Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that while Jiangxi Copper's (00358) copper smelting business gross profit is expected to decline year-on-year next year, the anticipated increase in copper, gold, and sulfuric acid prices will drive the company's overall gross profit up, leading to an upgrade in target prices for both H-shares and A-shares [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The target price for Jiangxi Copper's H-shares has been raised from HKD 27.9 to HKD 39.8 [1] - The target price for Jiangxi Copper's A-shares has been increased from CNY 33.8 to CNY 47.9 [1] - The forecast for copper prices next year is set at USD 12,750 per ton, while gold prices are projected at USD 3,925 per ounce [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Earnings forecasts for the company for the years 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted upwards by 8%, 38%, and 11%, resulting in projected earnings of CNY 8.2 billion, CNY 11.8 billion, and CNY 11.5 billion respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares, citing attractive current valuations [1]

该行最新预测明年铜价为每吨12,750美元，金价为每盎司3,925美元，结合公司指引，将2025至27年的公 司盈利预测分别上调8%、38%及11%，至82亿、118亿及115亿元人民币。 花旗发布研报称，虽然预期江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)的铜冶炼业务毛利明年将同比下降，且长 期冶炼及精炼业务有下行压力，但预料铜、金及硫酸价格提高，将推动公司明年的整体毛利上升，并将 江西铜业H股目标价由27.9港元升至39.8港元，江西铜业(600362.SH)A股目标价由33.8元人民币升至47.9 元人民币;该行认为目前估值具吸引力，A股及H股均维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that while Jiangxi Copper's copper smelting business is expected to see a decline in gross profit next year, the anticipated increase in prices for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid will drive overall gross profit growth for the company in the coming year [1] Group 1: Price Predictions - The latest forecast for copper price is set at $12,750 per ton, while gold price is projected at $3,925 per ounce [1] - The expected increase in prices for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid is anticipated to positively impact the company's profitability [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Earnings forecasts for Jiangxi Copper for the years 2025 to 2027 have been raised by 8%, 38%, and 11% respectively, reaching 8.2 billion, 11.8 billion, and 11.5 billion [1] - The adjustments in earnings forecasts reflect the company's guidance and the expected market conditions [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustments - The target price for Jiangxi Copper's H-shares has been increased from HKD 27.9 to HKD 39.8, while the target price for A-shares has been raised from CNY 33.8 to CNY 47.9 [1] - The current valuation is considered attractive, leading to a maintained "buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Focus**: Traditional Materials in Asia Pacific for 2026 - **Preferred Commodities**: Gold, copper, and aluminum are favored due to supportive macro and micro factors [1][8] Core Insights Copper - **Demand Growth**: Strong demand growth expected from Energy Storage Systems (ESS), with suppliers reporting over 50% demand growth for 2026 [2] - **Supply Disruptions**: Anticipated widening of the global copper supply deficit due to three major supply disruptions [3] - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies like Zijin Mining and CMOC are highlighted for their expected 10-11% copper volume CAGR from 2025 to 2028 [3] Aluminum - **Supply Constraints**: Expected supply tightness due to potential shutdowns and delays in production restarts [4] - **Margin Expansion**: Anticipated sustainable margin expansion for aluminum smelters due to increasing demand and limited supply [4] - **Key Picks**: Chalco, Hongqiao, and China Shenhuo are identified as key investment opportunities in the aluminum sector [4] Gold - **Supportive Macro Environment**: Continued support for gold prices expected from US rate cuts and ongoing purchases by ETFs and central banks [5] - **Volume Growth**: Zijin Gold International is projected to achieve 30% volume growth in 2026, making it a key investment pick [5] Steel - **Production Cuts**: Limited production cuts expected in 2026, with demand anticipated to decline by over 2% [6] - **Export Quota Speculation**: Market expectations are rising regarding potential export quota systems in China [6] Coal - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: Sufficient supply amid lukewarm demand is expected to pressure coal prices, with average prices projected at approximately Rmb720/t in 2026 [7] - **Renewable Energy Impact**: Anticipated continued market share gain for renewable power, leading to a slight drop in thermal coal demand [7] Additional Insights - **Market Ratings**: Various companies in the materials sector have been rated with Overweight (OW), Equal-weight (EW), and Underweight (UW) based on their expected performance and market conditions [9][12][13] - **Price Targets**: Adjustments to price targets for several companies have been made based on updated commodity price forecasts and market conditions [19][20] - **EPS Changes**: Significant changes in EPS estimates for various companies, reflecting adjustments in market expectations and commodity price forecasts [18][19] Conclusion - The outlook for traditional materials in Asia Pacific for 2026 is bullish, particularly for gold, copper, and aluminum, driven by strong demand and supply constraints. Investment opportunities are identified in specific companies within these sectors, while challenges remain in steel and coal markets.

Jiangxi Copper Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company Name**: Jiangxi Copper - **Ticker**: 0358.HK / 600362.SS - **Industry**: Copper production, mining, smelting, refining, and processing - **Key Products**: Copper cathode, copper wire, gold, silver, sulfuric acid, pyrite concentrate - **Market Capitalization**: HK$120 billion / Rmb108.78 billion as of 15th Dec 2025 - **Control**: Ultimate controlling shareholder is Jiangxi Provincial SASAC [27][31] Core Insights - **Earnings Forecast Revision**: - 2025E net profit forecast revised to Rmb8.2 billion (+8% YoY) - 2026E net profit forecast revised to Rmb11.8 billion (+38% YoY) - 2027E net profit forecast revised to Rmb11.5 billion (+11% YoY) - These revisions are driven by higher forecasts for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid prices [2][7] - **Target Price Update**: - H-share target price revised to HK$39.8 (previously HK$27.9) - A-share target price revised to Rmb47.9 (previously Rmb33.8) - New target prices imply 2026E P/Es of 10.8x for H-shares and 14.1x for A-shares, compared to historical averages of 13.8x and 23.6x respectively [3][29] - **Sensitivity Analysis**: - A 5% increase in copper price (US$12,750/t) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 4% - A 5% increase in gold price (US$3,925/oz) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 1% - A 5% increase in sulfuric acid price (Rmb700/t) is expected to increase 2026E net profit by 2% [1][8] Financial Metrics - **Key Operating Metrics**: - Mined copper volume remains stable at 200kt for 2025-2027 - LME copper price forecast for 2026E increased to US$12,750/t (+28% from previous forecast) - Gross profit for 2026E expected to reach Rmb21.89 billion (+43% YoY) [7][10] - **Profit Margins**: - Net profit margin for 2026E projected at 1.6% - EBITDA margin for 2026E projected at 2.5% [7] Investment Strategy - **Rating**: Jiangxi Copper H-shares and A-shares rated as Buy - **Rationale**: Despite lower gross profit from smelting due to lower TC/RC prices, higher gold and sulfuric acid prices are expected to offset this impact. Long-term bullish outlook on copper prices remains intact [28][32] Risks - **Downside Risks**: - Potential slowdown in China's grid investment - Weaker-than-expected property demand affecting copper prices - Rising mining or smelting costs [30][35] Upcoming Events - **Conference Call**: Scheduled for 10am on 6th Jan 2026, registration link available (Mandarin only) [1][3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas markets are concerned about the US non - farm payrolls, with weak risk appetite, while the domestic economic data continues to be weak, and the A - share market is expected to be weak in the short term, and the bond market remains on the sidelines [2][3] - Precious metals may have a technical correction, but platinum and palladium are expected to rise; copper prices will fluctuate in the short term; aluminum prices will fluctuate at a high level; alumina's upward space is limited; casting aluminum will fluctuate at a high level; zinc prices are adjusting and waiting for macro - guidance; lead prices will fluctuate weakly; tin prices will continue to adjust at a high level; industrial silicon prices are expected to rebound; steel prices will fluctuate weakly; iron ore prices will be under pressure; coking coal and coke prices will fluctuate weakly; soybean and rapeseed meal prices will fluctuate; palm oil prices will fluctuate in a range [4][6][8][10][11][12][14][15][16][18][19][20][22][24] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macroeconomics - Overseas: Fed officials' remarks affect market expectations, Japan's manufacturing confidence supports central bank rate hikes, and before important data releases, overseas market risk appetite is weak [2] - Domestic: November economic data is cold, with production showing resilience and demand cooling further. The A - share market is expected to be weak in the short - term, and the bond market remains on the sidelines [3] 3.2 Precious Metals - International precious metals futures generally rose on Monday, with platinum hitting the daily limit in the domestic market. There is a risk of a technical correction in gold and silver, while platinum and palladium are expected to rise. Pay attention to the US non - farm payrolls and retail data [4][5] 3.3 Copper - On Monday, Shanghai copper's main contract fluctuated at a high level. With a weak US dollar and various macro and industrial factors, copper prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term [6][7] 3.4 Aluminum - On Monday, Shanghai aluminum's main contract fell, and LME aluminum was flat. The market is waiting for the US non - farm payrolls data, and with inventory accumulation and seasonal demand slowdown, aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level [8][9] 3.5 Alumina - On Monday, the alumina futures main contract rose. Although the price has rebounded, there is a lack of continuous upward momentum, and the upward space is limited [10] 3.6 Casting Aluminum - On Monday, the casting aluminum alloy futures main contract fell. Affected by raw materials and environmental protection, both supply and demand are weakening, but with cost support, it will fluctuate at a high level [11] 3.7 Zinc - On Monday, Shanghai zinc's main contract fluctuated weakly. With the approach of the US non - farm payrolls data, the market is cautious. In the long - term, overseas supply will improve, and currently, the supply pressure is decreasing, so zinc prices will adjust in the short term [12] 3.8 Lead - On Monday, Shanghai lead's main contract fluctuated weakly. With the improvement of overseas supply in the medium - long term and the increase in inventory, the support of low inventory is weakening, but the downward space is limited [13][14] 3.9 Tin - On Monday, Shanghai tin's main contract adjusted downward. With the release of multiple economic data and the increase in Indonesian tin exports, the macro and micro support for tin prices is weakening, and it will continue to adjust at a high level [15] 3.10 Industrial Silicon - On Monday, industrial silicon rebounded at a low level. Supported by cost and market sentiment, it is expected to continue to rebound in the short term [16][17] 3.11 Steel (Rebar and Hot Rolled Coil) - On Monday, steel futures fluctuated. With weak terminal demand data, steel prices are expected to fluctuate weakly [18] 3.12 Iron Ore - On Monday, iron ore futures fluctuated weakly. With the increase in supply and weak demand, iron ore prices are expected to be under pressure [19] 3.13 Coking Coal and Coke (Double - Coking) - On Monday, double - coking futures fluctuated weakly. With weak supply - demand fundamentals, prices are expected to fluctuate weakly [20][21] 3.14 Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - On Monday, soybean and rapeseed meal contracts fluctuated. With positive South American crop prospects and concerns about US soybean exports, the domestic market will maintain a short - term pattern of near - strong and far - weak, and the main contracts will fluctuate [22][23] 3.15 Palm Oil - On Monday, palm oil contracts fell. With weak export demand and expected inventory increase, palm oil prices are expected to fluctuate in a range. Pay attention to the support at the lower limit of the previous low range [24][26] 3.16 Metal Trading Data - Provides the closing prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts in the main domestic and international markets on December 15, 2025 [27] 3.17 Industry Data Perspective - Compares the prices, inventories, and other data of various metals on December 15, 2025, with those on December 12, 2025, including copper, nickel, zinc, lead, aluminum, alumina, tin, precious metals, steel, iron ore, coking coal, coke, lithium carbonate, industrial silicon, and soybean meal [28][31][33]

江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)早盘涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.23%，报35.78港元，成交额8265.48万港 元。 公告称，修改后的潜在要约价格对索尔黄金全部已发行及将要发行的普通股股本估值约为8.42亿英镑， 并代表较11月19日(即江西铜业首次与索尔黄金董事会接洽前的最后营业日)索尔黄金每股收盘价19.6便 士溢价约42.9%；较截至11月27日止(索尔黄金公告江西铜业初步提议前的最后营业日)3个月索尔黄金的 成交量加权平均股价每股约17.6便士溢价约58.5%；较截至11月27日止12个月的成交量加权平均股价每 股约11.8便士溢价约136%；及较11月27日索尔黄金的收盘价每股约26.2便士溢价约7.1%。 消息面上，江西铜业股份发布公告，有关潜在收购海外上市公司SolGoldplc(索尔黄金)的股份，于12月 12日，公司及索尔黄金就江西铜业(香港)投资有限公司向索尔黄金作出修改后的潜在要约。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)早盘涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.23%，报35.78港元，成交额 8265.48万港元。 消息面上，江西铜业股份发布公告，有关潜在收购海外上市公司SolGoldplc(索尔黄金)的股份，于12月 12日，公司及索尔黄金就江西铜业(香港)投资有限公司向索尔黄金作出修改后的潜在要约。 公告称，修改后的潜在要约价格对索尔黄金全部已发行及将要发行的普通股股本估值约为8.42亿英镑， 并代表较11月19日(即江西铜业首次与索尔黄金董事会接洽前的最后营业日)索尔黄金每股收盘价19.6便 士溢价约42.9%；较截至11月27日止(索尔黄金公告江西铜业初步提议前的最后营业日)3个月索尔黄金的 成交量加权平均股价每股约17.6便士溢价约58.5%；较截至11月27日止12个月的成交量加权平均股价每 股约11.8便士溢价约136%；及较11月27日索尔黄金的收盘价每股约26.2便士溢价约7.1%。 ...

Group 1 - Citigroup raised the target price for Jiangxi Copper's A and H shares by approximately 42% [1] - Higher prices for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid are expected to drive the company's total gross profit growth by 2026 [1] - Analysts predict a copper price of $12,750 per ton and a gold price of $3,925 per ounce under baseline forecasts for 2026 [1] Group 2 - A 5% increase in copper and gold prices is projected to lead to a 4% and 1% increase in Jiangxi Copper's net profit for 2026, respectively [1] - The target price for Hong Kong shares was adjusted from HKD 27.9 to HKD 39.8, while the target price for A shares was raised from RMB 33.8 to RMB 47.9 [1]

Core Insights - The article provides an overview of the latest fund net asset values, highlighting the top-performing and bottom-performing funds in terms of net value growth [2][3]. Fund Performance Summary Top 10 Funds by Net Value Growth - The top-performing funds include: 1. Huabao Overseas China Growth Mixed Fund: Latest net value 1.4360, growth of 3.24% 2. Zhongjia Advantage Enterprise Mixed A: Latest net value 1.5510, growth of 2.76% 3. Zhongjia Advantage Enterprise Mixed C: Latest net value 1.4826, growth of 2.74% 4. ICBC Hong Kong Small Cap USD: Latest net value 0.2780, growth of 2.66% 5. Founder Fubon Mixed C: Latest net value 1.2000, growth of 2.65% 6. Founder Fubon Mixed A: Latest net value 1.2120, growth of 2.62% 7. ICBC Hong Kong Small Cap RMB: Latest net value 1.9640, growth of 2.61% 8. Yongying High-end Equipment A: Latest net value 1.1641, growth of 2.56% 9. Yongying High-end Equipment C: Latest net value 1.1484, growth of 2.56% 10. Southern Hong Kong Preferred Stocks: Latest net value 1.7493, growth of 2.50% [2]. Bottom 10 Funds by Net Value Growth - The underperforming funds include: 1. Zhonghang Preferred Navigation Mixed C: Latest net value 1.6990, decline of 6.70% 2. Zhonghang Preferred Navigation Mixed A: Latest net value 1.7090, decline of 6.69% 3. Tongtai Industry Preferred C: Latest net value 0.5264, decline of 5.08% 4. Tongtai Industry Preferred A: Latest net value 0.5357, decline of 5.07% 5. Fuguo Pharmaceutical Growth A: Latest net value 1.0475, decline of 4.90% 6. Great Wall Health Mixed C: Latest net value 0.9224, decline of 4.81% 7. Great Wall Health Mixed A: Latest net value 0.9521, decline of 4.81% 8. Great Wall Pharmaceutical Technology C: Latest net value 0.7704, decline of 4.76% 9. Great Wall Pharmaceutical Technology A: Latest net value 0.7880, decline of 4.75% 10. Yifangda Pharmaceutical Biotechnology C: Latest net value 0.8290, decline of 4.75% [3]. Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rebounded before closing with a small decline, while the ChiNext Index also opened low and continued to decline, closing with a small loss. The total trading volume was 1.79 trillion, with 2,314 stocks rising and 2,968 falling. The leading sectors included insurance and chemical fiber, both rising over 2%, while the lagging sectors included communication equipment and semiconductors, both declining over 2% [5].