Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a dramatic shift, with traditional sectors like liquor and real estate surging while technology stocks face significant declines, indicating a rotation of investment focus from high-valued "new assets" to undervalued "old assets" [1][8][10]. Liquor Sector - The liquor sector saw an impressive overall increase of 9.2%, with eight stocks, including Luzhou Laojiao and Jiu Gui Jiu, hitting the daily limit [4]. - The price of Moutai has slightly rebounded to around 1610 yuan per bottle, boosting market sentiment towards the liquor sector as consumption policies are anticipated to stimulate demand [5][19]. - The valuation of liquor stocks has returned to historically low levels, making them an attractive defensive choice amid market uncertainties [5]. Real Estate Sector - The real estate index rose by 2.95% on January 29, with leading companies experiencing significant price increases, reflecting a complex mix of market sentiment [5]. - The reduction in the number of real estate companies over recent years has led to a perception of a potential bottoming out in the sector, with some analysts suggesting it represents a once-in-a-decade opportunity [5][6]. - Despite weak sales data, first-tier cities like Shanghai show some resilience in housing prices, with a year-on-year increase of 5.1% in new home prices [7]. Technology Sector - The semiconductor index dropped approximately 5%, with many previously popular stocks undergoing substantial corrections, attributed to capital outflows and valuation pressures [10][22]. - The decline in technology stocks is linked to the inability of some companies to match their high valuations with performance, leading to necessary adjustments in a market with changing risk appetites [10]. Market Dynamics - The total trading volume reached 3.2 trillion yuan, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics, with some analysts viewing this as a potential signal of a market peak [2][22]. - The market is witnessing a "high to low" capital switch, where funds are moving from high-valued sectors to those with lower valuations and better short-term catalysts [8][23]. - The overall market remains divided, with over 3,566 stocks declining, suggesting that only a small portion of investors are benefiting from the current market conditions [11][24]. Investor Sentiment - There is a growing caution among investors, with a shift from blind speculation to a more analytical approach focusing on company fundamentals and valuation [24]. - The market sentiment has transitioned from widespread optimism to a more cautious and differentiated outlook, as investors reassess their strategies in light of recent volatility [24].

写在文章前的声明：在本文之前的说明：本文中所列的投资信息，只是一个对基金资产净值进行排行的客观描述，并无主观倾向性，也不是投资建议，纯属 娱乐性质。 一顿操作猛如虎，基金净值已更新，谁是基金中的王者，谁又垫底，请看数据： | 基金简称 PK | | | 人所准的合同的有些地理 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 招商中证白... A | 0.7386 | 9.21% | 8 | | | 161725 | 2026-1-29 | | | | 2 | 格林稳健价 ... C | 0.5750 | 9.21% | 27 | | | 009941 | 2026-1-29 | | | | 3 | 招商中证白 ... C | 0.7353 | 9.21% | 7 | | | 012414 | 2026-1-29 | | | | 4 | 格林稳健价...A | 0.5872 | 9.21% | 13 | | | 009940 | 2026-1-29 | | | | 5 | 鹏华酒C | 0.5748 | 8.56% | | | | 012043 | 2026-1-29 | | ...

25年薪台原件 1625 25年茅台原件 1650 漫音漫 第台价格涨跌幅度十 创空由拿 为保护双方权益,下单打全款,以订单价格为? 高价 25年茅台原件 166 25年精品原件 2340 24年精品原件 2345 LEN 75年度仕 16/1 18:45 25年原件 1700 贵州茅台 (600519) 闭市 1437.72 白酒 +9.68% > +114.03 +8.61% 今 开 1335.00 成交量 18.95 万 高 1445.00 最 昨 收 1323.69 低 1329.06 成交额 263.06亿 最 幅 8.76% 总市值 ? 18004.1 换手率 1.51% 卡 分时 五日 日K 图 K 目 K 均价:1387.91 涨停:1456.06 跌停:1191.32 | 445.00 | ▲体验十档行情 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1437.78 | 英5 | | | | | 1437.77 | ミイ | | | | | 英3 | 1437.76 | | | | | 1437.74 | 重5 | | | | | 卖1 | 1437.7 ...

1月29日，以酒类、文化传媒为代表的传统行业板块领涨A股，引发市场关注。 中信证券消费产业首席分析师姜娅认为，2026年以来，白酒行业发生了较多大事件和变化，推动白酒行 业渠道升级和突破。短期而言，白酒龙头企业开始积极拥抱消费者，消费者触达和消费者教育工作热度 空前；中部企业适当降价，维持市场量价平衡；尾部企业停产、出清库存。长期来看，"以消费者为核 心"的渠道协同体系料将成为行业下轮周期中的核心竞争力，需要企业逐步提升拓客能力、服务能力和 场景运营能力。 联合资信最新观点提出，从2025年年底中央经济工作会议等一系列会议精神来看，在消费端，国家仍将 坚持"促消费"，并可能逐步释放相关政策。在供给侧，面对行业产能过剩的局面，国家和地方政府仍将 限制新增低效产能、鼓励行业兼并重组，有利于行业由粗放式增长向集约式发展转型。短期内，白酒行 业仍面临较大压力。长期看，经营者两极分化、优胜劣汰的局面将加剧，行业集中度的提高有望使头部 企业保持较强的发展韧性。 1月29日，白酒概念指数最终收涨9.93%，五粮液（000858）、泸州老窖（000568）等17只个股涨停， 行业龙头贵州茅台（600519）收报1437.72 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 风险提示：市场环境变动风险；本报告基于历史客观数据统计，不构成投资 建议。 核心观点 金融工程日报 金融工程日报 两市分化沪指震荡上行，白酒股午后掀涨停潮 市场表现：20260129 规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板块指数中上证综 指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。食品饮料、传媒、房 地产、非银、石油石化行业表现较好，电子、国防军工、机械、电新、汽车 行业表现较差。白酒、黄酒、房地产精选、小红书平台、黄金精选等概念表 现较好，MLCC、长江存储、液态金属、中芯国际产业链、珠宝等概念表现 较差。 市场情绪：20260129 收盘时有 88 只股票涨停，有 36 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日收盘收益为 3.03%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-2.93%。今日 封板率 64%，较前日下降 7%，连板率 24%，较前日提升 5%。 市场资金流向：截至 20260128 两融余额为 27426 亿元，其中融资余额 27253 亿元，融券余额 174 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 9.9%。 折溢价：20260 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月29日 金融工程日报 两市分化沪指震荡上行，白酒股午后掀涨停潮 市场表现：20260129 规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板块指数中上证综 指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。食品饮料、传媒、房 地产、非银、石油石化行业表现较好，电子、国防军工、机械、电新、汽车 行业表现较差。白酒、黄酒、房地产精选、小红书平台、黄金精选等概念表 现较好，MLCC、长江存储、液态金属、中芯国际产业链、珠宝等概念表现 较差。 市场情绪：20260129 收盘时有 88 只股票涨停，有 36 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日收盘收益为 3.03%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-2.93%。今日 封板率 64%，较前日下降 7%，连板率 24%，较前日提升 5%。 市场资金流向：截至 20260128 两融余额为 27426 亿元，其中融资余额 27253 亿元，融券余额 174 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 9.9%。 折溢价：20260128 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是黄金股票 ETF 基金，ETF 折价 较多的是科技龙头 ETF 汇 ...

Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry is experiencing significant stock price increases, with several companies reaching their daily limit up. Group 1: Stock Performance - Shui Jing Fang, Shede Liquor, Huangtai Liquor, Jiu Gui Liquor, and Jin Hui Liquor all hit the daily limit up [1] - Luzhou Laojiao is approaching the daily limit up [1] - Jinzhongzi Liquor, Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Kweichow Moutai all saw stock increases exceeding 7% [1]

1月29日，上证指数上涨0.16%，深证成指下跌0.3%，创业板指下跌0.57%。盘后龙虎榜数据显示，共有55只个股 因当日异动登上龙虎榜，资金净流入最多的是铜陵有色（000630.SZ），达4.72亿元。 据21投资通智能监测，39只个股龙虎榜出现了机构的身影，北向资金参与龙虎榜中的个股共涉及30只。 4.72亿资金抢筹铜陵有色，2.12亿资金出逃四川黄金 55只上榜的龙虎榜个股中，26只个股被净买入，29只个股被净卖出。其中，资金净买入最多的是铜陵有色，达 4.72亿元，占总成交金额的3.34%。铜陵有色当日收盘上涨10.06%，换手率为14.33%。 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 | 龙虎榜净买 | 净买额占 | 换手率 | 解读 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 额(万元) | 总成交比 | | | | 铜陵有色 | 10.06% | 47245 | 3.34% | 14.33% | 主力做T,成功率4 | | | | | | | 6.61% | | 泸州老窖 | 10% | 41070 | 8.82% | 2.65% | 4家机构买入,成功 | | ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the sudden surge in the Chinese liquor stock market, particularly the strong performance of Kweichow Moutai, which saw a significant price increase and market capitalization recovery [1] - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1437.72 yuan, up 8.61% from the previous trading day, marking the highest single-day increase in nearly 16 months, with its market value returning to 1.8 trillion yuan [1] - Other liquor companies also experienced substantial gains, with over ten A-share listed liquor firms hitting the daily limit, and Hong Kong-listed liquor companies seeing increases of over 12% [1] Group 2 - The rebound is attributed to the upcoming peak season for liquor consumption and the recovery in the price of Feitian Moutai, which is considered a stabilizing factor for the industry [2] - Recent data shows that the wholesale price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, with the price for the 26-year Feitian Moutai reaching 1610 yuan, and the Moutai zodiac wine increasing by 100 yuan per bottle [2] Group 3 - Despite the recent surge, the liquor industry is still undergoing a deep adjustment, with many institutions predicting a lower revenue and profit growth rate for Kweichow Moutai in 2025, around 5%, below the company's original target of 9% [3] - Several listed liquor companies are beginning to disclose performance forecasts, with terms like "loss" and "reduction" becoming common, indicating significant pressure on smaller firms [3] - Companies like *ST Chuntian and Jinzongzi are expected to report substantial losses, while others like Shui Jing Fang and Yanghe are also forecasting significant declines in revenue and profit due to high inventory levels and slow recovery in traditional business banquet scenarios [3] Group 4 - Recent reports from securities firms suggest that the extended holiday during the upcoming Spring Festival will benefit liquor consumption, with a clear trend of market recovery and stabilization [4]

2026.01.29 业内人士认为，贵州茅台等暴涨，接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力，因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例，预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情，包括银行、电力、医药等板块，投资者都 可以重点关注，抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析， 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨，催化来自地产预期改善与资金面 回暖，指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解，同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回款发货 稳步推进，形成"以价换量"的积极信号，白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回升。 潘俊认为， 在当前低利率及宏观不确定性环境下，高股息策略已从单纯的"防御"属性进化为"攻守兼 备"的底仓配置。在全球降息周期开启的背景下，高股息资产对全球配置型资金具有极强吸引力，资金 买入不仅是看中股息，更是交易中国资产的估值修复。 慧研智投投资顾问李谦对第一财经说，1月29日之前，本轮结构性市场行情呈现明显分化特征。以黄金 为代表的资源类板块及芯片、半导体等科技主线持续获得市场资金青睐，涨幅显著；而高股息板块中的 白酒、银行、电力、医药等领域则表现相对低迷，股价持续走低并创阶段性新低。临近春节，市 ...