上市公司：比亚迪（002594），中集车辆（301039），东风汽车（600006），宇通客车（600066），上 汽集团（600104），长安汽车（000625），一汽解放（000800），安凯客车（000868），中国重汽 （000951），中通客车（000957），赛力斯（601127），广汽集团（601238），长城汽车（601633）， 力帆科技（601777） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国汽车制造业市场全景调查及投资前景分析报告》 根据国家统计局数据可知：2025年8月全国汽车制造业出口货值为856.5亿元，同比增长7.2%；2025年1- 8月全国汽车制造业累计出口货值为6620.9亿元，累计同比增长5.3%。 2019年-2025年1-8月全国汽车制造业出口货值统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the automotive industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [6][70]. Core Insights - In the first eight months of 2025, China's total vehicle exports reached 4.26 million units, representing a year-on-year increase of 13%. This growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, but the export volume now accounts for approximately 20.2% of China's total vehicle wholesale [2][10]. - The export of new energy vehicles (NEVs) accounted for 35% of total vehicle exports, with 1.51 million NEVs exported in the same period, significantly up from 22% in 2024 [2][9]. - Major contributors to the export growth include Chery, BYD, and SAIC, with Chery exporting 800,000 units (19% share) and BYD exporting 630,000 units (15% share), marking a substantial increase from previous years [9][10]. Summary by Sections Overall Export Performance - China's total vehicle exports in the first eight months of 2025 reached 4.26 million units, up 13% year-on-year, with a monthly export volume consistently above 500,000 units since March 2025, peaking over 600,000 units in August [2][10]. - The share of vehicle exports in total vehicle wholesale has increased by approximately 1.6 percentage points compared to 2024 [2]. Breakdown by Structure - In terms of vehicle type, commercial vehicles accounted for 15% of exports, while passenger vehicles made up 85%, showing little change from 2024 [9]. - The NEV export volume reached 1.51 million units, with a notable increase in market penetration, particularly driven by domestic manufacturers like BYD [9][10]. Breakdown by Brand - Chery led the exports with 800,000 units, followed by BYD with 630,000 units, and SAIC with 330,000 units. The rankings reflect a significant rise in BYD's market share from 7% in 2024 to 15% in 2025 [9][10]. Breakdown by Region - Mexico was the largest market for Chinese vehicle exports, receiving 360,000 units, followed by the UAE and Belgium with 320,000 and 290,000 units, respectively [9][10]. - The share of Chinese vehicles in overseas markets has increased from approximately 2% in 2020 to 9.4% in the first eight months of 2025 [9][10]. Export Value - The export value of complete vehicles and auto parts reached $84.29 billion and $64.46 billion, respectively, accounting for 3.4% and 2.6% of China's total exports [9][10].

Core Insights - Traditional automakers have shown strong performance in September, with all but BYD reporting sales growth, driven by advancements in new energy vehicles and overseas markets [1][3] - SAIC Motor regained the top position in sales, followed by BYD, with Chery surpassing Geely to claim the fourth spot [1][3] Sales Performance Summary - **SAIC Motor**: Achieved sales of 440,000 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 40.4%, marking a total of 3.193 million units sold in the first nine months, up 20.5% [2][3][4] - **BYD**: Sold 396,000 units in September, down 5.5% year-on-year, with a total of 3.26 million units for the year, up 18.6% [2][4] - **China FAW**: Reported sales of 302,000 units in September, a 6.3% increase, totaling 2.383 million units year-to-date, up 5.6% [2][7] - **Chery**: Sold 280,000 units in September, a 14.7% increase, with year-to-date sales reaching 2.008 million units, up 14.5% [2][7][10] - **Geely**: Recorded sales of 273,000 units in September, a 35% increase, with cumulative sales of 2.17 million units, up 46% [2][8][9] - **Changan**: Achieved sales of 266,000 units in September, a 25% increase, with year-to-date sales of 2.066 million units, up 8.5% [2][11] - **Dongfeng**: Reported sales of 231,000 units in September, a 6.2% increase, with cumulative sales figures not disclosed [2][11] - **BAIC Group**: Sold 157,000 units in September, a 1.3% increase, with year-to-date sales of 1.228 million units, up 4.9% [2][12] - **Great Wall Motors**: Achieved sales of 134,000 units in September, a 23.3% increase, with cumulative sales of 923,000 units, up 8.2% [2][12] Market Dynamics - SAIC Motor's growth is attributed to strong performance in both domestic and export markets, with a notable increase in self-owned brand sales [5][6] - BYD's decline in sales is primarily due to a drop in plug-in hybrid vehicle sales, despite growth in pure electric and other vehicle categories [4][10] - China FAW's growth is supported by strong performance in its self-owned brands, particularly in the new energy segment [7] - Chery's rise in sales is driven by significant growth in its new energy vehicle sales and exports [10] - Geely's strong performance in the new energy vehicle segment, which reached a record high, has contributed to its overall sales growth [8][9] - Changan and Great Wall Motors have shown robust growth in both domestic and overseas markets, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising over $1 billion, and its stock price has increased by 4% in the first three trading days, marking a strong market debut [1][5]. Group 1: IPO and Market Performance - Chery's IPO raised 91.5 billion HKD (approximately 11.8 billion USD), making it the largest IPO of a car company globally this year, with strong oversubscription from local and international investors [5]. - The stock closed at 32.02 HKD, up 4.1% from the issue price of 30.75 HKD, giving it a market capitalization of around 240 billion HKD (approximately 30.6 billion USD) [5]. - Compared to domestic competitors like SAIC Motor and international giants like General Motors, Chery's valuation shows potential for upward movement based on its price-to-earnings ratio [6]. Group 2: Growth Challenges and Competitive Landscape - Maintaining high growth rates is a primary challenge for Chery, which has become the top exporter of Chinese automobiles and the sixth largest seller of new energy vehicles in China this year [2][3]. - Chery's export volume has surpassed 50% of its total sales, contributing significantly to its double-digit growth and profitability [3][7]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying as domestic rivals expand their overseas markets, indicating a more heated competition among Chinese automakers [3]. Group 3: Sales and Financial Performance - In the first eight months of the year, Chery's sales increased by 22% year-on-year to 860,126 vehicles, ranking fifth among Chinese automakers [7]. - The company achieved a record monthly export volume of 129,472 vehicles in August, with exports exceeding domestic sales for the first time [7]. - Chery's new energy vehicle sales surged by 53.1% in August, contributing to a total of 309,025 units sold in the first eight months, marking a 64% increase year-on-year [8]. Group 4: Financial Metrics and Cost Management - Chery's total revenue for the first quarter of 2025 grew by 24% year-on-year to 682 billion RMB, although the growth rate has slowed compared to 2024 [8][9]. - The company's gross margin decreased from 14.9% to 12.4% due to industry-wide price wars, but effective cost management led to a near doubling of profits to 47.3 billion RMB [9]. - Continued investment in research and development is crucial for maintaining competitive advantages, especially in light of the ongoing price competition in the automotive sector [9].

Group 1: Passenger Car Market Performance - In the period from September 1 to 27, the retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 1.776 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of 0% and a month-on-month increase of 12% [1][5] - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 16.54 million units, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase [1][5] - Wholesale figures for the same period were 2.103 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 1% and a month-on-month increase of 16% [1][10] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Market - Retail sales of new energy vehicles from September 1 to 27 totaled 1.039 million units, marking a 9% year-on-year increase and a 17% month-on-month increase [1][5] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicle retail sales reached 58.5%, with cumulative retail sales for the year at 8.609 million units, a 24% year-on-year growth [1][5] - Wholesale of new energy vehicles was 1.154 million units, up 12% year-on-year and 21% month-on-month, with a cumulative total of 10.098 million units for the year, reflecting a 31% year-on-year increase [1][10] Group 3: Market Trends and Influences - The market showed stable retail trends in early September 2025, remaining flat compared to 2023 but weaker than the performance in early September 2024 [5] - The "Golden September and Silver October" traditional peak season is expected to boost sales, aided by national and local subsidies [6] - The introduction of new models at the Chengdu Auto Show has generated significant interest, although the contribution of new models has been below expectations due to a lack of popular entry-level vehicles [6] Group 4: Wholesale Trends - Daily average wholesale figures for passenger cars showed a year-on-year decline of 5% in the first week of September, but increased by 26% in the second week [9][10] - The overall wholesale performance from September 1 to 27 was 2.103 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 1% and a month-on-month increase of 16% [1][10] - The cautious approach of leading manufacturers in maintaining market price stability and managing inventory pressures has been noted [10]

Core Insights - The automotive industry in China has shown significant growth in exports, with a total of 763,000 vehicles exported in August 2025, marking a month-on-month increase of 10.0% and a year-on-year increase of 25.1% [1] - The export value for August 2025 reached $12.82 billion, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 8.3% and a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [1] - From January to August 2025, a total of 4.928 million vehicles were exported, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [1] - The total export value during the same period amounted to $84.31 billion, which is a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [1]

Group 1 - The automotive industry chain experienced significant movements today, with multiple stocks such as Disenli, Wanxiang Qianchao, and Tianqimo reaching their daily limit up [1][2] - Seres' market capitalization surpassed 260 billion yuan, hitting a historical high, with a peak stock price of 163.52 yuan per share [2] - Analysts predict that as the price war in the passenger car market eases, the profitability of car manufacturers is expected to recover in the second half of the year [7][8] Group 2 - In August, China's automotive industry returned to a growth trend, with production and sales reaching 2.815 million and 2.857 million units respectively, marking a month-on-month increase of 8.7% and 10.1% [3] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) accounted for 48.8% of total new car sales in August, indicating a steady increase in market penetration [3] - The China Automobile Dealers Association anticipates strong consumer demand in September due to seasonal factors, projecting total passenger car sales to reach 2.2 million units [3][4] Group 3 - From January to August, China's automotive exports reached 4.94 million units, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21% [5][6] - The export of new energy vehicles in August was 315,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 83% [5] - Analysts expect that by 2025, China's new energy vehicle penetration rate will exceed 50%, with significant growth in overseas markets [6][7] Group 4 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a growth stabilization plan for the automotive industry, aiming to set clear growth targets and specific measures [8] - The ongoing "trade-in" policy is expected to stimulate consumer demand in the automotive market [8] - The development and commercialization of intelligent driving technology are anticipated to create investment opportunities in related component industries [8]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HKD 91.45 billion, positioning itself as a leading player in the automotive industry with significant growth potential and a strong export record [4][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chery Automobile was founded in a modest setting in Wuhu, Anhui, and has grown to become a prominent Chinese automotive brand, known as the "King of Exports" [6][8]. - The company has achieved remarkable revenue growth, with projected revenues of CNY 926.18 billion, CNY 1,632.05 billion, and CNY 2,698.97 billion from 2022 to 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 70.7% [4][6]. - Chery's net profit is expected to grow from CNY 58.06 billion in 2022 to CNY 143.34 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 57.1% [4][6]. Group 2: Market Position and Performance - In the first eight months of this year, Chery exported 798,800 vehicles, marking a 10.8% year-on-year increase, maintaining its position as the top exporter of Chinese automobiles [4][7]. - In the first half of 2025, the domestic automotive market saw sales of 15.65 million units, with Chery leading the export segment with 548,000 units sold, a 10.4% increase [7][8]. Group 3: Leadership and Strategic Development - The success of Chery is attributed to its chairman and general manager, Yin Tongyue, who has been instrumental in the company's growth over the past 21 years [7][8]. - Yin Tongyue's background includes extensive experience in the automotive industry, having worked at major companies before founding Chery, which has allowed him to navigate the challenges of the domestic market effectively [8][9]. Group 4: Investment and Shareholder Dynamics - Chery's IPO has significantly benefited its largest shareholder, Wuhu Investment Holdings, which holds a 21.17% stake, translating to a market value of over HKD 400 billion [14][15]. - The company has undergone several changes in its shareholding structure, with significant investments from IDG Capital, which has supported Chery's growth and international expansion [10][11]. Group 5: Future Prospects and Industry Impact - Chery plans to utilize the funds raised from its IPO to enhance research and development in fuel vehicles, new energy vehicles, and smart driving technologies, as well as to expand its production facilities in Anhui [15]. - The establishment of new projects, such as a partnership with Huawei to create a smart vehicle production super factory, aims to solidify Wuhu's position in the global automotive supply chain [15].

Group 1 - Chery Automobile (9973.HK) has officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in its internationalization journey [1][5] - The company is headquartered in Wuhu, China, and offers a diverse range of passenger vehicles, including both fuel and new energy vehicles, to meet the evolving demands of domestic and international markets [6][8] - According to Frost & Sullivan, Chery is the second largest independent passenger vehicle brand in China and the eleventh largest globally based on projected sales in 2024 [6] Group 2 - Chery is the only company among the top twenty global passenger vehicle manufacturers to achieve over 25% growth in sales for both new energy and fuel vehicles, as well as in domestic and overseas markets compared to 2023 [8][27] - The company has exported vehicles to over 100 countries and regions, with cumulative global sales exceeding 13 million units [26] - In 2024, Chery's passenger vehicle sales in China are expected to grow by 56% compared to 2023, while new energy vehicle sales are projected to increase by 277.3% [27] Group 3 - Chery has maintained its position as the top exporter of passenger vehicles among Chinese independent brands for 22 consecutive years since 2003 [28] - The company has a diverse brand matrix, including Chery, Jetour, and iCAR, targeting various consumer segments from family users to tech-savvy younger generations [30][31] - Chery's competitive advantages include strong R&D capabilities, a global market presence, and a collaborative innovation ecosystem [33] Group 4 - Financial data indicates that Chery's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 92.618 billion in 2023 to RMB 163.205 billion in 2024 [37] - The gross profit is expected to increase from RMB 26.090 billion in 2023 to RMB 36.308 billion in 2024 [39]

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking a significant step in its internationalization journey and opening a new chapter for the company [1] Company Overview - Chery Automobile designs, develops, manufactures, and sells a diverse and expanding range of passenger vehicles, including both fuel and new energy vehicles, under five brands: Chery, Jetour, Exeed, iCAR, and Zhijie [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, Chery is the second-largest domestic passenger car company in China and the eleventh-largest globally based on projected sales for 2024 [1] Sales Growth - The company is expected to achieve a 49.4% year-on-year growth in passenger vehicle sales in 2024, leading the growth rate among the top 20 global passenger car companies [1] Market Position - Chery has achieved several notable milestones this year, including being the top exporter of Chinese automobiles, holding the highest market share in the SUV segment, ranking first in global growth among Fortune Global 500 companies, and leading in quality among domestic brands [1] Government Support - Central government initiatives, such as subsidies for new energy vehicles, export tax rebates, and diplomatic efforts (e.g., the Belt and Road Initiative), have facilitated Chery's accelerated overseas expansion [1] Historical Performance - Since 2003, Chery has maintained its position as the top exporter of Chinese passenger vehicles for 22 consecutive years, highlighting its sustained global competitive advantage [1] IPO Details - The IPO attracted 13 cornerstone investors, including well-known institutions, upstream and downstream enterprises, and local governments, with total subscriptions amounting to $587 million (approximately HKD 4.573 billion) [2] - Notable investors include state-owned fund Jingquan Shanrui, Hillhouse Capital, and various A-share companies participating through their subsidiaries [2] Future Plans - The funds raised from the IPO will be directed towards research and development, electric vehicle upgrades, and overseas expansion, indicating the company's ambition to penetrate the global market [1]