证券之星消息，2月2日种植业板块较上一交易日下跌6.54%，荃银高科领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。种植业板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002772 | 众兴菌业 | 17.10 | 4.20% | 32.90万 | | 5.57亿 | | 002041 | 壹海种业 | 11.64 | 3.10% | 125.74万 | | 14.19 Z | | 600883 | 博闻科技 | 8.50 | -1.28% | ● 7.61万 | | 6522.79万 | | 603336 | 宏辉果蔬 | 9.12 | -1.94% | 13.58万 | | 1.25亿 | | 300511 | 雪榕生物 | 6.00 | -2.44% | 23.26万 | | 1.41亿 | | 920087 | 秋乐种业 | 20.44 | -2.81% | 22.51万 | | 4.41亿 ...

·基本面催化逻辑：全球粮价已触底，2026年易涨难跌。 2023年以来全球粮食持续去库，玉米库存消费比创超10年新低，大豆库存消费比处于过去10年50%分位；供应端 受新冠疫情后低价拖累已边际趋紧，2026年玉米和大豆饲用、工业需求均向好，但仅靠自身供应基本面缺乏足够 上行催化，需外部因素拉动。 ·宏观面催化逻辑：美元降息周期带动大宗商品流动性宽松，推升价格预期，当前大宗商品进入牛市初期，市场对 农 ·基本面催化逻辑：全球粮价已触底，2026年易涨难跌。 2023年以来全球粮食持续去库，玉米库存消费比创超10年新低，大豆库存消费比处于过去10年50%分位；供应端 受新冠疫情后低价拖累已边际趋紧，2026年玉米和大豆饲用、工业需求均向好，但仅靠自身供应基本面缺乏足够 上行催化，需外部因素拉动。 ·宏观面催化逻辑：美元降息周期带动大宗商品流动性宽松，推升价格预期，当前大宗商品进入牛市初期，市场对 农产品价格预期逐步抬升。 油价与粮价相关性极强，可通过农业机械、农化等成本端传导，以及燃料乙醇转化需求拉动影响粮价；当前油价 已开启底部反弹，叠加局势波动、OPEC+增产退坡推升上行预期，为粮价上行提供强劲催化。 ·资金 ...

此次合作的延农路8号项目，是首农食品集团承接并购的北京市国企资产盘活项目。项目坐落于延庆妫 水河北岸，总占地315亩，建筑面积4.3万平方米，规划226间客房。项目北望海坨山云海，南依世园会 万亩森林公园，妫水河蜿蜒环抱，生态环境得天独厚。 此次签约是北京市属国企与国际知名度假酒店集团的强强联合。根据协议，双方将依托延庆优越的生态 与区位资源，打造集高端酒店、特色疗愈、度假旅居于一体的一站式京郊度假目的地，致力于满足全球 旅行者对高品质健康美好生活的需求。 （来源：中华工商时报） 转自：中华工商时报 日前，首农食品集团旗下首农发展公司与新加坡悦榕集团在京正式签署合作协议，双方将共同打造位于 延庆区延农路8号的高端度假酒店项目。此举标志着悦榕集团旗下生活方式品牌"鸿居"（HOMM）首度 进驻北京，也是首农食品集团培育农文旅融合新业态、助力北京国际消费中心城市建设的又一重要举 措。 记者了解到，本次合作的延农路8号项目，是首农食品集团承接并购的市国属国企资产盘活项目。经过 重新定位与规划优化，通过公开招标，最终选定悦榕集团作为合作伙伴。该项目不仅是首农食品集团深 化市属国企战略合作、推动存量资产提质增效的成果，也 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the implementation of a national seed market inspection for spring crops, focusing on key crops such as corn, soybeans, rice, cotton, potatoes, and vegetables. This initiative aims to ensure seed quality and combat counterfeit products, which is expected to enhance the planting industry chain [1][11]. - The report anticipates a continued acceleration in the commercialization of genetically modified (GM) seeds, which is crucial for improving self-sufficiency rates in key varieties. The upcoming central document is expected to catalyze the seed industry sector [1][11]. - In the pig farming sector, the average price of live pigs has decreased to 12.61 CNY/kg, reflecting a 2.91% week-on-week decline. This trend is attributed to seasonal consumption patterns and inventory adjustments post-holiday [2][12]. - The report suggests that the pig farming sector may see accelerated capacity reduction as it enters a traditional off-season for pork consumption, presenting potential investment opportunities [2][12]. Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has initiated a seed market inspection to ensure the safety of seeds for spring production, focusing on major crops [1][11]. - The emphasis on GM technology is expected to revolutionize yield improvements and enhance self-sufficiency in key crops [1][11]. - Recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on companies with significant first-mover advantages in the seed industry such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11]. Pig Farming - The average price of live pigs is currently 12.61 CNY/kg, with a notable week-on-week decline of 2.91% due to seasonal factors and inventory management [2][12]. - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.61 million, reflecting a 2.9% year-on-year decline, indicating a trend towards capacity reduction [2][12]. - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Lihua Agricultural, Muyuan Foods, and Shuanghui Development, among others [2][12]. Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2377.26 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.32% [26]. - Wheat: The average price is 2529.67 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.18% [29]. - Soybeans: The average price is 4072.11 CNY/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [41]. - Cotton: The average price is 15750 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.56% [46]. Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.65 CNY/kg, stable week-on-week [53]. - Vitamin E averages 55.30 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.47% [63].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant drop in pig prices by 6% to 12.21 CNY/kg, while the price of white feather chicken products has increased to 9,400 CNY/ton [3][4] - The report indicates that the pig farming sector has been profitable for three consecutive weeks, with a profit of 25.1 CNY per head [3] - The report recommends continued investment in the pig farming sector, particularly in companies like Muyuan Foods, Tiankang Biological, Wens Foodstuff, and Lihua Agricultural [3] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average weight of pigs at slaughter has decreased to 127.86 kg, with the proportion of heavy pigs (over 150 kg) at 5.78% [3] - The price of two-yuan sows remains stable at 1,559 CNY/head, while the price of piglets has increased by 3.3% week-on-week [3] - The report anticipates a new wave of price declines post-Chinese New Year due to expected capacity reduction in the pig industry [3] Chicken Farming - The price of white feather chicken products has risen to 9,400 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.6% [4] - Yellow feather chicken farming has been profitable for over five months, with an average price of 14.95 CNY/kg [4] - The report notes a historical high in the number of breeding stock for white feather chickens, with a total of 157.42 million sets updated in December 2025 [4] Cattle Industry - As of the end of 2025, the cattle stock in China has decreased by 8.6%, with expectations for prices to rise in the first half of 2026 [8] - The report suggests that the decline in cattle stock is a precursor to rising beef prices, with historical data supporting this trend [8] Pet Food Market - The pet market in China is projected to grow by 4.1% in 2025, reaching a total market size of 312.6 billion CNY [7] - The pet food market share has increased to 53.7%, with significant growth in core brands [7]

Core Viewpoint - The development of humic acid water-soluble fertilizers, derived from natural organic materials, is gaining national attention as a key support for the transition to efficient ecological agriculture, with a projected market size of 43 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 17.3% year-on-year increase [1][7]. Industry Overview - Humic acid water-soluble fertilizers, also known as liquid fertilizers, are designed to improve soil structure, enhance microbial activity, and increase organic matter content, thus protecting the ecological environment [1][7]. - The industry is supported by government policies aimed at promoting green agricultural transformation, with specific mentions in key documents such as the Central No. 1 Document for 2025 [1][3]. Market Size and Growth - The market size for humic acid water-soluble fertilizers is expected to reach 43 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [1][8]. - The production of humic acid in China is projected to reach 3.01 million tons in 2024, marking a 4.5% increase from the previous year [5][6]. Competitive Landscape - The industry exhibits a "head concentration, long tail dispersion" competitive structure, with leading companies like Yuntianhua dominating the high-end market due to their resource advantages and technological accumulation [9]. - Key players in the industry include Yuntianhua, Stanley, and Batians, among others, with varying degrees of market share and product offerings [9][10]. Industry Trends - The industry is moving towards standardized and strategic development driven by national policies, which will enhance product quality and environmental standards [11]. - There is a shift towards functional composite and customized products, with companies focusing on developing high-end products that meet specific agricultural needs [11][12]. - The concentration of the industry is expected to increase, with leading firms expanding their market share through mergers and strategic partnerships, while smaller companies face competitive pressures [12].

瑞达期货研究院 关 注 我 们 获 业 务 咨 询 添 加 客 服 目录 「2026.01.30」 玉米类市场周报 续涨动能略显不足 玉米期价高位回落 研究员：许方莉 期货从业资格号F3073708 期货投资咨询从业证书号 Z0017638 取 更 多 资 讯 联系电话：0595-86778969 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场分析 「 周度要点小结」 总结及策略建议 3 Ø 玉米： Ø 行情回顾：本周玉米期货震荡收跌。主力2603合约收盘价为2271元/吨，较上周-29元/吨。 Ø 行情展望：美玉米供需格局较为宽松，继续牵制国际玉米市场价格，国际市场潜在的进口压力仍 存。国内方面，东北产区基层余粮持续消耗，干粮价格高企导致发货情况不理想，剩余粮源相对 集中于种植户及贸易环节，随着春节前下游备货的启动，种植户售粮心态有所松动，出粮速度较 前期偏快，贸易商对优质粮源存囤积意愿偏强，下游产品进入消费旺季，深加工企业为保障生产 连续性，加大玉米收购力度，玉米现货价格总体受到支撑。盘面来看，受现货偏强支撑，近期盘 面维持偏强震荡。不过，上方压力仍然较大，短期有望高位震荡。 「 周度要点小结 ...

1月30日，A股三大股指早盘高开探底，随后震荡回升，午后窄幅震荡，截止收盘，沪指跌0.96%报 4117.95点，深成指跌0.66%报14205.89点，创业板指涨1.27%报3346.36点，科创50指数涨0.12%报1509.4 点；本月沪指累涨3.76%，中旬创十年新高后小幅回落最终站稳4100点关口上方；深成指本月累涨 5.03%，创业板指本月累涨4.47%，科创50指数表现较强，月涨超12%；沪深两市成交额连续20个交易日 突破2.5万亿，近2900股下跌。 煤炭板块震荡走高，盘江股份涨停，云煤能源、新大洲A、大有能源、恒源煤电等跟涨。 盘面上，CPO概念走高，亨通光电、长飞光纤等多股涨停；转基因、粮食概念走强，敦煌种业、农发种 业等多股涨停；造纸印刷板块拉升，松炀资源涨停；光通信模块、水产养殖及通信设备等板块涨幅居 前；贵金属、有色金属板块重挫，中金黄金、山东黄金、白银有色及赤峰黄金等近二十股跌停；锂矿概 念走低，西部矿业跌停；昨日表现强势的白酒、啤酒股普跌，古越龙山领跌；汽车拆解、油气设服及培 育钻石等板块跌幅居前。 本月有色金属与科技两大主线交替领涨。有色金属板块成为最大亮点，受现货黄金、白银 ...

1月30日，A股早盘走势分化，沪指一度跌破4100点，创业板指V型反弹，半日成交额1.93万亿，较上个 交易日缩量836亿。截至午间收盘，沪指跌1.19%，深成指跌0.96%，创业板指涨0.8%。 值得关注的是，据券商中国，从虚拟币市场到大宗商品，从美股期指到亚太市场全线杀跌。消息面上， 外围市场传来重大变数： 第一，美国总统特朗普1月29日表示，他计划与伊朗进行对话，并称"希望"不动用武力。此举可能降低 了原油和国际金价上涨的驱动力； 第二，美元指数大幅上涨； 2、农业板块走强 农业概念震荡走强，农发种业3天2板，秋乐种业、神农种业、北大荒、康农种业等跟涨。 点评：消息面上，1月29日，生意社大豆基准价为4468.00元/吨，与本月初相比，上涨了1.18%。此外， 农业农村部副部长近日张兴旺表示，粮食产量达到了14298亿斤，再创历史新高。 第三，美联储主席人选可能将于北京时间今晚公布，市场对此不确定性亦心存忌惮。 盘面上，贵金属、有色板块集体回调掀跌停潮，中金黄金等多股跌停，光伏、军工、油气、地产等板块 跌幅居前。市场下跌之下，农业股逆势走强，农发种业3天2板；消费股继续活跃，旅游、零售、影视方 向领涨， ...

1月30日，A股三大股指早盘高开后大幅跳水，随后低位震荡反弹，股指整体呈现"V"型走势，截止午 盘，沪指跌1.19%报4108.46点，深成指跌0.96%报14162.2点，创业板指涨0.8%报3330.91点，科创50指数 跌0.56%报1499.24点。沪深两市半日成交额1.93万亿，全市场超3800只个股下跌。 农业板块走强 农业概念震荡走强，农发种业3天2板，秋乐种业、神农种业、北大荒、康农种业等纷纷跟涨。 消息面上，1月29日，生意社大豆基准价为4468.00元/吨，与本月初相比，上涨了1.18%。此外，农业农 村部副部长近日张兴旺表示，粮食产量达到了14298亿斤，再创历史新高。 煤炭（核心股）板块走高 盘面上热点快速轮动，算力（核心股）硬件概念逆势爆发，天孚通信涨超10%、长飞光纤涨停，均创历 史新高；AI应用端盘中拉升，电声股份20cm涨停，引力传媒（核心股）涨停。影视（核心股）板块表 现活跃，横店影视2连板。农业概念反复活跃，农发种业3天2板。下跌方面，有色金属板块集体大跌， 贵金属方向领跌，晓程科技、赤峰黄金等多股跌停。锂矿概念大跌，金圆股份跌停。 热门板块 贵金属（核心股）概念集体回调 ...