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华西证券:“春季躁动”的积极条件正在积累,逢低布局为主
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 23:38
华西证券发布研究报告称,复盘历史,A股"春季躁动"行情启动通常需满足以下条件:合理的估值水 平、宽松的流动性环境以及有效提振风险偏好的催化剂,如国内政策、产业事件催化或外部风险缓释 等。当前来看,海外美联储降息和日本央行加息均已落地,市场对套利交易逆转担忧缓解,后续人民币 汇率升值带动的外资增配、年初保费收入"开门红"带来的增量保险资金入市亦可以期待。近期股票型 ETF再度大规模净申购,多只宽基ETF成交放量,指向增量资金倾向于逢低布局。行业配置上,建议关 注:1)受益产业政策支持的成长方向,如国产替代、机器人、航空航天、创新药、储能等;2)受益于"反 内卷"政策的周期方向,如化工、能源金属、资源品等;3)促消费政策的深化或带来消费板块的阶段性催 化机会。 ...
【十大券商一周策略】告别单一叙事!A股跨年行情+春季躁动或将拉开帷幕
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that a classic "cross-year-spring" market trend is brewing, with significant signals indicating its commencement [3] - Factors driving the appreciation of the RMB are increasing, and investors should adapt their asset allocation accordingly, focusing on industries that may benefit from this trend [1] - The market is expected to see a structural shift with a focus on cyclical sectors, particularly industrial metals, non-bank financials, and sectors related to domestic consumption [3][4] Group 2 - The investment strategy should consider three key clues: dividend value, layout of prosperous industries, and thematic hotspots [4] - The anticipated spring market in 2026 is expected to be driven by a combination of fundamental cyclical improvements and new technological trends [2] - The current market is characterized by a narrow range of fluctuations, influenced by external factors such as U.S. monetary policy and investor sentiment [4][6] Group 3 - The focus on AI and advanced manufacturing is expected to dominate the market, with a potential shift towards value and cyclical styles in the first half of 2026 [2] - The market is likely to experience a "value on stage, growth in action" dynamic, particularly as the Lunar New Year approaches [9] - There is a notable expectation for structural opportunities in sectors like AI, new energy, and controlled nuclear fusion, which are aligned with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6][10]
中国机器人在格斗机器人大赛中夺冠;摩尔线程发布新一代GPU架构|周末要闻速递
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-21 09:50
Key Points - The State Council emphasized the need for all departments to align their actions with the central government's economic work requirements for the upcoming year, enhancing responsibility and urgency in implementing specific plans [2] - The Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued guidelines for establishing domestic product standards in government procurement, focusing on accurate definitions and regulatory oversight [3] - New rules on pricing behavior for internet platforms were released, prohibiting forced price reductions and promotional tactics that could pressure sellers [4] - The Ministry of Commerce highlighted plans to boost consumption and trade innovation in 2026, including support for service exports and the development of digital and green trade [5] - The National Internet Information Office and the China Securities Regulatory Commission took action against accounts spreading false information related to the capital market [6] - The State Administration for Market Regulation revised the regulations on anti-competitive agreements, specifying exemption thresholds for certain vertical agreements [7] - Chang'an Automobile received the first L3-level autonomous driving license in Chongqing, marking a significant milestone in the development of autonomous vehicles [8] - Moore Threads launched a new GPU architecture, "Huagang," which reportedly improves computing density by 50% and efficiency by ten times [10] - Samsung unveiled the world's first 2nm smartphone chip, Exynos 2600, representing a significant advancement in mobile processing technology [11] - China Shenhua announced plans to acquire various assets from the State Energy Group for a total transaction price of 133.598 billion yuan [12] - ByteDance's projected annual profit of approximately $50 billion was disputed by insiders, indicating discrepancies in reported financial data [13] - The World Trade Organization's report suggested that AI could boost global trade by 34% to 37% by 2040, significantly impacting GDP growth [14] - Ongoing constructive talks between the U.S. and Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict were reported, indicating potential diplomatic progress [15] Industry Insights - CITIC Securities remains optimistic about the AI computing power sector, noting strong demand and the ongoing evolution of AI models [24] - Galaxy Securities anticipates a "small surge" in the A-share market around New Year's, driven by structural opportunities in policy-driven sectors and industries recovering from downturns [25]
2026年中国资本市场展望:A股怎么看?怎么配?|资本市场
清华金融评论· 2025-12-21 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to continue its bull market, driven by strong macroeconomic policies, industrial transformation, capital market reforms, and sustained inflow of funds, despite potential short-term fluctuations [10][15]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - In 2025, the A-share market experienced a significant bull market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising from approximately 3200 points at the beginning of the year to around 3900 points by year-end, reflecting a robust upward trend [7]. - The market saw an 8.5% increase in the first quarter, followed by a strong rebound after a brief panic due to a tariff war, with the index reaching 3350-3400 points [7]. - By the third quarter, the index surged from 3400 points to over 3900 points, marking a cumulative increase of 12.7% [7]. Group 2: Supporting Factors for the Bull Market - Macroeconomic policies are expected to remain supportive, with a focus on stabilizing the economy through proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [10]. - The ongoing industrial transformation is anticipated to release new growth momentum, with emerging sectors such as AI, renewable energy, and advanced manufacturing becoming increasingly prominent in the A-share market [11]. - Capital market reforms are deepening, enhancing resource allocation efficiency and improving investor returns through measures like regularized delisting and increased dividend payouts [12]. Group 3: Sector Opportunities - The technology growth sector, particularly AI, energy storage, and aerospace, is highlighted as a key investment focus, with AI expected to be the leading investment theme in 2026 [22]. - The energy storage sector is projected to experience significant growth, driven by increasing demand from AI data centers and improvements in supply chain dynamics [29]. - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a rapid development phase, supported by favorable policies and growing market demand for satellite internet and other applications [30]. Group 4: Metal Sector Insights - The performance of the non-ferrous metal sector is closely linked to metal prices, with significant price increases observed in copper, aluminum, and rare earth metals due to strong demand and supply constraints [33]. - Copper demand is expected to rise due to its critical role in AI infrastructure and energy transition, while supply remains constrained due to slow new capacity additions and geopolitical factors [34]. - The small metals sector, including rare earths and lithium, is anticipated to benefit from supply-demand tightness and increasing applications in various industries [36].
北京今年新增115家博士后设站单位
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-20 22:41
本报北京12月20日电 (记者潘俊强)记者从北京市人社局获悉:今年北京市新增博士后站115家,包括 7家博士后工作站和108家园区分站,设站规模稳步扩大,服务效能持续提升。新设站单位以科技创新型 企业为主,其中新能源、新材料、航空航天、人工智能、生物制造等战略性新兴产业占比超六成,科技 赋能新质生产力培育效能显著提升。 北京市人社局组织开展专题培训,解读博士后设站管理相关政策、运营核心要点等,为新设站单位提供 精准指引;同时,邀请中关村科技园区海淀园、北京市农林科学院博士后工作负责人,分享园区集群化 运营经验、博士后人才培养及成果转化实践经验等。北京市将持续优化博士后工作服务保障体系,强化 政策赋能与资源整合,激发博士后人才创新创造活力,推动产学研深度融合与成果转化。 《 人民日报 》( 2025年12月21日 04 版) (责编:胡永秋、杨光宇) ...
中核科技:公司在燃气轮机相关蒸汽系统关键隔离阀有供货业绩
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-19 15:14
Core Viewpoint - China Nuclear Technology (中核科技) has demonstrated its capabilities in supplying key isolation valves for steam systems related to gas turbines and has also achieved supply performance in aerospace testing projects [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company has a track record of supplying key isolation valves for steam systems in gas turbine applications [1] - In the aerospace sector, the company has successfully delivered products for related testing projects [1]
国际复材:2025年,玻纤市场环境较2024年有所回暖,热塑与风电领域需求恢复明显加快
证券日报网12月19日讯 国际复材在12月16日-18日回答调研者提问时表示,2025年,玻纤市场环境较 2024年有所回暖,热塑与风电领域需求恢复明显加快。然而,受相关行业持续调整、行业内竞争态势尚 未根本扭转等因素影响,市场需求结构仍呈现分化态势,终端降价压力逐步向产业链上游传导。叠加海 外政治经济环境不确定性加剧,公司对行业整体发展保持谨慎乐观态度。未来,公司将以"产品创新、 卓越运营、纤材协同"的发展思路,继续深化全球运营,让中国智造的优秀材料服务全球市场。同时, 公司会进一步推进高模、高强、超细、低介电等创新产品在"双碳""数智化""航空航天""新基建"等领域 的持续落地,拓宽玻纤应用场景、塑造行业"成长性"。 (编辑 任世碧) ...
国泰集团(603977.SH):钽铌氧化物经过下游火法冶金加工后大多进入航空航天、商业航天等领域
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-19 07:37
格隆汇12月19日丨国泰集团(603977.SH)在互动平台表示,公司下属子公司拓泓新材和三石有色生产的 钽铌氧化物,经过下游火法冶金加工后大多进入航空航天、商业航天、特种合金等领域。 ...
四会富仕:高度重视航空航天领域客户开发,目前已有小量PCB订单
人民财讯12月18日电,四会富仕(300852)12月18日在互动平台表示,公司高度重视航空航天领域客户 的开发,目前已有小量PCB订单。 ...
三联锻造:关于公司机器人及航空航天方面的情况请关注公司相关公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-18 12:41
证券日报网讯 12月18日,三联锻造在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,关于公司机器人及航空航天方 面的情况,请关注公司相关公告。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...