Macroeconomic Dynamics - Domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be reduced by 70 yuan and 75 yuan per ton respectively starting from October 13, 2023, due to the decline in international oil prices, resulting in a decrease of 0.06 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 gasoline and 0 diesel [2] - In the first three quarters, China's exports of high-tech products reached 3.75 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.9%, contributing over 30% to the overall export growth [5] International Relations - The Chinese Foreign Ministry criticized the U.S. for threatening to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods in retaliation for China's rare earth export controls, emphasizing that this approach is not the correct way to engage with China [3] - The Chinese Foreign Ministry clarified that recent export control measures on rare earths are unrelated to Pakistan's cooperation with the U.S. and are part of China's legal framework to enhance its export control system [4] Financial Institutions - UBS indicated that if the MSCI China Index drops to 74, it will find strong support, with investors likely to buy on dips, as the index has risen 36% since April [7] - New China Life Insurance expects a net profit increase of 45% to 65% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by reforms and improved asset allocation [9] - Everbright Bank plans to grant a comprehensive credit limit of 29 billion yuan to CITIC Financial Asset Management, constituting a related party transaction [10] - Bank of America raised its gold price forecast for next year to $5,000 per ounce [11] Market Data - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.19%, with sectors like rare earth permanent magnets and gold showing strength, while over 3,600 stocks declined [12] - The financing balance in the two markets decreased by 34.95 billion yuan as of October 10, 2023 [13] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index dropped by 1.52%, with significant movements in the gold and semiconductor sectors [14] Company Dynamics - Microsoft will stop providing security updates and technical support for Windows 10 starting October 14, 2023, urging users to upgrade to Windows 11 [16] - Boehringer Ingelheim announced the launch of local production for its diabetes medication in China, enhancing supply stability in the market [17] - Meituan introduced a "full refund for side effects" feature for certain medications, allowing users to return products if they experience adverse effects within 21 days [18]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market with over 17.5 billion in main capital inflows, particularly highlighted by Northern Rare Earth's strong performance in A-shares [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen significant capital inflows, with Northern Rare Earth topping the A-share capital absorption list [1] - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) experienced a price surge of over 4.2%, closing up 3.45%, and achieving a new listing high with a total trading volume of 1.25 billion [1] - The ETF recorded a net subscription of 33 million units in a single day, accumulating 258 million in the last three days and 321 million over the past 20 days [1] Group 2: Price Movements and Regulations - On October 10, Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel announced price increases, coinciding with new export control regulations from the Ministry of Commerce on rare earth-related items and technologies [2][3] - The new regulations expand the scope of export controls to include rare earth secondary resource recovery technologies, covering the entire rare earth industry chain and impacting sectors like semiconductors and artificial intelligence [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, 55 out of 60 companies in the China Non-Ferrous Metal Index reported profits, with over 91% profitability [6] - Northern Rare Earth's net profit surged by 1951%, leading the sector, while Guocheng Mining also saw a significant increase of 1111% [6][7] Group 4: Industry Outlook - Analysts suggest that the non-ferrous metal sector is positioned for a long-term upward price cycle due to capital expenditure trends and increasing demand for strategic metal resources amid global manufacturing investment growth [8] - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) provides diversified exposure across various metals, including copper, gold, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium, which helps mitigate risks associated with investing in single metal sectors [8]

Group 1 - The recent announcement by President Trump to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1 has caused significant turmoil in global markets, leading to a sharp decline in U.S. stocks [1] - This tariff increase is seen as a political maneuver by Trump to regain a strong presidential image amidst domestic challenges and foreign policy setbacks, rather than a purely economic decision [1][3] - The U.S. and China are engaged in a broader economic competition that transcends trade issues, with both countries redefining their boundaries of competition and cooperation [3][5] Group 2 - China's response to the U.S. tariffs has been measured and rational, emphasizing adherence to legal frameworks and multilateral rules, contrasting sharply with Trump's emotional reactions [5][8] - The interdependence of the U.S. and Chinese economies is highlighted, as U.S. chips rely on Chinese rare earths, indicating that a complete decoupling is unrealistic [5][6] - The ongoing tariff conflict is viewed as part of a long-term strategic battle, with China demonstrating confidence in its ability to manage the situation and maintain its economic stability [8]

中信建投证券指出，中国稀土战略地位进一步得以强化，预计海外备库动作加强，稀土价格有望进一步 上涨；长周期看，中国对稀土开采-冶炼分离-磁材制造-磁材回收全产业链的技术、设备、软辅材料管 控，无疑将增加海外稀土自主可控产业链建成的难度，时间周期也将延长，长期强化中国稀土的壁垒优 势，利好稀土价格中枢上移。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 10月13日，A股市场全天震荡回升，三大指数低开高走，科创50指数低开近3%，午后翻红大涨逾1%。 板块上，稀土永磁板块今日逆市大涨，银河磁体、惠城环保、新莱福斩获20CM涨停，广晟有色、中国 稀土、北方稀土、有研新材等多股涨停，金力永磁、中科磁业等多股涨幅超10%。 消息面上，10月9日，商务部联合海关总署等部门发布多项公告，对稀土相关物项、技术、设备及原辅 料实施出口管制，管制范围从境内扩展至境外，新增稀土二次资源回收利用相关技术及生产线装配、调 试、维护等技术的出口管制，基本覆盖稀土全产业链，并首次涉及半导体及人工智能领域。 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 今日早盘，港股版"恐慌指数"恒指波幅指数飙升近29%，创2025年5月以来新高。截至收盘，恒生波幅 指数涨18.42%。多家机构认为，港股进入高波动阶段，港股"TACO"交易需要分批进行。 公司建议实物分派旅游地产业 香港中旅盘中涨超14% 香港中旅盘中涨超14%，截至收盘涨8.5%，报1.66港元/股，成交额2.51亿港元。 香港中旅是最早一批在港交所上市的旅游企业之一，于1992年在港交所上市。香港中旅历史可追溯到 1923年8月15日上海商业储蓄银行设立的旅行部。经过百年的发展，集团形成了由旅行社、景区、酒 店、免税、旅游交通、邮轮、地产以及在港综合业务组成的产业布局。 消息面上，香港中旅公布，建议实物分派旅游地产业务，股东可选择按每股收取1股私人公司股份，或 每股收取现金0.336港元。公司表示，完成分派后，集团将减少非核心资产拖累，盈利能力预期改善， 并进一步优化运营模式，把资金与管理资源集中于高回报的旅游运营环节。董事会认为，此举符合公司 及股东整体利益。 黄金及贵金属领涨 | 3h 10 | 黄金及贵金属 3622.94 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Tantalum Industry has achieved breakthroughs in the production of high-purity tantalum powder, high-purity tantalum ingots, and 12-inch tantalum target blanks, indicating significant advancements in the semiconductor sector [1] Group 1: Product Applications - The company's products are widely used in superconducting products, high-temperature alloy additives, sputtering targets, tantalum capacitors, hard alloys, and chemical corrosion prevention [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Sector - In the semiconductor field, Dongfang Tantalum Industry has realized a full-process technological breakthrough and industrial integration [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the copper pricing logic shifted from "dominated by Chinese demand" to a ternary structure of "capital pricing + resource politics + supply chain control", with the financial attribute of copper significantly enhanced. The copper price showed a trend of "first decline, then rise, and then fluctuate", and the fluctuation range increased significantly [3]. - The deepening of the Sino - US game reshaped the global copper resource flow, pricing mechanism, and trade pattern. The copper price center will be systematically raised due to the re - evaluation of strategic value, and the fluctuation will intensify due to the fierce game [3]. - In the fourth quarter, the copper market faces three key points: the path after the Fed's hawkish interest rate cut and the speculation of a US economic recession; the variables in the Sino - US game, especially whether the Sino - US tariff negotiation in November will be postponed again; and the re - balance of global copper supply and demand and the inflection point of global copper visible inventory destocking [3]. - In the short term, it is recommended to hold copper speculative long orders, set trailing stops, and be cautious about chasing high prices, mainly trying long on dips. Industrial customers should flexibly adjust the hedging ratio, lock in reasonable profits, and strictly manage positions. In the long term, copper is favored due to its status as an important strategic resource and a substitute for precious metals, as well as the tight supply of copper concentrates and the booming demand for green copper [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Chapter 1: Review of the First Three - Quarter Market - In early January, due to Trump's weaker - than - expected tariff policy on China and the increasing expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, Shanghai copper started to rebound from the bottom, breaking through the 76,000 - yuan mark [6]. - In February, the lower - than - expected copper inventory accumulation during the Spring Festival and increased overseas mine - end disturbances pushed Shanghai copper to break through the 77,000 - yuan mark [6]. - In March, Trump's escalating threat of imposing import tariffs on copper led to a rapid widening of the price difference between COMEX and LME copper, and Shanghai copper broke through the 80,000 - yuan psychological barrier [6]. - In April, after the implementation of the global tariff war and the exemption of copper tariffs, there was a sharp reversal in expectations, causing copper prices to plummet. Subsequently, with the easing of Sino - US relations, copper prices oscillated and recovered [7]. - In June, due to the reignition of the Middle East conflict and the continuous decline of LME copper inventory, copper prices increased against the seasonal trend [7]. - In July and August, Trump's repeated tariff policies on copper led to significant fluctuations in copper prices. In September, with the Fed's interest rate cut and the supply shortage expectation of copper concentrates, copper prices reached new highs for the year [8]. Chapter 2: Macroeconomic Analysis 2.1 US Reciprocal Tariff Era and Global Economic Slowdown - In the US reciprocal tariff era, Trump's unpredictable policies disrupted market confidence in the US and global economies, leading to a surge in market risk - aversion sentiment. WTO predicted a decline in global goods trade volume, and IMF predicted a slowdown in global economic GDP growth [11]. - Global major economies' inflation situations were differentiated, and central banks' monetary policies shifted from tightening to easing. Geopolitical risks increased significantly, and military use of copper might increase due to the global arms race [14][19]. 2.2 Trump's Copper Tariff (TACO) and Increased Policy Uncertainty - Trump listed copper as a "national security vital resource", and his copper tariff policies had a profound impact on the global copper market. If the 25% copper import tariff policy were implemented, it would distort the global copper trade supply path [21][22]. - The price difference between COMEX and LME copper increased significantly, stimulating cross - market arbitrage. Although the tariff on refined copper was unexpectedly exempted, Trump's tariff policies accelerated the regionalization of the copper supply chain and increased capital risk - aversion sentiment [23][33]. 2.3 US Employment Pressure and Attention to the Fed's Interest Rate Cut in October - US employment data was weak, and inflation showed signs of rising. The Fed cut interest rates in September, and the market expected further interest rate cuts in October and December. The impact of the Fed's monetary policy on copper was greater than that of the domestic central bank's policy [36][42][46]. 2.4 Economic Cycle Reincarnation and Copper at the Eve of a Historic Demand Boom - Globally, the economy was at the end of the sixth Kondratieff cycle and the fifth Juglar cycle. Copper, as an important raw material, was on the verge of a historic demand boom [47]. - Domestically, although there were signs of economic recovery, there were still drag factors such as the real - estate slump. Copper was sensitive to interest rates, exchange rates, and domestic and foreign monetary policies [50]. Chapter 3: Supply Analysis 3.1 Grasberg Mine Shutdown in Indonesia Aggravates the Copper Ore Supply - Demand Gap - Global copper ore supply faced challenges such as long - term insufficient capital expenditure, falling ore grades, and increased mining difficulties. The shutdown of major mines such as Grasberg in Indonesia and political protests at some mines led to a reduction in global copper ore supply [52][55]. 3.2 Deep Inversion of Smelter Processing Fees and Industry Calls for Anti - Involution - Global copper smelting capacity utilization remained high, but copper concentrate supply was short. Smelter processing fees were deeply inverted, and the industry called for anti - involution. The government issued relevant policies to support the development of the copper industry [59][60][64]. 3.3 High Refined Copper Output and Continued Pressure on Imports - In 2025, global smelting capacity was released at a high level, and domestic refined copper output reached a record high. However, due to factors such as high premiums of US and LME copper and the closure of the import window, domestic refined copper imports were weak, and exports increased [67]. 3.4 High Global Visible Inventory and Tight Non - US Inventory - Global copper visible inventory was at a historically high level, mainly concentrated in US COMEX warehouses, while non - US inventory was tight. High copper prices had an inhibitory effect on demand, and attention should be paid to the subsequent inventory inflection point [72][77]. Chapter 4: Demand Analysis 4.1 The Fourth Industrial Revolution Triggers a Surge in Electricity Demand, and Green Copper Demand Shines - The fourth industrial revolution, including the development of new energy and AI, led to a significant increase in electricity demand, which in turn stimulated copper demand. China's power investment maintained resilience, and overseas power markets were also booming [78][79][80]. 4.2 Real Estate in a Difficult Bottom - Grinding Phase and Low Market Confidence - The real - estate market was in a downturn, with falling prices, weak sales, and a large inventory of unsold properties. This had a negative impact on overall copper demand [86][88]. 4.3 The Impact of the Trade - in Policy and the Withdrawal of National Subsidies on the Home Appliance Industry - The home appliance industry's demand for copper maintained resilience, but with the withdrawal of national subsidies and reduced overseas replenishment demand, the industry's performance was expected to be high in the first half and low in the second half of the year [91][92]. 4.4 High - Growth of New Energy Vehicles and Booming Green Copper Demand - New energy vehicles had a high copper consumption rate, and global new energy vehicle copper consumption was expected to increase significantly in 2025, becoming an important incremental factor in copper demand [94][95]. 4.5 The Return of Speculative Forces and the Repetition of the 2024 Copper Price Rally - Speculative forces in the copper market became active again, and overseas speculative funds' actions had an impact on copper prices. China needed to enhance its position as a copper pricing center [98][104]. 4.6 Forecast of the 2025 Refined Copper Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - Overall, the supply of overseas copper concentrates was tight, while domestic smelting capacity was operating at a high level. The supply - demand of refined copper shifted from a tight balance to a slight shortage, both domestically and globally [105].

Core Viewpoint - Wu Tong Holdings (300292.SZ) and its subsidiaries do not engage in the semiconductor business [1] Group 1: Company Operations - The subsidiary, Intelligent Electronics, focuses on EMS electronic manufacturing with SMT as its core [1] - The company procures materials and components such as PCBs, chips, semiconductors, and passive components from upstream suppliers [1] - After processes like placement, inspection, assembly, and testing, the products are delivered to downstream customers [1] Group 2: Industry Presence - Wu Tong Holdings has established a certain level of industry recognition in sectors such as new energy vehicles and industrial control [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by recent export controls on rare earth materials and increasing demand as the traditional peak season approaches [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 13, 2025, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.87%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748) up 14.34%, Yuyuan New Materials (600206) up 10.00%, and Northern Rare Earth (600111) up 9.53% [1] - The Non-Ferrous ETF Fund (159880) increased by 1.64%, with the latest price reported at 1.79 yuan [1] Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Recent announcements from two departments regarding export controls on rare earth materials are expected to enhance compliance trade, with a focus on facilitating applications that meet regulations [1] - The scope of the export controls has expanded to include technologies and production lines related to the recycling of rare earth secondary resources, covering the entire rare earth industry chain and impacting sectors such as semiconductors and artificial intelligence [1] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for rare earth materials is anticipated to improve as the traditional peak season approaches, potentially leading to a favorable supply-demand balance and stable or increasing rare earth prices [1] - Citic Securities recommends strategic allocation within the rare earth industry chain due to the expected strengthening of supply rigidity [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) includes 50 securities that are prominent in terms of scale and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 53.12% of the total, including companies like Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [2]

Group 1 - South Korea's population aged 20-29 was surpassed by those aged 70 and above for the first time due to low birth rates and aging population [2] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange reported nearly 1,000 new merger and acquisition projects since the implementation of the "Merger Six Guidelines," with significant asset restructuring amounting to 308.64 billion yuan [5] - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang sold 225,000 shares for over $42.8 million in October, raising concerns about executive stock sales amid the AI boom [6] Group 2 - New Lai Ying Material announced stable production and operational conditions, with no significant changes in the internal or external business environment [10] - Zijin Mining completed the acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, which is expected to support the company's gold production targets significantly [11] - Nearly 100,000 elderly residents from Hong Kong have chosen to settle in Guangdong for retirement, indicating a growing trend in cross-border elderly care [12]