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美国新一轮QE开启,2026有哪些搞钱渠道?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 10:35
12月11日,美联储降息尘埃落地,美联储FOMC会议公布降息25bp至3.5%-3.75%的利率水平,并发布新一期联储官员预测和利率点阵图,点阵图指引2026年 降息幅度仍然维持25bp。 此次会议,除了降息外,更引人关注的是美联储扩表的消息,本次会议宣布开始扩表,增加短债的购买,根据纽约联储的披露,本月的购买计划为约400亿 美元。本次的扩表为技术性扩表RMP(Reserve Management Purchases),鲍威尔强调,本次扩表的唯一目的是在较长时间内维持充足的储备金供应,以缓 解货币市场压力,不代表货币政策倾向的变化。 2022年6月1日至今,美联储缩表已持续了大约3年半的时间,此次重启扩表与以往有何不同,年关将至,扩表又将如何影响资本市场,投资者们又该如何安 排2026年的投资布局呢? 技术性扩表,力度有限 "扩表"(资产负债表扩张)是中央银行(如美联储、中国人民银行)通过购买金融资产向经济体系注入流动性的货币政策操作,通常通过量化宽松 QE 实 施。简单来说,就是央行"印钱"买资产,让市场上钱变多。2008年金融危机以来,美联储共实施了四轮大规模的扩表。 2008年11月至2010年3月的 ...
CA Markets:重磅周收官存重磅疑虑,AI热潮与市场分化如何破局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 09:48
OpenAI昨日与迪士尼(Disney)宣布达成一项规模10亿美元的合作协议:迪士尼将向OpenAI投资10亿美 元,作为回报,OpenAI将允许Sora(OpenAI旗下文本生成视频工具)用户使用迪士尼、漫威、皮克斯及 《星球大战》系列的200多个角色生成短视频。尽管你可能对此持怀疑态度,但对OpenAI而言,这无疑 是一条极具潜力的收入渠道。自推出以来热度略有消退的Sora,若能借助这些知名角色提升YouTube等 平台的用户参与度及变现能力,内容创作者或愿意为其投入更多资金。 对于关注"企业如何在不依赖广告的前提下实现AI变现"的市场参与者而言,这一合作令人振奋。OpenAI 与迪士尼的联手,为行业提供了一种替代"聊天机器人广告轰炸"的新路径——后者往往会让产品变得像 Facebook动态推送一样令人反感。 标普500指数昨日延续上行态势,与此同时,在美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)本周宣布降息后,美国2 年期国债收益率在3.50%关口附近震荡。市场最终认为,此次降息的鹰派程度远不及预期。降息对市场 中非科技板块的提振作用尤为显著:标普500等权重指数正逐步追平科技股占比高的市值加权指数, CAMarket ...
“穷人的黄金”大涨!白银、铜成投资新宠
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-12 09:29
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged due to global supply constraints and increased demand from both industrial users and investors, reaching a historic high of over $60 per ounce for the first time [4][5]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Since January, silver prices have more than doubled, driven by a significant supply shortage exacerbated by strong demand from industrial users and investors [4][5]. - The London Metal Exchange (LME) has experienced a historic supply shortage in the silver futures market, with U.S. silver inventories remaining at approximately 456 million ounces, three times the historical average [5][6]. - Analysts expect the supply tightness in silver to persist, with retail investors increasingly favoring silver, often referred to as "the poor man's gold" [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Trends - Silver and copper have overtaken gold as the most popular precious metals for investment, with significant inflows into silver ETFs, surpassing those of gold ETFs [6][7]. - The volatility in silver prices has increased, with a notable 11% rise since reaching its historic high on October 20, while gold prices have remained relatively stable [6][7]. - Retail trading activity in silver has surged, with micro silver futures contracts reaching their highest average trading volume since mid-October [7]. Group 3: Market Speculation and Future Outlook - Speculative trading in silver options has intensified, with significant volumes of call options being traded, indicating bullish sentiment among investors [7][8]. - Analysts predict that both silver and copper prices may experience short-term corrections of 10% to 15%, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to ongoing supply constraints [9]. - The outlook for copper is similarly optimistic, with expectations of continued price increases driven by demand from AI data centers and clean energy projects [8][9].
市场监管总局就《广告引证内容执法指南(征求意见稿)》公开征求意见
智通财经网· 2025-12-12 09:05
Core Viewpoint - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) has drafted the "Enforcement Guidelines for Advertising Citation Content (Draft for Comments)" to improve advertising regulation and address prevalent issues in the advertising market, such as misleading claims and the use of small print disclaimers [1]. Group 1: Purpose and Scope - The guidelines aim to provide direction for market regulatory departments in enforcing advertising citation content, ensuring compliance and enhancing the ability of advertising entities to adhere to regulations [4]. - Advertising citation content refers to data, statistics, survey results, and quotes from third parties related to the promoted goods or services [4]. Group 2: Requirements for Advertising Citation Content - Advertising citation content must be truthful, accurate, and legal, prohibiting the use of fabricated or unverifiable information [5]. - Data used in advertisements must be obtained through legitimate experiments or measurements conducted by qualified institutions [5]. - Statistical data or survey results must be derived from scientifically valid methods, ensuring broad and reasonable sampling [5]. Group 3: Clarity and Transparency - Advertisements must clearly indicate the source of citation content, including the names of institutions or authors, and any relevant publication details [6][7]. - If citation content has specific applicability or validity periods, this must be explicitly stated in the advertisement [8]. Group 4: Misleading Advertising Practices - The use of terms like "best" or "number one" in advertising is restricted if the relevant industry or region is not sufficiently defined, potentially misleading consumers about market positions [10]. - Advertisements that utilize unverifiable or misleading citation content will be deemed false or misleading [11]. Group 5: Enforcement and Compliance - Regulatory authorities are empowered to take action against advertisements that do not comply with the guidelines, including those that fail to provide necessary citations or misrepresent data [16]. - The guidelines emphasize the importance of verifying advertising content and ensuring that it aligns with the cited evidence [14].
市场监管总局公开征求《广告引证内容执法指南(征求意见稿)》意见
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-12 09:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the introduction of the "Advertising Citation Content Enforcement Guidelines (Draft for Public Comment)" by the State Administration for Market Regulation to enhance the regulation of advertising citation content and address issues such as misleading claims and competitive practices in the advertising market [1][2] Group 2 - The guidelines aim to provide a framework for market regulation departments to enforce advertising citation content, ensuring compliance with the Advertising Law of the People's Republic of China [2] - Advertising citation content refers to data, statistics, survey results, excerpts, and quotes from third parties that are relevant to the advertised products or services [2][3] - Advertisers are responsible for the authenticity, accuracy, and legality of all advertising content, including citation content, and must bear the burden of proof [4] Group 3 - The guidelines specify that data cited in advertisements must be obtained through experiments, measurements, or inspections conducted by qualified institutions, adhering to national standards [4] - Statistical data or survey results used in advertisements must be obtained through scientific methods, ensuring broad and reasonable sampling [5][6] - Advertisements must accurately reflect the meaning of the cited content and must clearly indicate the source of the citation [5][6] Group 4 - If the cited content has specific applicability or validity periods, this must be clearly stated in the advertisement [7][8] - Advertisements must not use misleading font sizes or colors to obscure important information about the product's features, functions, or conditions [12] - Claims regarding sales volume, revenue, or market share must be truthful, complete, and verifiable [12] Group 5 - The guidelines outline conditions under which advertising content may be deemed false or misleading, including the use of unverifiable data or failure to disclose the source of citation content [10][11] - Advertisers must ensure that their citation content aligns with widely accepted industry views and must disclose any limitations regarding the applicability of cited data [11][12] - The guidelines emphasize the importance of verifying advertising proof documents and ensuring consistency with experimental results and statistical data [13] Group 6 - Market regulation departments are tasked with enforcing these guidelines and may impose penalties for violations, including misleading advertising practices [14][15] - The enforcement actions will consider the nature and severity of the violation, as well as the intent of the advertiser [15][16]
美方同日澳等国就加强稀土供应链签署协议,外交部回应
北京日报客户端消息,12月12日,外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。 法新社记者提问,美方同日本、韩国、澳大利亚等国家就加强稀土供应链签署了协议,并且提出将会同 中方在AI方面展开技术竞争。中方对此有何评论? 郭嘉昆 资料图。图源:外交部网站 郭嘉昆回应,我们注意到有关报道。各方应该遵守市场经济和公平竞争原则,共同维护全球产供链稳 定。 原标题:美方同日澳等国就加强稀土供应链签署协议,外交部回应 编辑:吴思 责编:吴光亮 审核:吴忠兰 ...
AI辅助写论文,科技期刊怎么看——专访《柳叶刀》副主编萨宾娜·克莱纳特
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-12 08:16
Core Viewpoint - The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in research activities has led to new forms of academic misconduct, such as paper writing, data fabrication, and implicit plagiarism, posing significant challenges to academic integrity. Group 1: AI Usage in Research - The use of generative AI in research is increasing, with only 7% of authors disclosing its use in submissions, contrasting sharply with surveys indicating over 50% usage among users [2][3] - Instances of "hallucination citations" have been observed, where references are cited that do not exist, with some papers containing up to 10 to 15 such citations [2] Group 2: Editorial Policies and Practices - The journal has implemented a checkbox for authors to declare the use of generative AI, requiring detailed information about the AI model used, its purpose, and its application in the manuscript [1] - Papers with significant undisclosed AI content will be rejected, and institutions may be informed for educational purposes on proper AI usage [3] Group 3: Acceptable and Unacceptable AI Uses - Generative AI is not permitted to replace researchers' work in generating scientific insights, analyzing data, or drawing conclusions [5] - AI can be used to improve grammar and language expression in writing, as well as to summarize existing research [7] Group 4: Challenges and Future Directions - The journal is establishing a research integrity committee to address the impact of generative AI on academic integrity, with a focus on monitoring ongoing cases and adapting to new guidelines [8] - Researchers and editors are advised to treat AI as an auxiliary tool, being cautious of its limitations and potential risks, including the de-skilling of future researchers [9]
微生物“合成”大未来
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-12 08:09
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and innovation in the synthetic biology industry in Wuqing, Tianjin, particularly through the success of Tianjin Xiaowei Biotechnology Co., Ltd., which focuses on the development and production of probiotics, showcasing a shift towards domestic production and technological advancement in the sector [2][3][5]. Company Summary - Tianjin Xiaowei Biotechnology Co., Ltd. has grown into a leading enterprise in the probiotic industry, with over 10,000 strains collected and preserved, and 52 mature production strains [3]. - The company has developed 21 invention patents and collaborates with multiple research institutions, contributing to the development and production transformation of over 20 strains [3]. - The expected annual output value for the company is projected to exceed 50 million yuan, with plans for further capacity expansion in Wuqing [3]. Industry Summary - Wuqing has established a synthetic biology industry ecosystem that includes gene sequencing, gene synthesis, strain screening, and industrial fermentation, supported by leading projects such as the Tianjin University Synthetic Biology Frontier Research Institute [5][6]. - The research institute has successfully created a synthetic pathway for rose alcohol in yeast, marking a significant advancement in green and sustainable biomanufacturing [5]. - The region is home to 300 biopharmaceutical companies, with 56 of them being above-scale enterprises, and has achieved an industrial output value of 4.336 billion yuan from January to October 2025 [8]. - The Wuqing district aims to develop a trillion-level biopharmaceutical industry cluster, integrating biopharmaceuticals, medical devices, precision medicine, and synthetic biology manufacturing [8].
未上调2026财年指引”不是大问题,高盛:越来越相信博通的AI业务
美股IPO· 2025-12-12 07:34
高盛表示,博通第四财季业绩强劲、AI收入大增,但因未上调2026财年全年指引,短期或承压。该行仍坚持"买入",认为其在定制芯片领域 地位稳固,AI业务增速被低估,预计中长期持续跑赢。订单积压达730亿美元,新客户与大额订单强化增长动能。 尽管博通未能如部分投资者预期那样上调2026财年的全年业绩指引,并在短期内可能面临股价回调压力,但高盛依然重申了对该公司 的"买入"评级。这家华尔街大行认为,博通在定制芯片领域的统治地位正在增强,其AI业务的基本面从未如此稳固。 博通公布了一份表现强劲的第四财季业绩,其营收录得180亿美元,超出市场预期的175亿美元。更为关键的是,公司给出的2026财 年第一季度营收指引达到191亿美元,同样显著高于分析师预期的183亿美元。这一增长主要得益于AI半导体收入的激增,该板块在 第四财季实现了74%的同比增长。 然而,市场对这份财报的反应可能夹杂着失望情绪。高盛分析师James Schneider团队在最新发布的研报中指出,尽管业绩强劲且第 一季度展望乐观,但管理层并未更新或上调其此前发布的2026财年全年AI营收增长指引。考虑到投资者在财报发布前已持乐观看涨的 仓位,且AI业务 ...
2025安联中国财富论坛召开 聚焦财富新战略
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-12 07:11
经济观察网 12月10日,以"韧性与远见:重塑财富新战略"为主题的2025安联中国财富论坛在上海召 开。 安联经济研究中心(Allianz Research)高级经济学家Michaela Grimm表示,中国已崛起为全球财富增长 的"第二极"。中国全球金融资产份额达15%(较2004年增长五倍),增长贡献率高达19.8%。过去二十 年间,中国的人均实际金融资产购买力增长近10倍,人均金融资产排名从第40位跃升至第31位,增速冠 绝全球,充分体现了国民财富水平的整体提升。 在全球经济格局深刻变革之际,增长动能切换与财富传承模式革新已成为每位个人投资者必须面对的核 心议题。 安联人寿首席合作伙伴业务官脱克坦言,高净值人士的需求图谱已非常清晰:他们要的不再是单一产 品,而是一个以"安全与传承"为核心,能够整合保险、法律、税务及全球资源的综合解决方案。 安联基金副总经理兼首席投资官郑宇尘在分享《中国投资市场分析与展望》报告时指出,2026年的中国 GDP增长目标预计将维持在5%左右,主要得益于强劲的出口和需求的稳定复苏。报告分析认为,当前 的政策环境演变和向好的产业趋势推动了股市牛市,且股票估值隐含的风险溢价处于合理 ...