有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...

有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report indicates that copper prices may experience short-term fluctuations due to inventory accumulation, with recent price changes of -4.02% for LME copper, -3.45% for SHFE copper, and -1.33% for COMEX copper. The report anticipates a decrease in price volatility and potential high-level fluctuations in the near term [5] - The report highlights that the Chinese Nonferrous Metals Industry Association is considering including copper concentrate in national reserves, which could positively impact copper prices in the medium to long term [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that inventory accumulation may lead to short-term price fluctuations, with SHFE aluminum prices dropping by 7.74% to 23,400 CNY/ton and LME aluminum prices down by 2.20% to 3,063 USD/ton [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with a potential reversal in supply-demand dynamics for lithium carbonate, suggesting a possible upward price trend [5] - Cobalt raw material tightness persists, with a recommendation to monitor downstream replenishment after the Spring Festival [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides macroeconomic insights, including a better-than-expected ISM manufacturing PMI in the US for January at 52.6, and lower-than-expected ADP employment figures [9] - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector shows a decline, with the Shenwan non-ferrous sector down 8.51%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 7.24 percentage points [11] 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - LME copper prices fell by 4.02%, SHFE copper by 3.45%, and COMEX copper by 1.33%. Inventory levels increased, with LME copper stocks up 4.74% and SHFE copper stocks up 6.83% [24] 2.2 Aluminum - LME aluminum prices decreased by 2.20%, while SHFE aluminum prices dropped by 7.74%. The report notes a significant increase in SHFE aluminum inventory by 13.09% [34] 2.3 Lead and Zinc - LME lead prices fell by 2.82%, and SHFE lead prices decreased by 3.05%. LME zinc prices dropped by 1.93%, with SHFE zinc prices down by 6.95% [45] 2.4 Tin and Nickel - LME tin prices decreased by 13.93%, and SHFE tin prices fell by 18.32%. LME nickel prices dropped by 3.71%, while SHFE nickel prices decreased by 8.98% [56] 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices saw a significant decline, with lithium carbonate down 16.20% to 134,500 CNY/ton and lithium hydroxide down 16.14% to 132,500 CNY/ton [73] 3.2 Cobalt - The report notes a decrease in MB cobalt prices by 0.19% to 25.88 USD/pound, with domestic cobalt prices down 9.60% to 405,000 CNY/ton [85]

根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国线材(盘条)产量为963万吨，同比下降14.1%；2025年1-12月 中国线材(盘条)累计产量为13282.6万吨，累计下降1.6%。 2020-2025年中国线材(盘条)产量统计图 上市企业：杭钢股份（600126）,沙钢股份（002075）,永兴材料（002756）,方大特钢（600507）,凌钢股 份（600231）,抚顺特钢（600399）,*ST西钢（600117）,柳钢股份（601003）,马钢股份（600808）,新钢 股份（600782） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国超微细电子线材行业市场行情动态及投资潜力研究报》 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the growth and performance of the non-ferrous metal industry in China, with significant increases in production, investment, and trade [2] - As of February 6, 2026, the non-ferrous metal industry theme index (000811) rose by 0.25%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Hunan Gold (9.94%) and Guocheng Mining (5.67%) [1] - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge increased by 0.32%, with a remarkable annual growth of 109.34% as of February 5, 2026 [1] Group 2 - In 2025, China's non-ferrous metal enterprises saw an industrial added value growth of 6.9%, with total production exceeding 8 million tons, reaching 8,175 million tons, a 3.9% increase year-on-year [2] - Fixed asset investment in the non-ferrous metal industry grew by 4.9%, surpassing the national industrial investment growth rate by 2.3 percentage points, with mining sector investments soaring by 41.0% [2] - The total import and export trade of non-ferrous metals reached $412.24 billion, marking a 12.4% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3 - The Huatai-PineBridge non-ferrous metal industry theme ETF (019165) has shown a maximum monthly return of 20.81% since its inception, with a one-year Sharpe ratio of 3.44 [3] - The fund has a maximum drawdown of 15.91% over the past year, ranking 2 out of 5 in its category, indicating relatively low risk [3] - The fund manager, Dong Jin, has 15.6 years of experience and has achieved a return of 82.96% since taking office on March 21, 2025 [3] Group 4 - The Huatai-PineBridge non-ferrous metal industry theme ETF (019165) offers a flexible mechanism with no subscription fees, which is particularly beneficial in the volatile non-ferrous metal sector [4] - This mechanism significantly reduces transaction costs for investors, allowing them to capture segment profits without being eroded by subscription and redemption fees [4]

相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国工业云行业市场深度评估及投资机会预测报告》 2025年1-12月，浙江省工业企业数（以下数据涉及的工业企业，均为规模以上工业企业，从2011年起， 规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000万元）为61277 个，和上年同期相比，增加了1739个，同比增长2.92%，占全国的比重为11.65%。 上市公司：天山铝业（002532），宁波富邦（600768），金田股份（601609），ST海越（600387）， 中泰股份（300435），英洛华（000795），永兴材料（002756）香飘飘（603711），一鸣食品 （605179），李子园（605337），伟星股份（002003），ST奥康（603001），红蜻蜓（603116），ST 起步（603557），慈星股份（300307），金盾股份（300411），迦南科技（300412），中亚股份 （300512），浙能电力（600023），浙江新能（600032），东望时代（600052），瀚叶股份（600226） 2016-2025年浙江省工业企业数统计图 数据来源： ...

格隆汇2月3日丨永兴材料(002756.SZ)在互动平台表示，目前公司与SpaceX公司暂无接触。 ...

华源证券近日发布有色金属大宗金属周报：锂电需求"淡季不淡"，碳酸锂供需反转，锂价进入上行周 期。本周碳酸锂价格上涨12.86%至15.8万元/吨，锂辉石精矿上涨5.32%至1980美元/吨。本周碳酸锂期货 主力合约2605上涨1.94%至14.62万元/吨。周五碳酸锂期货跌停，或主要系广期所加大监管力度，投机 资金获利了结所致。 钴：钴原料偏紧格局仍未改变，钴价有望延续上行。本周MB钴上涨0.59%至25.68美元/磅，国内电钴价 格下跌1.31%为45.2万元/吨。刚果（金）自10月16日起解除钴出口禁令，改为实施钴出口配额制。供给 端，刚果（金）决定将允许2025年第四季度的钴出口配额延续至2026年3月底，考虑到运输周期，预计 国内原料或将在今年3月后才能陆续到港，钴原料结构性偏紧逻辑不变，钴价有望延续上涨。建议关 注：华友钴业、洛阳钼业、腾远钴业、力勤资源、寒锐钴业。 以下为研究报告摘要： 风险提示：下游复产不及预期风险；国内房地产需求不振风险；新能源汽车增速不及预期风险。（华源 证券 田源,张明磊,田庆争,陈婉妤,陈轩） 投资要点： 铜：库存累积叠加关税预期推迟，铜价短期或迎来高位震荡。本周伦铜/沪 ...

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：永兴材料有N06625镍基耐蚀合金。公司是否与马斯克 的spacex火箭公司有接触？ 永兴材料（002756.SZ）2月3日在投资者互动平台表示，目前公司与SpaceX公司暂无接触。 （记者 王瀚黎） ...

Group 1 - The energy metals sector increased by 4.02% on February 3, with Boqian New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the energy metals sector showed significant price increases, with Boqian New Materials rising by 8.49% to a closing price of 91.00 [1] Group 2 - The main capital inflow in the energy metals sector was 77.59 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 17 million yuan [1] - Boqian New Materials had a net inflow of 71.92 million yuan from main capital, with a 5.07% share of the total [2] - Retail investors showed a net outflow of 1.12 billion yuan from Shengxin Lithium Energy, despite a net inflow of 68.88 million yuan from main capital [2]