2月2日，柳工盘中下跌2.02%，截至10:59，报11.16元/股，成交1.87亿元，换手率0.82%，总市值227.21 亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出2716.94万元，特大单买入397.64万元，占比2.12%，卖出1254.92万元， 占比6.70%；大单买入3496.99万元，占比18.66%，卖出5356.66万元，占比28.59%。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，柳工十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流通股 东，持股8028.94万股，相比上期增加1423.55万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第五大流通股东， 持股2348.34万股，相比上期减少49.44万股。嘉实价值长青混合A（010273）位居第七大流通股东，持 股1949.48万股，相比上期减少151.05万股。嘉实港股优势混合A（010041）位居第八大流通股东，持股 1799.44万股，相比上期减少135.38万股。嘉实价值精选股票A（005267）位居第九大流通股东，持股 1725.96万股，相比上期减少667.94万股。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations for overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [36]. Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a comprehensive recovery in both domestic and international demand for construction machinery in 2025, maintaining a positive outlook on industry demand [10][21]. - Data from the Construction Machinery Industry Association indicates strong sales performance across various machinery categories in December, with notable year-on-year growth in excavators (10.9%), loaders (17.6%), and cranes (39.1%) domestically, and significant export increases for excavators (26.9%) and loaders (41.5%) [10][11]. - For the full year of 2025, domestic sales are projected to reach 118,518 excavators (up 17.9%) and 66,330 loaders (up 22.1%), while exports are expected to total 116,739 excavators (up 16.1%) and 61,737 loaders (up 14.6%) [10][11]. - The report highlights that favorable policies in real estate and infrastructure, along with the machinery replacement cycle, are expected to drive demand improvements [10][11]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative is anticipated to enhance overseas market opportunities for domestic manufacturers, particularly in mining machinery, as global mining capital expenditures rise [10][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Opinion and Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the construction machinery sector, predicting a recovery in demand [10][21]. Key Company Announcements - XCMG is involved in the construction of the world's largest football stadium, showcasing its equipment's capabilities [12]. - Zoomlion has signed procurement agreements worth 180 million yuan with Latin American clients, reflecting its international market trust [12]. Market Performance Review - During the period from January 26 to January 30, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.1%, while the machinery sector declined by 4.2%, ranking 25th among all primary industries [30].

2026 年 02 月 01 日 行业周报 看好/维持 机械 机械 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上（20260126-20260201） (10%) 4% 18% 32% 46% 60% 25/2/5 25/4/17 25/6/27 25/9/6 25/11/16 26/1/26 机械 沪深300 ◼ 子行业评级 ◼ 推荐公司及评级 相关研究报告 证券分析师：崔文娟 电话：021-58502206 E-MAIL：cuiwj@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190520020001 ◼ 走势比较 证券分析师：张凤琳 电话： E-MAIL：zhangfl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523100001 报告摘要 行情回顾 行业周报 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需求向上 P2 本期（1 月 26 日-1 月 30 日），沪深 300 上涨 0.1%，机械板块下跌 4.2%， 在所有一级行业中排名 25。细分行业看，油气装备涨幅最大，上涨 4.1%； 锂电设备跌幅最大，下跌 8.4%。 本周观点 2025 年工程机械内外需全面回升，继续看好行业需 ...

- The provided content does not include any quantitative models or factors, nor their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results[1][2][3]

- Quantitative model and factor construction - Model name: None mentioned - Factor name: None mentioned - Model backtesting results - None mentioned - Factor backtesting results - None mentioned

Group 1: Popular Industry Research - The most researched industries from January 26 to January 30, 2026, are electronics, machinery, basic chemicals, and pharmaceutical biology, with electronics and machinery receiving the highest attention in the past five days [10][12] - Over the past 30 days (December 31, 2025, to January 30, 2026), the most researched industries are machinery, electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and basic chemicals, with machinery and computers having the most research institutions [13][14] Group 2: Popular Company Research - In the past five days, the companies with the most research occurrences and more than 10 institutional ratings are Jiemai Technology, Ice Wheel Environment, and Zhou Dazheng [17][19] - Over the past 30 days, the companies with the most research occurrences and more than 10 institutional ratings include Daikin Heavy Industry, Jiangsu Bank, and Naipu Mining Machinery [22][23] Group 3: Key Company Research Summary 1. **Shanghai Bank** - The focus of the research is on strategic planning and shareholder returns, with a new five-year development plan approved, emphasizing technology finance with a loan balance exceeding 187.05 billion [26] - The asset quality remains stable, with credit focus on key regions and retail ecosystems, and a commitment to maintain cash dividends of no less than 30% annually from 2025 to 2027 [26][27] 2. **Liugong** - The research highlights significant growth in core business, with domestic demand for earth-moving machinery rebounding and overseas sales of electric loaders doubling [29] - The company expects a profit increase of 15% to 25% for the year, despite short-term impairment impacts, and is advancing its overseas manufacturing layout [29][30] 3. **Jiemai Technology** - The focus is on the domestic substitution of electronic film materials and capacity expansion, with high-end release films achieving stable supply and certification from major domestic and international clients [31] - The Tianjin base is expected to start trial production in the first quarter of 2026, enhancing supply chain resilience [31][32]

Market Overview - The engineering machinery sector experienced a decline of 0.78% on January 30, with Anhui Heli leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the engineering machinery sector included: - Changling Hydraulic (688389) with a closing price of 81.84, up 6.29% on a trading volume of 22,300 shares and a turnover of 178 million [1] - Tuoshan Machinery (001226) closed at 51.83, up 6.25% with a trading volume of 25,300 shares and a turnover of 129 million [1] - Major decliners included: - Anhui Heli (600761) closed at 21.82, down 6.19% with a trading volume of 535,100 shares and a turnover of 1.161 billion [2] - Fushite (301446) closed at 46.81, down 5.43% with a trading volume of 30,800 shares and a turnover of 14.5 million [2] Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector saw a net outflow of 212 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 160 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - LiuGong (000528) had a net inflow of 49.67 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 24.11 million [3] - XCMG Machinery (000425) recorded a net inflow of 34.38 million from institutional investors, with retail investors also experiencing a net outflow of 15.04 million [3]

上市企业：三一重工（600031）,徐工机械（000425）,中联重科（000157）,山推股份（000680）,柳工 （000528）,厦工股份（600815）,山河智能（002097）,安徽合力（600761）,恒立液压（601100）,建设 机械（600984） 2020-2025年中国挖掘机产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国挖掘机行业市场调查及未来前景预测报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国挖掘机产量为3.7万台，同比增长20.8%；2025年1-12月中国 挖掘机累计产量为38万台，累计增长16.6%。 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Upstream Cycle Products**: Benefiting from loose monetary conditions and a bottoming capacity cycle, supply-demand tight balance is driving price increases in sectors like chemicals, black chain, and real estate chain, presenting investment opportunities. Short-term market remains strong with long-term logic supporting this trend, but structural rotation and cost-effectiveness need to be monitored [1][2] Chemical Industry - **Current Situation**: The chemical industry is experiencing a hot market, with public fund holdings in large chemical sectors still underweight. Policies limiting new capacity and negative growth in capital expenditure are restricting supply, leading to an upward trend in industry prosperity [4] - **Investment Recommendations**: 1. **Oil and Petrochemicals**: Focus on companies with good resource endowments benefiting from high oil prices and potential value assessments [4] 2. **Basic Chemicals**: After a long bottoming process, current price differentials and valuations have safety margins. Key assets benefiting from unexpected demand and marginal changes in dual carbon policies should be monitored [4] 3. **Cyclical Leaders**: Attention should be given to tire companies with overseas expansion potential [4] Coal Sector - **Current Situation**: The coal sector has seen supply contraction and increased overseas demand, with inventory levels decreasing, indicating potential price increases. Many companies are undervalued from a price-to-book (PB) perspective, especially those with high spot market ratios [5][7] - **Investment Logic**: Companies with high spot ratios are expected to benefit significantly from rising coal prices. Recommended companies include Lu'an Huanneng, Jinkong Coal, and Shanmei International [6] Precious Metals - **Market Dynamics**: In the context of global turmoil, physical assets like gold are rising, with ongoing central bank purchases. Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining International and Shandong Gold [10] - **Industrial Metals**: Favorable outlook for aluminum and copper, with specific recommendations for China Aluminum and Zijin Mining [10][11] Logistics and Delivery - **SF Holding**: The company shows potential for absolute returns and valuation recovery, with a projected absolute return rate of 3.8% for 2025 and 2026. The company is at a ten-year low in valuation, with significant room for EPS upgrades and PE recovery [12] - **Third-party Delivery**: SF's leading position in the third-party delivery sector is expected to enhance performance through partnerships with major internet companies [12] Insurance Sector - **2026 Outlook**: The insurance sector is expected to perform strongly due to resonance in both asset and liability sides. The demand for dividend insurance is increasing, and the long-term interest rates are stabilizing, enhancing profit elasticity for insurance companies [23][24] Construction Materials - **Investment Opportunities**: Traditional undervalued construction materials like renovation materials, glass, and cement still hold investment value. Recommended companies include Beixin Building Materials and China Liansu [25] Real Estate Sector - **Recent Trends**: The real estate sector has rebounded due to bullish market sentiment and policy expectations. Anticipated easing measures in core cities may lead to a short-term market recovery [26][27] Engineering Machinery - **2026 Prospects**: The engineering machinery sector is expected to see synchronized domestic and international demand growth. Key recommendations include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion [29][30] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and recommendations from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market dynamics and investment opportunities across various sectors.

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is a critical pillar of equipment manufacturing, playing a significant role in national infrastructure construction and facing challenges related to energy consumption, carbon emissions control, and safety production. The industry is at a new starting point for green, intelligent, and international development, with ESG management capabilities becoming a core competitive advantage [1]. Industry Performance - Among 34 engineering machinery companies rated by Green Development Credit Rating Co., Ltd., XCMG and Anhui Heli lead with AAApi ratings, establishing themselves as benchmarks for ESG management. Other notable companies include LiuGong, Zhejiang Dingli, and SANY Heavy Industry with AA+pi ratings. However, 50% of the companies received BB-pi or lower ratings, indicating significant disparities in ESG management across the industry [3][4][5]. Key Issues Focus - The industry is focusing on the "dual carbon" goals, smart manufacturing, and responsible operations. Key environmental management areas include greenhouse gas emission control, clean energy application, and the development of new energy products. Companies are encouraged to establish carbon emission monitoring systems and optimize production processes to achieve low-carbon transitions [6]. Social Dimension - Safety production, employee rights protection, and product responsibility are core concerns. Companies need to establish comprehensive safety management systems, enhance employee welfare, and ensure product quality and customer service responsiveness [7]. Governance Dimension - Effective corporate governance, risk management, and ESG management framework construction are crucial. Companies should establish governance structures, strengthen internal controls, and integrate ESG principles into strategic planning and daily operations [7][11]. Industry Practice Benchmarks - Anhui Heli is actively reducing energy consumption through green factory initiatives and optimizing production processes. Zhejiang Dingli is enhancing its climate change management system and promoting energy-efficient transportation methods. LiuGong is improving product development processes and focusing on innovative technologies [9][10]. Future Directions - The engineering machinery industry should focus on three main areas: deepening green transformation, enhancing social responsibility, and optimizing governance systems. Companies need to establish carbon management frameworks, improve employee welfare, and enhance ESG reporting and compliance [13][14].