行业观点概要 ■ 本周（20260202-20260206）板块行情 电力设备与新能源板块：本周上涨2.20%，涨跌幅排名第3，强于上证指数。本周锂电池指数涨幅最大，工控自动化指数跌幅最大。锂电池指数上涨 4.47%，太阳能指数上涨3.43%，储能指数上涨0.49%，风力发电指数上涨0.31%，新能源汽车指数下跌0.18%，核电指数下跌0.31%，工控自动化指数下跌 1.69%。 ■ 新能源车：1月新势力销量公布，固态电池大会召开 2026年1月，整体车市表现略显疲软，但多数车企实现同比正增长。极氪汽车1月交付23,852辆，同比激增99.7%。蔚来汽车1月交付27,182辆，同比 +96.1%。小米汽车1月交付超39,000辆，同比+70.3%。此外，比亚迪依然保持市场领先地位，1月交付210,051辆。整体来看，各大主流车企交付量呈现增 长态势，新能源车市场的强劲势头延续，各势力竞争激烈。2月7-8号，中国全固态产学研协同创新平台召开第三届中国全固态电池创新发展高峰论坛，围 绕关键材料、电芯创新、工艺装备、AI全链条赋能以及知识产权展开讨论。 ■ 新能源发电："十五五"全球光伏装机市场预计保持高增长 光伏 ...

Group 1 - Zhongke Shuguang, based in Beijing, is a leading enterprise in high-performance computing, cloud computing, and big data, with a comprehensive self-developed technology system in computing infrastructure [1][29] - The company collaborates with top research institutions to develop quantum computing supporting technologies and has launched dedicated computing infrastructure for quantum computing [1][29] - Future prospects include becoming a core service provider for quantum computing industrialization, leveraging national computing network construction and quantum technology policies [1][29] Group 2 - iFlytek, located in Hefei, is a leader in intelligent voice and AI, focusing on the integration of quantum computing and AI applications [2][30] - The company aims to optimize AI model training efficiency using quantum computing's parallel processing advantages and explores quantum algorithms in various fields [2][30] - Future developments may lead to differentiated advantages in quantum intelligent interaction and optimization algorithms [2][30] Group 3 - Hengtong Optic-Electric, based in Suzhou, is a global leader in optical communication and energy interconnection, with a significant market share in quantum communication [3][31] - The company has developed quantum key distribution (QKD) equipment and has a market share of over 40% in quantum optical cables [3][31] - Future strategies include enhancing core devices and exploring the integration of quantum communication with marine communication [3][31] Group 4 - Aerospace Electronics, located in Beijing, is a core enterprise in aerospace electronic information, focusing on quantum sensing and navigation technologies [4][32] - The company develops high-precision aerospace sensors based on quantum effects and supports the construction of space-based quantum communication networks [4][32] - Future advancements may position the company as a key supplier in aerospace quantum technology applications [4][32] Group 5 - Zhongtian Technology, based in Nantong, specializes in optical cables and renewable energy, focusing on the infrastructure for quantum key distribution networks [5][34] - The company collaborates with other quantum technology firms to provide supporting equipment for quantum communication systems [5][34] - Future efforts may include the development of specialized optical devices and solutions for quantum communication [5][34] Group 6 - Huagong Technology, located in Wuhan, is a leader in laser processing and optoelectronic devices, focusing on core optical devices needed for quantum communication [6][35] - The company aims to become a key supplier of quantum communication components and explore quantum sensing technology applications [6][35] - Future developments may enhance the company's position in the quantum communication market [6][35] Group 7 - China West Electric, based in Xi'an, focuses on quantum sensing technology applications in power systems, developing high-precision monitoring sensors [7][36] - The company aims to enhance the stability and intelligence of power systems through quantum sensing technology [7][36] - Future strategies may solidify the company's core advantages in quantum monitoring and precision measurement [7][36] Group 8 - AVIC Optoelectronics, located in Luoyang, specializes in high-precision connectors and optoelectronic components for quantum communication and computing [8][37] - The company aims to support the miniaturization and integration of quantum devices through its advanced manufacturing capabilities [8][37] - Future developments may expand the company's role in the quantum technology supply chain [8][37] Group 9 - Southern Power Grid Digital, based in Guangzhou, focuses on digital power grid solutions and quantum key distribution technology in power systems [9][38] - The company aims to establish a quantum security protection system for critical power infrastructure [9][38] - Future initiatives may position the company as a benchmark in quantum security applications within the power industry [9][38] Group 10 - China Great Wall, located in Beijing, is a leader in self-controlled computing and information security, focusing on post-quantum cryptography [10][39] - The company develops solutions to ensure information system security in the quantum computing era [10][39] - Future advancements may enhance the company's offerings in quantum security solutions [10][39] Group 11 - Kehua Data, based in Xiamen, specializes in data center infrastructure and energy management, providing power solutions for quantum computing facilities [11][41] - The company aims to become a core supplier for quantum computing infrastructure as the industry grows [11][41] - Future developments may optimize energy solutions for quantum computing centers [11][41] Group 12 - State Grid Information Communication, located in Beijing, focuses on digital power and information communication, exploring quantum key distribution in power networks [12][42] - The company aims to enhance the security of power communication networks through quantum technology [12][42] - Future strategies may solidify the company's role in promoting quantum communication applications in the power sector [12][42] Group 13 - Tiantong Co., based in Haining, specializes in magnetic materials and sapphire crystals, focusing on high-performance sapphire substrates for quantum computing [13][43] - The company aims to become a key supplier of materials essential for quantum chip manufacturing [13][43] - Future developments may expand the application of quantum materials in various quantum devices [13][43] Group 14 - Shenzhou Information, a leader in financial technology, focuses on quantum key distribution in the financial sector [14][44] - The company aims to build a quantum security financial service system to protect financial data [14][44] - Future initiatives may enhance the integration of quantum technology in financial services [14][44] Group 15 - Qiming Star, located in Beijing, is a leader in network security, focusing on the development of post-quantum cryptography technologies [15][45] - The company aims to provide comprehensive network security solutions to protect against quantum computing threats [15][45] - Future advancements may position the company as a core service provider in post-quantum security [15][45] Group 16 - Electric Science Network Security, based in Chengdu, focuses on quantum security technologies, including quantum key distribution and post-quantum cryptography [16][47] - The company aims to become a key player in quantum security for critical information infrastructure [16][47] - Future developments may enhance the company's capabilities in quantum security solutions [16][47] Group 17 - Keda Guokai, located in Hefei, focuses on the intersection of quantum computing and big data, developing algorithms for quantum data processing [17][48] - The company aims to accelerate the industrialization of quantum computing technologies [17][48] - Future initiatives may open new growth opportunities in the intelligent software industry [17][48] Group 18 - Guangdong Measurement, based in Guangzhou, specializes in calibration and testing services for quantum technology products [18][49] - The company aims to ensure the measurement accuracy and stability of quantum devices [18][49] - Future developments may position the company as a core calibration service provider in the quantum technology sector [18][49] Group 19 - Dongxin Peace, located in Zhuhai, focuses on quantum key distribution technology for IoT security applications [19][50] - The company aims to enhance the security of IoT devices and data transmission through quantum technology [19][50] - Future initiatives may solidify the company's position in the quantum security market for IoT [19][50] Group 20 - Hengbao Co., based in Zhenjiang, specializes in smart cards and financial technology, focusing on quantum security in financial transactions [20][51] - The company aims to develop quantum secure payment systems to protect financial data [20][51] - Future developments may enhance the company's offerings in quantum security applications within the financial sector [20][51] Group 21 - Datang Telecom, located in Beijing, focuses on integrated circuit design and quantum communication chip development [21][52] - The company aims to support the miniaturization and integration of quantum devices through specialized chips [21][52] - Future advancements may position the company as a key supplier in the quantum chip market [21][52] Group 22 - Guomin Technology, based in Shenzhen, focuses on post-quantum cryptography for security chips in various industries [22][54] - The company aims to ensure the security of devices and data in the quantum computing era [22][54] - Future developments may enhance the company's capabilities in the quantum security chip market [22][54]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a strong rebound on February 9, with AI-related concepts collectively rising due to a surge in electricity demand from data centers [1] - The only ETF tracking the power grid equipment sector (159326) saw a gain of 2.87% and a trading volume of 848 million yuan, with leading stocks including Hangzhou Electric, Siyuan Electric, and Zhongtian Technology [1] - The power grid equipment ETF has attracted over 12.6 billion yuan in funds this year, reaching a total size of 17.189 billion yuan, making it the largest power-related ETF in the market [1] Group 2 - The power grid equipment ETF (159326) tracks the China Securities Power Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in the sectors of power transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment [2] - The smart grid sector has a weight of 90%, and the ultra-high voltage sector has a weight of 67%, both of which are the highest in the market [2] - The ETF includes leading companies such as TBEA, China XD Electric, and Siyuan Electric, which are prominent players in the industry [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective rise in its three major indices, with the electric grid equipment sector experiencing significant gains, particularly the electric grid equipment ETF (159326), which rose by 2.18% and achieved a trading volume of 6.41 billion yuan [1] - The electric grid equipment ETF has recorded a net inflow of over 4.6 billion yuan in the past two days, with its scale increasing more than 3.4 times this year, reaching 171.89 billion yuan, making it the largest electric grid-related ETF in the market [1] - The approval of the major electric grid project for the "Montenegro to Shanghai" crossing by the National Development and Reform Commission marks a strong start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" in electric grid construction [1] Group 2 - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment [2] - The smart grid has a high weight of 90% in the index, while ultra-high voltage equipment accounts for 67%, both being the highest in the market [2] - The ETF includes leading companies such as TBEA, China XD Electric, and others, which are positioned for international expansion [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Hongyuan Co., specializes in the research and production of electromagnetic wires, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.7% in revenue over the past three years. It is recognized as a national "manufacturing single champion enterprise" in the field of electromagnetic wires for ultra/high voltage transformers [3][14]. - The company has a strong market position, holding significant shares in high-voltage transformer projects, with a 24.43% share in direct current converter transformers and a 29.63% share in alternating current transformers in recent bids [5][19]. - The company is actively expanding into the new energy vehicle sector, focusing on high-power drive motors, and has secured orders from domestic and international clients, including VinFast, a Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer [5][19]. Company Overview - Hongyuan Co. has a total market capitalization of 42.24 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 14.67 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 33.17 yuan. The company has a total share capital of 1.27 billion shares, with a circulating share capital of 0.44 billion shares [3]. - The company has achieved a revenue of 1.952 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.97%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 73.84 million yuan, up 4.93% year-on-year [3][6]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.724 billion yuan in 2025, 3.417 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.438 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 114 million yuan, 148 million yuan, and 196 million yuan respectively [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.89 yuan, 1.16 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 35.3, 27.2, and 20.5 respectively [6]. Industry Overview - The electromagnetic cable industry in China had a market revenue of 45.18 billion USD in 2022, with an expected CAGR of 7.43%, projected to reach 96.66 billion USD by 2032. The investment in electric power resources in China has increased significantly, from 328.3 billion yuan in 2019 to 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 28.91% [4]. - The global market for electric wires and cables is expected to reach 267.8 billion USD in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2034 [4]. Competitive Position - The company has established a strong competitive position in the high-voltage transformer electromagnetic wire market, with a significant number of patents (80 in total) and a history of successful bids in major ultra/high voltage projects [5][24]. - The company has a well-developed production system and a stable customer base, including major domestic and international clients, ensuring a reliable supply chain and long-term partnerships [18][19].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company, Hongyuan Co., specializes in the research and production of electromagnetic wires, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.7% in revenue over the past three years. It is recognized as a national "Manufacturing Single Champion" in the field of electromagnetic wires for ultra/high voltage transformers [3][14]. - The company has a strong market position, with a significant share in the ultra/high voltage transformer market, and is actively expanding into the new energy vehicle sector, particularly in high-power drive motors [5][19]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 indicate a steady increase in net profit, with expected figures of 114 million, 148 million, and 196 million yuan, respectively, alongside corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.89, 1.16, and 1.54 yuan [3][6]. Company Overview - Hongyuan Co. has established itself as a leading manufacturer of electromagnetic wires for high voltage transformers, with a diverse product range including paper-wrapped wires, enameled wires, and combination wires [14][19]. - The company has been awarded 80 patents, including 16 invention patents, and has made significant technological advancements in the field, particularly in the application of electromagnetic wires in ultra/high voltage projects [5][24]. Industry Analysis - The electromagnetic cable industry in China is experiencing robust growth, with a market revenue of $45.18 billion in 2022 and an expected CAGR of 7.43%, reaching $96.66 billion by 2032 [4]. - Investment in electrical resources in China has surged from 328.3 billion yuan in 2019 to an anticipated 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 28.91% [4]. - The global market for electrical cables is projected to reach $267.8 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2034 [4].

智通财经APP获悉，华源证券发布研报称，风电设备整机盈利能力有望持续提升，国内企业加速出海。 国内风电招标量维持高位，招标价格呈上升趋势，该行判断2026年整机成本端或仍有改善趋势，风机盈 利能力有望恢复。此外我国风机企业成本优势明显，出口加速，国内外共振下风电整机有望迎来投资机 遇。 (1)特高压：历史上特高压建设节奏与电力供需变化有关。"十四五"后期我国电力供需形式趋于缓和， 特高压建设也随之放缓。但"十五五"我国电改全面铺开，绿电需求有望上升，特高压作为新能源输送和 消纳的核心环节之一，建设有望重新提速，此外新输配电价定价机制允许特高压直流采用容量电价，有 望进一步提高建设积极性;(2)配电网："十四五"投资占比持续位于低位，有望成为"十五五"建设重 点。"十四五"期间配电网的投资比例持续下降，但最高用电负荷增长较快，导致配网容载比持续下降， 供电可靠性受到挑战。但绿电直连项目采用容量电价政策同时利好用户和电网公司，加上最新一批配网 招标价格回升，2026年配网设备有望迎量价齐升。建议关注：许继电气、国电南瑞、平高电气、中国西 电等。 电力设备出海：算力投资不断上调，美国电力供需显著不足 OpenAI已 ...

Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment score is 44, indicating a "neutral" stance [6][9][21] - Historical trends suggest that when the sentiment score is below or close to 50, the market tends to find support, while scores above 80 may indicate resistance [9][21] Hot Themes Tracking Electric Grid Equipment - The global demand for high-power and high-stability transformers is driven by the significant energy consumption of AI data centers, leading to a severe supply-demand imbalance, particularly in the U.S. where delivery times have reached 127 weeks [6] - China's State Grid is set to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on ultra-high voltage and smart distribution networks, providing long-term order support for the industry [6] - Related stocks include China Western Power (601179) and TBEA Co., Ltd. (600089) [6] Banking Sector - Bank stocks are characterized by high dividend yields, with the CSI Bank Index yielding 6.02%, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield [6] - In a slowing economy with increased market volatility, bank stocks are becoming important investment targets for long-term funds such as insurance and social security [6] - Related stocks include Agricultural Bank of China (601288) and Ningbo Bank (002142) [6] Consumer Sector - The macro policy for 2026 emphasizes expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption, which is viewed positively by the market [6] - The consumer market is undergoing significant changes, characterized by three new trends: "emotional value" (self-consumption in gold and jewelry), "extreme cost-performance ratio" (bulk snacks and discount stores), and "efficiency innovation" (AI e-commerce and brand expansion) [6] - Related stocks include Yonghui Superstores (601933) and Wangfujing (600859) [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the power industry is expected to undergo high-quality development due to accelerated marketization and ongoing reforms in the electricity system in China, particularly in the context of the "dual carbon" strategy [2] - The report highlights that the investment in the power grid is anticipated to increase, with significant growth in transformer exports to the U.S. and other countries in the first nine months of 2025 [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of gas turbines as a primary solution for addressing electricity shortages in the U.S., with Chinese companies expected to expand their presence in international markets [4] Group 2 - The report notes that the construction of ultra-high voltage (UHV) power lines is likely to accelerate due to the rising demand for green electricity, despite a slowdown in construction during the latter part of the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - The investment in distribution networks is expected to become a key focus during the 15th Five-Year Plan, as the reliability of power supply is challenged by the rapid growth in peak electricity load [3] - The profitability of wind power equipment is projected to continue improving, with domestic companies accelerating their international expansion, supported by high bidding volumes and rising prices [5]

● 本报记者何昱璞 随着国家电网公司"十五五"期间4万亿元投资蓝图的发布，一条条跨越千里的电力"主动脉"进入密集建 设期。日前，新疆维吾尔自治区发展改革委发布公告，公开征集民营企业参与疆电(南疆)送电川渝特高 压直流工程投资。业内人士表示，这一举措也标志着我国特高压建设正积极探索更加多元化的投融资模 式，为行业发展注入新的动力，相关产业链上市公司有望受益。 政策持续支持 在国家能源战略的明确指引下，特高压建设已进入系统化、规模化推进的新阶段。 2025年以来，国家发改委、国家能源局等多部门出台系列配套政策，在项目审批、用地、环评等关键环 节为特高压工程开辟"绿色通道"。目前，大同—怀来—天津南、蒙西—京津冀等特高压工程已进入施工 高峰；浙江特高压交流环网、攀西特高压交流等工程前期工作加快推进，预计将于2026年上半年集中开 工建设。 国家电网数据显示，截至2025年底，我国已累计建成特高压工程42项，华东、华北、华中、西南地区特 高压交流骨干网架已基本形成，能源资源配置能力与系统韧性显著增强。业内人士分析称，随着大型风 光基地陆续投产，配套外送通道的建设需求将持续释放，未来三年特高压项目将迎来核准与开工的高峰 ...