Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a general increase in the Hong Kong stock market for non-ferrous metal stocks on September 11, with notable gains among several companies [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi Copper Co., Ltd. and China Hongqiao Group both saw their stock prices rise by over 4% [1] - China Aluminum Corporation experienced an increase of nearly 3% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. rose by 2.5% [1] - Zijin Mining Group and Jinchuan Group both increased by 2% [1] - Shandong Gold Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium also followed with gains [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [10] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to show strong performance, with basic metals experiencing a net profit growth of 27% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by a rebound in manufacturing and expectations of interest rate cuts [4][19] - Gold maintains a bullish market trend, with significant profit elasticity due to rising production capacity and price increases [5][19] - Energy metals show mixed performance, with lithium prices under pressure while cobalt prices improve, leading to better profitability for cobalt-related companies [6][19] - Rare earth materials are recovering as export controls enhance their strategic value, with prices stabilizing after previous declines [7][19] - Titanium materials are gradually improving in profitability, awaiting a recovery in high-end demand [8][19] Summary by Sections Basic Metals - In the first half of 2025, the basic metals sector achieved a net profit of 703.79 billion yuan, a 26.67% increase year-on-year, with a revenue growth of 4.24% [21][30] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a net profit of 376.44 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to easing tariff pressures and strong industrial performance [4][37] Gold - The gold sector experienced a revenue increase of 25.94% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit soaring by 58.95% [14][19] - In Q2 2025, gold prices reached new highs, driven by trade conflicts and recession expectations, leading to significant profit elasticity for gold mining companies [5][19] Energy Metals - The energy metals sector faced a decline in lithium prices, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 4.76% in the first half of 2025, while cobalt prices improved significantly [6][19] - Cobalt prices are recovering due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has implemented export bans [6][19] Rare Earth Materials - The rare earth sector saw a revenue increase of 12.74% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit growth of 260.72% [19][21] - Export controls and new regulations are expected to enhance the strategic value of rare earth materials, supporting price recovery [7][19] Titanium Materials - The titanium sector reported a slight revenue decrease of 0.90% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with net profit down by 4.04% [19][21] - There is an expectation of improved profitability as high-end demand begins to recover [8][19]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 9月8日晚间，江西铜业发布公告称，公司2025年半年度业绩说明会定于2025年9月16日 （星期二）09：00—10：00在上海证券交易所上证路演中心以网络互动方式召开。 ...

| | | 债券代码：137816 债券简称：22 江铜 01 债券代码：243700 债券简称：25 江铜 K1 江西铜业股份有限公司关于 召开 2025 年半年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，对公告 的虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏负连带责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 9 月 16 日（星期二）09:00— 10:00 会议召开方式：本次说明会通过上海证券交易所上证路演 中心（https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）以网络互动方式召开。 一、说明会类型 江西铜业股份有限公司（以下简称公司）已于 2025 年 8 月 29 日发布了《江西铜业股份有限公司 2025 年半年度报告》。为使广大 投资者更加全面、深入地了解公司情况，公司决定召开业绩说明会， 就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 说明会定于 2025 年 9 月 16 日（星期二）09:00—10:00 上海证 券交易所上证路演中心（https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）以网络 互动方式召开。 东阳先生。 四、投资者参加方式 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut probability has surged to 99%, marking the first cut since December 2024, which is expected to reignite global liquidity and create significant opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Fed's rate cut is anticipated to provide "triple thrust" for non-ferrous metals: 1. A 1% decline in the US dollar index typically results in a 2.3% increase in prices of industrial metals like copper and aluminum. Current LME copper prices have surpassed $9,700 per ton, with expectations to exceed $10,500 post-rate cut [3] 2. Lower financing costs will alleviate financial pressures on mining giants, enhancing capital expenditure flexibility [3] 3. Inflation trading is expected to resurge, with gold's role as an inflation hedge becoming more prominent. Global gold ETF inflows surged 170% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with COMEX gold prices exceeding $3,600 per ounce [3] Group 2: Company Performance - Key performance indicators highlight companies with strong fundamentals: 1. Zijin Mining's net profit is projected to increase by 42% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with copper mining costs controlled below $3,800 per ton, compared to the industry average of $4,500 [4] 2. Yunnan Aluminum's hydropower aluminum costs are $2,000 per ton lower than thermal power, with a gross margin increase to 21.7% [4] 3. The demand for copper in electric vehicles is significantly higher, with 83 kg per vehicle compared to 23 kg for traditional cars, and solar installations consuming 500 tons of copper per GW, indicating a locked-in demand for upstream resources [5] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The non-ferrous sector currently has a PE ratio of approximately 24, but there is significant internal differentiation: 1. Lithium stocks are overvalued, with PE ratios exceeding 40 (e.g., Ganfeng Lithium at 45), while lithium carbonate prices remain low, raising concerns about earnings realization [6] 2. Copper and aluminum leaders have PE ratios below 15 (e.g., Zijin Mining at 13), with institutional forecasts predicting over 30% net profit growth in 2025, indicating substantial valuation recovery potential [6] Group 4: Investment Strategy - Recommended investment strategy includes: 1. Positioning with a total allocation of ≤15%, prioritizing a combination of gold (as an inflation hedge) and copper (due to industrial demand) [7] 2. Buying opportunities are suggested based on the Fed's rate cut magnitude, with a 50 basis point cut prompting immediate buying, while a 25 basis point cut would warrant waiting for a pullback [7] 3. Strict stop-loss rules are advised, with a 8% loss threshold for individual stocks and a sell-off if prices fall below the 20-day moving average [7] Group 5: Key Stocks to Watch - Notable stocks include: 1. Zijin Mining (601899): A global copper mining leader, with short-term performance linked to the recovery of the Kamoa copper mine [8] 2. Shandong Gold (600547): The largest domestic gold producer, benefiting from a cost advantage over peers [8] 3. Yunnan Aluminum (000807): A benchmark for hydropower aluminum, with ongoing premium for green aluminum [8]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Greater China Materials sector, particularly the glass fiber industry and related materials [1][5][6]. Core Insights - **Glass Fiber Industry**: The China Fiber Glass Industry Association has initiated measures to curb irrational competition within the industry [8]. - **Price Trends**: - The average price for glass fiber (2400tex) remained stable at Rmb3,850/ton, while float glass prices increased by 0.3% WoW to Rmb1,246/ton. Solar glass (3.2mm tempered) prices rose by 8.1% WoW to Rmb20.0/m² [4][10]. - **Production Impact**: A recent parade affected approximately 122.3kt of daily molten iron production and 80.7mt of coal production capacity in Shanxi, along with 40kt of alumina output near Beijing [8]. Price and Inventory Movements - **Base Metals**: - Shanghai copper prices increased by 0.8% WoW, while inventories rose by 2.6% WoW. - Aluminum prices decreased by 0.3% WoW, with inventories down by 1.2% WoW [2]. - **Steel Prices**: - Shanghai HRC price dropped by 1.5% WoW, CRC price decreased by 0.8% WoW, and rebar prices fell by 4.2% WoW [3]. - **Cement and Coal**: - Cement prices dipped by 0.9% WoW to Rmb327/ton, while coal prices increased slightly by 0.4% WoW to Rmb677/ton [3]. Regulatory Environment - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) is taking steps to rectify market orders and prevent irrational competition in the materials sector [8]. Additional Observations - The report indicates a cautious outlook on the overall market dynamics, emphasizing the need for companies to adapt to regulatory changes and market conditions [6][8]. - The report also highlights potential investment opportunities within the sector, particularly for companies that can navigate the regulatory landscape effectively [6]. Conclusion - The Greater China Materials sector, particularly the glass fiber industry, is experiencing price stability amidst regulatory changes aimed at curbing competition. Investors should monitor these developments closely for potential opportunities and risks [1][6][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - The copper price is expected to strengthen in Q4 2025 due to improved supply-demand dynamics and a 100% probability of interest rate cuts in the US [1][4]. - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 10.6%, while LME copper inventory decreased by 0.6% [2][25]. - The report recommends companies such as Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining, while also suggesting to pay attention to Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Factors - The US non-farm employment data for August was below expectations, leading to a 100% probability of interest rate cuts in September [1][37]. - The US dollar index remains weak, impacting copper prices positively [1]. Supply Dynamics - Domestic copper concentrate inventory decreased by 3.1%, while the TC spot price increased by $0.8/ton [2][48]. - China's copper concentrate production in May 2025 was 158,000 tons, up 22.7% month-on-month and 11.2% year-on-year [2][50]. - The price difference between refined copper and scrap copper increased by 293 RMB/ton, indicating a tighter supply of scrap copper [2][54]. Demand Trends - The cable manufacturing industry's operating rate decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 66.75% [3][76]. - Air conditioning production is expected to decline year-on-year by 12%, 22.6%, and 19.7% for September, October, and November respectively [3][94]. - The operating rate for brass rods, which account for 4.2% of domestic copper demand, was 43.9%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year [3][94]. Futures Market - The SHFE copper active contract positions increased by 4%, while COMEX non-commercial net long positions decreased by 2% [4][32]. - As of September 5, 2025, the SHFE copper active contract position was 187,000 lots, up 3.6% week-on-week [4][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report anticipates that copper prices will continue to rise due to tightening supply and improving demand in 2025 [4]. - Recommended stocks include Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining, with a focus on Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4].

Group 1 - The three major indices of Hong Kong stocks collectively rose in the first week of September, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.36% to close at 25,417.98 points [1][3] - On September 5, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.43%, reaching 25,417.98 points, following a strong start to the month with a 2.15% increase on September 1 [3] - The market saw significant trading volume, with a total turnover of 380.23 billion HKD during the week [3] Group 2 - Various sectors showed strong performance, particularly technology stocks, with notable increases from companies such as Kuaishou (+4.36%), SenseTime (+2.6%), and Tencent (+2.19%) [3] - The metals sector also experienced gains, with Tianqi Lithium rising by 13.33% and Ganfeng Lithium by 12.55% [3] Group 3 - Institutions are generally optimistic about the future performance of Hong Kong stocks, with expectations of a gradual rise starting in late September due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4] - Dongwu Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market is in a trend of oscillating upward, with the Fed's rate cut expectations likely to boost market sentiment [4]

Market Overview - On September 5, the industrial metals sector rose by 4.12% compared to the previous trading day, with Xinweiling leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xinweiling (871634) closed at 31.28, with a gain of 7.60% and a trading volume of 48,800 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 149 million [1] - Baiyin Youse (601212) closed at 4.09, up 7.07%, with a trading volume of 4.8869 million shares and a transaction value of 1.953 billion [1] - Xizang Zhufeng (600338) closed at 12.84, gaining 7.00%, with a trading volume of 858,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.078 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Xingye Yinxin (000426) with a 5.90% increase, Guocheng Mining (000688) up 5.70%, and Dingsheng New Materials (603876) up 5.30% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.36 billion in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 298 million [1] - Major stocks like Zijin Mining (668109) had a net inflow of 756 million from main funds but a net outflow of 357 million from retail funds [2] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) reported a net inflow of 176 million from main funds, with retail funds seeing a net outflow of 131 million [2]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial metals sector in A-share listed companies has shown a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with many companies experiencing revenue growth but facing challenges in profit margins [1] Group 1: Performance Overview - Among the 58 selected industrial metal companies, half achieved both revenue and profit growth, including companies like Zijin Mining and Tianshan Aluminum [1] - 3 companies, including Luoyang Molybdenum and Jiangxi Copper, reported profit growth despite stagnant revenues [1] - 16 companies, such as Ningbo Fubon and Yongmaotai, saw revenue increases but no profit growth [1] - 7 companies, including Wanshun New Materials and Hongchuang Holdings, reported losses [1] Group 2: Companies with Revenue Growth but No Profit Growth - Companies with revenue growth but no profit growth include Yongmaotai, Jingyi Co., and Haomei New Materials, with varying revenue increases from 4.12% to 51.66% [2][3] - Specific companies like Xinjiang Zhonghe and Shenhuo Co. reported revenue increases of 10.95% and 12.12%, respectively, but faced significant profit declines [2] Group 3: Companies with Declining Performance - Companies with declining performance include Minfa Aluminum, Xinbo Co., and Jinzong Co., with revenue decreases of 24.89%, 4.11%, and 4.98%, respectively [3] - The losses reported by companies like Wanshun New Materials and Hongchuang Holdings were significant, with net profits of -0.53 billion and -1.18 billion, respectively [4] Group 4: Notable Financial Metrics - Li Yuan Co. reported a revenue decline of 46.66% and a net profit loss of 0.58 billion, marking its eighth consecutive half-year loss [5] - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals experienced a revenue drop of 15.28% and a drastic net profit decline of 1859.82% [6] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals had a revenue increase of 6.39% but a net profit decrease of 33.94%, attributed to increased tax expenses from dividend adjustments [6]