Happy Friday, traders. Welcome to our weekly market wrap, where we take a look back at these last five trading days with a focus on the market news, economic data, and headlines that had the most impact on gold prices and other key correlated assets— and may continue to in the future. Here’s what you need to know: Gold hit fresh all-time highs and is set to close the week just under $4,550/oz, up more than $200/oz from Sunday evening’s open. A much-stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP print did not cool the ...

Core Viewpoint - The price of silver has surged, reaching a historical high of over $75 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 150%, making it one of the best-performing precious metals of the year [1]. Market Trends - The Shenzhen Shui Bei gold and jewelry market has seen an increase in sales counters for silver jewelry, with some stores that previously sold only gold now offering investment silver bars [1]. - Sales of silver jewelry have increased by nearly 10% month-on-month, with silver bars and ingots being particularly popular among investors [1][3]. Investment Behavior - For many small and medium investors, silver bars and ingots are seen as safer assets and more accessible investment options compared to gold [3]. - The best-selling item at a wholesale silver ingot counter is the 500-gram silver ingot, with many retail investors shifting from gold to silver investments recently [3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for silver has been rising, with reports of difficulties in obtaining physical silver in the Shui Bei market [3]. - The price difference between buying and selling silver is larger compared to gold, but the recent surge in silver prices has led to a noticeable increase in buyback prices [3]. Price Influences - The recent spike in silver prices is attributed to strong industrial and investment demand, tightening inventories, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. [3]. - The silver market is characterized by smaller scale and lower liquidity, making it more susceptible to large capital movements, which can lead to increased price volatility [3]. Future Outlook - Major Wall Street firms predict that gold, silver, and platinum will continue to perform strongly, especially amid a potential crisis of confidence in U.S. debt and the dollar [4]. - Structural scarcity and the safe-haven asset nature of silver may lead to a revaluation in the market [4].

Market Overview - On the first trading day after Christmas, U.S. stock indices opened mixed, with the Nasdaq up 0.14% and the S&P 500 up 0.08%, while the Dow Jones fell 0.03%. However, all three indices dropped later, with the Chinese tech index showing strong performance, rising by 1% [1][2]. Company Highlights - Nvidia shares rose nearly 1.5% after U.S. President Trump announced that the government would allow Nvidia to sell H200 AI chips to China. Additionally, Nvidia's acquisition of AI chip startup Groq for approximately $20 billion set a record for the largest deal ever [2]. - Sidus Space, a space concept stock, initially surged over 40% and had a cumulative increase of over 160% for the week, although it later retreated to a 24% gain [3]. - Chinese tech stocks saw significant gains, with Dingdong Maicai rising over 20%, Xiaopeng up over 7%, and Li Auto and NIO both increasing by over 2% [3][4]. Commodity and Precious Metals - Gold and silver futures prices continued to rise, with spot gold surpassing $4,527 and spot silver reaching $75, marking the highest premium levels since 1980. Copper futures also hit a historical high, with a nearly 2% increase [7][9]. - Palladium experienced a significant increase of 10%, reaching $1,865.13 per ounce [8]. Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a decline, with Bitcoin dropping below $87,000 and Ethereum falling below $3,000. Over 95,000 traders faced liquidation in the past 24 hours [10].

Market Overview - On the first trading day after Christmas, U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq up 0.14% and the S&P 500 up 0.08%, while the Dow Jones fell 0.03% [1] - As of the report, all three major U.S. stock indices had declined, but the Chinese tech leader index rose by 1% [1] Stock Performance - Key stock indices and their performance included: - Dow Jones Industrial Average: 48687.83, down 43.33 (-0.09%) - Nasdaq Index: 23580.76, down 32.55 (-0.14%) - S&P 500: 6927.56, down 4.49 (-0.06%) - Nasdaq 100: 25635.91, down 20.24 (-0.08%) - Chinese Tech Leader Index: 4358.68, up 43.27 (+1.00%) [2] Notable Stocks - Nvidia saw a nearly 1.5% increase after the U.S. government allowed it to sell H200 AI chips to China and announced a $20 billion acquisition of AI chip startup Groq, marking the largest deal ever [2] - Sidus Space, a space concept stock, initially surged over 40% and had a weekly increase of over 160% [2] Chinese Tech Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index initially rose by 0.44%, with notable Chinese stocks experiencing significant gains: - Dingdong Maicai surged over 20% - Xpeng rose over 7% - Li Auto increased over 2% - NIO and Bilibili also rose over 2% [3] Commodity Market - Gold and silver prices continued to rise, with spot gold surpassing $4527 and spot silver reaching $75, marking the highest premium level since 1980 [6] - Copper futures reached a historical high, with a nearly 2% increase, while palladium saw a daily surge of 10% [6] Cryptocurrency Market - Most cryptocurrencies experienced declines, with Bitcoin falling below $87,000 and Ethereum dropping below $3,000, resulting in over 95,000 liquidations in the past 24 hours [8] Economic Outlook - According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January 2026 is 15.5%, with an 84.5% chance of maintaining current rates [8] - The chief economist at Zhonghang Securities indicated that the risk of stagflation in the U.S. remains, despite strong third-quarter economic data, suggesting limited likelihood for short-term rate cuts [8]

" 真没想到银价都涨得这么猛！ " 在深圳水贝从事银饰生意的钟老板指着报价大屏说， " 今 天银饰的克价已经冲到 22 元， 7 月的时候还不到 15 元。就这个月初，价格也只在 17 元 左右。 " | 更新日期: 2025-12-26 13:45 | | | 更多 > | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 今日价格 | 回收价格 | | | 黄金 | 1167 元/克 | 993 元/克 | | | 铝金 | 583元/克 | 522元/克 | | | 白银 | 22元/克 | 16.4元/克 | | 水贝市场的银饰销售柜台 吴家明/摄 对于许多中小投资者而言，银条和银锭不仅是避险资产，更是一种看得见、摸得着、门槛更 低的投资选择。在水贝一个银锭批发专柜，工作人员告诉记者，目前销量最好的是500克的银 锭，很多之前投资黄金的散户投资客，近期改为投资白银。除了银锭，投资银条也较为受 捧，近一个月水贝的白银供需量逐渐上涨，而且经常拿不到现货。 此外，记者从水贝的几家贵金属回收公司了解到，跟黄金投资相比，白银的买入价与回收价 价差幅度更大。不过，随着近期银价大涨，回收价格也出现较为明显 ...

在紧张的地缘政治局势推动下，金银期货价格持续攀升，避险资产吸引力进一步增强。美军在尼日利亚 打击极端组织"伊斯兰国"，并于大西洋追击一艘失控油轮。与此同时，美元在近几个月部分丧失避险属 性后持续疲软。白银期货为75.07美元/盎司，较200日均线高出79%，创1980年以来最高溢价水平；黄金 期货报4561.20美元/盎司，较200日均线高出26%，为10月以来最大偏离幅度。 ...

当前贵金属行情的重要驱动之一，仍来自地缘政治层面的不确定性。美国加大对委内瑞拉石油出口的限 制力度，引发市场对能源供应与区域稳定性的担忧；与此同时，特朗普政府针对尼日利亚武装目标的军 事行动，也强化了市场对多区域政治与安全风险的重新定价。在多重不确定性叠加的背景下，风险溢价 加速反映在资产价格中，避险资产因此获得更多资金关注。 宏观环境方面，美元对主要货币整体走弱，背后反映的是市场对美联储未来政策路径的宽松预期有所升 温。美元走弱通常有利于以美元计价的大宗商品表现，因为非美元货币持有者的实际购买力得到提升。 同时，美国国债收益率阶段性回落，也降低了持有黄金等非孳息资产的机会成本，使贵金属在资产配置 中的吸引力进一步增强。 进入圣诞假期交易周后，市场流动性明显收缩。成交量下降、盘口深度不足，使价格更容易在消息或情 绪驱动下出现放大波动。在缺乏关键宏观数据指引的情况下，市场参与者更倾向于在高位区间内进行短 线操作，而非建立明确的方向性仓位。 整体来看，当前黄金与白银的高位运行由多重因素共同驱动：地缘政治风险持续累积推高避险需求，美 元阶段性走弱与美联储政策预期变化提供外部支撑，而假期流动性收缩则放大了价格波动。价 ...

12月26日，黄金以强势姿态结束2025年，彰显出其作为全球避险资产的独特魅力。尽管2026年预测存在 分歧，从低位冷却到高位突破的各种情景均有可能，但结构性需求和宏观顺风的结合仍为黄金提供了坚 实基础。投资者需密切监测关键催化剂，以把握这一贵金属市场的未来机遇。当期美元指数的疲软（年 初以来下跌9%），以及市场对新任美联储主席鸽派立场的预期，进一步削弱了美元计价资产的吸引 力，为以美元计价的黄金提供了支撑。 市场的基本环境不变，所以看待黄金的方式不变，还是要强调，黄金一定是绝对的强势，看涨不猜顶， 虽然某些月份是震荡，某些时间点有调整，但大趋势，大方向丝毫没有动摇。因此，在强势中，一定是 坚持做多看涨。本周目前周一单边上涨，周二先涨后跌，再涨，z周三同样是先涨后跌，最低在4450， 这个走势和和价位跟杨呈发预测的一样，在绝对强势中，不能追高，而是等调整做合理的多单，所以周 三给出的4450多单，拿到了周五开盘，现在开盘，黄金继续刷新高点，上涨至4528附近，只要市场开 盘，每天都有一个新高，可见趋势的力量是多大。那么，周五维持前期的看法不变，继续看好黄金的多 头表现，但也不追高，等待黄金调整做多，特别是亚欧 ...

Market Overview - US stock index futures are slightly lower, while Asian stock markets show mixed performance, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index leading the gains in Asia [1][5] - Japan's cabinet approved a record defense budget exceeding 9 trillion yen (approximately 58 billion USD), contributing to a 0.7% increase in the Nikkei 225 index, closing at 50,750.39 points [6] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged to historical highs, with gold rising by 0.9% to 4,541.80 USD per ounce and silver increasing by 4.5% to 74.90 USD per ounce, briefly surpassing the 75 USD mark [1][5] - The rise in gold prices is partly attributed to market concerns over the prolonged US federal government shutdown and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which weakened the dollar against other major currencies [1][5] Currency Exchange - The USD/JPY exchange rate increased from 155.83 to 156.25 yen, while the EUR/USD rate slightly declined from 1.1785 to 1.1777 USD [6] Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, closing at 3,963.68 points, while the Korean Composite Stock Price Index increased by 0.5% to 4,129.68 points, and the Taiwan Weighted Index surged by 0.7% [3][6] - Thai and Indian stock markets experienced declines [3] Commodity and Cryptocurrency - Crude oil futures saw a slight increase, with WTI rising by 18 cents to 58.53 USD per barrel and Brent up by 15 cents to 61.95 USD per barrel [4][6] - Bitcoin price increased by 2.2%, reaching 89,705 USD [4][6]

有色矿业ETF招商（159690）紧密跟踪有色矿业指数，集中投资于拥有上游矿产资源的企业，包括北方 稀土、紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、华友钴业、中国铝业、山东黄金等拥有大量资源储量的公司。截至最新收 盘日，有色矿业指数年内涨幅达96.03%，同期有色金属行业指数涨幅87.05%，相比同类指数锐度更 强。 华龙证券认为，黄金与长期美债实际利率的负相关框架解释力逐步弱化，其背后是美元及美国信用的弱 化，黄金作为避险资产的性质得到加强。工业金属方面，市场对2026年中国铜需求较乐观，预期将保持 一定韧性，看好2026年以铜为代表的工业金属表现。 东方证券认为，金铜铝铁权益端涨幅明显滞后商品端，板块对应明年估值也处于较低水平。随着后续商 品价格持续新高，市场对金铜铝铁中期价格上行预期有望不断强化，上周短期波动后，权益板块有望在 需求推动下维持中期上涨，可积极关注相关板块的投资机会。 格隆汇12月26日｜商品价格全面爆发！12月26日，伦敦现银日内突破75美元/盎司，再创历史新高；国 际铜连续主力合约日内涨4%，报89160元。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）一度涨超4%，盘中刷新上市以来新高，成份股永兴材料、江西铜业涨 ...