会议助理: 大家好，欢迎大家参加 AI 加通胀系列 MLCC 专家交，线上会议。目前所有参会人员均处 于经营状态，下面有请主讲老师开始发言，谢谢。 王心怡 华泰证券电子分析师: 那各位线上投资人，大家晚上好。欢迎大家来参加我们这个 AI 加通胀系列的 MACC 专场 的专家交流。我是华泰电子研究员王欣怡。那在会议开始前，其实我们也再重申一下对于 整个 MLC C 最新看到的一些变化吧。就确实是在春节期间，观测到包含村田和三星电机 在内的一些日韩大厂对于涨价的这个事情的口风，确实是发生了一些扭转然后另外就是渠 道现货价也在春节期间迎来了一些继续的上涨。那这个从海外的这些催化来看的话，其实 是进一步加深了大家对于台系，包括大陆的公司后续跟涨的一个预期的。 然后另外一个层面就是从这个 AI 相关，包含 AI 在内的吧，这些高端需求来看，确实是今 年全年还是非常的旺盛。那这个对于非 AI 的高容，以及说一些中低端产能的挤占，可能 也是短期大家比较关心的事情。所以我们今天也是特别邀请到了台系的被动元件大厂的资 深专家，然后来给我们做这样一个专场分享。专家您好，请问能听到吗？ 台系被动元件大厂资深专家: 能听到，很清楚。 ...

20260224复盘 宏观： 1. 本月MLF操作，开展6000亿，净投放3000亿，加上此前的买断式逆回购，本月合计投放中长资金9000亿。 2. 20家日本实体列入出口管制管控名单。 日本宣布拟在距台湾110公里小岛，5年内部署导弹。 3. 特朗普政府正在考虑对六个行业征收新的国家安全关税。 可能涵盖大型电池 20260224复盘 宏观： 1. 本月MLF操作，开展6000亿，净投放3000亿，加上此前的买断式逆回购，本月合计投放中长资金9000亿。 2. 20家日本实体列入出口管制管控名单。 日本宣布拟在距台湾110公里小岛，5年内部署导弹。 3. 特朗普政府正在考虑对六个行业征收新的国家安全关税。 可能涵盖大型电池、铸铁及铁制配件、塑料管道、工业化学品以及电网和电信设备等行业。 人工智能： 1. Meta将采购足够数量的AMD最新芯片，以在未来五年内为其数据中心提供高达6吉瓦的计算能力。 3. 努比亚手机将在3月2日-5日的世界移动通信大会上发布一款"AI新物种"新手机，定位"AI手机先锋"。 4. 盘中传金刚石冷却技术交付，盘后辟谣。 5. 字节跳动 AI 代码开发工具 Trae 修改付费方式，由按 ...

我是芯片超人花姐，入行20年，有50W+芯片行业粉丝。 有很多不方便公开发公众号的， 关于芯片买卖、关于资 源链接等， 我会分享在朋友圈 。 扫码加我本人微信 相比前两年的行业低谷期，2025年的芯片市场热闹了一些。4月的关税、10月的安世、以及持续 一整年的存储行情，都给去年的芯片市场增添了活力。 我们持续追踪市场行情的同时，几乎每个月都整理了当月需求升高或价格上涨的热门芯片型号。 有些型号在榜单中待了一个月就消失了，但也有一些料号，从年中一路被提到年底 ，热度有起 伏，却始终没离开过市场视线。 以下是 我们在去年2月至今年1月的月度整理中， 观察到的一些 代表芯片型号 。 年度最稳定的那颗 NOR Flash W25Q128JVSIQ W25Q128JVSIQ 为华邦推出的 128M - bit SPI NOR Flash， 采用业界通用的 SPI 接口，并 支持 Dual/Quad SPI （部分器件还支持 QPI） 。W25Q系列不同型号可覆盖穿戴设备、工业设备与 汽车应用等多个领域的需求。 年度市场表现 如果要选一颗" 2025 年绕不开的存储 芯片 "，W25Q128JVSIQ 应当在榜 。 去年 ...

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 随着传感器在消费电子、汽车、工业及医疗电子领域的需求持续扩张，全球 MEMS 封装市场在本十 年有望实现大幅增长。市场研究机构 Valuates 最新报告显示，该市场规模预计从 2024 年的480.8 亿 美元增至 2030 年的856.4 亿美元。 对于读者而言，这份报告的核心并非亮眼的市场规模数字，而是其增长背后的驱动力：封装技术正日 益成为决定 MEMS 性能、可靠性与量产能力的瓶颈与差异化关键。随着 AI 传感技术渗透至更多产 品，封装复杂度已成为行业核心竞争焦点。 封装是 MEMS 性能的核心支撑 Valuates 指出，汽车与消费电子领域传感器集成度的持续提升，是市场需求的核心驱动力。汽车在安 全与控制功能中对 MEMS 的依赖度不断提高，涵盖安全气囊、电子稳定控制系统、胎压监测、超声 波泊车传感器、高级驾驶辅助系统（ADAS）模块及座舱空气质量系统等。报告提及，这类应用均要 求封装具备高稳定性、抗振动性，且通常需要气密性密封。 消费电子领域则朝着更高集成度、更小尺寸方向发展。智能手机、可穿戴设备、AR/VR 头显及无线 耳机内部均集成了多类惯性传 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges of managing excess inventory in the semiconductor industry, highlighting the financial burden of storage and capital costs associated with unsold materials, while promoting a service that facilitates quick transactions for surplus stock [1][10]. Group 1: Inventory Management - A significant amount of excess inventory, specifically 100,000 units, is causing financial strain due to monthly storage and capital costs of at least 5,000, leading to a potential loss of 30,000 if held for six months [1]. - The company offers a platform, "Chip Superman," which has served 22,000 users and can complete transactions in as little as half a day, aiming to alleviate the burden of unsold inventory [10]. Group 2: Inventory Listings - The article lists various semiconductor components available for sale, including models from brands like Winbond, Infineon, and Broadcom, with quantities ranging from 2,000 to 500,000 units [4][5][6]. - Specific models include Winbond's W25Q16JVBYIQ with 90,000 units and Broadcom's BCM54991ELB0IFEBG with 12,653 units, showcasing a diverse inventory [4][5]. Group 3: Purchase Requests - The article also includes a section for purchasing requests, indicating demand for specific components such as Winbond's W25Q16JVSSIQ and Samsung's K4AAG165WA BCTD, with quantities up to 10,000 units [7]. Group 4: Warehouse and Quality Control - The company operates a 1,600 square meter smart warehouse with over 1,000 models and 50 million chips in stock, valued at over 100 million, ensuring quality control through an independent laboratory [9].

算笔账 一批十万的呆料压在库存 每月仓储费➕资金成本至少5k 放半年就亏3万 有料单不知道怎么推广？ 芯片超人已经 累计服务2.2万用户 ，打折清库存，最快半天完成交易！ 找不到，卖不掉，价格还想再好 点 ，都可以来找我们！ 求购以下料号 | 品牌 | 型号 | 数量 | 年份 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 华邦 | W25Q16JVSSIQ | 30K | 两年内 | | 三星 | K4AAG165WA BCTD | 10K | 两年内 | | 芯科 | RS9113-N00- D0W-X78 | 1764个 | 两年内 | | TI | TPS62932DRLR | 20K | 现货 | | 华邦 | W25Q80DVSSIG | 50K | 25+ | | 华邦 | W631GU6RB09I | 6K | 两年内 | | 华邦 | W664GG6RB-06 | 10K | 两年内 | | 旺宏 | MX66L2G45GXRI10K | | 两年内 | | 旺宏 | MX66L2G45GXRI00 | 10K | 两年内 | | ADI | ADL5304ACPZ | 3K ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent price hikes in passive components, led by major players like Yageo and Walsin, indicate a significant shift in the market driven by supply-demand imbalances and rising raw material costs, particularly in high-end sectors like AI and electric vehicles [1][4][19]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Yageo announced a price increase of 15%-20% for certain resistor products starting February 1, marking its third price adjustment in a short period [1]. - Walsin and Panasonic also announced price hikes of around 20% and 15%-30% respectively for various passive components, reflecting a broader trend among major manufacturers [1][2]. - Smaller manufacturers in China, such as Fenghua Advanced Technology and Shunluo Electronics, have also followed suit with price adjustments ranging from 5%-30% across multiple product categories [2][3]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - The passive component market is experiencing supply tightness, with lead times extending and some distributors pausing quotes due to uncertainty in price adjustments [3][4]. - Rising costs of raw materials, particularly precious metals like silver and palladium, have significantly increased production costs for passive components, with estimates suggesting a 20%-30% rise in production costs [5][6]. - Capacity constraints are exacerbated by major manufacturers shifting focus to high-end products, leading to a structural shortage in the mid-range market [7][8]. Group 3: Demand Drivers - The demand for passive components is being driven by the rapid growth of AI and electric vehicles, with AI servers requiring significantly more MLCCs than traditional servers [10][11]. - The automotive sector is also a major growth area, with electric vehicles using up to three times more passive components compared to traditional vehicles, creating a favorable environment for price increases [11][12]. - The overall market for passive components in China is projected to grow from 1237.65 billion yuan in 2023 to 2583.59 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.09% [13]. Group 4: Market Structure Changes - The current price hikes reflect a structural change in the passive components market, with high-end products experiencing significant demand while traditional consumer electronics face challenges [15][19]. - Domestic manufacturers in China are beginning to capture more market share, particularly in high-end segments, as they improve their technology and production capabilities [19][20]. - The geopolitical landscape and supply chain diversification are providing opportunities for Chinese manufacturers to enter high-end markets, as global players face capacity and delivery challenges [19][24]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The passive components market is expected to continue evolving, with AI and automotive electronics driving demand for high-value products [25][26]. - Companies need to focus on high-capacity, miniaturized, and reliable products to meet the changing market demands and maintain competitiveness [25][26]. - Collaboration across the supply chain will be crucial for manufacturers to overcome technical challenges and align with market needs [25][26].

Core Viewpoint - The recent price hikes in passive components, driven by supply-demand imbalances and rising raw material costs, indicate a significant transformation in the market dynamics of the passive components industry [6][9][12]. Price Adjustments - Yageo announced a price increase of 15%-20% for certain resistor products starting February 1, reflecting its position as a market leader with an 18% global market share [2]. - Other companies, including Walsin Technology and Panasonic, have also announced price hikes for various passive components, with increases ranging from 15% to 30% [2][3]. - The price adjustments are widespread, with many small and medium-sized manufacturers in China also raising prices by 5%-20% across multiple product categories [3]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The price increases are primarily driven by rising costs of raw materials such as silver, copper, and aluminum, which have seen significant price surges, with silver prices increasing over 140% in 2025 [7][9]. - The production costs for passive components have risen by 20%-30% due to these raw material price increases, prompting manufacturers to pass on costs to customers [7][9]. - Capacity constraints are exacerbating the situation, as many Japanese manufacturers have shifted focus to high-end products, reducing supply in the mid-to-low-end market [8][9]. Demand Drivers - The demand for passive components is being driven by the rapid growth of AI and electric vehicle markets, with AI server motherboards requiring significantly more MLCCs than traditional servers [10][11]. - The demand for passive components in electric vehicles is also increasing, with the number of MLCCs used per vehicle rising dramatically compared to traditional vehicles [10][11]. - The overall market for passive components in China is projected to grow from 1237.65 billion yuan in 2023 to 2583.59 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.09% [12]. Market Structure Changes - The current price hikes reflect a structural change in the passive components market, with high-end products for AI servers and electric vehicles experiencing significant demand while traditional consumer electronics face challenges [14][17]. - Domestic manufacturers are beginning to capture more market share, with companies like Walsin Technology and Sunlord Electronics seeing increased orders and expanding their production capabilities [18][19]. - The shift towards high-end products presents opportunities for domestic manufacturers to enter the supply chains of larger companies, especially as global manufacturers face capacity and delivery challenges [22][23].

数说新能源 欢迎订购数说新能源2026年月度电池装机数据库和中国汽车上险数据库 联系方式：13220160736（同微信） Panasonic 25Q4业绩跟踪（Energy板块） 25Q4对应Panasonic 26财年Q3 1、财务数据 2、业绩影响因素 二、ATL 25Q4业绩跟踪（TDK 旗下 Energy Application Products segment 板块） 1、财务数据 收入：25Q4公司Energy业务实现收入118亿元，同比+22.3%，环比+15.5%；分产品来看，车载动力电池收入49亿元，同 比-0.5%，环比+10.6%，工业&消费级电池收入69亿元，同比+46.6%，环比+20.0% 营业利润：25Q4公司Energy业务调整后营业利润18.7亿元，同比-2.1%，环比显著提升；分产品来看，车载动力电池营业 利润5.6亿元，同比-44.9%，环比扭亏，工业&消费级电池收入13.0亿元，同比+58.5%，环比+59.3% IRA影响：25Q4北美AMPC补贴对营业利润影响约10.1亿元，剔除补贴后营业利润约8.6亿元，同比+55.3%，环比扭亏 营业利润率：25Q4公司Ene ...

Market Overview - The Nikkei average index significantly rose on February 3, reaching a new historical high since January 14, with an increase of 2065 points (4%) to close at 54720 points, marking the largest gain since the victory of Prime Minister Kishi in the Liberal Democratic Party presidential election in October 2025 [2][4] - The market is experiencing strong expectations for stock price increases, but there remains caution regarding risks, as indicated by the Nikkei average volatility index (VI) reaching 36, the highest level in about two months [5] Investor Sentiment - Investor psychology has improved, driven by the upcoming House of Representatives election on February 8, with a strong historical trend of buying before elections, as 21 out of the last 25 instances since 1952 saw the Nikkei average rise before voting [5] - The expectation that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party will secure a majority in the upcoming election has been particularly highlighted, contributing to a 2% increase in the index as of February 3 [5] External Influences - The rise in overseas stock markets, including a 1% increase in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, has also contributed to the positive sentiment in the Japanese market [5] - Strong performance in the U.S. manufacturing sector, as indicated by the ISM manufacturing index, has reinforced perceptions of a robust U.S. economy [5] Corporate Performance - Approximately 70% of Japanese listed companies reported increased final profits as of January 30, with the proportion of profit-increasing companies reaching the highest level in four years, driven by investments in generative AI [7] - Notable companies like Kyocera and TDK saw their stock prices rise by 12% after raising their earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending in March 2026 [7] Market Dynamics - There is a notable reduction in short positions by investors who previously bet on stock price corrections, while those who missed the rally are beginning to buy in [7] - However, the price-to-earnings ratio (PER) based on the Nikkei average is approximately 20 times, the highest level in about 13 years excluding the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating potential overvaluation and susceptibility to profit-taking [7] - There is a clear trend of net selling among investors, with many choosing to reduce their holdings during the stock price surge [7]