电科投资党委书记、总经理靳彦彬近日接受上海证券报记者专访，解码了这家央企投资平台如何以耐心 资本链接战略与产业，为科技自立自强注入资本动力。 ◎记者 李雁争 在新一轮科技革命与产业变革交织演进的当下，央企资本正以战略力量引领产业升级，成为培育新质生 产力的重要引擎。电科投资作为中国电子科技集团有限公司（简称"中国电科"）唯一的资本投资运营平 台，从财务投资向战略投资的转型历程，勾勒出央企投资平台的发展新路径，也彰显了国家战略科技力 量在资本赋能产业中的使命担当。 电科投资党委书记、总经理靳彦彬近日接受上海证券报记者专访，解码了这家央企投资平台如何以耐心 资本链接战略与产业，为科技自立自强注入资本动力。 从财务投资到战略赋能的转型 提及电科投资的发展历程，靳彦彬介绍："2014年成立至今，我们用10年时间完成了三次跨越式发展， 从最初10亿元总资产成长为超200亿元规模的战略投资平台，连续6年斩获集团经营业绩考核A级。"这 份成绩单的背后，是电科投资始终紧跟集团战略步伐的精准定位。 以耐心资本助力科技自立自强 谈及未来发展，靳彦彬明确了电科投资的目标——成为"一流央企投资公司"。他表示，这里的"一流"并 非单纯 ...

回顾2025年，中国经济的底色没有改变，一直在延续修复式增长的状态。从短期运行看，2025 年前三 季度GDP累计同比增长 5.2%，尽管四季度面临高基数和外部冲击压力，但在政策加力支持下，全年将 实现 5%左右的增长目标。总体而言，2025 年宏观政策取向和经济运行基本符合此前预期，但通胀水平 明显低于预期。 展望2026年，作为"十五五"开局之年，内需扩张、政策持续宽松以及物价回升将共同支撑经济增长，预 计实际GDP增速仍可维持在5%左右。12 月 10 日至 11 日召开的中央经济工作会议分析了当前我国经济 运行面临的形势，并对2026年经济工作作出全面部署。会议指出，我国经济长期向好的基本趋势和支撑 条件并未改变；2026年要着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合 理增长，保持社会大局稳定，实现"十五五"良好开局。 岁末年初，对于2026年，虽然宏观经济仍将维持修复增长的状态，但我们更加强调经济和政策层面的一 些新变化。那么，这种变化表现在什么方面呢？ 第一，名义经济增长明显改善。 从宏观基本面判断，虽然经济仍将继续延续修复增长的格局，但由于通胀回升，名义GDP增长将明显 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board Composite Index (Sci-Tech Index) has shown significant growth since its launch, reflecting the overall development of China's technology innovation sector and attracting substantial investment [3][4][6]. Group 1: Performance and Coverage - The Sci-Tech Index has increased by 48.35% since its launch on January 20, 2025, outperforming major market indices [3][8]. - The index currently includes 576 stocks, covering 96% of the Sci-Tech Board companies, with a market capitalization coverage of over 91% [7][9]. - The total market capitalization of the Sci-Tech Board reached 11.14 trillion yuan, with the 576 stocks in the index accounting for 10.18 trillion yuan, or 91.38% of the total [7][9]. Group 2: Industry Composition - The index includes stocks from various sectors, with the largest representation from information technology (54.86%), followed by industrial (23.14%) and healthcare (13.50%) [7][9]. - The top ten stocks in the index represent 27.5% of its total market capitalization, with ten stocks exceeding 100 billion yuan in market value [7][9]. Group 3: Investment Products and Ecosystem - As of December 24, 2025, 45 fund managers have launched 77 index funds related to the Sci-Tech Index, with a total scale of 27 billion yuan [10][11]. - The average return of these products since their launch has been 42%, indicating strong investor interest [11]. - The index has facilitated a one-stop investment tool for investors, enhancing the accessibility of "hard technology" investments [11][12]. Group 4: Future Development and Optimization - Experts suggest that the Sci-Tech Index should continuously optimize its dynamic adjustment and maintenance mechanisms to reflect the latest developments in the hard technology sector [5][13]. - There is a need to enhance the scientific and representative nature of the index, focusing on key indicators such as R&D investment intensity and technology transfer capabilities [12][13]. - The index is expected to play a crucial role in guiding long-term capital allocation and enhancing recognition of China's technological strength among domestic and foreign investors [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to enter a new phase driven by "profitability and policy guidance" in 2026, transitioning from a liquidity-driven market in 2025, with a focus on both growth and stability in investment strategies [2][5]. Investment Opportunities - The two main investment lines for the next 3-5 years are: 1. "Growth Steed" representing technology innovation fields such as domestic computing power, AI applications, robotics, and energy storage 2. "Steady Horse" representing traditional industry upgrades and value reassessment, including high-end manufacturing, resource security, and financial openness [3][4]. - Institutional funds are expected to continue focusing on AI and computing power, but with a more balanced allocation towards traditional industries like finance and resource optimization [2][3]. Market Characteristics - The 2026 market is characterized by a shift from liquidity-driven dynamics to profitability-driven dynamics, which may increase volatility but still present structural opportunities [5]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes "technological self-reliance" as a core strategy for high-quality development, which is anticipated to reshape the valuation system of A-shares, particularly benefiting technology growth stocks [4]. Valuation and Pricing Logic - The "technological self-reliance" policy is expected to enhance the visibility of earnings and policy certainty for technology growth stocks, thereby reducing risk premiums and raising valuation benchmarks [4]. - The pricing logic for technology stocks will shift from being purely thematic-driven to a three-dimensional assessment based on "technical barriers, market space, and policy support" [4]. Investment Strategy for Ordinary Investors - Ordinary investors are advised to adopt a "core + satellite" allocation framework, focusing on long-term growth sectors while dynamically adjusting satellite positions based on market conditions and policy catalysts [3][5]. - In 2026, it is recommended to initially lean towards "Growth Steed" sectors in the first half of the year, and gradually increase exposure to "Steady Horse" sectors in the latter half to manage potential market fluctuations [5].

2025年，A股在政策、估值、盈利、资金四重支撑下走出了牛市行情。2026年作为"十五五"规划开局之 年，经济转型深化与政策发力预期叠加，A股市场细分赛道的分化愈发明显。 在这样的背景下，2026年的投资机会如何？驱动2026年行情的核心变量是什么？哪些领域可能成为市场 资金新的"共识"？对于这些问题，私募大佬们又有着怎样独到的判断？近日，《每日经济新闻》记者 （以下简称NBD）带着这些问题，专访了星石投资副总经理方磊。 由估值走向盈利驱动 NBD：从2025年市场表现来看，政策、资金、盈利三大要素的联动效应尤为明显，您认为这三者中哪 个是驱动2026年行情的核心变量？请结合来年的市场特征说明理由。 方磊：2026年驱动股市行情的核心变量是盈利要素，全市场将进入业绩释放期，股市将由估值驱动走向 盈利驱动，各个板块均有投资机会，2026年市场风格与2025年相比有望更为均衡。2025年，人工智能、 高端制造等科技成长板块景气度率先修复，顺周期等传统行业基本面及预期相对低迷，共同造成了科技 成长风格估值率先修复、累计涨幅突出的局面。 进入2026年，人工智能产业链景气度有望延续，虽然高估值可能会带来波动放大，但盈 ...

2025年，A股在政策、估值、盈利、资金四重支撑下走出了牛市行情。2026年作为"十五五"规划开局之 年，经济转型深化与政策发力预期叠加，但A股市场细分赛道的分化却愈发明显，在这样的背景下， 2026年的投资机会如何？驱动2026年行情的核心变量是什么？哪些领域可能成为市场资金新的"共识"？ 对于这些问题，私募大佬们又有着怎样独到的判断？近日，《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称NBD)就带 着这些问题，专访了上海保银私募基金管理有限公司总经理及基金经理李墨(以下简称保银基金李墨)。 首先，2025年为市场确立了坚实的"政策底"与"资金底"。政策上，从2024年9月首提"适度宽松"到2025 年12月会议的再次定调，表明宽松已不再是权宜之计，而是构建长效机制的宏观基准，这为长期风险偏 好提供了"定海神针"。资金上，数据已验证了信心的实质性回归："长钱"考核机制优化下，险资全年预 计贡献超4000亿元增量；北上资金三季度持仓市值创下2.59万亿元新高；叠加全年日均成交额重回1.1万 亿元上方，市场的承接力与定价效率已显著跃升。 然而，行情的持续性面临"结构性分化"的挑战。虽然以硬科技为代表的新质生产力板块在三季度率先 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Harmony Starry Night Gala" showcases the achievements of the HarmonyOS ecosystem, emphasizing its role in China's digital transformation and technological self-reliance [7][8][18]. Group 1: Event Overview - The gala was co-hosted by the Central Radio and Television Station and the Guangdong Provincial Government, featuring a visually stunning display with 40,000 light balls [1][2]. - The event's narrative focused on "breakthrough, growth, belief, and future," with prominent hosts and performers conveying a message of unity and warmth [4][6]. Group 2: Technological Integration - The stage design embodied the concept of "Harmony's initial opening, interconnecting the stars," blending Eastern philosophy with futuristic technology [6]. - The gala integrated cutting-edge technologies like AR and AI, illustrating the future of interconnectedness [6]. Group 3: HarmonyOS Achievements - HarmonyOS has evolved significantly since its launch in August 2019, with the upcoming HarmonyOS 5 and the recently released HarmonyOS 6 marking important milestones [8]. - The system has become a strong competitor to Android and iOS, providing users with a "third choice" in operating systems [10]. Group 4: Ecosystem Growth - The Harmony ecosystem now boasts over 350,000 applications and services, with a compatibility rate exceeding 95% across 18 major sectors [12]. - The number of registered developers in the Harmony ecosystem has surpassed 10 million, with over 7.32 million individuals learning Harmony development skills [12][14]. Group 5: Open Source Development - Open-source HarmonyOS is the fastest-growing open-source operating system, with over 1300 hardware products and more than 70 industry-specific versions developed [14][16]. - The system has been customized for various industries, including energy and telecommunications, demonstrating its versatility [14]. Group 6: National Significance - HarmonyOS represents China's first fully self-developed operating system, enhancing national information security and digital sovereignty [18]. - The ecosystem promotes collaboration among various market players, contributing to the overall digital economy and innovation [18][20]. Group 7: User Experience and Future Vision - HarmonyOS aims to provide a seamless user experience, with features designed to bridge digital divides and promote inclusivity [18]. - The ongoing journey of HarmonyOS reflects China's commitment to technological independence and innovation, inviting users and developers to participate in its growth [21][20].

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京12月25日电（记者 沈寅飞）从广袤西北戈壁的千万千瓦级"沙戈荒"新能源基地到奔腾的 金沙江畔一座座大型水电站，再到蔚蓝的海面上一座座风电"巨轮"迎风转动…… 记者从中国华电获悉，该集团"十四五"累计完成发电量3.4万亿千瓦时、供热量22.51亿吉焦、煤炭产量 2.8亿吨，较"十三五"分别提升25.1%、53.8%、8.6%，有力保障了经济社会发展用能需求。 "能源安全是国家安全的基石，关乎经济命脉与民生福祉。"中国华电相关负责人表示，"十四五"期间， 中国华电始终把能源保供作为首要政治责任，在筑牢能源保供硬支撑的同时，中国华电不断推动安全环 保效能迈上新台阶。扎实推进"三改联动"和煤电机组低碳化改造，完成节能降碳改造、灵活性改造和供 热改造机组167台次，推动传统能源向清洁高效、灵活可靠的方向稳步转型。 据介绍，"十四五"以来，中国华电坚持以战略统领推进绿色转型，加快构建新型电力系统，跑出了绿色 发展的"加速度"。这些项目包括：在新疆天山北麓，我国首个"沙戈荒"新能源外送基地。在内蒙古腾格 里，总装机1600万千瓦内蒙古腾格里"沙戈荒"新能源基地项目。在青海柴达木，全国规模最大" ...

"新浪财经2025年会暨第18届金麒麟论坛"将于2026年1月15日在北京举办，本次会议的主题是"十五五开 局，经济新启航——重塑增长范式，共创未来繁荣"。 "新浪财经2025年会暨第18届金麒麟论坛"将于2026年1月15日在北京举办，本次会议的主题是"十五五开 局，经济新启航——重塑增长范式，共创未来繁荣"。 【点击报名参会】 回首"十四五"，中国经济在复杂严峻的国内外形势下，书写了高质量发展的坚实篇章。我们共同见证了 创新驱动战略下，科技自立自强步伐的加快；亲历了绿色转型的浪潮中，新能源与低碳产业的蓬勃崛 起；也感受到了共同富裕目标下，区域协调与乡村振兴的深层脉动。数字经济与实体经济深度融合，高 水平对外开放的大门越开越大，这些成就为迈向新征程奠定了坚实基础。 展望"十五五"，新的机遇与挑战并存。如何进一步强化国家战略科技力量，在全球产业链重构中抢占先 机？怎样深化要素市场化改革，释放更大增长潜能？绿色低碳转型又将催生哪些万亿级新赛道？这些关 乎国家发展与企业命运的宏大命题，亟待我们深入探讨。 本次论坛将由一场主论坛，和"2025科技风云榜"、"2025金融新启航"、"2026全球与中国资本市场展望 论 ...

Policy Insights - The GDP target for 2026 is expected to remain around 5%, with macro policies not being strong stimulus but rather supportive measures[5][9]. - Monetary policy is projected to see a 10 basis point rate cut and a 50 basis point reserve requirement ratio cut, consistent with 2025[5][24]. - The fiscal deficit rate is anticipated to stay at 4%, with total debt slightly increasing, maintaining fiscal efforts similar to 2025[5][24]. Economic Outlook - Economic growth is expected to be stable, but structural differentiation may occur, with real housing demand declining due to slowed urbanization[5][36]. - Real estate sales are projected to decrease by 10% in 2026, continuing the downward trend from 2025[5][37]. - Manufacturing investment is likely to remain low, with a growth rate of 3-4% anticipated due to ongoing capacity surplus issues[5][47]. Price Trends - CPI is expected to rise slightly to around 0.5% in 2026, driven by reduced drag from pork and energy prices[5][79]. - Core CPI is projected to maintain resilience, supporting overall CPI growth, with a historical average around 0.8%[5][88]. Market Dynamics - The A-share market is expected to experience a slow bull market, driven by technology and cyclical sectors, with institutional funds poised to enter the market[5][5]. - The total balance of institutional funds is over 100 trillion yuan, with an estimated 1.5-5 trillion yuan ready to enter the equity market[5][5]. Risk Factors - Key risks include geopolitical tensions, domestic policy implementation falling short of expectations, and potential underperformance in infrastructure investment[5][5].