route network [28] Steel Industry - Fangda Special Steel is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected between 835 million and 998 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 236.90% to 302.67% [31][32] - The growth is attributed to increased production and sales volumes, along with a decline in raw material costs, which have helped restore steel margins [31][32] - The company is focusing on refined management and cost reduction strategies, alongside potential asset injections from its parent group [32] Home Appliances - The home appliance industry is experiencing a decline in production and sales, particularly in the air conditioning and refrigerator segments, with significant year-on-year decreases reported [34] - The introduction of innovative products like Clawbot is expected to reshape the AI assistant market, enhancing consumer engagement and operational efficiency [35] - Companies like Ecovacs and Ninebot are projected to see substantial profit growth in 2025, driven by new product launches and increased market penetration [36]

双融日报 2026 年 02 月 02 日 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：40 分（中性） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 1、《双融日报》2026-01-30 2、《双融日报》2026-01-29 3、《双融日报》2026-01-28 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 40 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：化工、银行、消费 1、化工主题："十五五"规划强调扩大内需，叠加美国降息 周期，化工品需求预期提升。行业供需双底基本确立，政策 助力产能出清，且资本开支连续两年负增长，供给端持续收 缩。市场普遍预计，2026 年化工行业将迎来周期拐点，有望 实现从估值修复到业绩增长的"戴维斯双击"，开启新一轮 上 升 周 期 。 相 关 标 的 ： 卫 星 化 学 （ 002648 ） 、 云 天 化 （600096） 2、银行主题 ...