Core Viewpoints - The current A-share market is characterized as a "confidence bull," driven by improved expectations of national governance and enhanced expectations of technology leading the economy, with the movement of residents' deposits being a result rather than a cause [2][5] - The outlook for A-shares in 2026 is expected to be a "sideways fluctuation with slight strengthening," emphasizing the pursuit of a long-term, slow, and healthy bull market while being cautious of rapid bull markets that may lead to sharp declines [2][6] - The previous "dumbbell" market trend has ended, shifting investment opportunities from "high-growth technology + low-volatility high-dividend" extremes to a focus on mid-cap blue chips, particularly in the cyclical and manufacturing sectors [2][6] Investment Opportunities - Opportunities in cyclical industries are not in the real estate chain but are related to national strategies in three sectors: chemicals, metals, and agriculture [3][7] - AI remains a core focus in technology, with long-term potential, but is currently in a phase of expectation verification, requiring careful stock selection [3][9] - The investment focus for the next 3 to 6 months should be on cyclical and manufacturing sectors, as these align with national strategies and economic transformation [7][8] Market Dynamics - The core drivers of the current market uptrend are improvements in national governance and stronger expectations for technology-led economic growth, with significant achievements in diplomacy, defense, and trade contributing to economic resilience [4][5] - The market is currently at a critical juncture around the 4100-point level, with the need for new drivers to support further upward movement, as previous gains have largely reflected the core drivers [6][12] - The transition from a "dumbbell" market structure to a focus on mid-cap blue chips indicates a shift in risk appetite, with low-volatility, high-dividend stocks losing their appeal [11][12] Future Outlook - The AI sector is expected to experience a period of consolidation and differentiation, with the potential for long-term growth remaining intact despite short-term fluctuations [9][10] - The public fund commission rate reform is prompting a strategic shift in brokerage research departments, moving towards comprehensive service for institutional clients beyond just public funds [17] - The securities research industry is seen as a field of continuous learning and growth, with a call for new talent to join and contribute to the evolving landscape [18]

Core Insights - The current A-share market is characterized as a "confidence bull," driven primarily by improved expectations of national governance and enhanced technological leadership in the economy, with the movement of residents' deposits being a result rather than a cause [2][5][23] - The outlook for 2026 indicates a market pattern of "sideways fluctuations with slight strengthening," emphasizing the pursuit of a long-term, slow, and healthy bull market while cautioning against overly high index targets [2][6][24] - The previous "dumbbell" market trend has ended, shifting investment opportunities from "high-growth technology and low-volatility high-dividend" extremes to a focus on mid-cap blue chips, particularly in the cyclical and manufacturing sectors [2][19][25] Investment Opportunities - Opportunities in cyclical industries are not found in the real estate chain but are linked to national strategies in three key sectors: chemicals, metals, and agriculture [3][20][25] - The AI sector remains a core focus for technology, with long-term potential, but is currently in a phase of expectation verification, requiring careful stock selection [5][28][29] - The manufacturing sector is highlighted as a key area, with China being a manufacturing powerhouse, focusing on equipment across various fields such as machinery, new energy, robotics, military, and semiconductor manufacturing [25][26] Market Dynamics - The market is transitioning from a "two ends" structure to a focus on mid-cap blue chips, with a shift in risk appetite towards more stable investments [30][31] - The core drivers of the market's performance are rooted in changes in expectations rather than liquidity factors, emphasizing the importance of political, economic, and technological developments [31][32] - The upcoming period is expected to see a verification and correction phase for the AI sector, with overall market volatility likely to decrease [28][29] Industry Evolution - The public fund commission rate reform is significantly impacting the securities research industry, prompting a strategic shift towards providing comprehensive services across investment banking, institutional business, and wealth management [35][36] - The future of securities research will involve deeper integration with the core business areas of securities firms, expanding the client base to include enterprises, institutions, and individual clients [35][36]

Core Viewpoint - The rise of "folk historical enthusiasm" in China reflects societal progress, as people seek cultural engagement after basic needs are met, highlighting a contrast with the ongoing "crisis in the humanities" [3][4] Group 1: Historical Perspective - The "1644 historical view" represents a confusion in historical perspectives, stemming from a century of Chinese scholars abandoning traditional views in favor of Western academic frameworks [3][12] - The need to reconstruct a genuine historical perspective rooted in Chinese tradition is emphasized, as failure to do so will allow misconceptions like the "1644 historical view" to persist [16][19] Group 2: Role of Professionals - Professionals in the humanities should act as facilitators rather than authoritative figures, providing constructive input without imposing their views on the public [4][7] - The importance of engaging with the public's enthusiasm for history is highlighted, suggesting that professionals should contribute positively to this interest [4][18] Group 3: Impact of Technology - The internet has democratized access to historical materials, allowing the public to engage in historical research, but the advent of AI poses challenges by generating misleading information that can confuse even experts [7][8] - The ability of AI to produce convincing but false historical narratives raises concerns about the integrity of historical knowledge and the role of professionals in clarifying these issues [8][9] Group 4: Educational and Social Responsibilities - There is a call for professionals to bridge the gap between the "crisis in the humanities" and the public's historical enthusiasm, emphasizing the need for a service-oriented approach in academia [3][17] - The discussion highlights the necessity for scholars to adapt to the changing landscape of knowledge dissemination and to prioritize genuine engagement with societal needs [19][20]

Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. stock market showed volatility on February 13, with major indices fluctuating between gains and losses [6][10] - The cryptocurrency market experienced a rebound, particularly with Coinbase's stock recovering after a previous decline [7][8] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-over-month and 2.4% year-over-year in January, slightly below market expectations [2][7] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, aligning with market forecasts [2][7] Group 3: Coinbase Financial Performance - Coinbase reported a 20% decline in Q4 revenue to $1.8 billion, exceeding expectations due to decreased trading activity from falling token prices [7][8] - The company recorded a net loss of $667 million when accounting for cryptocurrency holdings and investment impairments [7][8] - Following the earnings report, Coinbase's stock price rebounded by 15% to approximately $162, despite a cumulative decline of about 50% over the past year [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Dow reaching 50,000 may signify a temporary peak as concerns regarding AI impact on various industries rise and expectations for interest rate cuts diminish [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment is shifting as fears about the implications of AI technology on multiple sectors become more pronounced [1] - The anticipation of interest rate cuts, which previously supported market optimism, is now fading [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - Various industries are beginning to feel the pressure from AI-related fears, indicating a broader market concern that could affect future performance [1] - The potential for AI to disrupt traditional business models is leading to increased caution among investors [1]

Core Viewpoint - GigaCloud Technology Inc. (GCT) is being revisited ahead of its Q4 earnings report scheduled for March 2, indicating a focus on potential investment opportunities and performance evaluation [1]. Group 1 - The company is positioned as a long-term investment, with a typical investment horizon of 5-10 years, suggesting a strategy that favors stability and growth over time [1]. - The investment approach emphasizes a diversified portfolio that includes growth, value, and dividend-paying stocks, with a particular inclination towards value stocks [1]. - The company occasionally engages in options trading, indicating a strategy that may involve risk management and additional income generation [1].

Stock Performance - On February 10, 2026, the stock price of Nawi Semiconductor (NVTS) experienced a significant decline of 4.66%, closing at $8.79, attributed to overall pressure on the semiconductor sector and macroeconomic data expectations [1] - Previously, on January 2, 2026, the stock surged by 6.86% to close at $7.63, influenced by a 2.90% increase in the semiconductor industry and improved market sentiment [1] Product Development Progress - On December 5, 2025, Nawi Semiconductor launched a full range of 3300V/2300V ultra-high voltage silicon carbide (SiC) products, targeting high-end applications such as smart grids and AI data centers, utilizing proprietary TAP technology and enhanced reliability standards AEC-Plus [2] - The company is transitioning towards the high-power market and announced on November 28, 2025, a partnership with WT Microelectronics to enhance the supply chain efficiency of gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide devices in AI and energy sectors [2] Financial Performance - The third-quarter financial results released on November 5, 2025, showed revenue of $10.11 million and a net loss of $1.923 million [3] - The company projects fourth-quarter revenue to be approximately $7 million, with a fluctuation range of $250,000, and plans to focus on the high-power market through resource restructuring [3] - Long-term strategy includes collaboration with NVIDIA to develop the next-generation 800V high-voltage direct current architecture to address power distribution challenges in AI data centers [3] Industry Policy and Environment - The semiconductor sector is significantly influenced by macro policies and demand changes, with institutions like Galaxy Securities indicating that the explosion in AI computing power and advanced process demand could drive industry recovery, while cautioning against global supply chain volatility risks [4]

Market Performance - US stock market closed mixed on February 14, with all three major indices recording weekly declines [2] - Notable stock movements included a strong revenue forecast from Applied Materials, leading to a significant stock price increase [2] - Chinese concept stocks showed mixed performance, with Alibaba down 2.05% and Tencent Music up 4.52% [2] Commodities and Economic Indicators - International oil prices saw a slight increase, influenced by a balance between easing inflation and OPEC+ production increase expectations [2] - COMEX gold futures rose by 2.17%, closing at $5050.50 per ounce [2] Corporate Developments - SpaceX is considering a dual-class share structure for its IPO to strengthen Elon Musk's control [3] - OpenAI has been selected to participate in the US drone swarm challenge, providing voice control technology [3] - Meta plans to integrate facial recognition technology into its smart glasses [3] Financial Sector Insights - Goldman Sachs launched a "anti-AI replacement" themed stock basket amid concerns over AI's impact on software stocks [3] - Capital Group is betting on the European Central Bank raising interest rates by 2026, contrary to mainstream views [3] Legal and Regulatory News - The US Department of Justice has filed a lawsuit against Harvard University for failing to submit documents related to a racial discrimination investigation in its admissions process [3]

Recent Events - The founder of Shengda Group, Chen Tianqiao, released an internal letter on February 6, 2026, outlining the technological direction of MiroMind, focusing on "discovery-based intelligence" and "general solvers," while avoiding the general chatbot arena [1] - The emphasis is on promoting AI development through causal reasoning and systematic innovation, which may indirectly impact Shengda Technology's business ecosystem [1] Stock Recent Trends - Historical data indicates that Shengda Technology's stock price experienced multiple fluctuations in December 2025, including a surge of 5.34% on December 29 and a drop of 5.00% on December 17 [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q4 2025 were $27.1 million, an increase from $24.3 million in Q3 and $25.6 million in Q4 2024, driven by investor interest in ETFs and private energy secondaries funds [15] - Fiscal 2025 total revenues reached $97.8 million, compared to $94.7 million in 2024, attributed to higher average assets under management [15] - Q4 income was $1.9 million, or $0.21 per share, down from $3.7 million, or $0.41 per share in Q3, and $2.1 million, or $0.24 per share in Q4 2024 [16] - Economic earnings for Q4 were $3.3 million, or $0.36 per share, compared to $3.4 million, or $0.39 per share in Q4 2024 [17] - Assets under management totaled $17.4 billion, with $16.5 billion in AUM and $0.9 billion in assets under advisement [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ETF franchise exceeded $200 million, with the latest ETF, Enhanced Income Opportunity, contributing to this growth [4] - Managed Investment Solutions secured its first institutional client, reflecting strong sales growth of $2.5 billion for the year, up 20% from $2.1 billion [4] - Institutional channel gross sales grew by 36% year-over-year, while intermediary distribution achieved 32% growth, marking the strongest annual performance in several years [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The S&P 500 rose less than 3% in Q4 but ended the year up 18%, indicating a mixed market environment [5] - The U.S. economy recorded modest growth despite low consumer confidence, with the Federal Reserve cutting short-term rates by 75 basis points [5] - The firm experienced net outflows of $1 billion in AUM, offset by $1 billion in market appreciation [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on high-quality businesses with strong fundamentals, positioning itself well for future market uncertainties [7] - A disciplined, multiyear evolution of the wealth division aims to enhance client experience and scalability, targeting ultra-high-net-worth families [12] - The launch of new strategies and ETFs, such as the Enhanced Income Opportunity ETF, reflects the company's commitment to innovation and meeting diverse client needs [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the disappointing outflows in Q4, primarily from the Large Cap Value product, which struggled in a narrow market environment [21] - The company remains optimistic about its pipeline, with new clients and significant funding expected in the near future [22] - Management emphasized the importance of high-quality companies and the potential for attractive shareholder returns in the current market [8] Other Important Information - The Board of Directors approved a regular cash dividend of $0.15 per common share, payable on April 1, 2026 [18] - The firm maintains a solid financial position with cash and liquid investments totaling $44.1 million and a debt-free balance sheet [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the reasons behind the outflows in Q4? - Management noted that over 80% of the outflows were from the Large Cap Value product, which has struggled against a low-quality market environment [21] Question: What is the outlook for new client acquisitions? - Management highlighted a new client bringing in $200 million and a defined contribution plan expected to fund $450 million, indicating a strong pipeline [22]