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前7个月社融增量累计23.99万亿元 专家:宜更多从融资规模、M2等观察金融总量
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 11:57
Group 1: Monetary and Financing Indicators - As of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The cumulative increase in social financing scale for the first seven months of 2023 was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1][8] - By the end of July, the total social financing scale stood at 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [8] Group 2: Loan Data Analysis - The balance of domestic and foreign currency loans was 272.48 trillion yuan at the end of July, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [6] - The balance of RMB loans was 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [6] - The increase in RMB loans for the first seven months was 12.87 trillion yuan [6] Group 3: Financing Environment and Policy - The current monetary policy is characterized by a moderate easing stance, providing a suitable financial environment for the real economy [9] - The People's Bank of China has emphasized the importance of social financing scale and M2 growth in relation to economic growth and price stability, rather than focusing solely on loan metrics [9] - The low interest rates, with new corporate loans at approximately 3.2% and personal housing loans at about 3.1%, indicate a relatively abundant supply of credit [10][12] Group 4: Effective Financing Demand - The effective financing demand of the real economy is being met adequately, as indicated by the low financing costs and the transparency in loan pricing for enterprises [11][12] - Recent policies have improved the interest rate mechanism, allowing banks to offer more favorable terms to businesses [12]
央行重磅数据,最新解读!
中国基金报· 2025-08-13 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The latest financial data from the central bank indicates a moderately loose monetary policy, providing a suitable financial environment for the real economy [2] Group 1: Loan Rates - New personal housing loan rates are approximately 3.1%, while new corporate loan rates are around 3.2%, both showing a decline of about 45 and 30 basis points year-on-year respectively [3][4] - The low interest rates reflect a relatively abundant supply of credit, making it easier and cheaper for borrowers to obtain bank loans [4] - The reduction in financing costs positively impacts expectations and expands demand, as evidenced by a technology company that applied for a loan to upgrade its production line after receiving a rate discount [4] Group 2: Loan Growth - As of the end of July, the balance of RMB loans reached 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9%, and a total increase of 12.87 trillion yuan in the first seven months [7] - The increase in loans is categorized into household loans, which rose by 680.7 billion yuan, and corporate loans, which increased by 11.63 trillion yuan [7] - The growth rate of loan balances remains significantly higher than the nominal economic growth rate, indicating stable support for the real economy from credit [7] Group 3: Financing Channels - The diversification of corporate financing channels, along with the acceleration of government bond issuance, makes it increasingly difficult for loans alone to reflect the financial support for the real economy [7] - The central bank's introduction of the social financing scale indicator provides a more comprehensive view of financial growth, encompassing various financing channels beyond just loans [7][8] - The focus on new loan issuance reflects the actual lending and repayment situation, which can indicate effective satisfaction of financing needs even if the balance growth appears low [8]
刚刚,央行公布重磅数据!
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-13 10:57
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.28 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [1] - In the first seven months, a net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan was recorded [1] Group 2 - As of the end of July, the total loan balance in both domestic and foreign currencies was 272.48 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [1] - The balance of RMB loans reached 268.51 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [1] - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 680.7 billion yuan [1] Group 3 - The social financing scale increment for the first seven months of 2025 was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.31 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 694 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2] - The net financing of government bonds reached 8.9 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.88 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 4 - As of the end of July 2025, the total social financing scale stood at 431.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% [3] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 264.79 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [3] - The balance of government bonds grew by 21.9% year-on-year, reaching 89.99 trillion yuan [3]
央行发布7月金融统计数据报告 M2同比增长8.8%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 10:54
Financial Statistics Summary - As of the end of July 2025, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - The cash in circulation (M0) was 13.28 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [1] - A net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan occurred in the first seven months of 2025 [1] Loan and Deposit Statistics - By the end of July 2025, the total balance of RMB loans was 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [2] - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 680.7 billion yuan and corporate loans increasing by 11.63 trillion yuan [2] - The total balance of RMB deposits reached 320.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [3] - In the first seven months, RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan, with household deposits rising by 9.66 trillion yuan [3] Interbank Market and Interest Rates - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending in July was 1.45%, lower than the previous month and the same month last year [4] - The average weighted interest rate for pledged bond repos was 1.46%, also lower than the previous month and the same month last year [4] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 222.44 trillion yuan in July, with a daily average transaction of 9.67 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [4] Cross-Border RMB Settlement - In July 2025, the cross-border RMB settlement amount for current account transactions was 1.57 trillion yuan, with goods trade accounting for 1.15 trillion yuan [5] - The direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amount was 0.64 trillion yuan, with foreign direct investment contributing 0.42 trillion yuan [5] Social Financing Scale - By the end of July 2025, the total social financing scale was 431.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% [6] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 264.79 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [6] - In the first seven months, the cumulative social financing scale increased by 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [6] Breakdown of Financing Components - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.31 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 694 billion yuan compared to the previous year [6] - The net financing of government bonds reached 8.9 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.88 trillion yuan compared to the previous year [6] - The net financing of corporate bonds was 1.43 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 1.849 trillion yuan compared to the previous year [6]
央行:今年前七个月人民币贷款增加12.87万亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 10:12
Group 1 - The broad money supply (M2) increased by 8.8% year-on-year, reaching 329.94 trillion yuan by the end of July [2] - The narrow money supply (M1) grew by 5.6% year-on-year, totaling 111.06 trillion yuan, while the currency in circulation (M0) rose by 11.8% to 13.28 trillion yuan [2] - A net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan occurred in the first seven months of the year [2] Group 2 - The total RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the RMB loan balance reaching 268.51 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [3] - Household loans increased by 680.7 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [3] - Corporate loans rose by 11.63 trillion yuan, with short-term loans increasing by 3.75 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans growing by 6.91 trillion yuan [3] Group 3 - RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the total RMB deposit balance reaching 320.67 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year growth [4] - Household deposits rose by 9.66 trillion yuan, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 310.9 billion yuan [4] - Foreign currency deposits reached 1 trillion USD, growing by 20% year-on-year, with an increase of 148.9 billion USD in the first seven months [4] Group 4 - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending was 1.45% in July, down 0.01 percentage points from the previous month and 0.36 percentage points from the same period last year [5] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 222.44 trillion yuan in July, with a daily average transaction of 9.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.8% [5] - The average weighted interest rate for pledged bond repos was 1.46%, also lower than the previous month and the same period last year [5] Group 5 - The cross-border RMB settlement amount under the current account was 1.57 trillion yuan in July, with goods trade accounting for 1.15 trillion yuan and services trade for 0.42 trillion yuan [6] - The direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amount was 0.64 trillion yuan, with outbound direct investment at 0.22 trillion yuan and foreign direct investment at 0.42 trillion yuan [6]
7月M2-M1剪刀差明显收窄 资金循环效率提高 经济回暖提升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 09:54
Core Insights - As of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) in China reached 329.94 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - The difference in growth rates between M2 and M1 has narrowed to 3.2%, a significant decrease from the peak observed in September of the previous year [1] Money Supply Analysis - M1 primarily includes cash, corporate and individual demand deposits, as well as readily available funds in platforms like Alipay and WeChat Wallet [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) adopted a revised statistical approach for M1 starting January this year, which shows a comparable M1 growth rate of -3.3% as of September 2024 [1] - The M2 growth rate was recorded at 6.8% in September, with a notable difference of 10.1% from M1 [1] Market Confidence and Economic Activity - Experts indicate that the narrowing gap between M2 and M1 reflects an increase in the liquidity of funds and improved circulation efficiency [1] - The effectiveness of various policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations has positively influenced market confidence, aligning with the trend of recovering economic activity [1]
前7个月人民币贷款增加12.87万亿元!央行公布最新数据
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 09:50
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported an increase of 12.87 trillion yuan in RMB loans for the first seven months of the year [1] - Household loans increased by 680.7 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [1] - Corporate loans rose by 11.63 trillion yuan, with short-term loans increasing by 3.75 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 6.91 trillion yuan, along with an increase of 824.7 billion yuan in bill financing [1] Group 2 - As of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 329.94 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) was 111.06 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) reached 13.28 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [1] Group 3 - The net cash injection for the first seven months was 465.1 billion yuan [1] - Preliminary statistics indicated that by the end of July 2025, the total social financing scale was 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [1] - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1]
7月M2-M1剪刀差明显收窄,资金循环效率提高,经济回暖提升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 09:47
Group 1 - The latest data from the central bank shows that as of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [1] - The difference in growth rates between M2 and M1 has narrowed significantly compared to the peak in September of the previous year, indicating an improvement in the liquidity of funds and the efficiency of circulation [1] - Experts suggest that the narrowing of the M2-M1 gap reflects effective market stabilization policies that have boosted market confidence, aligning with the trend of economic activity recovery [1] Group 2 - M1 primarily represents the operating funds of enterprises, with large enterprises typically having strong financing capabilities and focusing on the efficiency and profitability of fund usage, while small and medium-sized enterprises tend to reserve more working capital to cope with uncertainties [2] - The competition in certain sectors has led to large enterprises delaying payments to small and medium-sized enterprises, which affects the liquidity of these smaller firms and consequently impacts M1 growth [2]
前七月人民币贷款增加12.87万亿元 社融同比多增5.12万亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 09:36
Monetary Supply - As of the end of July, the broad money (M2) balance reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money (M1) balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% year-on-year [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) stood at 13.28 trillion yuan, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase [1] - A net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan occurred in the first seven months [1] Renminbi Loans - By the end of July, the balance of Renminbi loans was 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [1] - In the first seven months, Renminbi loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan [1] - Household loans rose by 680.7 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [1] - Corporate loans increased by 11.63 trillion yuan, with short-term loans up by 3.75 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans up by 6.91 trillion yuan [1] Renminbi Deposits - The balance of Renminbi deposits reached 320.67 trillion yuan by the end of July, showing an 8.7% year-on-year increase [1] - In the first seven months, Renminbi deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan [1] - Household deposits rose by 9.66 trillion yuan, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 310.9 billion yuan [1] Social Financing Scale - As of the end of July, the social financing scale stock was 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [2] - The balance of Renminbi loans to the real economy was 264.79 trillion yuan, growing by 6.8% year-on-year [2] - The balance of foreign currency loans to the real economy, converted to Renminbi, was 12.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 23.2% [2] Social Financing Increment - The cumulative social financing increment for the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [3] - The increase in Renminbi loans to the real economy was 12.31 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 694 billion yuan compared to the previous year [3] - Government bond net financing reached 8.9 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.88 trillion yuan year-on-year [3]
最新金融数据,央行发布
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of July, the social financing scale and M2 growth rate remained high, indicating a suitable monetary environment for the real economy and reflecting a moderately loose monetary policy stance [1][2] Summary by Sections Monetary Policy and Economic Support - In the first half of the year, the People's Bank implemented a series of monetary policies that effectively supported the recovery of the real economy, with expectations that the effects of these policies will continue to manifest [1][2] Loan and Financing Data - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with the total RMB loan balance reaching 268.51 trillion yuan by the end of July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [2][3] - The social financing scale stock was 431.26 trillion yuan at the end of July, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [2][7] - The cumulative increase in social financing scale for the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] Loan Growth Influences - Loan growth is influenced by the macroeconomic background of structural transformation and lighter funding needs, as well as the development of direct financing and diversified financing channels [3][6] - Factors such as local government debt replacement and the reform of small and medium-sized banks have significantly impacted loan growth, with estimates suggesting these factors have contributed over 1 percentage point to the current loan growth rate [3][6] Interest Rates and Financing Costs - Loan interest rates have been at low levels, with new corporate loan rates around 3.2% and new personal housing loan rates around 3.1%, both down approximately 45 and 30 basis points year-on-year, respectively [4][5] - The reduction in financing costs has positively impacted corporate profitability and demand expansion, with many companies now able to invest in new projects due to lower interest rates [5] Financing Structure and Trends - The growth rate of bond financing has outpaced that of credit financing, indicating an ongoing optimization of the financing structure in China [7][8] - By the end of July, M2 stood at 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, while M1 was 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [7][8] Economic Outlook - The overall economic environment has shown steady improvement, with macroeconomic indicators performing better than expected, supporting the reasonable growth of monetary totals [8] - The continuity and stability of macro policies are expected to support employment, businesses, and market confidence, ensuring a smoother domestic economic cycle [8]