专题：ATFX外汇专栏投稿 1月13日，ATFX：过去三个交易日，美原油WTI罕见出现连涨走势。1月8日，WTI开盘价56.25，盘中 冲高至58.59美元；9日，涨势延续，WTI最高触及59.58美元，距离60美元关口一步之遥；昨日，美原油 并未选择向上突破，而是在60美元关口下方继续试探，最高触及59.71美元。 市场资金为什么对60美元如此谨慎，连续两日不肯突破？欧盟对俄罗斯石油的设定的价格上限就是60美 元。早在2022年末，欧盟就已经对俄罗斯海运石油实施了价格上限措施，一旦价格超出上限，将终止海 事服务。 欧盟设置60美元的价格上限，虽然对于WTI并不存在实质性的压制，但市场人士已经习惯将60美元看作 警戒线。实际上，俄罗斯乌拉尔石油在普里莫尔斯克港的报价长期处于40美元下方，欧盟的价格上限的 抑制作用并未显著激发。 截至今日亚盘时段，美原油WTI盘中最高价59.77美元，距离60美元只有0.23美元。如此微小的差距，叠 加今日美国CPI数据的发布，美原油极有可能冲破60美元限制。 ▲ATFX图 需要提醒的是，如果拉长周期观察EIA原油库存，当前4.19亿桶的原油库存水平处于相对高位。2015年 之 ...

每经AI快讯，1月7日，美国上周EIA原油库存下降383万桶，之前一周减少193.4万桶。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 405,000 barrels for the week ending December 19 [1] Group 2 - The increase in crude oil inventory indicates a potential shift in supply dynamics within the oil market [1] - This change may impact oil prices and trading strategies for investors in the energy sector [1] - The data reflects ongoing trends in U.S. oil production and consumption patterns [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. EIA reported a decrease in crude oil inventories by 1.812 million barrels last week, contrasting with a previous increase of 574 thousand barrels and falling short of the expected decrease of 2.31 million barrels [1] Group 1 - The current inventory level reflects a significant reduction compared to the prior week, indicating potential shifts in supply dynamics within the oil market [1] - The unexpected decrease in inventory may influence oil prices and market sentiment, as it deviates from analyst expectations [1]

Group 1 - Australia's October weighted CPI year-on-year data will be released at 08:30 [1] - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its interest rate decision at 09:00 [1] - UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Reeves, will present the budget proposal at 20:30 [1] Group 2 - Initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending November 22 will be reported at 21:30, along with September durable goods orders month-on-month data [1] - Chicago PMI for November will be released at 22:45 [1] - Annualized new home sales in the US for September will be reported at 23:00 [1] Group 3 - EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending November 21 will be released at 23:30 [1] - EIA natural gas inventory for the week ending November 21 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1] - Total oil rig count in the US for the week ending November 28 will be released at 02:00 the next day [1] Group 4 - The Federal Reserve will publish the Beige Book on economic conditions at 03:00 the next day [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. EIA crude oil inventory decreased by 3.426 million barrels last week, significantly more than the expected decrease of 0.603 million barrels and a prior value of 6.413 million barrels [1] Group 1 - The actual inventory drop of 3.426 million barrels indicates a tighter supply situation in the crude oil market [1] - The expectation of a smaller decrease (0.603 million barrels) suggests that market analysts were anticipating a less significant reduction in inventory levels [1] - The previous week's inventory figure of 6.413 million barrels highlights a substantial change in the supply dynamics over a short period [1]

Group 1: Financial Data Release - In November, the People's Bank of China is expected to release financial statistics for October, including social financing scale, M2, and new RMB loans, with anticipated figures of 16,500 million yuan for social financing and 4,700 million yuan for new loans, both lower than previous values [1] - The M2 balance is projected to grow by 8.0% year-on-year, a decrease from the previous growth rate of 8.4% [1] - A decline in these financial metrics may slightly suppress the rise of commodity futures and stock index futures, while supporting the increase in government bond futures [1] Group 2: Oil Market Reports - OPEC is set to release its monthly oil market report, which will be closely monitored for its impact on oil and related commodity futures prices [2] - The EIA will announce the weekly change in U.S. crude oil inventories, with a previous increase of 5.202 million barrels; further increases may hinder the rise in oil and related commodity futures prices [4] Group 3: U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. Labor Department will publish the October CPI, with expectations of a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, consistent with the previous value [3] - The core CPI is also expected to rise by 3.0% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [3] - If the U.S. government continues its shutdown, the release of the CPI data may be delayed [3] Group 4: Domestic Economic Performance - A press conference will be held to discuss the national economic performance for October, with expectations of a 5.5% year-on-year increase in industrial value added, down from 6.5% [5] - Retail sales are projected to grow by 2.8% year-on-year, slightly lower than the previous 3.0% [5] - The urban fixed asset investment for January to October is expected to decline by 0.8%, compared to a 0.5% drop for January to September [5]

Group 1 - The article outlines key economic indicators and events scheduled for November 2025, including U.S. employment data and manufacturing indices [2][3] - It highlights the release of various economic reports such as the U.S. trade balance for September and the ADP employment report for October [2][3] - The calendar includes significant dates for central bank meetings, including the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision and the Bank of England's rate announcement [2][3] Group 2 - The article mentions the upcoming release of China's October CPI and PPI, which are critical for assessing inflation trends [2] - It notes the importance of the U.S. non-farm payroll report and unemployment rate for October, which are key indicators of labor market health [2][3] - The article also references the OPEC monthly report and its implications for the oil market, alongside weekly EIA crude oil inventory data [2][3]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Eurozone June retail sales month-on-month data will be released at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 2: The US Global Supply Chain Pressure Index for July will be published at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 3: EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be disclosed at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 4: EIA Cushing crude oil inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be revealed at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 5: Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be announced at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 6: The US 10-year Treasury auction results, including the bid rate, will be published at 01:00 [1] - Key Point 7: The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 10-year Treasury auction will be released at 01:00 [1] - Key Point 8: Federal Reserve's Collins will speak on the US and global economy at 02:00 [1] - Key Point 9: Federal Reserve Governor Cook will address the US and global economy at 02:00 [1] - Key Point 10: Federal Reserve's Daly will give a speech at 04:10 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant changes in U.S. oil inventory and production levels, indicating trends in the energy sector that could impact market dynamics [1] Group 1: Oil Inventory Changes - The U.S. EIA reported the largest increase in crude oil inventories since January 31, 2025, for the week ending July 25 [1] - The gasoline inventory saw its largest decrease since April 25, 2025, for the same week [1] Group 2: Domestic Oil Production - Domestic crude oil production recorded its largest increase since March 7, 2025, for the week ending July 25 [1]