Core Viewpoint - The agricultural sector is experiencing positive momentum, with the Agricultural ETF (Hua Xia, 516810) showing gains and increased investor interest following the release of the 2026 Central No. 1 Document, which emphasizes food security and agricultural modernization [1]. Group 1: Agricultural Sector Performance - As of February 4, the Agricultural ETF (Hua Xia, 516810) is trading positively, with holdings such as Nongfa Seed Industry rising over 5% [1]. - Other companies like Haida Group, Muyuan Foods, Tianma Technology, and Denghai Seeds are also seeing upward movement [1]. - In the past five days, the ETF has attracted a net inflow of 19.39 million yuan, indicating heightened interest in the sector [1]. Group 2: Policy Implications - The 2026 Central No. 1 Document sets a target for grain production to stabilize at around 1.4 trillion jin, alongside a new initiative to enhance grain production capacity by 100 billion jin [1]. - The document promotes the integration of artificial intelligence in agriculture, expanding applications for drones, IoT, and robotics, and accelerating key technological innovations in agricultural bio-manufacturing [1]. - It also outlines plans for extending land contracts for an additional 30 years post-expiration, increasing financial support for agricultural enterprises and farmers, and facilitating the urbanization of agricultural migrants [1]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - GF Securities interprets the release of the Central No. 1 Document as a significant step towards building a strong agricultural nation, suggesting that there are substantial opportunities for modernization in rural areas [1]. - The emphasis on food security and breeding innovation positions leading seed companies to benefit from advancements in breeding research and the industrialization of biological breeding [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the consumer sector, with the CSI major consumer index rising by 1.00% and key stocks like Haida Group and Yanjing Beer showing significant gains [1] - Dongpeng Beverage officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on February 3, 2026, with an issue price of HKD 248 per share, and announced a joint venture with Indonesia's Sanlin Group to establish a vitamin functional beverage company with a total investment of USD 300 million [1] - Guizhou Moutai enhanced its connection with end consumers through the iMoutai platform, achieving over 1.43 million orders for Feitian Moutai in January, with an estimated supply of around 2,000 tons, leading to a year-on-year sales growth of over 30% before the festival [1] Group 2 - Haitong International reported that in January 2026, sectors such as condiments, frozen foods, soft drinks, and dining maintained positive growth, while high-end liquor and dairy products continued to experience contraction [1] - The cost index for dairy products and soft drinks has significantly decreased, and the net inflow of funds into the essential consumer sector through the Hong Kong Stock Connect reached CNY 61.73 billion in January, increasing the sector's market capitalization ratio to 5.82%, supporting valuation recovery [1] - The current historical PE ratio for A-share food and beverage is only at 17%, while the PE ratio for H-share essential consumer stocks is at 35%, both indicating relatively low levels, combined with institutional allocation ratios at near historical lows, highlighting the sector's cost-effectiveness [1][2] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI major consumer index account for 67.37%, with Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili among the leading companies [2] - The consumption ETF managed by Harvest (512600) tracks the CSI major consumer index, which encompasses A-share essential consumer leaders across various categories, with liquor being the largest sector, accounting for over 38% of the weight [2] Group 4 - Investors can also access the consumption recovery trend through the consumption ETF linked fund (009180) [3]

Group 1 - The three major indices opened lower on February 4, indicating a bearish market sentiment [1] - The Tianhong Agricultural ETF (512620) has seen a net inflow of over 100 million yuan in the past four trading days, with a year-to-date share growth of over 34%, making it the top performer among similar funds [1] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, covering sectors such as breeding and agricultural chemicals, and includes leading companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Haida Group [1] Group 2 - According to Dongfang Securities, 2026 is projected to be a turning point for the agricultural sector, with both breeding and planting expected to drive upward trends in the industry [2] - The swine breeding sector is highlighted as a key area, with strong companies continuing to show profitability and increased dividend rates, which are essential for long-term performance and valuation growth [2] - Recent policies and market dynamics are facilitating the reduction of production capacity in the swine breeding industry, which is expected to enhance long-term performance in the sector [2]

Core Insights - The Central Government's document emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization for China's overall modernization, highlighting the need to strengthen pig production capacity and promote dairy consumption [1] - The agricultural sector is expected to focus on technological empowerment and enhancing the resilience of the industry chain to support high-quality agricultural development [1] Group 1: Agricultural Policy and Market Trends - The Central Government's document outlines key strategies for agricultural modernization, including stabilizing grain production at around 1.4 trillion jin and diversifying oilseed supply [1] - The average price of live pigs in China has dropped to 12.31 yuan per kilogram, with prices in Guangdong nearing 12 yuan, indicating a recovery in breeding sentiment due to positive farming profits [2] - The Ministry of Agriculture has shifted its focus from "ensuring supply and stabilizing prices" to "protecting farmers' rights and stimulating enterprise innovation," suggesting a new growth logic centered on technology and innovative models [2] Group 2: Agricultural Index and Investment Opportunities - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Agricultural Index account for 51.02% of the index, including companies like Salt Lake Co., Cangge Mining, and Yili Group [2] - The Agricultural ETF (516550) closely tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the agricultural sector, which includes beverages, agricultural products, and animal health [2] - Investors without stock accounts can also access agricultural investment opportunities through the Agricultural ETF linked fund (019279) [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The pig price is weakening, and supply pressure remains after the festival, with the current industry breeding profit turning positive and the sentiment for replenishment continuing to recover [2][12] - The industry policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation, which may lead to a better performance of growth stocks in the future [3][12] - The high-quality development of the industry is imperative, with cost-leading and farmer-linked enterprises likely to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [3][13] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine breeding sector has seen a slight increase of 0.2%, gradually digesting concerns about slow capacity reduction [2][12] - The average weight of pigs for slaughter has decreased from high levels, with prices adjusting weakly to 12.31 CNY/kg [2][12] - The price of 7 kg piglets has risen to 367 CNY, indicating a weak expectation for capacity reduction [2][12] - The policy shift towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation is expected to positively influence pig prices and profitability in 2026 [3][12] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector is experiencing a contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption," with the price of broiler chickens at 3.7 CNY/kg, down 3.4% week-on-week [4][13] - The impact of avian influenza in France may lead to a reduction in imported breeding chickens, potentially increasing prices for parent stock [4][13] - Integrated enterprises and contract farming are expected to expand market share in 2026 [4][14] 3. Feed Industry - The prices of various aquatic products have rebounded, with significant year-on-year increases for some species [5][15] - Hai Da Group is recommended due to its clear long-term growth path and plans to increase its dividend payout ratio [6][15][16] - The company aims for a global sales target of 100 million tons by 2050, with ongoing overseas market expansion [6][16] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry is facing pressure with concerns over Q4 2025 performance, but there are signs of recovery in domestic sales [7][17] - Companies like Zhongchong and Peidi are recommended for their strong domestic sales growth potential [7][17] 5. Agricultural Products - Domestic soybean meal prices have increased slightly, supported by weather disturbances and procurement demand [8][18] - Corn prices have shown fluctuations, with a slight decrease due to reduced channel stocking [8][18] - The price of eggs has decreased, indicating a potential peak in trade inventory [8][18]

基金研究 | 专题报告 沃土生金春潮起，农业擎旗续周期 行业 ETF 配置系列报告之一 研究结论 风险提示 宏观经济与产业政策变化超预期风险、主题炒作风险、量化模型滞后性风险等。本报告 结论完全基于公开的历史数据进行计算，对基金产品和基金管理人的研究分析结论并不 预示其未来表现，也不能保证未来的可持续性，亦不构成投资收益的保证或投资建议。 本报告不涉及证券投资基金评价业务，不涉及对基金产品的推荐，亦不涉及对任何指数 样本股的推荐。 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 03 日 | 东春鸣 | 执业证书编号：S0860525100002 | dongchunming@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | --- | | 021-63326320 | 王继恒 | 执业证书编号：S0860525090004 | | wangjiheng@orientsec.com.cn | 0755-82819271 | | 主动权益基金仓位跟踪周报(20260130) 2026-02-02 主动权益基金仓位跟踪周报(20260123) 2026-01-26 多视角看近期 ETF 市场持续放量现象 2 ...

Group 1 - The feed sector experienced a slight increase of 0.34% on February 3, with Tianma Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Tianma Technology's stock price rose by 4.51% to 15.52, with a trading volume of 158,200 shares and a transaction value of 242 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 99.92 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 53.17 million yuan [2] - The top individual stocks in terms of net inflow from retail investors included Haida Group with 24.68 million yuan and Jin Xin Nong with 14.53 million yuan [3] - Conversely, stocks like Petty Holdings and Haofeng Holdings experienced significant net outflows from institutional investors, with -4.36 million yuan and -3.34 million yuan respectively [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Agricultural and Animal Husbandry ETF managed by Jianxin Fund, which opened at 0.904 yuan and experienced a slight decline of 0.33% [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Cangge Mining, which rose by 3.34%, and Yilake Co., which increased by 2.82%, while other stocks like Muyuan Foods and New Hope saw minor declines [1] - Since its inception on July 21, 2022, the ETF has reported a return of -9.46%, with a recent one-month return of 3.27% [1] Group 2 - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Theme Index return [1] - The fund manager is Jianxin Fund Management Co., Ltd., and the fund manager is Gong Jiajia [1]

来源：市场资讯 （来源：大佑农饲料） 二、需求冰封：消费降级+结构转型，猪肉"刚需"神话破灭？ 与成本端的"高烧"形成鲜明对比的，是需求端的"冰封"。农业农村部等五部门数据显示，2025年居民家 庭人均猪肉消费量26.6公斤/年，同比下降5.4%，连续两年下滑。更值得警惕的是，这并非短期波动， 而是多重结构性因素叠加的"不可逆趋势"。 经济层面，房地产低迷导致建筑业产值下降8.2%，而农民工群体作为猪肉消费主力军，收入随行业景 气度下滑而缩水；全国居民人均可支配收入实际增长仅3.1%，消费降级下，"少吃点肉"成为不少家庭的 选择。餐饮业表现更直观，行业指数跌至16个月新低41.29，市场采购量大幅萎缩，进一步削弱猪肉需 求。 农业农村部预测，未来猪肉消费总量将年均下降0.6%，而2025年生猪出栏7.2亿头、产量5938万吨，供 给仍处高位。"供增需减"的矛盾下，猪价上涨空间被严重压缩，养殖户"高成本出栏"的风险进一步放 大。 2026年开年，中国养猪业正经历一场"成本与需求的双绞杀"。饲料价格单月连涨50-100元/吨，头部企业 集体停收预付款；仔猪价格半年暴涨85%，从174元/头飙升至328元/头，高品 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Haid Group Co., Ltd. has announced the progress of its share repurchase plan, indicating a total repurchase of 13,194,845 shares, representing 0.79% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure of 719 million yuan as of January 31, 2026 [2][4]. Group 1: Repurchase Progress - As of January 31, 2026, the company has repurchased a total of 13,194,845 shares, which is approximately 0.79% of its total share capital [2]. - The highest transaction price during the repurchase was 59.50 yuan per share, while the lowest was 52.25 yuan per share, with a total payment of 71.86 million yuan (excluding transaction fees) [2]. Group 2: Compliance with Regulations - The company emphasized that the repurchase strictly adheres to relevant laws and regulations, as well as the established repurchase plan [3]. - During the repurchase period, the company did not execute repurchases during significant events that could impact the stock price or during other specified circumstances by the China Securities Regulatory Commission and Shenzhen Stock Exchange [3]. - The company followed regulatory requirements regarding the pricing and timing of share repurchases [3]. Group 3: Future Plans - The company plans to continue implementing the repurchase scheme based on market conditions within the designated timeframe [4]. - The company will fulfill its information disclosure obligations in accordance with relevant laws and regulations during the repurchase period [4].