新华财经纽约5月7日电（记者刘亚南）由于市场对美联储降息的预期降温，7日美元兑除瑞士法郎以外 的一揽子货币走高，美元指数在隔夜市场和当日上午走强，当日午后涨幅显著扩大，尾盘时美元指数明 显上涨。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.43%，在汇市尾市收于99.665。 美国联邦储备委员会7日结束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至 4.50%之间不变。 美联储在当日表示，经济前景的不确定性已经进一步增加。美联储公开市场委员会关注就业和物价稳定 两个方面的风险，认为失业率上升和通胀走高的风险已经上升。 芝加哥商品交易所美联储观察工具（FedWatch Tool）在7日下午5:07分公布的数据显示，美联储到2025 年6月份议息会议时把联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%-4.5%不变的概率从前一日的68.8%升至 80.1%。 麦格理全球外汇和利率策略师蒂埃里·阿尔伯特·维兹曼（ThierryAlbertWizman）表示，关税对通胀影响 的不确定性，以及通胀预期上升的长期影响，迫使美联储公开市场委员会劝阻交易员不要假设未来会大 幅降息。 截至纽约汇市尾市，1欧元兑换1. ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate range of 4.25-4.50% while awaiting the impact of recently implemented trade policies on economic growth and inflation [1] Interest Rate Projections - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower rates by 8 basis points in June and 24 basis points in July, totaling a reduction of 78 basis points by the end of the year [1] - For the following year, a total reduction of 113 basis points is projected by June 2026 and 118 basis points by December 2026 [1]

上个交易日有效的联邦基金利率报4.33%，之前一天报4.33%。 据美国纽约联储数据，上个交易日（5月5日）担保隔夜融资利率（SOFR）报4.33%，之前一天报 4.36%。 在面临美联储降息威胁之际，买家们青睐美国财政部的六个月期国债供应。 ...

转自：新华财经 虽然特朗普表示他不寻求解除美联储主席鲍威尔的职务，但再次呼吁鲍威尔降息。 美国供应管理学会当日上午发布的数据显示，美国4月份服务业景气指数为51.6，高于市场预期的50.2和 3月份的50.8。这一数据公布后，美元跌幅收窄。 芝加哥商品交易所美联储观察工具（FedWatch Tool）在5日下午4:17分公布的数据显示，美联储到2025 年6月份议息会议时把联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%-4.5%不变的概率从一周前的35.1%升至 70.2%，对美联储在6月份降息的预期显著回落。 美联储将于6-7日举行例行货币政策会议，市场认为美联储维持利率不变的概率高达97.3%。 新华财经纽约5月5日电（记者刘亚南）由于美国关税政策继续引发市场担忧，5日美元兑欧元、英镑、 日元和瑞士法郎走低，美元兑加元和瑞典克朗走高，美元指数在隔夜市场走低，当日上午跌幅收窄，随 后弱势盘整，尾盘时美元指数下跌。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天下跌0.2%，在汇市尾市收于99.828。 外汇经纪商Monex美国公司交易业务负责人胡安•佩雷兹（Juan Perez）表示，美国总统特朗普维持其认 为关税重要的看法正 ...

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is meeting once again this week to assess the health of the economy and potentially adjust the federal funds rate. Read on to learn more about the timeline for this meeting, what it involves, and expected outcomes. When is the next Fed meeting? The next FOMC meeting is set to take place on September 16-17, 2025. This will be its sixth scheduled meeting this year; the Fed has two more meetings on the schedule for the remainder of 2025. Once the meeting concludes, ...

Group 1 - The offshore RMB appreciated significantly against the USD, rising over 500 points and exceeding 0.7% on May 2, 2025, closing at 7.226 [1] - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.74% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 3.08%, driven by gains in tech stocks such as Xiaomi (+6%), Alibaba (+3.8%), Tencent (+2.56%), and Kingsoft Cloud (+4%) [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet indicated that the bond market signals the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates, noting that the two-year Treasury yield was 3.717%, below the federal funds rate of 4.33% [1] Group 2 - President Trump has publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for slow rate cuts, threatening to dismiss him, while emphasizing that the economy may slow without immediate rate reductions [2] - The 10-year Treasury yield has decreased significantly since Trump's inauguration, dropping from approximately 4.63% on January 20 to around 4.15% recently, which has saved the federal government substantial interest costs [2] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) plans to maintain a moderately loose monetary policy to support the real economy, while also managing the exchange rate based on market supply and demand [2]

当地时间周四，美国财政部长贝森特在接受媒体采访时表示，两年期美债收益率发出美联储应该降息的 信号： 美国国债市场正在发出美联储应该降息的信号。我们看到两年期美债收益率已低于联邦基 金利率。这表明市场认为美联储应该考虑降息。 贝森特的最新表态呼应了美国总统特朗普。特朗普此前多次批评鲍威尔今年未降息，认为能源和其他物 价的下降足以支持降息。 当天，美国高通胀吹哨人、前美国财政部长萨默斯 驳斥：不能靠市场指导，下周降息大错。 市场对贝森特提到的"两年期美债收益率发出美联储应该降息的信号"也不买单， 美国两年期国债收益率 盘中涨幅扩大至10个基点，报3.7%。 美国 前 财政部长萨默斯驳斥 周四，美国高通胀吹哨人、前美国财政部长萨默斯表示， 债券市场的定价并不等于对美联储应否调整 利率的判断。他强调，如果政策制定者在下周放松政策，将是一个"非常严重的错误"。 萨默斯表示，如果之前已经开始降息，那将是一个严重错误，而在即将召开的会议上降息同样会是一个 非常严重的错误。若在5月7日降息，将削弱市场对美联储抗击通胀决心的信心，从而推高长期借贷成 本。 "新美联储通讯社"点评 有"新美联储通讯社"之称的知名财经记者Nick ...

美国财长贝森特：美国2年期国债收益率低于联邦基金利率暗示美联储应该降息。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary expects economic data to be revised, indicating potential changes in economic outlook [1] Economic Performance - The U.S. GDP showed strong performance in the first quarter, with expectations for data revisions [1] Inflation Policy - The current policies are aimed at reducing inflation [1] Interest Rates - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is below the federal funds rate, suggesting that the Federal Reserve should consider lowering interest rates [1]

Group 1 - Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack indicated that despite recent volatility in U.S. Treasury bonds due to President Trump's trade policies, the financial markets are functioning well. She noted that the market appears tense but is self-regulating effectively [1] - The recent sell-off in U.S. Treasuries has pushed long-term yields higher, with the 30-year Treasury yield surpassing 5%. This has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to intervene if the bond market continues to deteriorate [1] - Deutsche Bank and Jefferies strategists suggested that if market turmoil persists, the Federal Reserve might need to consider emergency quantitative easing, such as purchasing bonds [1] Group 2 - Jefferies economist Thomas Simons suggested that the Federal Reserve should consider using tools from past crises, including the suspension of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) requirements, to help dealers expand their balance sheets [2] - Hammack expressed skepticism about whether adjusting the SLR would alleviate market pressures, stating that it is unclear if removing SLR restrictions would increase the risk tolerance of banks and other intermediaries [2] - Policymakers typically intervene in the market during extreme signs of credit market freeze, and officials currently expect to maintain interest rates until they better understand the overall economic impact of Trump's policies [2] Group 3 - Hammack stated that after officials lowered borrowing costs by a full percentage point last year, interest rates are now "moderately restrictive." She prefers to wait for clearer economic trends before making policy adjustments [3]