Core Viewpoint - Shengjing Bank is struggling to transform itself two years after shedding its "Evergrande system" identity, facing significant historical burdens and declining financial performance, with a strategic goal of "stabilizing growth, improving quality, increasing efficiency, and enhancing effectiveness" for 2024 [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Shengjing Bank reported revenue of 8.577 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 621 million yuan, down 15.21%, marking the fourth consecutive year of revenue and profit decline [2] - The bank's net interest margin was only 0.8%, down 16 basis points year-on-year, significantly lower than the average for commercial banks and city commercial banks, which were 1.52% and 1.38% respectively [4][3] - Total interest-earning assets decreased by nearly 70 billion yuan to 8555.16 billion yuan, a decline of 7.5% year-on-year, with a significant gap between interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities [5] Asset Quality and Loan Performance - As of the end of 2024, Shengjing Bank's total assets grew by 4% to 1.12 trillion yuan, with loans issued amounting to 500.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [9] - The bank's corporate loans, which account for over two-thirds of its credit portfolio, reached 337.88 billion yuan, growing by 9.67% year-on-year, while personal loans showed mixed performance with a notable increase in personal consumption loans [10] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for personal loans was 2.9%, with mortgage loans having a particularly high NPL ratio of 3.66% [12][11] Non-Interest Income - Shengjing Bank achieved non-interest income of 1.69 billion yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 44% year-on-year, attributed to improved investment trading capabilities [7] Market Performance and Shareholder Sentiment - The bank's stock price in the Hong Kong market has been underperforming, trading around 1.06 HKD per share, significantly lower than its initial listing price of 7.65 HKD in 2014, with liquidity issues evident as trading volumes dropped to zero during certain periods [15] - The number of H-share shareholders has dwindled to just 124, reflecting market skepticism regarding the bank's future profitability and growth prospects [15] Strategic Direction - Shengjing Bank is actively pursuing a "de-Evergrande" strategy, having removed references to Evergrande from its annual reports since 2023, and has undergone significant management restructuring to align with its vision of becoming a "good bank for enterprises and the public" [16][17]

Core Insights - 华夏银行 reported a total asset of 43,764.91 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27.676 billion yuan, up 4.98% from the previous year, with both non-performing loan balance and non-performing loan ratio decreasing [1][5]. Financial Performance - Interest income decreased by 91.28 billion yuan, down 5.87% year-on-year, with net interest income from loans and advances dropping due to interest rate factors [2][3]. - Non-interest income increased by 123.18 billion yuan, a growth of 54.11%, driven by significant increases in investment income, fair value changes, and foreign exchange gains [2][3]. Loan Portfolio - Corporate loans have expanded for three consecutive years, with balances rising from 14,457.11 billion yuan in 2022 to 15,682.35 billion yuan in 2024, while personal loans decreased by 2.843 billion yuan [5][6]. - The average interest rate for corporate loans fell from 4.43% in 2022 to 3.80% in 2024, while personal loan rates showed a slight decline [6][7]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan balance for corporate loans decreased by 13.45 billion yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.59%, down 0.17 percentage points [6][7]. - In the real estate sector, non-performing loans decreased by 3.43 billion yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio down by 0.45 percentage points, indicating improved asset quality in this segment [7]. Strategic Focus - In 2025, the bank plans to enhance interest margin management and diversify service offerings to boost non-interest income, while maintaining a focus on asset quality [4][5]. - The bank will continue to support the real estate sector in line with national financial policies, ensuring a stable development of real estate business [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank (601009.SH) with a current price of 10.44 CNY [1]. Core Insights - Nanjing Bank reported a resilient performance with a 2024 revenue of 50.3 billion CNY, up 11.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 20.2 billion CNY, up 9.1% year-on-year. The annualized return on equity (ROE) for 2024 was 12.97%, a slight decline of 0.15 percentage points [4][12]. - For Q1 2025, the bank achieved a revenue of 14.2 billion CNY, reflecting a 6.5% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 6.1 billion CNY, up 7.1% year-on-year, with an annualized ROE of 15.2%, down 0.76 percentage points [4][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Nanjing Bank's revenue and net profit growth rates were 11.3% and 9.1%, respectively. For Q1 2025, these figures were 6.5% and 7.1%. The bank's net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 4.6% and 20% for 2024, while for Q1 2025, they were 17.8% and -4.5% [5][6]. Loan and Asset Growth - As of Q1 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 19.4% and 14.7% year-on-year, respectively. The total new loans for 2024 were 157.3 billion CNY, with Q1 2025 contributing 89.7 billion CNY. The bank maintained a strong focus on corporate and retail loans, with significant growth in technology and green sectors [6][7]. Deposit and Liability Management - By the end of Q1 2025, the bank's interest-bearing liabilities and deposits grew by 16.3% and 16.7% year-on-year, respectively. The bank added 161.1 billion CNY in deposits during Q1 2025, with a notable increase in both corporate and personal term deposits [7][8]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) - The bank's NIM for 2024 was reported at 1.94%, with a slight decline observed. The bank's interest-earning asset yield and cost of interest-bearing liabilities showed a downward trend, but the decline in NIM has been moderating [8][9]. Non-Interest Income - In Q1 2025, non-interest income decreased by 4.5% year-on-year, accounting for 45.4% of total revenue. The bank's net fee and commission income increased by 18%, while other non-interest income saw a decline [9][10]. Asset Quality - Nanjing Bank maintained a low non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.83% as of the end of 2024, with a strong risk coverage capability. The bank's NPL balance increased by 5.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a notable increase in credit impairment losses in Q1 2025 [10][11]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the bank's core tier 1 capital ratio was 8.9%, with significant shareholder confidence reflected in recent share purchases. The bank's dividend payout ratio has remained around 30% [11][12]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 2.00, 2.13, and 2.21 CNY, respectively. The current price-to-book (PB) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicate attractive valuation levels [12][14].

查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 4月18日，江苏银行发布2024年年报，全年实现营收808亿，同比增长8.8%，归母净利润318亿，同比增长 10.8%。加权平均净资产收益率（ROAE）13.6%，同比下降0.9pct。 点击注册小程序 点评： 营收增长提速，业绩表现韧性强 2024年江苏银行营收、拨备前利润、归母净利润同比增速分别为8.8%、7.6%、10.8%，增速较1-3Q24分别 提升2.6、0.5、0.7pct，营收增长提速，盈利保持双位数增长。其中，净利息收入、非息收入增速分别为 6.3%、14.8%，较1-3Q24变动+4.8、-2.3pct。全年成本收入比、信用减值损失/营收分别为24.7%、22.7%， 同比分别提升0.7、0.4pct。拆分盈利增 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) with a current price of 9.87 CNY [1] Core Views - Jiangsu Bank's revenue and profit growth show resilience, with a reported revenue of 80.8 billion CNY for 2024, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 31.8 billion CNY, up 10.8% year-on-year [3][4] - The bank's return on average equity (ROAE) stands at 13.6%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue growth accelerated, with year-on-year increases in revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit of 8.8%, 7.6%, and 10.8% respectively, showing improvements from the first three quarters of 2024 [4] - Net interest income and non-interest income grew by 6.3% and 14.8% respectively, with non-interest income accounting for 31% of total revenue [4][8] Asset and Liability Management - By the end of 2024, the bank's interest-earning assets and net loans grew by 16.1% and 11% year-on-year, maintaining a high expansion intensity [5] - Deposits increased by 12.8% year-on-year, with a notable rise in demand deposits [6] Credit Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained low at 0.89%, with a coverage ratio of 350.1% [9][10] - The bank's credit loss provisions were robust, with a provision coverage ratio that supports its risk mitigation capabilities [9] Capital Adequacy - The core tier 1 capital ratio was reported at 9.12%, indicating a solid capital buffer for future growth [10] - The bank's dividend payout ratio remained stable at 30%, with a total dividend of 9.55 billion CNY for the year [10] Future Outlook - The bank is expected to benefit from the economic growth in Jiangsu province, focusing on key sectors such as advanced manufacturing and small enterprises [11] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.88, 1.98, and 2.07 CNY respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.24, 4.97, and 4.77 [11][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ningbo Bank is "Buy-A" with a target price of 28.09 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 23.36 CNY [5]. Core Views - Ningbo Bank's 2024 revenue showed a steady growth of 8.19% year-on-year, with pre-provision profit increasing by 13.92% and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 6.23% [1][11]. - The bank's net interest margin demonstrated resilience, with a slight decrease of only 2 basis points compared to 2023, outperforming peers [8][10]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan generation rate gradually declining, benefiting from controlled consumer credit expansion [9][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Ningbo Bank's net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.78% year-on-year, driven by scale expansion, widening net interest margin, and cost savings, despite a slowdown in non-interest income growth and increased taxes [1]. - The average daily balance of interest-earning assets grew by 16.01% year-on-year, although the growth rate decreased by 5.64 percentage points compared to Q3 2024 [1][8]. - The bank's non-interest income decreased by 12.3% year-on-year in Q4 2024, primarily due to a decline in other non-interest income [8]. Credit and Asset Quality - New loans in Q4 2024 totaled 214 billion CNY, a decrease of 153 billion CNY year-on-year, with both corporate and retail credit growth lagging behind 2023 levels [2][10]. - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.76%, with improvements in corporate loan asset quality [9][32]. - The provision coverage ratio decreased to 389.35%, indicating strong risk resistance capabilities [9][32]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 6.50% and a net profit growth of 5.48% in 2025, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet while controlling risk [11][12]. - The dividend payout ratio has significantly increased to 22.77%, reflecting a stronger commitment to shareholder returns [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - Zhangjiagang Bank reported a revenue of 4.71 billion with a year-on-year growth of 3.8% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.88 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth is stable, with a year-on-year increase of 3.8% and net profit growth of 5.1%, showing resilience in performance [2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROAE) is 11.05%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Net interest income and non-interest income growth rates are -12.6% and 96.8%, respectively, indicating a significant recovery in non-interest income [2] Loan and Asset Growth - The growth rate of interest-earning assets and loans is 4% and 8%, respectively, showing a slight slowdown compared to the previous quarter [3] - New loans for the year totaled 10.2 billion, with a decrease in financial investments and interbank assets [3] - The bank's focus on corporate and retail loans remains strong, with corporate loans accounting for 53.2% of total loans [3] Deposit Trends - Deposit growth has slowed, with a year-on-year increase of 6.4% in total deposits [5] - The proportion of time deposits continues to rise, reaching 79.4% by year-end [5] - New deposits for the year totaled 10.1 billion, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year [5] Interest Margin and Non-Interest Income - The net interest margin (NIM) for the year is 1.62%, showing a "L"-shaped trend with a decrease of 37 basis points year-on-year [6] - Non-interest income reached 1.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 97%, driven by bond trading [7][8] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stands at 0.94%, indicating strong risk management capabilities [9] - The bank's provision coverage ratio is 376%, maintaining a high level of risk buffer [9] Capital Adequacy - The core tier 1 capital ratio is 11.1%, reflecting an increase due to the conversion of convertible bonds [10] - The bank's risk-weighted assets (RWA) growth rate is 6.7%, showing a slowdown in asset expansion [10] Strategic Focus - The bank is focusing on the local market, particularly in personal business loans, and is expanding its presence in Suzhou, Wuxi, and Nantong [11] - The strategy aims to enhance loan growth and improve asset pricing [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Jiangyin Bank (002807.SZ) with a current price of 4.45 CNY [1]. Core Views - Jiangyin Bank's 2024 annual report shows a revenue of 3.96 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.04 billion CNY, up 7.9% year-on-year. The weighted average return on equity (ROAE) is 11.55%, down 1 percentage point year-on-year [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Jiangyin Bank's revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit growth rates for 2024 are 2.5%, -4.8%, and 7.9%, respectively, with improvements of 1.2, 0.7, and 1.1 percentage points compared to the first three quarters [4]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates are -6% and 31.2%, respectively, with increases of 1.3 and 1.8 percentage points compared to the previous three quarters [4]. Loan and Deposit Growth - By the end of 2024, the growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans are 6.6% and 7.6%, respectively, showing a slight improvement from the end of Q3 2024 [5]. - The bank's deposits grew at a rate of 9.1% year-on-year, with a notable increase in time deposits, which accounted for 63% of total deposits by year-end [6]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) and Income Structure - The NIM increased by 2 basis points to 1.76% despite a decline in asset yields and loan pricing pressure [7]. - Non-interest income reached 1.16 billion CNY, growing by 31% year-on-year, with significant contributions from investment income [8]. Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - By the end of 2024, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio and attention ratio were 0.86% and 1.22%, respectively, indicating a decrease from the previous quarter [9]. - The capital adequacy ratios are robust, with the core Tier 1 capital ratio at 14.1% and the total capital adequacy ratio at 15.2% [10]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 0.86 CNY, 0.89 CNY, and 0.91 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating a favorable valuation [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the financial performance of China Construction Bank (CCB) for the year 2024, highlighting a slight decline in revenue but an improvement in profit growth, alongside various operational metrics and trends [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - CCB reported a total revenue of 750.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 335.6 billion, with a growth rate of 0.9% [3]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity (ROAE) was 10.69%, down by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [3]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The revenue decline has narrowed, with profit growth accelerating; the year-on-year growth rates for revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit were -2.5%, -4%, and 0.9%, respectively, showing improvements compared to the first three quarters of 2024 [4]. - The net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were -4.4% and 5.1%, respectively, with changes of +1.5 and -1.7 percentage points compared to the previous quarters [4]. Credit and Loan Growth - By the end of 2024, CCB's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 5.8% and 8.3% year-on-year, although these growth rates decreased by 2.9 and 0.5 percentage points compared to the end of the third quarter [5]. Deposit Trends - CCB experienced a 5.7% year-on-year growth in interest-bearing liabilities and a 3.7% growth in deposits, with changes of -3.8 and +1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter [6]. - The total new deposits for the year were 1 trillion, which was a decrease of 1.6 trillion compared to the previous year, influenced by regulatory adjustments and interest rate cuts [6]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) - The NIM for the year was 1.51%, down by 19 basis points from 2023, but the rate of decline has slowed down, indicating a potential stabilization [7]. Non-Interest Income - CCB's non-interest income reached 160.3 billion, growing by 5.1% year-on-year, although the growth rate decreased by 1.7 percentage points compared to the previous quarters [8]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio and attention rate were 1.34% and 1.89%, respectively, showing a decline of 1 basis point and 18 basis points from mid-year [9]. - The new NPLs for the year totaled 19.4 billion, which was a decrease of 13 billion year-on-year, indicating improved asset quality [9]. Capital Adequacy - By the end of 2024, CCB's core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 14.5%, 15.2%, and 19.7%, respectively, with increases of 38, 21, and 34 basis points from the end of the third quarter [10]. - The bank plans to distribute dividends of 100.75 billion, maintaining a payout ratio of 30% [10].

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Bank aims to maintain a return on equity (ROE) above 15%, although it acknowledges that this is contingent on external operating environment changes. The bank's ROE has recently fallen below this threshold due to industry pressures, but it remains confident in outperforming peer banks in this metric [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - For the year 2024, China Merchants Bank reported total operating income of 337.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 148.39 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.22%. As of the end of 2024, total assets reached 12.15 trillion yuan, marking a growth of 10.19% compared to the previous year [1]. Shareholder Returns - The bank plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2 yuan per share (before tax) to all shareholders, amounting to approximately 50.44 billion yuan in total dividends. The cash dividend payout ratio for 2024 is set at 35.32%, which is higher than the previous years' ratios of 33% in 2022 and 35.01% in 2023 [2]. ROE and Competitive Position - The bank's management expressed confidence in maintaining a leading ROE compared to peer banks, driven by its net interest margin and advantages in wealth management. Despite challenges from low interest rates and fees, the bank believes its competitive edge will help sustain its ROE [3][4]. Asset Quality Management - The bank emphasizes the importance of managing retail credit risk, focusing on optimizing risk management models and selecting high-quality customer segments. The management anticipates that as the economic situation improves, the quality of retail credit assets will stabilize [5]. Customer Growth Strategy - China Merchants Bank is focusing on expanding its customer base, particularly among university students and young clients, as well as enhancing services for families and cross-border clients. The retail customer base reached 210 million, while corporate clients numbered 3.1664 million, indicating solid growth [7]. Non-Interest Income - The bank aims to stabilize and recover its fee and commission income, which has faced pressure in recent years. The management noted that while there was negative growth in this area last year, the decline has been narrowing. They expect a recovery in non-interest income driven by favorable macroeconomic policies [8][9]. AI Investment - China Merchants Bank has significantly increased its investment in AI technologies, establishing an AI laboratory in 2017 and forming an "AI + Finance" working group in response to advancements in AI. The bank aims to become a leader in intelligent banking [10]. Capital Management and Dividends - The bank maintains a cautious approach to balancing capital adequacy and shareholder returns, emphasizing the importance of stable cash dividends for long-term value creation. The management is committed to ensuring that dividend policies do not fluctuate significantly year-on-year [11]. Market Value Management - The bank's management believes that effective operational management and enhanced profitability are crucial for market value management. They aim to strengthen their capabilities in profitability, risk management, and innovation to create value for stakeholders [12].